Consumer Discretionary 25 May 2016

Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

Target price: HKD8.30 (from HKD7.00) Share price (24 May): HKD8.63 | Up/downside: -3.8%

Strong sales look priced in Kelvin Lau (852) 2848 4467  YTD outperformance mainly driven by better-than-expected GS4 sales [email protected]  Upbeat 1Q16 margin likely to trend down in 2H16 on strong competition Brian Lam (852) 2532 4341  Maintaining Hold (3) rating; raising TP to HKD8.3 on 7.9x PER [email protected]

What's new: Following our meeting with GAC’s management on Monday, Forecast revisions (%) we are revising our forecasts. We attribute the stock’s outperformance YTD Year to 31 Dec 16E 17E 18E to better-than-expected sales volumes for its Trumpchi SUV GS4, which led Revenue change 4.2 (1.7) n.a. Net profit change 23.2 28.9 n.a. to a gross margin of 18% for 4Q15-1Q16 vs. 12% for 2015. But, we don’t Core EPS (FD) change 23.2 28.9 n.a. recommend chasing GAC at the current level as the positives look priced in. Source: Daiwa forecasts

What's the impact: Upbeat 1Q16 margin, but likely to soften in 2H16E. Share price performance

GAC’s gross margin saw a significant rise in 4Q15-1Q16, mainly on the (HKD) (%) back of scale economies for GS4 SUV. As its target segment is very price 9.5 160 sensitive (mostly CNY110,000-120,000), we believe that increasing 8.3 140 7.0 120 promotions and competing model launches (eg, GWM’s H6, Changan’s 5.8 100

CS75 and ’s Boyue) will have an immediate negative impact on the 4.5 80 GS4. Also, we think the 150,000-unit new capacity, due to start operations May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 in 3Q16, will further weigh on GAC’s gross margin. Gzhou Auto (LHS) Relative to HSI (RHS)

Foreign JVs should see steady growth, but limited upside volume 12-month range 4.88-9.17 surprise. GAC Honda and GAC Toyota have seen steady volume growth Market cap (USDbn) 7.14 YTD, mainly driven by new products, including the Honda City sedan, Vezel 3m avg daily turnover (USDm) 15.75 Shares outstanding (m) 6,435 SUV and Toyota Highlander. However, their sales volume will face a high Major shareholder GZ Auto Industry Grp (57.6%) base of comparison from 2Q16 as many models were launched in 2Q15. For 1-20 May, GAC Honda and GAC Toyota saw 5% YoY and 2% YoY rises Financial summary (CNY) in average daily sales, respectively, down from 14-18% rises in YTD April. Year to 31 Dec 16E 17E 18E New production capacity for Honda and Toyota should come on line from Revenue (m) 46,578 49,077 51,815 2018, and hence we see limited scope for an upside surprise in the 2 JVs’ Operating profit (m) 1,067 1,137 1,215 Net profit (m) 5,585 6,017 6,530 volumes. As for GAC Fiat, its plant, with a total capacity of Core EPS (fully-diluted) 0.868 0.935 1.015 140,000 units, has turned profitable (from losses in 2015), with the EPS change (%) 33.2 7.7 8.5 Cherokee selling more than 9,000 units for both March and April (utilisation Daiwa vs Cons. EPS (%) (7.9) (11.8) (12.2) PER (x) 8.4 7.8 7.2 rate of more than 80%). However, we think Fiat’s additional capacity of Dividend yield (%) 3.8 4.1 4.5 160,000 units in Guangzhou, which came on stream in 2Q16 (now 10-20% DPS 0.280 0.301 0.327 utilisation), will likely offset the profits from Changsha in 2016. PBR (x) 1.1 1.0 0.9 EV/EBITDA (x) 9.7 8.1 6.6 ROE (%) 13.7 13.4 13.2 What we recommend: We believe 2016 will be a strong year for GAC Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts given a low base for the first 4 months, and we raise EPS for 2016-17E by 23-29% on its better-than-expected gross margin. In turn, we lift our TP to HKD8.3 (from HKD7), set at a PER of 7.9x (previously 8.5x), a 10% premium to its peers’ average 2016E PER (ex. BYD [1211 HK, HKD42.95, Outperform (2)]). However, we maintain our Hold (3) rating as we think sentiment will deteriorate due to the higher comparison base going forward. The key risks: stronger/weaker-than-expected PV sales.

