DOCSLIB.ORG

Report to the International Seabed Authority Study of the Potential

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Report to the International Seabed Authority Study of the Potential Advance Unedited Version English Only 12 May 2020 Report to the International Seabed Authority Study of the Potential Impact of Polymetallic Nodules Production from the Area on the Economies of Developing Land-based Producers of those Metals which are Likely to be Most Seriously Affected The opinions expressed in this study, the designations employed, as well as the content and presentations of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the International Seabed Authority, including, inter alia, concerning the legal status of any body, country or territory or of its authorities; or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or maritime boundaries. Authors: Lapteva Anna, Chernova Alexandra, Khodina Marina, Mustafa Tatiana, Mustafina Farida, and Smolnikova Anastasiya from All-Russian Scientfic-Research Institute of Mineral Resources Named after N.M. Fedorovsky (FSBI “VIMS”). Content Abbreviations ................................................................................................................................................ 5 Executive summary ....................................................................................................................................... 6 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 12 Objectives and methodology ............................................................................................................... 13 Overview of work done by the Preparatory Commission ....................................................................... 16 A. Analysis of work in connection with potential impacts .............................................................. 17 B. Criteria for or background to concept of serious adverse effects ................................................ 18 C. In-depth investigation of potential effects of seabed mineral production for DLBPS ................ 21 Overview of mineral production from activities in the Area .................................................................. 23 A. Types of mineral resources and affected metals for study purposes ........................................... 23 B. Assumptions for future mineral resource production in the Area ............................................... 24 World market conditions for the affected metals .................................................................................... 32 A. Overview of the value chain for the affected metals ................................................................... 32 B. Overview of the value chain of developing land-based producers of the affected metals .......... 37 C. Analysis of trends and developments in the affected metals, including future supply and demand prospects, and potential effects of transfer pricing ................................................................ 38 D. Primary sector products of the affected metals ........................................................................... 79 E. Semi-finished products sector of the affected metals .................................................................. 93 F. End products sector of the affected metals .................................................................................. 99 Study data and methodology ................................................................................................................. 119 A. Type of methods of analysis ...................................................................................................... 119 B. Presentation of the approach and assumptions adopted for the potential impact analysis ........ 122 C. Overview of affected metals tariffs on exports and earnings of developing state producers .... 126 Impact on the affected metals tariffs for developing State producers ................................................... 142 A. Effects of the affected metals tariffs on overall economic performance ................................... 142 B. Sectoral effects of the affected metals tariffs ............................................................................ 161 C. Potential effects of a targeted tariff on semi-finished products ................................................. 162 D. Potential effects of targeted tariff on end products ................................................................... 167 Potential impact analysis and discussion............................................................................................... 176 A. Identification of relevant developing land-based producers ..................................................... 176 B. Assessment of potential impact on relevant developing land-based producers ........................ 178 C. Discussion of uncertainties in impact analysis, including future supply and demand prospects ............................................................................................................................................ 181 Summary and conclusions ..................................................................................................................... 191 Recommendations for further studies ................................................................................................... 194 Appendices .......................................................................................................................................... 195 Terms and Definition ........................................................................................................................ 