Mexico’s 2012 Elections: Key Issues and Critical Questions Now and Beyond Eric L. Olson June 2012 1 About the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute The Mexico Institute seeks to improve understanding, communication, and cooperation between Mexico and the United States by promoting original research, encouraging public discussion, and proposing policy options for enhancing the bilateral relationship. A bi-national Advisory Board, chaired by José Antonio Fernández Carbajal and Roger W. Wallace, oversees the work of the Mexico Institute. The Institute maintains an ongoing focus on five key issues in U.S.-Mexico relations: Security Cooperation, Economic Integration, Migration and Migrants, Border Issues, Energy and Natural Resources. The views of the author do not represent an official position of the Woodrow Wilson Center. For questions related to the paper and for media inquiries please contact the author at 202-691-4336 or via email at
[email protected]. Copyright Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars; Mexico Institute 2 Mexico’s 2012 Elections: Key Issues and Critical Questions Now and Beyond By Eric L. Olson SUMMARY: • Mexicans go to the polls on July 1st to elect a president for a single six-year term, 128 Senators, 500 Deputies, 6 governors and the Mayor of Mexico City.1 Polls suggest that the long-ruling PRI is poised to return to power after a 12-year hiatus.2 • Polls have consistently shown former PRI governor Enrique Peña Nieto with a commanding lead, lending a sense of inevitability to the campaign. Efforts by opponents to cast the return of the PRI as a step back to an “authoritarian” and “undemocratic” past have reduced the frontrunner’s lead slightly, but it appears that a plurality of Mexicans see Peña Nieto and the PRI as capable of delivering a better future.