How we differ: Our 2016-18E EPS are 8-12% below the consensus as we are more cautious on GAC’s volume growth for the rest of 2016.

See important disclosures, including any required research certifications, beginning on page 5

Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK): 25 May 2016

GAC: PER band (PER) 15

13

11

9

7

5

Jul-15 Jul-13 Jul-14

Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16

Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16

Nov-13 Nov-14 Nov-15

Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15

May-13 May-14 May-15 May-16 PER +1 SD Average PER -1 SD Source: Bloomberg, Daiwa

Peer comparison – auto OEMs Name Bloomberg Trading Share price Market Cap Rating PER (x) PBR (x) EV/EBITDA(x) Div yield (%) ROE (%) Code Currency 24-May-16 USD Mn FY16E FY17E FY16E FY17E FY16E FY17E FY16E FY17E FY16E FY17E China H-share listed Geely Automobile Holdings Lt * 175 HK HKD 3.80 4306 Buy 8.4 7.2 1.2 1.1 3.0 2.1 1.5 1.7 16.0 16.2 BAIC Motor Corp Ltd-H * 1958 HK HKD 5.40 5280 Sell 9.2 8.4 0.9 0.8 4.1 3.3 3.8 4.1 10.4 10.5 BYD Co Ltd-H * 1211 HK HKD 42.95 19168 Outperform 34.2 23.0 2.0 1.8 10.9 9.1 n.a. n.a. 6.7 7.9 Great Wall Motor Company-H * 2333 HK HKD 5.54 9909 Hold 5.9 5.8 1.0 0.9 3.9 3.8 5.2 5.3 17.6 16.1 Guangzhou Automobile Group-H * 2238 HK HKD 8.63 17347 Hold 8.4 7.8 1.1 1.0 9.7 8.1 3.8 4.1 13.7 13.4 Dongfeng Motor Grp Co Ltd-H * 489 HK HKD 7.74 8585 Outperform 4.7 4.5 0.6 0.5 5.2 3.6 3.2 3.4 13.3 12.5 Brilliance China Automotive * 1114 HK HKD 7.09 4597 Buy 8.7 7.0 1.3 1.1 n.a. n.a. 1.4 1.7 16.2 17.4 China A-share listed Byd Co Ltd -A 002594 CH CNY 59.23 19168 NR 36.4 28.8 4.1 3.6 15.5 13.2 0.0 0.0 11.9 13.5 Guangzhou Automobile Group-A 601238 CH CNY 23.11 17347 NR 24.0 20.0 3.4 3.0 39.6 34.4 0.0 0.0 14.7 15.6 Great Wall Motor Co Ltd-A 601633 CH CNY 8.37 9909 NR 8.8 7.9 1.7 1.5 5.4 5.1 0.0 0.0 20.7 19.6 Saic Motor Corp Ltd-A 600104 CH CNY 19.77 33262 NR 7.0 6.6 1.2 1.1 10.0 9.0 0.1 0.1 17.1 16.9 Chongqing Changan Automobi-B 200625 CH HKD 10.77 9475 NR 3.7 3.5 1.0 0.8 23.8 9.2 0.1 0.1 29.3 25.9 Faw Car Company Limited-A 000800 CH CNY 12.94 3214 NR 380.6 562.6 2.3 2.3 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 6.9 6.8 Jianghuai Auto Co-A 600418 CH CNY 11.11 2481 NR 13.3 10.6 1.6 1.4 n.a. n.a. 0.0 0.0 13.0 14.4 Jiangsu Yueda Investment C-A 600805 