195 Data and information tables .............................................................................................................. 199 A. Copper production ..................................................................................................................... 199 B. Copper export ............................................................................................................................ 202 C. Nickel production ...................................................................................................................... 208 D. Nickel export ............................................................................................................................. 210 E. Cobalt production ...................................................................................................................... 214 F. Cobalt export ............................................................................................................................. 216 G. Manganese production .............................................................................................................. 219 H. Manganese export ..................................................................................................................... 221 References ........................................................................................................................................... 229 ABBREVIATIONS BGS British Geological Survey DLBPS Developing Land-Based Producer States EIA U.S. Energy Information Administration EMD electrolytic manganese dioxide EMM electrolytic manganese metal ES energy storage EU European Union EV electric vehicle GDP gross domestic product GNI gross national income GNP gross national product GVC global value chain HHI Herfindahl-Hirschman Index ICA International Copper Association ICSG International Copper Study Group IEA International Energy Agency IMF International Monetary Fund IMnI International Manganese Institute INSG International Nickel Study Group IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ISA International Seabed Authority ITC International Trade Centre LME London metal exchange MIT Massachusetts Institute of Technology NA not available NPI nickel pig iron OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development ROW Rest Of World SHFE Shanghai Futures Exchange UN United Nations UNEP United Nations Environment Programme UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development USGS United States Geological Survey WB World Bank Group WBMS World Bureau of Metal Statistics 5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1. The Secretariat of the International Seabed Authority commissioned the preparation of this report to study the potential impact of mineral production from the Area on the economies of developing land-based producers of those minerals, which are likely to be most seriously affected, with a view to minimizing their difficulties and assisting them in their economic adjustment, taking into account the work done in this regard by the Preparatory Commission. 2. The purpose of the study is to provide a preliminary assessment of the impact of activities in the Area on developing land-based producers States (DLBPS). Activities in the Area may lead to serious adverse effects on the export earnings or economies of DLBPS resulting from the decline in price or supply volumes of the affected metals. The need for such a study is determined by the provision of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea that developing States must be protected “from adverse effects on their economies or on their export earnings resulting from a reduction in price of an affected mineral, or in the volume of exports of that mineral, to the extent that such reduction is caused by activities in the Area…” (Convention, articles 150 (h) and 1 (3)). The Agreement relating to the Implementation of
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Public Annex A
    ICC-01/04-02/06-2008-AnxA 11-08-2017 1/76 NM T Public Annex A 11/08/2017 OHCHR | Statement of the High Commissioner to the Interactive dialogue on the DeICC-01/04-02/06-2008-AnxAmocratic Republic of the Congo, 3 5 11-08-2017th session of t h2/76e H… NM T 中文 | اﻟﻌرﺑﯾﺔ | Go to navigation | Go to content English | Français | Español | русский WHAT ARE HUMAN RIGHTS? DONATE HUMAN RIGHTS WHERE WE HUMAN RIGHTS NEWS AND PUBLICATIONS AND HOME ABOUT US ISSUES BY COUNTRY WORK BODIES EVENTS RESOURCES English > News and Events > DisplayNews 14 15 0 Statement of the High Commissioner to the Interactive dialogue on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 35th session of the Human Rights Council 20 June 2017 Excellencies, Just three months ago, my Office reported to this Council serious concerns about the human rights violations and abuses committed by the Congolese army and police, and the Kamuina Nsapu militia, in Kasai, Kasai Central and Kasai Oriental. Subsequently, when the two UN experts were killed, the Minister for Human Rights of the Democratic Republic of the Congo called for a joint investigation to bring the perpetrators of human rights violations and abuses to justice. Since then the humanitarian and human rights situation has deteriorated dramatically and various actors are fuelling ethnic hatred, resulting in extremely grave, widespread and apparently planned attacks against the civilian population in the Kasais. Last week, given the gravity of the allegations received and restricted access to parts of the greater Kasai area, and in line with my statement to this Council on 6 June, I deployed a team of OHCHR investigators to interview recent refugees from the Kasais.
