Financial Services M&A Update: Q1 2018
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Financial Services quarterly update Q1 2018 Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC | www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com Quarterly update | Q1 2018 | Financial Services Financial Services trends In this update US bank stock prices Shifting philosophy at the continue to perform well1 Consumer Financial • Financial Services trends Protection Bureau2 In the wake of the US • Economic outlook presidential election, bank stock Following the departure of prices have increased 40.0 director Richard Cordray from • Industry analysis percent since November 8, the Consumer Financial • Select M&A transactions 2016. This increase can be Protection Bureau in November • Appendix partially attributed to 2017, acting director Mick anticipated regulatory rollbacks Mulvaney has outlined a vision regarding the financial industry for the government agency in This update will focus on news as well as recent tax reform, which it acts with restraint and and trends in the following which has now passed. does not target companies without substantial evidence of areas: wrongdoing. In February 2018, Mulvaney further updated • US Banks priorities to address outdated regulations. • US Specialty Finance US Senate advances plan Slowing consumer to weaken and industrial loan Dodd-Frank Act3 growth4 A plan to scale back the While recent increases in Who we are Dodd-Frank Act, a post- rates for short-term loans financial-crisis banking ruleset, have made floating-rate passed a vote by the Senate on commercial loans more Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC March 6, 2018. If passed into lucrative, banks are not is a leading global middle law, the bill would exempt making many more loans. approximately two-dozen Data from December 2017 market M&A adviser. The financial companies with assets shows that commercial loan firm’s professionals have between $50 billion-$250 billion growth was reported at 1.6 extensive knowledge and from classification as percent in Q4 2017, well years of experience in the systematically important below the quarterly average Financial Services space. financial institutions in the eyes of 7.2 percent, measured of the federal government. since Q1 2013. In the news March 28, 20185 – Renasant Corporation (NASDAQ:RNST) (Renasant) and Brand Group Holdings, Inc. (Brand) agreed to a $452.9 million merger. The deal will be a combination stock/cash deal, with Brand shareholders receiving 32.87 shares of Renasant Contacts common stock and $77.50 in cash per stock. The merger will help Mississippi-based Renasant and Atlanta-based Brand, both banks, Charlie Welch expand their respective reaches in the Southeast. Managing Director February 12, 20186 – Pacific Premier Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: [email protected] PPBI) (Pacific Premier) announced that it would acquire Grandpoint +1 (704) 731-7201 Capital Inc. (OTC Pink: GPNC) (Grandpoint) in a $641.2 million stock transaction. Grandpoint is a Los Angeles-based bank holding Phil Colaco company with 14 offices in three states. The transaction is expected to allow the combined company to build a stronger CEO & Managing Director presence in Southern California. [email protected] +1 (704) 333-0533 www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 2 Quarterly update | Q1 2018 | Financial Services Macroeconomic outlook US gross domestic product1 US Treasury yield curve (nominal vs. real)2 $20.0 5.0% 3.5% 3.0% 4.0% $15.0 2.5% 3.0% 2.0% $10.0 1.5% 2.0% 1.0% $5.0 $ in trillions $ in 1.0% rate Interest 0.5% YoY percent change percent YoY $0.0 0.0% 0.0% GDP ($ in trillions) YoY % growth (Adj. for inflation) Real yield (%) Nominal yield (%) Banking sector outlook Commercial bank capital ratios & ROAE3 Number of US bank branches4 16% 100,000 14% 96,000 12% 92,000 10% 88,000 Percentage % Percentage 8% 84,000 6% USbranches of Number bank 4% 80,000 CapitalCapital Ratioratio ROAE Whole bank M&A volume5 Annual transaction price / TBV6 350 250 227 296 218 216 300 283 280 277 225 213 268 267 262 239 200 250 179 217 222 175 164 159 200 176 150 141 143 145 135 132 150 124 119 119 116 110 125 110 100 / TBV Median P 56 100 Number of bank M&A bank M&A of Number deals 50 