Vol. 30, No. 6 July/August 2017 Table of Contents Essential to Autonomous Vehicle Development, 2 Simulation Isn’t Close to Being Ready More Supplier Disruption Coming 6 Zoox Self-Driving Startup to Design, Build, Operate Its 8 Own Urban Taxi Service The Company Profile: Nexteer 11 Movimento Details OTA Update Types 20 The Hansen Report on Automotive Electronics, July/August 2016 www.hansenreport.com© 2017 Paul Hansen Associates, 150 Pinehurst Road, Portsmouth, NH 03801 USA Telephone: 603-431-5859; fax: 603-431-5791; email:
[email protected] All rights reserved. Materials may not be reproduced in any form without written permission. ISSN 1046-1105 2 Essential to Autonomous Vehicle Development, Simulation Isn’t Close to Being Ready Despite more than one million road fatalities globally each year, human drivers perform exceedingly well, especially in the United States, where there were just 1.13 fatalities per hundred million miles traveled in 2015. While it has become a widely held belief that autonomous vehicles will soon be safer than vehicles driven by humans, proving that point will not be at all easy. Indeed, an automated vehicle under test would have to drive several hundred million miles on real roads to verify that it is at least as safe as a human-driven vehicle. But that is not a real- world option. One possible remedy is to use simulators to “drive” virtual vehicles millions of miles in virtual worlds, such that a sufficient number of exceptional, accident- causing edge cases can be found and addressed in a fraction of the time real world testing would take.