    [Show full text]
  • 4 Development Directions for Regional Infrastructure
    Preparatory Survey for Southern Africa Integrated Transport Program Chapter 4 4 Development Directions for Regional Infrastructure 4.1 Infrastructure Bottlenecks under Growth Scenarios 4.1.1 Current Industrial Situation of the Corridors In parallel with the macro analysis undertaken in Chapter 2, summary information on development potential in the region (especially of mineral resources development accompanied by cross-border transport improvements and an overview of a Mega Project) are presented in this section. More details may be found in Appendix B. The results serve as input to Section 4.1.3 on Infrastructure Bottlenecks under the Growth Scenarios. The figure below visually summarizes the mineral and agricultural potential in the Southern African region. (The number of corridor in Figure 4.1.1 corresponds to this section’s paragraph number.) Figure 4.1.1 Mineral and Agricultural Resources and Corridors (1) Nacala Corridor Nacala is regarded as the best location for a deepwater port on the East African coast. The Nacala Corridor has consequently been at the forefront of ongoing initiatives to rehabilitate the rail link to Malawi, thereby creating a number of “anchor” tenants and promoting development 4-1 Preparatory Survey for Southern Africa Integrated Transport Program Chapter 4 along the corridor. Together with Beira and other corridors (Sena and Tete), these developments have been linked to the possible export of coal from the Moatize and Benga coal fields as well as from the Muchana Vuzi coal fields north of the Cahorra Bassa Dam in Tete Province, Mozambique. The corridor is ultimately seen as linking Lusaka in Zambia with the Port of Nacala.
    [Show full text]
  • The Age of Supergene Manganese Deposits in Katanga And
    The age of supergene manganese deposits in Katanga and its implications for the Neogene evolution of the African Great Lakes Region Thierry de Putter, Gilles Ruffet, Johan Yans, Florias Mees To cite this version: Thierry de Putter, Gilles Ruffet, Johan Yans, Florias Mees. The age of supergene manganese deposits in Katanga and its implications for the Neogene evolution of the African Great Lakes Region. Ore Geology Reviews, Elsevier, 2015, 71, pp.350-362. 10.1016/j.oregeorev.2015.06.015. insu-01168514 HAL Id: insu-01168514 https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01168514 Submitted on 26 Jun 2015 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT The age of supergene manganese deposits in Katanga and its implications for the Neogene evolution of the African Great Lakes Region Thierry De Putter1*, Gilles Ruffet2, Johan Yans3, Florias Mees1 1 Royal Museum for Central Africa, Geodynamics and Mineral Resources, 13 Leuvensesteenweg, B-3080 Tervuren, Belgium 2 CNRS (CNRS/INSU) UMR 6118, Géosciences Rennes, F-35042 Rennes Cedex, France and Université de Rennes I, Géosciences Rennes, F-35042 Rennes Cedex, France 3 Université de Namur, Département de Géologie, NaGRIDD, 61 rue de Bruxelles, B-5000 Namur, Belgium * corresponding author: tel.: +3227695430, +32478213103 (mobile); fax: +3227695432.
    [Show full text]
  • Brazil Brasília a - - Rio De Janeiro a -
    United Nations ST/IC/2004/7 Secretariat 21 January 2004 Information circular* To: Members of the staff From: The Assistant Secretary-General for Human Resources Management Subject: Classification of duty stations and special entitlements for staff members serving at designated duty stations 1. The purpose of the present information circular is to inform the staff of the classification of duty stations established by the International Civil Service Commission (ICSC) according to conditions of life and work and of the revised lists of duty stations designated by ICSC where special entitlements apply for eligible staff, as explained in paragraphs 6 to 10 below. The revised lists are set out in annexes II and III to the present circular. The revisions are effective 1 January 2004. I. Classification of duty stations 2. All duty stations are placed by ICSC in one of six categories: H and A to E. The H category comprises headquarters duty stations and other duty stations in similar locations where the United Nations has no developmental or humanitarian programmes. The A to E categories comprise all other duty stations classified by order of difficulty of conditions of life and work. Annex I to the present circular contains the list of duty stations classified in the H category. Annex II contains the list of duty stations classified in the A to E categories. Mobility and hardship allowance 3. The category of the duty station where a staff member is serving and/or has served, H and A to E, is one of the factors that determines whether the staff member is eligible for each of the three elements of the mobility and hardship allowance, namely, the mobility, the hardship and the non-removal elements.