75 0 50 www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 3 Quarterly update | Q1 2018 | Financial Services Banking sector breakdown & trading statistics1 YTDi Quarterlyii Net Number of Price Price / Return on Return on Efficiency TE / NPA / Sector interest companies change Book assets equity ratio TA TA margin Banks (<$1B Assets) 518 1.7 % 122.9 % 0.49 % 3.7 % 4.5 % 70.7 % 9.6 % 0.8 % Banks ($1B-$10B Assets) 254 1.6 158.4 0.58 3.7 5.2 59.2 9.2 0.6 Banks ($10B-$50B Assets) 43 0.6 143.8 0.87 3.5 7.4 56.7 9.1 0.7 Banks (>$50B Assets) 21 3.4 154.0 1.08 3.1 8.9 61.3 9.2 0.8 Banking Sector Index 836 1.6 % 136.2 % 0.54 % 3.7 % 5.1 % 64.9 % 9.4 % 0.7 % Notes: i. As of March 31, 2017. ii. As of the most recently available quarter. Public comparables three-year stock market performance2 SNL US Bank 44.9% S&P 500 Index 28.2% NASDAQ Composite Index 44.7% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% (10.0%) (20.0%) SNL US Bank S&P 500 NASDAQ www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 4 Quarterly update | Q1 2018 | Financial Services Recent transactions1 Recent bank M&A transactions* Announced Price Price / Acquiror Target date ($M) Book (%) Mar-18 Renasant Corporation Brand Group Holdings, Inc. $452.9 235.5 % Mar-18 HarborOne Bancorp, Inc. (MHC) Coastway Bancorp, Inc. 125.6 173.8 Mar-18 Civista Bancshares, Inc. United Community Bancorp 118.7 164.7 Feb-18 First Choice Bancorp Pacific Commerce Bancorp 112.5 193.9 Feb-18 CVB Financial Corp. Community Bank 878.3 247.4 Feb-18 Pacific Premier Bancorp, Inc. Grandpoint Capital, Inc. 641.2 212.2 Feb-18 Mechanics Bank Learner Financial Corporation 124.9 170.1 Jan-18 Ameris Bancorp Hamilton State Bancshares, Inc. 405.0 204.7 Jan-18 Meta Financial Group, Inc. Crestmark Bancorp Inc. 321.2 404.0 *Transactions with purchase price greater than $100 million. Recent specialty finance M&A transactions Total Announced Price Acquiror Target assets date ($M) ($M) Feb-18 Ocwen Financial Corporation PHH Corporation $361.1 $64.7 Feb-18 Kayne Anderson MLP Investment Company Kayne Anderson Energy Development Company 191.3 109.8 Feb-18 WMIH Corp. Nationstar Mortgage Holdings Inc. 1,927.9 122.2 Feb-18 Patriot National Bancorp, Inc. Hana Small Business Lending, Inc. 83.0 NA Jan-18 Ameris Bancorp US Premium Finance Holding Company 59.1 NA Jan-18 NTC Group, Inc. Tenax Aerospace, LLC 220.0 NA Jan-18 United Community Banks, Inc. Navitas Credit Corp. 130.0 NA Annual bank and specialty finance M&A transaction volume by deal value2 759 800 714 723 719 684 664 679 700 619 607 600 551 500 400 300 185 200 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Undisclosed <$100M $100-$250M $250-$500M $500-$1B >$1B www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 5 Quarterly update | Q1 2018 | Financial Services Appendix Public comparables analysis1 YTD Quarterly Price Price / Return on Net interest Return on Efficiency TE / NPA / Company (Ticker) change Book assets margin equity ratio TA TA Banks (Assets <$1B) (518)* Median 1.7 % 122.9 % 0.49 % 3.7 % 4.5 % 70.7 % 9.6 % 0.8 % Mean 4.0 % 127.0 % 0.35 % 3.8 % 3.7 % 73.4 % 10.2 % 1.2 % Banks (Assets $1B-$10B) (254)* Median 1.6 % 158.4 % 0.58 % 3.7 % 5.2 % 59.2 % 9.2 % 0.6 % Mean 2.7 % 162.5 % 0.52 % 3.7 % 4.7 % 60.1 % 9.4 % 0.8 % Banks (Assets $10B-$50B) (43) Associated Banc-Corp (2.2) % 126.1 % 0.67 % 2.8 % 6.2 % 64.6 % 7.6 % 1.0 % BancorpSouth, Inc. 0.6 137.8 1.07 4.6 12.5 68.7 8.1 0.3 Bank of Hawaii Corporation (3.2) 295.0 1.01 3.0 14.0 56.3 7.0 0.4 BankUnited, Inc. (1.0) 143.8 5.60 3.5 59.8 52.8 9.7 0.7 BOK Financial Corporation 7.2 172.8 0.87 2.9 8.2 67.1 9.6 0.6 Cathay General Bancorp (6.2) 172.9 0.67 3.7 5.2 47.7 10.4 0.9 Central Bancompany, Inc. 3.4 116.5 0.81 3.4 5.8 59.1 12.0 0.7 Commerce Bancshares, Inc. 7.1 231.9 1.52 3.3 13.9 66.3 10.4 0.5 Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. 11.4 190.5 1.30 3.7 12.4 54.1 8.5 0.5 East West Bancorp, Inc. 2.0 228.9 0.91 3.6 8.8 47.2 9.1 0.5 F.N.B. Corporation (2.5) 103.9 0.31 3.5 2.2 53.1 7.1 0.5 First BanCorp. 18.7 60.2 0.80 4.5 5.2 56.7 15.0 8.2 First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (4.2) 145.2 0.62 3.4 6.5 70.9 9.1 0.7 First Hawaiian, Inc. (6.8) 160.8 0.27 3.0 1.8 46.5 7.9 0.2 First Horizon National Corporation (6.1) 155.9 (0.62) 3.3 (5.5) 79.5 7.6 1.0 First National of Nebraska, Inc.