CH CNY 8.10 1052 NR 9.9 8.4 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobi-A 000927 CH CNY 6.67 1624 NR n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Lifan Industry Group Co Lt-A 601777 CH CNY 9.55 1831 NR 19.9 15.0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Group Co-A 000572 CH CNY 4.97 1247 NR n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Shenyang Automotive-A 600609 CH CNY 4.68 780 NR n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. US Ford Motor Co * F US USD 13.29 52799 Hold 6.3 6.2 1.6 1.3 2.9 2.8 0.1 0.0 29.4 22.8 General Motors Co * GM US USD 31.05 47812 Outperform 5.5 5.3 1.1 0.9 2.5 2.4 0.0 0.0 22.0 18.5 Europe Daimler Ag-Registered Shares DAI GR EUR 58.26 69490 NR 7.2 6.8 1.1 1.0 2.3 2.1 0.1 0.1 15.6 15.3 Bayerische Motoren Werke AG BMW GR EUR 72.65 52614 NR 7.5 7.3 1.0 0.9 6.2 6.0 0.0 0.0 14.3 13.5 Volkswagen AG VoW GR EUR 137.46 75654 NR 7.8 6.6 0.7 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.0 0.0 9.9 10.2 Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV FCA IM EUR 6.22 8933 NR 4.5 3.5 0.6 0.5 1.5 1.4 n.a. 0.0 12.5 14.6 Peugeot SA UG FP EUR 13.48 12150 NR 8.3 7.1 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.6 0.0 0.0 13.2 14.3 Renault SA RNO FP EUR 81.62 26910 NR 6.6 5.9 0.7 0.7 3.8 3.6 0.0 0.0 11.8 12.2 Japan Honda Motor Co Ltd *, ** 7267 JP JPY 2921.50 48114 Hold 9.6 9.8 0.7 0.7 6.5 6.5 0.0 0.0 7.7 7.6 Motor Co Ltd *, ** 7201 JP JPY 1043.00 42622 Hold 7.8 7.8 0.9 0.8 2.7 2.7 0.0 0.0 11.2 10.5 Toyota Motor Corp *, ** 7203 JP JPY 5429.00 164760 Outperform 7.3 8.1 0.9 0.9 8.1 8.9 0.0 0.0 13.4 11.2 Korea Hyundai Motor Co * 005380 KS KRW 133500.00 24758 Buy 5.0 4.5 0.4 0.4 4.3 3.7 3.4 3.7 10.8 10.9 Kia Motors Corp * 000270 KS KRW 46300.00 15801 Buy 6.1 5.7 0.7 0.6 3.6 3.3 2.6 2.8 12.0 11.6 India Tata Motors Ltd ** TTMT IN INR 389.10 18549 NR 11.1 9.0 1.7 1.5 4.2 3.6 0.0 0.0 16.4 17.8 Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd ** MM IN INR 1294.80 11874 NR 22.6 18.0 2.8 2.6 12.9 10.6 0.0 0.0 12.4 13.5 Total Weighted average 10.5 10.5 1.1 1.0 6.2 5.8 0.4 0.4 14.5 13.4 High 380.6 562.6 4.1 3.6 39.6 34.4 5.2 5.3 29.4 25.9 Low 3.7 3.5 0.4 0.4 1.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 6.7 6.8 Median 8.3 7.3 1.1 0.9 4.3 3.7 0.0 0.0 13.3 13.5 Source: Bloomberg, *Daiwa forecasts Note: **Mar year-end

