Ethiopia. Markets for Ethiopian Cotton Goods in Western Europe, the Arabian Gulf and the United States
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UNIDO Contract No. 85/ 55 ·,...._, Project No: DP/ETH/83/013 I Activity Code: DP/01/31.4 I I I MARKETS FOR ETHIOPIAN COTTON GOODS m WESTERN EUROPE, I 1HE ARABIAN GULF AND THE UN1TED STATES OF AMERICA I Prepared for THE UN1TED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION I by AGR~ECONOMIC SERVICES UMITED I I I I I I I I November, 193(> --- - ~---~_ ...... ·-· I I UNIDO Contract No. 85/55 Project No: DP/ETH/83/013 I Activity Code: DP/01/31.4 I I I MARKETS FOR ETIIlOPIAN COITON GOODS rn WESTERN EUROPE, THE ARAIDAN GULF AND THE UNITED ST A TES OF AMERICA I I I Prepared for I THE UNITED NA TIO NS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION by I AGRO-ECONOMIC SERVICES LlMITED I I I I I I I © November, 1986 I I I CONTENTS I Page ACTION SUMMARY (i) I 1.0 INTRODUCTION I 1.1 GENERAL 1 1.2 SCOPE OF CONTRACTING SERVICES I 1.2.1 The Original Agreement 1 .., 1. z.. z. Subse4ue11i Muuifications to St.:ope ... 1.2.2.1 Product Coverage 2 I 1.2.2.2 ;;eographical Coverage 2 2..0 SUMMARY: WITH MAIN FINDINGS AND I RECOMMENDATIONS 3 2.1 SUMMARY 3 I 2.2 MAIN FINDINGS 3 2.2.1 Screening of EuroEean and Middle Eastern I Mari{ets 3 2.2.2 The Ma .. ket for Grey Yarn and Grey Cloth 4 I 2.2.2.1 The Middle East 4 2.2.2.2 Germany 4 2..2.2.3 Italy 5 I 2.2.3 The Mar:;.et for Knitted Underwear 5 2.2.3.1 The Middle East 6 2.2.3.2 Germany 7 I 2.2.3.3 Italy 8 I 2.2.4 The Market in the USA 8 Z.3 RECOMMENDATIONS 9 2.3.l Production to be Oriented to Needs of Market 9 I 2.3.I.l Over-supplied World Markets 9 2.3. I.2 The Implications for NTC 10 I 2.3.2 Grey Goods 10 Z.3.2.l Germany and Italy 10 I 2.3.Z.2 The Middle East 12 2.3.3 Cai.ton Knitwear 12 2.3.3.I Europe 12 I 2.3.3.2 The Middle East J3 I I I Page 3.0 SELECTION OF MARKETS FOR DETAILED I STUDY 15 I 3.1 OBJECTIVE OF SURVEY 15 3.2 SCREENING METHOD '~~~ I 3.3 RESULTS OF SCREENING 17 3.3.1 Western Europe 17 I 3.3.2 The Middle East 21 I 3.3.3 Africa 21 3.4 COUNTRIES SELECTED 30 I 4.0 THE ARAB GULF MARKETS 31 4.1 KUWAIT 31 I 4.1.1 I:conomic Background 31 4.1.2 The Market for Knitted Cotton Goods 32 4.l.2.1 Supply and Consumption 32 I 4.1.2.2 Market Preferences 33 4.1.2.3 Distribution Structure '.)J 4.1.2.4 Prices 34 I 4.1.2.5 Packaging 34 I 4.1.3 The Market for Grey Goods 35 4.1.4 Future Treilds in Dema.>Jd 37 I 4.2 BAHRAIN 38 4.2.1 The Economic Background 38 I 4.2.2 The Market for Knitted Cotton Goods 39 4.2.2.1 Supply and Consumption 39 4.2.2..2 Market Prefer'mces 40 I 4.2.2.3 The Distribution Structure 40 4.2.2.4 Prices 41 4.2.2.5 Packaging 41 I 4.2.3 The Market for Grey Goods 41 I 4.2.4 Future Trends in Demand 41 4.3 THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES 42 I 4.3.l The Economic Background 42 I I I Page 4.3.2 The Marl~et for Knitted Cotton Goods 44 I 4.3.2.1 Supply and Consumption 4-l 4.3.2.2 Market Preferences 47 4.3.2.3 The Distribution Structure 48 I 4.3.2.4 Prices 49 4.3.2.5 Packaging 49 I 4.3.3 The Market for Grey Goods 50 4.3.4 Future Trends in Demand 50 I 5.0 THE EUROPEAN MARKETS 51 I 5.1 WEST GERMANY 51 5.1.1 Economic Background 51 5.1.2 The Market fo._ ~\.nitted Cotton Goods 52 I 5.1.2.1 Supply and Consumption 52 5.1.2.2 Market Preferences 54 5.1.2.3 DistrilJution 54 I 5.1.2.4 Prices 61 5.1.2.5 Packaging 62 5.1.3 The Market for Grey Yam 62 I 5.1.3. J Supply and Consumption 62 5.1.3.2 Market Preferences 64 5.1.3.3 Distri:iution 65 I 5.1.3.4 Prices 60 7• 5.1.3.5 Packaging . 