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Document of The World Bank Public Disclosure Authorized Report No. 12761-MOR STAFF APPRAISAL REPORT Public Disclosure Authorized KINGDOMOF MOROCCO SECONDARY, TERTIARY AND RURAL ROADS PROJECT Public Disclosure Authorized MAY 11, 1995 Public Disclosure Authorized Private Sector Development, Finance and Infrastructure Division Maghreb and Iran Department Middle East & North Africa Regional Office CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (As of April 1, 1995) US$1 =Dh 8.6 FISCAL YEAR January 1 - December 31 ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS CNER National Center for Road Study and Research CNPAC National Center for the Prevention of Road Accidents DPTP Provincial Directorates of MPW DRCR Directorate of Road and Road Traffic ERR Economic Rate of Return EVAL Simplified Road Evaluation Model GDP Gross Domestic Product ICB International Competitive Bidding IFEER Institute for Equipment and Road Maintenance Training LCB Local Competitive Bidding LPEE Public Laboratory for Experiments and Studies MARA Ministry of Agriculture and Agricultural Reform MOI Ministry of Interior MOT Ministry of Transport MPW Ministry of Public Works NTMP National Transport Master Plan ONCF National Railway ONT National Transport Office O & M Operations and Maintenance PERL Public Enterprise Restructuring Loan RD Regional Directorate of MPW RF Road Fund VAT Value Added Tax VOC Vehicle Operating Costs This report was prepared on the basis of appraisal and post-appraisal missions from June 1993 to April 1995 led by Jaffar Bentchikou (Sr. Highway Engineer) and comprising Michel Loir (Sr. Transport Economist), Henri Beenhakker (Pr. Economist), Fransois-Daniel Migeon, Yasser Henda and Stephane Grandguillaume (consultants), with the assistance of Michelle Detwiler and Brigitte Grant. Peer reviewers were Peter Long (Pr. Highway Engineer) and Aldhemar Byl (Sr. Transport Economist). The processing of the project was supervised by Amir Al-Khafaji, Chief, Private Sector Development, Finance & Infrastructure Division (MNIPI) and Daniel Ritchie, Director, Maghreb and Iran Department. KINGDOMOF MOROCCO SECONDARY,TERTIARY AND RURAL ROADS PROJECT 37AFF APPRANSAL [RIEORT TAB8LE O1FCONTENTS Table of Contents ..................................................... i Loan and Project Summary ............................................... iv 1. The Transport Sector .......................... I A. Transport and the Economy ................ .. 1.................... The Geographic and Economic Framework ......................... I Medium-Term Macroeconomic Outlook ........................... 3 Description of the Transport Sector .............................. 4 B. Transport Institutions .. ......................................... 5 C. Private Sector Involvement in Transport ....................... I........ 6 D. Transport Investments in Recent Years .............................. 7 E. Transport Sector Issues ......................................... 9 F. Bank Experience in the Transport Sector ............................... 10 II. The Highway Subsector ............................................. 12 A. The Road Network ............................................ 12 B. Road Transport Demand ........................................ 15 C. Road Safety ................................................ 15 D. The Road Transport Market ................ ...................... 17 E. Administration............................................... 19 F. Planning, Budgeting, Financing .................................... 20 Planning ............................................... 20 Budgeting .............................................. 21 Financing .............................................. 23 G. The Road Fund .............................................. 26 111.The Project ..................................................... 29 A. Background and Objectives ....................................... 29 B. Description ................................................. 29 C. Rural Roads ................................................ 30 Concept and Content ....................................... 30 Cost and Financing ........................................ 31 Implementation........................................... 31 D. Branch Roads ....... ............. ........................... 33 Concept and Content ....................................... 33 Cost and Financing ........................................ 35 Implementation........................................... 35 E. Network Management .................... I ..................... 36 Concept and Content ....................................... 36 Cost and Financing ........................................ 38 Implementation........................................... 38 F. Road Safety ................................................ 39 Concept and Content ....................................... 39 Cost and Financing ........................................ 42 Implementation........................................... 42 G. Road Transport .............................................. 42 Concept and Content ........ 42 H. Costs and Financing ......... .. ............ .. .. 43 Costs ................................................. 43 Financing .............................................. 44 I. Procurement ................................................ 44 Works ................................................ 44 Goods ................................................ 46 Consulting Services ........................................ 46 General ............................................... 47 J. Disbursements ............................................... 47 K. Workshops, Implementation, Reporting and Auditing ........ .. ............. 48 L. Environmental Impact ......................................... 49 IV. Economic Justification ....... .............. .......................... 51 A. General ....... ................ .......................... 51 B. Rural Roads ................................................ 52 C. Branch Roads ............................................... 55 D. Network Management ......................................... 56 V. Agreements and Recommendation ................. ....................... 59 A. Agreements and Understandings Reached at Negotiations ....... .. ........... 59 B. Conditions of Board Presentation ................................... 59 C. Other Covenants ............................................. 60 D. Recommendation ...... .............. ........................ 60 ANNEXES TO CHAPTER11 ............................................... 61 Annex 2.1: Road Accidents .............................................. 61 ANNEXES TO CHAPTERIII ............................................... 66 Annex 3. 1: First Year Program ............................................ 66 A. Rural Roads ................................................ 66 B. Network Management .......................................... 67 C. Road Safety ................................................ 68 Annex 3.2: Letter of Sector Strategy ........................................ 70 Road Transport ......................................... 70 Funding of Road Maintenance ................................. 70 Road Safety ............................................ 70 Annex 3.3: Project Costs, Financing and Disbursement Schedule ....................... 71 Annex 3.4: LCB Procedures ............................................. 81 Bid alterations ........................................... 81 Two envelopes ........................................... 81 Hiring of consultants ....................................... 81 Advertising period ........................................ 81 Limited LCB ............................................ 81 Annex 3.5: Project Implementation Schedule ................................... 82 MAP: IBRD 25834 Tables and Figures Project Cost ....................................................... v Financing Plan ...................................................... v Estimated Disbursements ................................................ v Table 1.1: Transport Public Investments ...................................... 7 Figure 1.2: Composition of Transport Investments ................................ 7 Table 2.1: Evolution of the Road Network ..................................... 12 Table 2.2: Paved Road Network Density ...................................... 13 Table 2.3: Distribution of Paved Roads according to Width .......................... 14 Table 2.4: Evolution of Paved Road Conditions .................................. 14 Table 2.5: Average Distribution of Daily Traffic ................................. 15 Figure 2.6: Growth of Road Accidents ....................................... 15 Figure 2.7: Growth of Accidents on Interurban Roads .............................. 16 Figure 2.8: Deviation from Smeed's Formula ................................... 16 Table 2.9: Actual Maintenance and Investment Spending ............................ 22 Table 2.10: Evolution of Communal Budgets ................................... 24 Table 2.11 Evolution and Structure of Road Fund Revenues .......................... 26 Table 2.12: Road Fund Actual Contribution to Maintenance .......................... 27 Table 3.1: Rural Roads, Indicators .......................................... 31 Table 3.2: Funding of Road Maintenance, Indicators ............................... 32 Table 3.3: Branch Roads, Length .......................................... 33 Table 3.4: Branch Roads, Indicators ......................................... 34 Table 3.5: Branch Roads, Per