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK): 25 May 2016

Financial summary Key assumptions Year to 31 Dec 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E Volume - GAC Honda (unit) 362,000 316,000 435,000 480,000 580,000 619,000 636,000 648,000 Volume - GAC Toyota (unit) 274,000 250,000 303,000 374,000 403,000 423,000 433,000 432,000 Volume - GAC Motor (unit) 31,000 59,000 109,000 135,000 195,000 322,000 346,000 356,000 Volume Growth - GAC Honda (%) (6.2) (12.7) 37.7 10.3 20.8 6.7 2.7 1.9 Volume Growth - GAC Toyota (%) 1.9 (8.8) 21.2 23.4 7.8 5.0 2.4 (0.2) Volume Growth - GAC Motor (%) (20.5) 90.3 84.7 23.9 44.4 65.1 7.5 2.9

Profit and loss (CNYm) Year to 31 Dec 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E Vehcicle-related operations 10,719 12,713 18,124 21,560 28,285 45,105 47,310 49,694 Other revenue 266 251 700 823 1,133 1,473 1,767 2,121 Other Revenue 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Revenue 10,984 12,964 18,824 22,383 29,418 46,578 49,077 51,815 Other income 836 8 117 357 412 652 687 725 COGS (10,560) (12,274) (16,830) (19,831) (25,975) (39,969) (42,100) (44,433) SG&A (1,806) (2,147) (2,784) (3,724) (3,904) (6,195) (6,527) (6,891) Other op.expenses 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Operating profit (545) (1,449) (672) (814) (48) 1,067 1,137 1,215 Net-interest inc./(exp.) (41) (193) (169) (307) (310) (166) (172) (174) Assoc/forex/extraord./others 4,643 2,641 3,470 4,187 4,744 5,124 5,527 6,004 Pre-tax profit 4,057 1,000 2,629 3,066 4,386 6,025 6,491 7,045 Tax 110 65 (101) (131) (400) (753) (811) (880) Min. int./pref. div./others 105 69 124 259 226 313 338 366 Net profit (reported) 4,272 1,134 2,653 3,194 4,212 5,585 6,017 6,529 Net profit (adjusted) 4,272 1,134 2,653 3,194 4,212 5,585 6,017 6,530 EPS (reported)(CNY) 0.695 0.178 0.412 0.496 0.654 0.868 0.935 1.015 EPS (adjusted)(CNY) 0.695 0.178 0.412 0.496 0.654 0.868 0.935 1.015 EPS (adjusted fully-diluted)(CNY) 0.695 0.178 0.412 0.496 0.652 0.868 0.935 1.015 DPS (CNY) 0.209 0.091 0.160 0.160 0.200 0.280 0.301 0.327 EBIT (545) (1,449) (672) (814) (48) 1,067 1,137 1,216 EBITDA (55) (781) 279 402 1,600 2,917 3,338 3,779

Cash flow (CNYm) Year to 31 Dec 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E Profit before tax 4,057 1,000 2,629 3,066 4,386 6,025 6,491 7,045 Depreciation and amortisation 490 668 951 1,216 1,648 1,851 2,201 2,564 Tax paid (81) (117) (172) (85) (91) (753) (811) (880) Change in working capital (422) 1,555 566 614 3,115 177 203 222 Other operational CF items (4,677) (2,621) (3,426) (4,463) (5,167) (4,388) (4,690) (5,097) Cash flow from operations (633) 485 548 348 3,891 2,913 3,394 3,854 Capex (2,244) (2,948) (1,904) (3,513) (4,322) (5,025) (5,206) (5,396) Net (acquisitions)/disposals (1,079) (1,307) (1,077) (89) (1,938) 0 0 0 Other investing CF items 3,056 6,585 3,689 348 7,002 3,776 4,100 4,421 Cash flow from investing (267) 2,329 708 (3,254) 742 (1,249) (1,106) (975) Change in debt 429 38 4,041 28 (2,469) 2,000 1,500 1,000 Net share issues/(repurchases) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Dividends paid (686) (1,757) (538) (1,172) (1,068) (1,287) (1,800) (1,940) Other financing CF items 56 (31) 9 242 165 (487) (587) (659) Cash flow from financing (201) (1,749) 3,512 (902) (3,372) 226 (887) (1,597) Forex effect/others 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Change in cash (1,102) 1,065 4,767 (3,807) 1,260 1,890 1,401 1,283 Free cash flow (2,877) (2,463) (1,356) (3,164) (431) (2,113) (1,812) (1,542) Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK): 25 May 2016

Financial summary continued … Balance sheet (CNYm) As at 31 Dec 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E Cash & short-term investment 8,239 9,316 14,083 10,274 11,548 13,438 14,839 16,121 Inventory 1,537 1,397 2,036 2,661 1,927 3,331 3,508 3,703 Accounts receivable 2,980 3,303 4,725 5,516 8,727 14,905 15,705 16,581 Other current assets 8,903 6,258 5,669 8,434 5,696 5,696 5,696 5,696 Total current assets 21,659 20,274 26,514 26,886 27,898 37,369 39,748 42,101 Fixed assets 4,309 5,927 7,366 8,544 10,581 13,247 15,864 18,430 Goodwill & intangibles 3,257 4,141 4,234 5,547 6,647 7,155 7,543 7,811 Other non-current assets 15,388 19,091 19,729 21,486 22,094 23,442 24,869 26,451 Total assets 44,612 49,434 57,843 62,463 67,220 81,214 88,024 94,793 Short-term debt 2,100 2,515 9,397 9,541 4,279 3,279 2,779 2,779 Accounts payable 4,069 6,376 8,637 10,651 14,077 21,661 22,816 24,080 Other current liabilities 37 139 25 41 300 476 501 529 Total current liabilities 6,206 9,030 18,059 20,232 18,656 25,415 26,096 27,388 Long-term debt 7,737 7,776 4,775 4,769 7,649 10,649 12,649 13,649 Other non-current liabilities 483 564 893 1,212 1,424 1,424 1,424 1,424 Total liabilities 14,426 17,370 23,727 26,214 27,728 37,488 40,168 42,461 Share capital 6,148 6,435 6,435 6,435 6,435 6,435 6,435 6,436 Reserves/R.E./others 23,062 24,707 26,876 29,018 32,211 36,510 40,727 45,318 Shareholders' equity 29,210 31,142 33,311 35,453 38,647 42,945 47,162 51,754 Minority interests 976 922 805 796 845 782 694 578 Total equity & liabilities 44,612 49,434 57,843 62,463 67,220 81,214 88,024 94,793 EV 35,064 31,887 29,341 33,011 29,618 28,317 26,901 24,922 Net debt/(cash) 1,598 975 89 4,036 379 490 589 306 BVPS (CNY) 4.751 4.894 5.177 5.509 6.006 6.674 7.329 8.042