    [Show full text]
  • Organisation Anfragerin
    Query response on DR Congo: 1) Current situation in Kinshasa in terms of political violence and politically motivated human rights violations following election-related violence in November and December 2011; 2) Situation of people who are of the same ethnicity (Luba) as the opposition UDPS leader Etienne Thisekedi; are Luba perceived as supporters of the UDPS; are UDPS supporters singled out for violence or human rights abuses? [a-8011] 14 May 2012 This response was commissioned by the UNHCR Protection Information Unit. Views expressed in the response are not necessarily those of UNHCR. This response was prepared after researching publicly accessible information currently available to ACCORD within time constraints and in accordance with ACCORD’s methodological standards and the Common EU Guidelines for processing Country of Origin Information (COI). This response is not, and does not purport to be, conclusive as to the merit of any particular claim to refugee status, asylum or other form of international protection. Please read in full all documents referred to. Non-English language information is comprehensively summarised in English. Original language quotations are provided for reference. 1) Current situation in Kinshasa in terms of political violence and politically motivated human rights violations following election-related violence in November and December 2011 Among the sources consulted by ACCORD within time constraints only little information could be found with regard to the current situation in Kinshasa in terms of political violence and politically motivated human rights violations following election related violence in November and December 2011. The following terms were used in research: Security, Kinshasa, police, demonstration, violence, injured, killed, arrest, opposition, UDPS, election, political, party, tuée, demonstration, blesse, droits de l'homme, arrêtée, etc.
    [Show full text]
  • Organized Crime and Instability in Central Africa a Threat Assessment
    Organized Crime and Instability in Central Africa – DRAFT 28/06/2011 Organized Crime and Instability in Central Africa A threat assessment Draft 28/06/11 1 Organized Crime and Instability in Central Africa – DRAFT 28/06/2011 Main findings and recommendations.................................................................................. 4 Executive summary............................................................................................................. 5 Introduction....................................................................................................................... 19 Conflict and Crime............................................................................................................ 23 Drug flows ........................................................................................................................ 45 Cannabis from the DRC to the region........................................................................... 47 Mineral resource flows ..................................................................................................... 60 Tin ore from Eastern DRC via East Africa to Asia ...................................................... 66 Gold from DRC and CAR via East Africa to Dubai and the world.............................. 81 Diamonds from the DRC, CAR and Zimbabwe via East Africa to the world.............. 92 Environmental resource flows ........................................................................................ 110 Timber from the DRC to East Africa.........................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Angolan Elections: Promoting Reconciliations Through
    ANGOLAN ELECTIONS Promoting Reconciliation Through Participation By Conflict-Forced Migrants Participatory Elections Project (PEP) Action Plan I Project Team Jeff Fischer, Senior Coordinator Bruce Hatch, Technical Coordinator Jeremy Grace, Research Coordinator October/November 2002 January 31, 2003 FINAL DRAFT REPORT IOM International Organization for Migration TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Page Executive Summary 3 Acronyms and Organizations 8 I. Introduction 10 II. Methodology and Outcomes 12 A. Methodology 12 B. Project Outcomes 13 III. Background on Angolan Elections, Conflict, and Displacement 14 A. Elections 14 B. Conflict 15 C. Displacement 16 IV. Peace and Electoral Framework 17 A. Overview 17 B. 1992 Peace and Electoral Framework 17 C. 1993 – 2002 Peace and Electoral Frameworks 18 V. Issues and Obstacles Concerning Refugees/ IDP and Elections 20 A. Overview 20 B. Unpredictable and Wide-Scale Movements 20 C. Structural Internal Displacement 21 D. Varying Conditions for Refugees 23 1. Zambia 23 2. Democratic Republic of Congo 24 3. Namibia 25 E. Lack of Documentation 26 F. Political Parties and Displaced Constituencies 27 1. Party for Social Renewal (PRS) 27 2. National Front for the Liberation of Angola (FNLA) 27 3. National Union for Total Independence of Angola (UNITA) 28 4. Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) 28 5. Political Party Assistance 29 G. Media and Displaced Audiences 29 H. Movement and Security Issues 30 1 Section Page VI. Action Plan Framework 30 A. Objectives 30 B. Phases 31 1. Consensus 31 2. Foundation 32 3. Planning 33 4. Operations 33 C. Process Scenario 33 1. Overview 33 2. Confidence Building and Information 33 3.
