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Backgrounder – a Safer Canada Andrew Scheer's Plan for a Safer
Backgrounder – A Safer Canada Andrew Scheer’s plan for A Safer Canada Too many families Canada continue to live in fear of violent gang, gun, and drug-related violence. Justin Trudeau talks a good game about fighting gun violence but it is clear he is not as advertised. His failure to keep illegal guns from crossing the border or to keep violent gang and gun criminals behind bars continues to leave too many innocent families at risk. Justin Trudeau’s plan – forcing people who already follow the law to follow more laws in the form of a firearms ban – will do nothing to tackle crime or gun violence. As Toronto Police Chief Mark Saunders has said: “In recent years, we have seen that 80% of the firearms are coming in from the border.” And: “By and large, shootings have street gang connotations to them or are street gang related.” Only Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives have a plan to fight gang violence and gun crime. Not only will a Conservative government do more to keep your family safe from gang and gun crime, it will also take meaningful action to fight the addiction crisis by helping more people get the treatment they need for recovery, while cracking down on the despicable practice of human trafficking. THE ISSUE Since 2015, homicides in Canada are up by 8% and incidents of violent crime are up by 7%. Last year Canada had the second highest gang homicide rate since the data began being collected in 2005. According to Peel Region police, 75% of illegal handguns seized are smuggled from the U.S., while Ottawa’s police chief has also acknowledged that firearms smuggled from the U.S. -
Liberal Base 'Less Than Enthusiastic' As PM Trudeau Prepares to Defend
Big Canadian challenge: the world is changing in Health disruptive + powerful + policy transformative briefi ng ways, & we better get HOH pp. 13-31 a grip on it p. 12 p.2 Hill Climbers p.39 THIRTIETH YEAR, NO. 1602 CANADA’S POLITICS AND GOVERNMENT NEWSPAPER MONDAY, FEBRUARY 4, 2019 $5.00 News Liberals News Election 2019 News Foreign policy House sitting last Trudeau opportunity for Liberal base ‘less than ‘masterful’ at Trudeau Liberals soft power, to highlight enthusiastic’ as PM falling short on achievements, hard power, says control the Trudeau prepares to ex-diplomat agenda and the Rowswell message, says a defend four-year record BY PETER MAZEREEUW leading pollster rime Minister Justin Trudeau Phas shown himself to be one to ‘volatile electorate,’ of the best-ever Canadian leaders BY ABBAS RANA at projecting “soft power” on the world stage, but his government’s ith the Liberals and Con- lack of focus on “hard power” servatives running neck W is being called into question as and neck in public opinion polls, say Liberal insiders Canada sits in the crosshairs of the 13-week sitting of the House the world’s two superpowers, says is the last opportunity for the The federal Liberals are heading into the next election with some members of the a former longtime diplomat. Continued on page 35 base feeling upset that the party hasn’t recognized their eff orts, while it has given Continued on page 34 special treatment to a few people with friends in the PMO, say Liberal insiders. Prime News Cybercrime Minister News Canada-China relations Justin Trudeau will RCMP inundated be leading his party into Appointing a the October by cybercrime election to special envoy defend his reports, with government’s a chance for four-year little success in record before ‘moral suasion’ a volatile prosecution, electorate. -
ONLINE INCIVILITY and ABUSE in CANADIAN POLITICS Chris
ONLINE INCIVILITY AND ABUSE IN CANADIAN POLITICS Chris Tenove Heidi Tworek TROLLED ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL ONLINE INCIVILITY AND ABUSE IN CANADIAN POLITICS CHRIS TENOVE • HEIDI TWOREK COPYRIGHT Copyright © 2020 Chris Tenove; Heidi Tworek; Centre for the Study of Democratic Institutions, University of British Columbia. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution- NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License. CITATION Tenove, Chris, and Heidi Tworek (2020) Trolled on the Campaign Trail: Online Incivility and Abuse in Canadian Politics. Vancouver: Centre for the Study of Democratic Institutions, University of British Columbia. CONTACT DETAILS Chris Tenove, [email protected] (Corresponding author) Heidi Tworek, [email protected] CONTENTS AUTHOR BIOGRAPHIES ..................................................................................................................1 RESEARCHERS ...............................................................................................................................1 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ...................................................................................................................2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................................................3 INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................................5 FACING INCIVILITY IN #ELXN43 ....................................................................................................8 -