Key ratios (%) Year to 31 Dec 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E Sales (YoY) 25.6 18.0 45.2 18.9 31.4 58.3 5.4 5.6 EBITDA (YoY) n.a. n.a. n.a. 44.0 298.2 82.3 14.4 13.2 Operating profit (YoY) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 6.6 7.0 Net profit (YoY) (0.5) (73.5) 133.9 20.4 31.9 32.6 7.7 8.5 Core EPS (fully-diluted) (YoY) (24.4) (74.4) 131.3 20.4 31.3 33.2 7.7 8.5 Gross-profit margin 3.9 5.3 10.6 11.4 11.7 14.2 14.2 14.2 EBITDA margin n.a. n.a. 1.5 1.8 5.4 6.3 6.8 7.3 Operating-profit margin n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 2.3 2.3 2.3 Net profit margin 38.9 8.7 14.1 14.3 14.3 12.0 12.3 12.6 ROAE 15.6 3.8 8.2 9.3 11.4 13.7 13.4 13.2 ROAA 10.3 2.4 4.9 5.3 6.5 7.5 7.1 7.1 ROCE n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 2.0 1.9 1.8 ROIC (1.9) (4.5) (1.9) (2.1) (0.1) 2.2 2.1 2.1 Net debt to equity 5.5 3.1 0.3 11.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 0.6 Effective tax rate n.a. n.a. 3.8 4.3 9.1 12.5 12.5 12.5 Accounts receivable (days) 96.8 88.4 77.8 83.5 88.4 92.6 113.8 113.7 Current ratio (x) 3.5 2.2 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 Net interest cover (x) n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 6.4 6.6 7.0 Net dividend payout 30.1 51.1 38.8 32.2 30.6 32.2 32.2 32.2 Free cash flow yield n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Source: FactSet, Daiwa forecasts

Company profile

GAC is engaged in the manufacturing of vehicles and parts, as well as automobile finance and insurance and related services. It sells passenger vehicles under the Trumpchi marque, passenger and commercial vehicles under , SUVs under Changfeng Motor, and buses under GAC Bus. GAC has also formed JVs with a number of foreign brands, including Honda, Toyota, Mitsubishi and Fiat to sell passenger vehicles. It sells commercial vehicles through its GAC Bus and GAC Hino businesses.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK): 25 May 2016

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Daiwa Capital Markets Europe Limited has in place organisational arrangements for the prevention and avoidance of conflicts of interest. Our conflict management policy is available at

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http://www.uk.daiwacm.com/about-us/corporate-governance-regulatory.