    [Show full text]
  • Historical Dictionary of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Third Edition
    HDCongoPODLITH.qxd 9/28/09 2:27 PM Page 1 KISANGANI & AFRICA HISTORY BOBB HISTORICAL DICTIONARIES OF AFRICA, NO. 112 THIRD EDITION One of Africa’s largest, most populated, and generously endowed countries, the Democratic Republic of the Congo has both dominated the surrounding region and been greatly republic democratic affected by it. The Democratic Republic of the Congo has under- of the dictionary historical gone a long period of war, and the outlook for political renewal and economic recovery is bleak. Human security is likely to of the congo of the congo remain a distant dream for many years because of the prevalence of rape and sexual violence, which is considered the worst in the world. This third edition of Historical Dictionary of the Democratic Republic of the Congo reviews the nearly 48 years of independ- ence, more than a century of colonial rule, and earlier kingdoms and groups that shared the territory. It contains a chronology, an introductory essay, a bibliography, and more than 800 cross- referenced entries on civil wars, mutinies, notable people, historical dictionary of the places, events, and cultural practices. democratic republic Emizet François Kisangani is professor in the Department of Political Science at Kansas State University in Manhattan. of the congo F. Scott Bobb is a journalist who has been reporting on and writing about the Democratic Republic of the Congo since the mid-1970s. He is serving as a Voice of America correspondent in Southern Africa. THIRD EDITION For orders and information please contact the publisher SCARECROW PRESS, INC. A wholly owned subsidiary of EMIZET FRANCOIS¸ KISANGANI The Rowman & Littlefield Publishing Group, Inc.
    [Show full text]
  • Private Memories from the Congo Free State and German East Africa (1884-1914)
    Pursuing Whiteness in the Colonies Private Memories from the Congo Free State and German East Africa (1884-1914) Diana M. Natermann Thesis submitted for assessment with a view to obtaining the degree of Doctor of History and Civilization of the European University Institute Florence, 30 October 2015 European University Institute Department of History and Civilization Pursuing Whiteness in the Colonies Private Memories from the Congo Free State and German East Africa (1884-1914) Diana M. Natermann Thesis submitted for assessment with a view to obtaining the degree of Doctor of History and Civilization of the European University Institute Examining Board Prof Dirk Moses, Supervisor Prof Jorge Flores, EUI Prof Elizabeth Buettner, University of Amsterdam Prof Corinna Unger, Jacobs University Bremen © Diana M. Natermann, 2015 No part of this thesis may be copied, reproduced or transmitted without prior permission of the author. Diana M. Natermann ABSTRACT Pursuing Whiteness in the Colonies offers a new comprehension of colonial history from below by taking a profound look at remnants of individual agencies from a whiteness studies perspective. It highlights the experiences and perceptions of colonisers and how they portrayed their identities and re-interpreted their lives in Africa. My transcolonial approach is based on egodocuments – texts and photographs – produced by Belgian, German, and Swedish men and women who migrated to Central Africa for reasons varying from a love for adventure, social betterment, new gender roles, or the conviction that colonising was their patriotic duty. My analysis shows how the colonials continuously constructed their whiteness in relation to the subaltern in everyday situations connected to friendship, gender issues, and food.