Dealing with Crisis
Briefing on the New Parliament December 12, 2019 CONFIDENTIAL – FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY Regional Seat 8 6 ON largely Flip from NDP to Distribution static 33 36 Bloc Liberals pushed out 10 32 Minor changes in Battleground B.C. 16 Liberals lose the Maritimes Goodale 1 12 1 1 2 80 10 1 1 79 1 14 11 3 1 5 4 10 17 40 35 29 33 32 15 21 26 17 11 4 8 4 2015 2019 2015 2019 2015 2019 2015 2019 2015 2019 2015 2019 BC AB MB/SK ON QC AC Other 2 Seats in the House Other *As of December 5, 2019 3 Challenges & opportunities of minority government 4 Minority Parliament In a minority government, Trudeau and the Liberals face a unique set of challenges • Stable, for now • Campaign driven by consumer issues continues 5 Minority Parliament • Volatile and highly partisan • Scaled back agenda • The budget is key • Regulation instead of legislation • Advocacy more complicated • House committee wild cards • “Weaponized” Private Members’ Bills (PMBs) 6 Kitchen Table Issues and Other Priorities • Taxes • Affordability • Cost of Living • Healthcare Costs • Deficits • Climate Change • Indigenous Issues • Gender Equality 7 National Unity Prairies and the West Québéc 8 Federal Fiscal Outlook • Parliamentary Budget Officer’s most recent forecast has downgraded predicted growth for the economy • The Liberal platform costing projected adding $31.5 billion in new debt over the next four years 9 The Conservatives • Campaigned on cutting regulatory burden, review of “corporate welfare” • Mr. Scheer called a special caucus meeting on December 12 where he announced he was stepping -
Chong Favoured in Conservative Leadership Contest
Chong Favoured in Conservative Leadership Contest Chong and Raitt favoured among party members, Half want “someone else" TORONTO December 8th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1304 Canadian voters, Michael Chong leads preference for a Conservative leader among the general public (10%), followed by Lisa Raitt (8%), Michael Chong leads Kellie Leitch (7%), Chris Alexander (6%) and Maxime Bernier (5%) and Steve preference for a Blaney (5%). Andrew Scheer (3%) and Brad Trost (2%) have less support. Other Conservative leader candidates were excluded for brevity. among the general public It must be pointed out that fully half the sample opts for “someone else” (53%), (10%), followed by Lisa other than the 8 candidates listed. Raitt (8%), Kellie Leitch (7%), Chris Alexander (6%) Among Conservative voters, there is no clear favourite, and Chris Alexander (8%), and Maxime Bernier (5%) Steve Blaney (9%), Michael Chong (8%) and Lisa Raitt (8%) are evenly matched. and Steve Blaney (5%) One half choose “someone else”. “We are drawing closer to Among a very small sample of Conservative Party members (n=65), Raitt (12%) the Leadership and Chong (10%) are tied, and followed by Chris Alexander (9%) and Kellie Leitch Convention, and (8%). One half want “someone else” (48%). interested voters have had “We are drawing closer to the Leadership Convention, and interested voters have the chance to see two had the chance to see two debates now. Yet, Conservatives still haven’t seen the debates now. Yet, candidate they want, and one half won’t support any of the people running," said Conservatives still haven’t Forum Research President, Dr. -
Brief Submitted to the Committee
Standing Committee on Indigenous and Northern Affairs Sixth Floor, 131 Queen Street House of Commons Ottawa ON K1A 0A6 Canada November 27, 2020 Please accept this brief for the Standing Committee on Indigenous and Northern Affairs study of support for Indigenous communities, businesses, and individuals through a second wave of Covid-19. SITUATION Since March 2020, James Smith Cree Nation (JSCN) and the Federation of Sovereign Indigenous Nations (FSIN), have made requests to Canada for funding support for a First Nations led and managed solution to address our urgent and emergency need for Personal Protective Equipment in order to ensure the safety and wellbeing of our communities in the face of COVID-19. We have engaged exhaustive correspondence and communications about these proposals with: Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau, Hon. Chrystia Freeland, Hon. Marc Miller, Mr. Mike Burton, Hon. Carolyn Bennett, and ISC Regional officials Jocelyn Andrews, Rob Harvey and Bonnie Rushowick. Despite extensive consultations and discussions with the department and minister’s office, we have experienced significant delays and denials from Canada to support these urgently needed and emergency proposals. This has been well documented since May, with particular reference to ‘Indigenous Services Moving Goalposts on First Nations PPE’, CBC News, September 11, 2020 (https://www.cbc.ca/news/indigenous/first-nations-ppe-proposal-1.5721249). The failed funding and departmental dysfunction have resulted in significant outbreaks which are occurring across our regions. By Canada’s own admission on November 29, COVID-19 is now four times (4x) worse in First Nations, Inuit and Métis communities than during the first wave which occurred from March through May 2020. -