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United States This report is distributed in the U.S. by Daiwa Capital Markets America Inc. (DCMA). It may not be accurate or complete and should not be relied upon as such. It reflects the preparer’s views at the time of its preparation, but may not reflect events occurring after its preparation; nor does it reflect DCMA’s views at any time. Neither DCMA nor the preparer has any obligation to update this report or to continue to prepare research on this subject. This report is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy securities. Unless this report says otherwise, any recommendation it makes is risky and appropriate only for sophisticated speculative investors able to incur significant losses. Readers should consult their financial advisors to determine whether any such recommendation is consistent with their own investment objectives, financial situation and needs. This report does not recommend to U.S. recipients the use of any of DCMA’s non-U.S. affiliates to effect trades in any security and is not supplied with any understanding that U.S. recipients of this report will direct commission business to such non-U.S. entities. Unless applicable law permits otherwise, non-U.S. customers wishing to effect a transaction in any securities referenced in this material should contact a Daiwa entity in their local jurisdiction. Most countries throughout the world have their own laws regulating the types of securities and other investment products which may be offered to their residents, as well as a process for doing so. As a result, the securities discussed in this report may not be eligible for sales in some jurisdictions. Customers wishing to obtain further information about this report should contact DCMA: Daiwa Capital Markets America Inc., Financial Square, 32 Old Slip, New York, New York 10005 (Tel no. 212-612-7000).

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Research Analyst Conflicts For updates on “Research Analyst Conflicts” please visit BlueMatrix disclosure link at https://daiwa3.bluematrix.com/sellside/Disclosures.action. The principal research analysts who prepared this report have no financial interest in securities of the issuers covered in the report, are not (nor are any members of their household) an officer, director or advisory board member of the issuer(s) covered in the report, and are not aware of any material relevant conflict of interest involving the analyst or DCMA, and did not receive any compensation from the issuer during the past 12 months except as noted: no exceptions.

Research Analyst Certification For updates on “Research Analyst Certification” and “Rating System” please visit BlueMatrix disclosure link at https://daiwa3.bluematrix.com/sellside/Disclosures.action. The views about any and all of the subject securities and issuers expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the research analyst(s) primarily responsible for this report (or the views of the firm producing the report if no individual analysts[s] is named on the report); and no part of the compensation of such analyst(s) (or no part of the compensation of the firm if no individual analyst[s)] is named on the report) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this Research Report.

The following explains the rating system in the report as compared to relevant local indices, unless otherwise stated, based on the beliefs of the author of the report. "1": the security could outperform the local index by more than 15% over the next 12 months. "2": the security is expected to outperform the local index by 5-15% over the next 12 months. "3": the security is expected to perform within 5% of the local index (better or worse) over the next 12 months. "4": the security is expected to underperform the local index by 5-15% over the next 12 months. "5": the security could underperform the local index by more than 15% over the next 12 months.

Disclosure of investment ratings Rating Percentage of total Buy* 66.9% Hold** 19.7% Sell*** 13.5% Source: Daiwa Notes: data is for single-branded Daiwa research in Asia (ex Japan) and correct as of 31 March 2016. * comprised of Daiwa’s Buy and Outperform ratings. ** comprised of Daiwa’s Hold ratings. *** comprised of Daiwa’s Underperform and Sell ratings.

Additional information may be available upon request.

Japan - additional notification items pursuant to Article 37 of the Financial Instruments and Exchange Law (This Notification is only applicable where report is distributed by Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.)

If you decide to enter into a business arrangement with us based on the information described in materials presented along with this document, we ask you to pay close attention to the following items.  In addition to the purchase price of a financial instrument, we will collect a trading commission* for each transaction as agreed beforehand with you. Since commissions may be included in the purchase price or may not be charged for certain transactions, we recommend that you confirm the commission for each transaction.  In some cases, we may also charge a maximum of ¥ 2 million (including tax) per year as a standing proxy fee for our deposit of your securities, if you are a non-resident of Japan.  For derivative and margin transactions etc., we may require collateral or margin requirements in accordance with an agreement made beforehand with you. Ordinarily in such cases, the amount of the transaction will be in excess of the required collateral or margin requirements.  There is a risk that you will incur losses on your transactions due to changes in the market price of financial instruments based on fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates, stock prices, real estate prices, commodity prices, and others. In addition, depending on the content of the transaction, the loss could exceed the amount of the collateral or margin requirements.  There may be a difference between bid price etc. and ask price etc. of OTC derivatives handled by us.  Before engaging in any trading, please thoroughly confirm accounting and tax treatments regarding your trading in financial instruments with such experts as certified public accountants. *The amount of the trading commission cannot be stated here in advance because it will be determined between our company and you based on current market conditions and the content of each transaction etc.

When making an actual transaction, please be sure to carefully read the materials presented to you prior to the execution of agreement, and to take responsibility for your own decisions regarding the signing of the agreement with us.

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