The Free Syrian Army Vs. the Syrian National Council -- Which Should We Support? by David Schenker
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The Syrian National Council: a Victorious Opposition?
THE INSTITUTE FOR MIDDLE EAST STUDIES IMES CAPSTONE PAPER SERIES THE SYRIAN NATIONAL COUNCIL: A VICTORIOUS OPPOSITION? JARED MARKLAND KRITTIKA LALWANEY MAY 2012 THE INSTITUTE FOR MIDDLE EAST STUDIES THE ELLIOTT SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS THE GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY COPYRIGHT OF THE AUTHOR(S), 2012 THE SYRIAN NATIONAL COUNCIL: A VICTORIOUS OPPOSITION? Jared Markland & Krittika Lalwaney Introduction The Syrian National Council (SNC) emerged as an opposition movement representing the democratic uprisings in Syria calling for regime change. The Assad regime’s forceful measures against Syrians have delegitimized the government and empowered the revolution. The success of the revolution, in overthrowing the regime hinges on the Syrian opposition’s ability to overcome its deficiencies. This paper analyzes the performance of the SNC by determining SNC success or failure to launch a successful opposition movement against the regime. The SNC’s probability of success in the overthrow of the regime is contingent on its ability to unify internally, obtain financial capacity, establish international recognition, and build internal popular support. Methodology The methods used to examine the prospects for success of the SNC as a viable opposition movement consist of comparative case studies and qualitative field research. We examined four case studies, including Nicaragua, Libya, El Salvador and Guatemala. These cases establish a set of core factors necessary for an opposition movement to succeed. The utilization of these factors allows us to create a comparative assessment of the overall performance of the SNC. Our qualitative fieldwork entailed a total of 32 interviews with current SNC members, Syrian activists, refugees, Free Syrian Army members, academic experts, and government officials. -
Kurdish Political and Civil Movements in Syria and the Question of Representation Dr Mohamad Hasan December 2020
Kurdish Political and Civil Movements in Syria and the Question of Representation Dr Mohamad Hasan December 2020 KurdishLegitimacy Political and and Citizenship Civil Movements in inthe Syria Arab World This publication is also available in Arabic under the title: ُ ف الحركات السياسية والمدنية الكردية ي� سوريا وإشكالية التمثيل This publication was made possible by a grant from Carnegie Corporation of New York. The statements made and views expressed are solely the responsibility of the author. For questions and communication please email: [email protected] Cover photo: A group of Syrian Kurds celebrate Newroz 2007 in Afrin, source: www.tirejafrin.com The views and opinions expressed in this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). This document is issued on the understanding that if any extract is used, the author and the LSE Conflict Research Programme should be credited, with the name and date of the publication. All rights reserved © LSE 2020. About Legitimacy and Citizenship in the Arab World Legitimacy and Citizenship in the Arab World is a project within the Civil Society and Conflict Research Unit at the London School of Economics. The project looks into the gap in understanding legitimacy between external policy-makers, who are more likely to hold a procedural notion of legitimacy, and local citizens who have a more substantive conception, based on their lived experiences. Moreover, external policymakers often assume that conflicts in the Arab world are caused by deep- seated divisions usually expressed in terms of exclusive identities. -
Syrian Muslim Brotherhood Still a Crucial Actor. Inclusivity the Order of the Day in Dealings with Syria's Opposition
Introduction Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik ments German Institute for International and Security Affairs m Co Syrian Muslim Brotherhood Still a Crucial Actor WP S Inclusivity the Order of the Day in Dealings with Syria’s Opposition Petra Becker Summer 2013 brought severe setbacks for the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood. Firstly, one of its most important regional supporters, Qatar lost its leading role in the Group of Friends of the Syrian People, the alliance of states and organisations backing Syria’s opposition, to Saudi Arabia. Secondly, the Brotherhood has been hit by stinging criti- cism of the Egyptian MB’s performance in government and the media witch-hunt against political Islam following the ouster of Mohammed Morsi. In the face of these events the Syrian Brotherhood – to date still a religious and social movement – post- poned the founding of a political party planned for late June. Thirdly, the Brotherhood – like its partners in the National Coalition which opposes the Syrian regime – bet on an American-backed military intervention in August/September. This intervention did not occur due to the American-Russian brokered agreement providing for Syria to join the Convention on the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons. As a result, the National Coalition and its Supreme Military Command have faced defections of major rebel forces, which may lead to a major shift towards Jihadi Salafism and the marginalization of moderate forces on the ground. Yet the Brother- hood remains the best-organised political force within the Syrian opposition alliances and still sees itself becoming the leading force in post-revolutionary Syria. Germany and Europe should encourage moderate forces whatever their political colours and foster the implementation of democratic concepts. -