Cpha Letter to Prime Minister on Drug Shortage Concerns
August 8, 2019 The Right Honourable Justin Trudeau, P.C., M.P. Prime Minister of Canada Langevin Block Ottawa, ON K1A 0A2 Dear Prime Minister Over the last two weeks, Canadians along with pharmacists have been alarmed by the growing interest from our American counterparts to import medications from Canada into the US and the impact that this could have on Canada’s drug supply. While we sympathize with American patients who are seeking affordable access to medications, we do not believe that this is a practical or sustainable solution to addressing their domestic concerns. While we are very encouraged that the federal government is meeting with stakeholders next week to develop a plan to address the US proposal, the focus and attention on the recent US announcement has also put a much-needed spotlight on an issue that is deeply concerning to Canadians. Drug shortages in Canada are not a new phenomenon but pharmacists are reporting significant increases in the last 3-5 years. In some cases, pharmacists have indicated that up to 50% of their weekly order was not able to be filled. This trend has also been confirmed by patients with one in four Canadians saying that they have experienced a shortage, either personally or a family/friend. Given the nature of the global supply chain and the challenges that health care providers experience on the front lines, we would urge the government to commit to a clear drug shortage action plan that would include: 1. Research on the underlying causes of shortages in Canada and globally 2. -
1 1. As You May Know, Andrew Scheer Has Resigned As Leader the Conservative Party of Canada
1_1. As you may know, Andrew Scheer has resigned as leader the Conservative Party of Canada. A vote will be held in August among party members to elect a new leader. The following people are running for the leadership of the federal Conservative Party. For each one, please indicate how favourable you are towards them. - Peter MacKay REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD Date of completion COMPOSITION Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K - $60K - $100K+ Kids No Kids August August <$60K <$100K 17th 18th A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 2001 241 200 197 702 461 200 525 357 555 391 453 1548 1000 1001 Base: All Respondents (wtd) 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 550 70 67 31 206 118 58 139 104 165 107 121 429 275 275 Favourable 28% 26% 29% 25% 27% 25% 44% 22% 27% 34% 35% 28% 27% 28% 27% ABCDE G GH 471 62 57 31 206 85 30 149 87 119 76 93 378 232 238 Unfavourable 24% 23% 25% 25% 27% 18% 22% 24% 22% 24% 25% 22% 24% 24% 23% E 980 137 102 62 359 274 46 339 197 208 126 211 769 466 514 Don't know enough about them to have an informed opinion 49% 51% 45% 50% 47% 57% 34% 54% 51% 42% 41% 50% 49% 48% 50% F F F BDF IJ IJ 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 Sigma 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Statistics: Overlap formulae used - Column Proportions: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Means: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) 1_2. -
A Layman's Guide to the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict
CJPME’s Vote 2019 Elections Guide « Vote 2019 » Guide électoral de CJPMO A Guide to Canadian Federal Parties’ Positions on the Middle East Guide sur la position des partis fédéraux canadiens à propos du Moyen-Orient Assembled by Canadians for Justice and Peace in the Middle East Préparé par Canadiens pour la justice et la paix au Moyen-Orient September, 2019 / septembre 2019 © Canadians for Justice and Peace in the Middle East Preface Préface Canadians for Justice and Peace in the Middle East Canadiens pour la paix et la justice au Moyen-Orient (CJPME) is pleased to provide the present guide on (CJPMO) est heureuse de vous présenter ce guide Canadian Federal parties’ positions on the Middle électoral portant sur les positions adoptées par les East. While much has happened since the last partis fédéraux canadiens sur le Moyen-Orient. Canadian Federal elections in 2015, CJPME has Beaucoup d’eau a coulé sous les ponts depuis les élections fédérales de 2015, ce qui n’a pas empêché done its best to evaluate and qualify each party’s CJPMO d’établir 13 enjeux clés relativement au response to thirteen core Middle East issues. Moyen-Orient et d’évaluer les positions prônées par chacun des partis vis-à-vis de ceux-ci. CJPME is a grassroots, secular, non-partisan organization working to empower Canadians of all CJPMO est une organisation de terrain non-partisane backgrounds to promote justice, development and et séculière visant à donner aux Canadiens de tous peace in the Middle East. We provide this horizons les moyens de promouvoir la justice, le document so that you – a Canadian citizen or développement et la paix au Moyen-Orient. -
