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Constituency Polling – Norwich South Topline Results

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Constituency Polling – Norwich South Topline Results 10-001422/HEC/CRP/TRM Constituency Polling – Norwich South Topline Results Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 801 adults in the Norwich South constituency aged 18 and over. Interviews were conducted by telephone between 3rd and 9th March 2010. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population by gender, age, working status, housing tenure, and area. Where results do not sum to 100, this is due to computer rounding, multiple responses or the exclusion of don’t knows or non-responses. An asterisk (*) indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero. Unless otherwise stated figures are based on all respondents. Voting intentions: those “absolutely certain to vote” We regard the voting intentions of those “absolutely certain to vote” as the most useful indicator, since it includes only those voters whose frame of mind is nearest to those who actually vote at elections. Please also note that the ‘margin of error’ on these figures is c.+4% for each figure; this means that a party share figure of 30% could actually fall anywhere between 26% and 34%, though it is far more likely to fall at 30% than at the extreme ends of this range. This is especially important to keep in mind when calculating party lead figures. Q1 In the general election, RANDOMISE ORDER OF CANDIDATES Charles Clarke is standing as the Labour Party candidate. Antony Little is standing for the Conservatives, Simon Wright is standing for the Liberal Democrats, Adrian Ramsay is standing for the Green Party Vandra Ahlstrom is standing for UKIP and there will be other candidates too. How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? SINGLE CODE. READ OUT. RANDOMISE ORDER. IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All absolutely certain to vote (435) Q1/2 % All naming a party (362) Charles Clarke - Labour 39 Antony Little – Conservatives 20 Adrian Ramsay -Green Party 19 Simon Wright - Liberal Democrats 19 Vandra Ahlstrom - UKIP 2 Other 1 Would not vote - Undecided 9 Refused 5 1 www.ipsos-mori.com/2010electioncentre 10-001422/HEC/CRP/TRM Voting intentions: all naming a party When turnouts were much higher than is usual today, voting intention based on all naming a party offered a good approximation to actual voting behaviour. In more recent years it has become less accurate because likelihood to vote varies between the supporters of different parties. Q1 In the general election, RANDOMISE ORDER OF CANDIDATES Charles Clarke is standing as the Labour Party candidate. Antony Little is standing for the Conservatives, Simon Wright is standing for the Liberal Democrats, Adrian Ramsay is standing for the Green Party Vandra Ahlstrom is standing for UKIP and there will be other candidates too. How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? SINGLE CODE. READ OUT. RANDOMISE ORDER. IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: 18+ adults in Norwich South (801) Q1/2 % All naming a party (600) Charles Clarke - Labour 35 Adrian Ramsay -Green Party 22 Antony Little – Conservatives 19 Simon Wright - Liberal Democrats 19 Vandra Ahlstrom - UKIP 3 Other 1 Would not vote 9 Undecided 12 Refused 4 2 www.ipsos-mori.com/2010electioncentre 10-001422/HEC/CRP/TRM And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 Q3 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? SINGLE CODE ONLY. DO NOT READ OUT Base: 18+ adults in Norwich South (801) % 1 – Absolutely certain NOT to 7 vote 21 33 42 58 63 74 810 98 10- Absolutely certain to vote 53 Don’t know 2 As you may know, at the moment, universities in England are allowed to charge Q4 students a fee to cover the cost of their teaching. At the moment, the maximum fee is £3,225 per year. This just covers teaching and does not include costs for accommodation, food, etc. The government is currently reviewing the level of fees that universities can charge students. Which, if any, of the following best describes what you think the government should do? READ OUT. SINGLE CODE ONLY. RANDOMISE ORDER OF CODES Base: 18+ adults in Norwich South (801) % Abolish the current system of 40 fees and find alternative ways to pay for higher education Keep the limit on student fees 25 at £3,225 Reduce the £3,225 limit that 19 can be charged to students Increase the £3,225 limit that 8 can be charged to students None of these 4 Don’t know 4 3 www.ipsos-mori.com/2010electioncentre .
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