Local Dynamics of Conflicts in Syria and Libya
I N S I D E WARS LOCAL DYNAMICS OF CONFLICTS IN SYRIA AND LIBYA EDITED BY: LUIGI NARBONE AGNÈS FAVIER VIRGINIE COLLOMBIER This work has been published by the European University Institute, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, Middle East Directions. The Middle East Directions Programme encourages and supports multi-disciplinary research on the Middle East region - from Morocco to Iran, Turkey, and the Arabian Peninsula - in collaboration with researchers and research institutions from the region. Via dei Roccettini, 9 – I-50014 San Domenico di Fiesole (FI) – Italy Website: http://middleeastdirections.eu © European University Institute 2016 Editorial matter and selection © editors and responsible principal investigator 2016 Chapters © authors individually 2016 This text may be downloaded only for personal research purposes. Any additional reproduction for other purposes, whether in hard copies or electronically, requires the consent of the author(s), editor(s). If cited or quoted, reference should be made to the full name of the author(s), editor(s), the title, the year and the publisher. INSIDE WARS LOCAL DYNAMICS OF CONFLICTS IN SYRIA AND LIBYA EDITED BY: LUIGI NARBONE AGNÈS FAVIER VIRGINIE COLLOMBIER TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION Luigi Narbone The Local Dynamics of Conflicts in Syria and Libya PART 1. THE SYRIAN CONFLICT Jihad Yazigi Syria’s Implosion: Political and Economic Impacts 1 Agnès Favier Local Governance Dynamics in Opposition-Controlled Areas in Syria 6 Daryous Aldarwish Local Governance under the Democratic Autonomous -
Why Bashar Al-Assad Remains in Power
Global Tides Volume 9 Article 8 3-26-2015 Why Bashar Al-Assad Remains in Power Taylor Clausen Pepperdine University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.pepperdine.edu/globaltides Part of the Defense and Security Studies Commons Recommended Citation Clausen, Taylor (2015) "Why Bashar Al-Assad Remains in Power," Global Tides: Vol. 9 , Article 8. Available at: https://digitalcommons.pepperdine.edu/globaltides/vol9/iss1/8 This Social Sciences is brought to you for free and open access by the Seaver College at Pepperdine Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Global Tides by an authorized editor of Pepperdine Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected], [email protected], [email protected]. Clausen: Why Bashar Al-Assad Remains in Power On a recent night in 2014, a phone conversation took place between Wolves of the Valley Commander Mohamed Zataar and the infamous ISIS commander Abu Ayman al-Iraqi. Both regiments are fighting against each other and against the Syrian regime of President Bashar al-Assad. The near 90-minute conversation between the two individuals provides the perfect microcosm of the current conflict in Syria. The two commanders engaged in everything from petty disagreements to deep discussions about the role of religion in state politics and perceived American intervention. Abu Ayman deeply believes that Islam is more important than the Syrian people. Zataar vehemently disagrees; saying the wellbeing of the Syrian people is before Islam. The following topics of discussion ranged from the treatment of prisoners to interpretations of the Qur’an.1 For a conflict that began in March of 2011 as a protest against the incarceration of students for displaying anti-Assad graffiti, the current conflict hardly resembles a unified movement for democratic principles.2 President Bashar al-Assad firmly remains in control of the country, although the cost for power could not have been higher. -
THE SYRIAN OPPOSITION BEFORE and AFTER the OUTBREAK of the 2011 UPRISING October 27, 2011 Gloria-Center.Org
http://www.gloria-center.org/2011/10/the-syrian-opposition-before-and-after-the-outbreak-of-the-2011-uprising/ THE SYRIAN OPPOSITION BEFORE AND AFTER THE OUTBREAK OF THE 2011 UPRISING October 27, 2011 gloria-center.org One of the most notable aspects of the revolt against the Asad regime in Syria has been the proliferation of opposition movements and the various attempts to join them into a single unified opposition movement. This article will observe the state of the opposition prior to the uprising, note the key new alignments in the opposition, and critically assess the attempts at unification. INTRODUCTION The uprising against the Asad dictatorship of 2011 was predicted by few within Syriaor beyond it. President Bashar Asad himself famously gave an interview to the Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2011, in which he dismissed the possibility that he would face a revolt against his rule of the kind that at that time had brought down Presidents bin Ali of Tunisia and Mubarak of Egypt. Bashar contended that his regime’s anti-Western stances and support for the Palestinians reflected the deep convictions of his people, and this would ensure his immunity.[1] This prediction proved erroneous, of course. Protests inSyriabegan in the southern town ofDar’ain mid-March 2011, following the arrests of a number of schoolchildren. The authorities attempted to use a heavy hand against the protestors. This led to larger demonstrations and the rapid spreading of protests from the Dar’a area to Banias,Homs,Hama, and elsewhere. The Asad regime was caught badly unawares by the outbreak of large scale protests. -