2019 Federal Election: Result and Analysis
2019 Federal Election: Result and Analysis O C T O B E R 22, 2 0 1 9 NATIONAL ELECTION RESULTS 157 121 24 3 32 (-20) (+26) (-15) (+1) (+22) Comparison between results reflected based on party standings at dissolution of the 42nd parliament • The Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) won a second mandate, although was diminished to minority status. • The result of the 43rd Canadian election is one of the closest in recent memory, with both the Liberals and Conservatives separated by little more than one percentage point. Conservatives share of vote is slightly higher than the Liberals, making major gains in key areas for the party • Bloc Quebecois (BQ) is a winner in this election, moving up to official party status which will give the party added resources as well as significance in the House of Commons • The NDP managed to win enough seats to potentially play an important role in the House of Commons, but the party took a big hit in Quebec — where they were only able to hold one of the Layton era “Orange Wave” seats • Maxime Bernier, who started the People’s Party of Canada after narrowly losing the Conservative leadership contest in 2017, lost the seat he has held onto since 2006 • The former Treasury Board president Dr. Jane Philpott, who ran as an independent following her departure from the liberal caucus, lost her seat in Markham Stouffville to former Liberal MPP and Ontario Minister of Health, Dr. Helena Jaczek. Jody Wilson-Raybould won as an independent in Vancouver Granville NATIONAL ELECTION RESULTS 10 2 32 3 39 24 PARTY STANDINGS AT -
Canada This Month Public Opinion Research Release Date: July 22, 2020 Federal Politics Field Dates: July 14 to July 20, 2020
Canada This Month Public Opinion Research Release Date: July 22, 2020 Federal Politics Field Dates: July 14 to July 20, 2020 STRICTLY PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL 2 Federal Politics in the time of COVID-19 The COVID-19 outbreak has set off a series of changes in the Canadian political landscape. Federally, approval of the government’s handling of the pandemic has been rising, which has translated to the highest government satisfaction that we’ve seen in years. Though approval of the government’s handling of COVID-19 has remained stable, general satisfaction with the federal government has been declining since May. Even so, Trudeau maintains his lead as the best option for Prime Minister of Canada and the Liberals maintain their lead in vote. Today, INNOVATIVE is releasing results from our July 2020 Canada This Month survey. This online survey was in field from July 14th to July 20th with a weighted sample size of 2,000 and oversamples in Alberta and BC. Detailed methodology is provided in the appendix. This report covers key results on how Canadians are rating the Federal government’s handling of COVID-19 and the impacts that is having for government satisfaction and vote choice. 3 Government Approval The federal government continues to receive high marks, both generally and for their handling of COVID-19 specifically. Federal Satisfaction: A majority (54%) report they are satisfied with 4 the performance of the federal government Generally speaking, how satisfied are you with the performance of the FEDERAL government in Canada? Would you -
The Head Vs. the Heart: in Campaign's 2Nd Week, O
The Head vs. the Heart: In campaign’s 2nd week, O’Toole is voters’ intellectual choice, shares ‘gut’ preference with Singh Trudeau trails on both measures, but all main party leaders chosen by at least ¼ August 26, 2021 – In an election that Suppose you are relying on each... which may be decided by small segments of leader are you most attracted to? (n=1,692) moveable voters migrating between parties, leadership matters. 36% 31% 33% 29% 25% A new study from the non-profit Angus 23% Reid Institute finds that, while the Liberals continue to hang on to a small advantage in vote intent, party chief 8% 6% Justin Trudeau is neither the most 5% 4% attractive leader when voters consider their choice with their head, nor with Heart or gut choice Reason or intellect choice their heart. Erin O’Toole When asked who they would be most Justin Trudeau amenable to if they rely on their gut in this campaign, 23 per cent of Jagmeet Singh Canadians choose Trudeau, compared Yves-François Blanchet (QC Only) to the one-in-three (33%) who pick NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, or the three-in- Annamie Paul ten (31%) who opt for the CPC’s Erin O’Toole. METHODOLOGY: Further, 60 per cent of Liberal The Angus Reid Institute conducted an online survey from Aug. 20- supporters say Trudeau is the most 23, 2021 among a representative randomized sample of 1,692 attractive leader for them if they rely on Canadian adults who are members of Angus Reid Forum. For their gut, while nearly one-third of this comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would same base opt for Singh.