    [Show full text]
  • NEW ISSUES in REFUGEE RESEARCH When the Displaced Return: Challenges to 'Reintegration' in Angola
    NEW ISSUES IN REFUGEE RESEARCH Research Paper No. 152 When the displaced return: challenges to ‘reintegration’ in Angola Alexandra Kaun Office of Refugee and Asylum, USCIS Washington, D.C. USA E-mail: [email protected] January 2008 Policy Development and Evaluation Service Policy Development and Evaluation Service United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees P.O. Box 2500, 1211 Geneva 2 Switzerland E-mail: [email protected] Web Site: www.unhcr.org These papers provide a means for UNHCR staff, consultants, interns and associates, as well as external researchers, to publish the preliminary results of their research on refugee-related issues. The papers do not represent the official views of UNHCR. They are also available online under ‘publications’ at <www.unhcr.org>. ISSN 1020-7473 Introduction The village lies 40 kilometres from the nearest peri-urban ‘town’ on a dirt path, one which often becomes impassable during the rainy season. Like most villages in this region of the country, it was heavily affected by the civil war. Its current residents have experienced various tapestries of displacement. Some spent most of the twenty- seven year civil war in neighbouring Zambia, where they either integrated with local communities or settled in one of the three UNHCR-run refugee camps. Others spent shorter periods of time across the border, or became internally displaced. Still others remained close to their homes, experiencing waves of internal displacement and violence as troops from both sides of the conflict took control of the area. Prior to the war, the village had a health post and school, the two pillars of community life, but they were burned to the ground during one of the many attacks, along with houses and farms.
    [Show full text]
  • Liberia: Back to the Future — What Is the Future of Liberia’S Forests and Its Effects on Exploitation in Funding Conflict and Regional Peace? May 2004 Corruption
    Recommendations page 1 SameOldStory A background study on natural resources in the Democratic Republic of Congo A Report by Global Witness. June 2004 Same Old Story—Natural Resources in the Democratic Republic of Congo Recommendations HIS REPORT marks the beginning of an G Actively support and participate in the public extensive project that will examine natural dissemination of information about the new mining and resource governance in the Democratic forestry codes, and guarantee that meaningful Republic of Congo. consultations take place with local communities across the DRC on issues pertaining to resource and revenue T management. Global Witness recommends that the international donor community and the United Nations should: The DRC Government of National Unity should: G Mainstream natural resource governance issues as an area G Firmly commit to making anti-corruption, transparency of critical concern during the transitional period and for and accountability priority areas, and, in the lead-up to the long-term peace and development of the Democratic national elections, all members of the new government Republic of Congo. should publicly declare their assets and business interests. The International donor community should: G Cooperate with the international community and international institutions to build institutional and G Realign and refocus aid programmes to make issues of regulatory capacity. natural resource governance high priority during the G Work to fully implement the Kimberley Process. transitional government period
    [Show full text]
  • Angola: Secret Government Documents on Counter-Subversion
    Angola: Secret Government Documents on Counter-Subversion http://www.aluka.org/action/showMetadata?doi=10.5555/AL.SFF.DOCUMENT.ufbmp1004 Use of the Aluka digital library is subject to Aluka’s Terms and Conditions, available at http://www.aluka.org/page/about/termsConditions.jsp. By using Aluka, you agree that you have read and will abide by the Terms and Conditions. Among other things, the Terms and Conditions provide that the content in the Aluka digital library is only for personal, non-commercial use by authorized users of Aluka in connection with research, scholarship, and education. The content in the Aluka digital library is subject to copyright, with the exception of certain governmental works and very old materials that may be in the public domain under applicable law. Permission must be sought from Aluka and/or the applicable copyright holder in connection with any duplication or distribution of these materials where required by applicable law. Aluka is a not-for-profit initiative dedicated to creating and preserving a digital archive of materials about and from the developing world. For more information about Aluka, please see http://www.aluka.org Angola: Secret Government Documents on Counter-Subversion Author/Creator IDOC; General Council for Counter-Subversion, Angola Contributor Reuver-Cohen, Caroline (editor/translator), Jerman, William (editor/translator), Angola Committee, Amsterdam Publisher IDOC Date 1974-00-00 Resource type Books Language English Subject Coverage (spatial) Angola Coverage (temporal) 1967 - 1972 Rights By kind permission of the International Documentation and Communication Centre (IDOC). Description Introduction. The Documents. Counter-Subversion. Transfer of the Population to Concentration Centers.
    [Show full text]