Syrian National Coalition
From The Whiteboard 25 June 2013 Syrian National Coalition For Reference > Syrian National Coalition The Syrian National Coalition is the political authority and umbrella organization of Official Site the Syrian rebels recognized by the majority of the Arab League as the legitimate Syrian authority. Led by George Sabra, a Greek Orthodox Christian, the Coalition > Guide to the Syrian Oppo- was formed after the failure of the Syrian National Council, based in Turkey, to unite sition disparate opposition elements into an effective political bloc. The two merged in November 2012 and have achieved some gains in increased international legitimacy > Syrian National Coalition and in remaining loosely tethered to fighters on the battlefield. Facebook Page The moderate wing of the Syrian rebels, under command of defected former-Syrian > Syrian Opposition to Sit General Salim Idris, is the Free Syrian Army, the largest of the organizations that Out Any Talks Unless Arms pledge allegiance to the Coalition. Idris is widely seen as the chief recipient of US Are Sent, General Says military aid and as the most acceptable military commander to Western powers, who have worked to keep him allied with the Coalition and pressed for increased representation for his fighters. Currently, with fifteen representatives, the Free Syrian Army is the key military link between the Coalition's political activities and the civil war unfolding inside Syria's borders. ISOA Perspective As stated previously, ISOA members are prepared to support any international operation to be implemented in re- sponse to policy decisions of the international community. Our membership can provide base support for UN or multinational troops deploying in the field, infrastructure support including water sanitation and construction, or training services tailored toward rule of law or security sector development. -
A Case Study of Humanitarian Action and the Syria Conflict
Planning from the Future Component 2. The Contemporary Humanitarian Landscape: Malaise, Blockages and Game Changers No End in Sight: A Case Study of Humanitarian Action and the Syria Conflict Kimberly Howe January 2016 Table of Contents Acronyms ........................................................................................................................................ 3 Acknowledgements ......................................................................................................................... 4 Abstract ........................................................................................................................................... 5 Planning from the Future—the Project ....................................................................................... 5 Component 2—the Humanitarian Landscape Today .................................................................. 6 Introduction to the Case Study: The Syria Crisis ............................................................................ 6 Methodology ............................................................................................................................... 7 Background to the Conflict ............................................................................................................. 8 Stakeholder Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 9 Conflict and Political Actors ...................................................................................................... -
The Rojava Revolution
The Rojava Revolution By Aram Shabanian Over five years ago an uprising in Dara’a, Southern Syria, set into motion the events that would eventually culminate in the multifront Syrian Civil War we see today. Throughout the conflict one group in particular has stuck to its principles of selfdefense, gender equality, democratic leadership and environmental protectionism. This group, the Kurds of Northern Syria (Henceforth Rojava), have taken advantage of the chaos in their country to push for more autonomy and, just perhaps, an independent state. The purpose of this paper is to convince the reader that increased support of the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) would be beneficial to regional and international goals and thus should be initiated immediately. Throughout this paper there will be sources linking to YouTube videos; use this to “watch” the Rojava Revolution from beginning to end for yourself. In the midst of the horror that is the Syrian Civil War there is a single shining glimmer of hope; Rojava, currently engaged in a war for survival and independence whilst simultaneously engaging in a political experiment the likes of which has never been seen before. The Kurds are the secondlargest ethnic group in the middle east today, spanning four countries (Iraq, Iran, Syria and Turkey) but lacking a home state of their own. Sometimes called the ultimate losers in the SykesPicot agreement, the Kurds have fought for a homeland of their own ever since said agreement was signed in 1916. The Kurds in all of the aforementioned nations are engaged in some degree of insurrection or another. -
Syrian Crisis: from Kofi Annan to Lakhdar Brahimi
MARCH 2016 UN Mediation in the Syrian Crisis: From Kofi Annan to Lakhdar Brahimi RAYMOND HINNEBUSCH AND I. WILLIAM ZARTMAN WITH ELIZABETH PARKER-MAGYAR AND OMAR IMADY Cover Photo: Secretary-General Ban Ki- ABOUT THE AUTHORS moon (center) meets with Kofi Annan (left) and Lakhdar Brahimi (right), RAYMOND HINNEBUSCH is the Director of the Centre for September 4, 2012. UN Photo/Devra Syrian Studies and Professor of International Relations and Berkowitz. Middle East Studies at the University of St. Andrews. His Disclaimer: The views expressed in this recent research interests have included a project on Syrian- paper represent those of the authors Turkish relations, a book on international relations theory and not necessarily those of the and the Middle East, and a project on the Arab uprising, International Peace institute. IPI state formation, and the new struggle for power in the welcomes consideration of a wide range of perspectives in the pursuit of Middle East and North Africa. a well-informed debate on critical policies and issues in international I. WILLIAM ZARTMAN is the Jacob Blaustein Distinguished affairs. Professor Emeritus of International Organization and Conflict Resolution and former Director of the Conflict IPI Publications Adam Lupel, Director of Research and Management and African Studies Programs at the Paul H. Publications Nitze School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Albert Trithart, Assistant Editor Hopkins University. He is also a member of the Steering Committee of the Processes of International Negotiation Suggested Citation: Program at the Clingendael Institute in the Netherlands. Raymond Hinnebusch, I. William Zartman, et al., “UN Mediation in the Syrian Crisis: From Kofi Annan to Lakhdar Brahimi,” New York: ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS International Peace Institute, March 2016. -
The Structure and Organization of the Syrian Opposition Ken Sofer and Juliana Shafroth May 14, 2013
The Structure and Organization of the Syrian Opposition Ken Sofer and Juliana Shafroth May 14, 2013 As President Barack Obama and his national security advisors continue to weigh the costs and bene!ts of providing greater !nancial and materiel support for elements of the Syrian opposition"potentially including lethal aid"it is important to understand the structure of the Syrian opposition, which remains plagued by many divisions. Supporting the foundation of a cohesive future government of Syria is one the core objectives of the United States, as the Center for American Progress has stated in the past.1 #e success or failure of e$orts to form a more cohesive opposition will shape the ongoing e$ort to advance a transition in power from President Bashar al-Assad, as well as the stability of a post-Assad Syria. In order to understand the viability of U.S. policy options in Syria in both the near and long terms, a thorough understanding of the Syrian opposition"including its structure, leadership, funding sources, and internal divi- sions"is needed. It is important to understand that information about the various rebel groups operating in Syria is limited. Policymakers and analysts are reliant on in-country reporting by the small number of journalists and intelligence o%cers operating in Syria, leading to gaps in knowledge, con&icting information, and a range of estimates that varies widely on the size of the rebel groups. In addition, obtaining reliable information is complicated by the &uid situation on the ground"alliances shi', rebel groups change in size and structure, and the relations between these groups evolve. -
Syria's Political Opposition
April 2012 Elizabeth O’Bagy MIDDLE EAST SECURITY REPORT 4 SYRIA’S POLITICAL OPPOSITION Photo Credit: Syrians protest in Homs on January 23, 2012. Photo courtesy of Ziad Homsi. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. ©2012 by the Institute for the Study of War. Published in 2012 in the United States of America by the Institute for the Study of War. 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 Washington, DC 20036. http://www.understandingwar.org Elizabeth O’Bagy MIDDLE EAST SECURITY REPORT 4 SYRIA’S POLITICAL OPPOSITION ABOUT THE AUTHOR Elizabeth O’Bagy is a Research Assistant at the Institute for the Study of War, where she focuses on Syrian politics and security. She is in a joint Master’s/PhD program in Arab Studies and Political Science at Georgetown University and is working on a dissertation on women’s militancy. Prior to joining ISW, she received the Critical Language Scholarship to study Arabic at the American School in Tangier, Morocco, and studied Arabic and political science at the American University in Cairo, Egypt. She holds a bachelor’s degree in the Arabic Language and Arab Studies from Georgetown University. ABOUT THE INSTITUTE The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a non-partisan, non-profit, public policy research organization. ISW advances an informed understanding of military affairs through reliable research, trusted analysis, and innovative education.