1 I 5.1.4 The Market for Grey Goods 71 5.1.4.1 Supply and Consumption 71 5.1.4.2 Market Preferences n 5.1.4.3 Distribution 73 I 5.1.4.4 Prices 75 5.1.4.5 Packaging 76 I 5.1.5 Future Trends in Demand 77 I 5.2 ITALY 78 5.2.l Economic Background 78 5.2.2 The Market for Grey Yarn 79 I 5.2.2.1 Supply and Consumption 79 5.2.2.2 Market Preferences P.3 5.2.2.3 Di:.: 'ribution 83 I 5.Z.2.4 Prices 89 5.2.2.5 Packaging 91 I I -------------....... ---~ -~-~~--~~--------- ----------- I I Page 5.2.3 The \~a ·'.c ·t for Grey Cloth 91 I 5.2.3.1 Supp~; ::ti :onsu!llpt10n 91 5.2.3.2 Ma:-kc r ':-e f erences 94 5.2.3.3 Dis tr · .~ i ;,-n 95 5.2.3.4 Pric· 98 I 5.2.3.5 Pa..::- i:O::ir.g 99 5.2.4 "':'"\ : \:arket for Knitted Cotton Goods 99 I 5.2.4.1 ~ :,~ply and Consamption 102 5.2.4.2 "/arket Preferences 104 5.2..!.] ''istribution 104 107 I 5.2.4.4 ~")rices 5.l.4.5 Packaging 107 I 5.2.5 Future Trends in Demand 108 5.3 REGULATION OF ETHIOPIAN TEXTILE IMPORTS I INTO GERMANY AND ITALY 109 5.3.1 Third Lome Convention 109 I 5.3.:: Criteria of Origin 109 5.3 3 The Benefits Conferred on ACP Textile Exporters 110 5.3.3.1 Duty-free Access 110 I 5.3.3.2 Unrestricted Physical Access 111 I 6.0 TIIE USA 114 t.. l US TRADE IN COTTON GOODS 114 I 6.1.1 Knitted Cotton Goods 114 ::i.1.2 Grey Goods 117 I 6.2 THE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK 117 I 6.2.1 Duties 117 6.2.2 The Multi-Fibre Arrangement llE I 6.2.3 US Controls 118 6.2.4 Further i::>l'.'otectionist. Measures 122 I 6.3 OTHER F ACTOPS LIKELY TO IMPEDE ETHIOPIAN EXPORTS 124 I 6.4 CONCLUSIONS 125 I I I I Page I 7.0 TECHNICAL ASSESSMENT 127 7.1 INTRODUCTION 127 I 7.2 G:R:t:Y YARH AND FABRIC 127 7.2.1 Summary and Conclusions 127 I 7.2.2 Critical Examination of Present Output 129 7.2.2.1 Mar.ufacturing Machinery and Processes 129 7.2.2.2 Company Products 129 I 7.2.2.3 Marketing and Selling 141 7.2.3 Operational Assessment ~4Z I 7.2.3.l Process Research and Developmet 1~2 7.2.3.2 Process Testing and Quality Control 142 7.2.3.3 Machine Maintenance Control 143 7 .2.3.4 Work Study and Other Industrial Engineering I Practices 147 7.2.3.5 Supervisory Skills and Performance 148 I 7.2.3.6 Opera~ ;.,P. Skills and Pei"formance ~48 7.2.4 Recommended Improvements to l)esign and Quality 1·19 7.2.4.1 GP11eral 149 I 7.2.4.2 Fa. 1-iric Construe tions 149 7.2.5 Identification of Other Products for I Manufacture 149 7.3 COTTON KNITWEAR 152 I 7.3.1 Summary and Conclusions 152 7.3.1.1 General 152 7.3.1.2 Main Findings 152 7.3.1.3 Recommendations for Immediai~ Improvements 152 I 7 .3.1.4 Technical Assistance 152 7.3.2 Critical Examination of Pr"!sent Operations CiJ!.d I Output 153 7.3.2.1 General Observations 153 7.":J.2.2 Technical Factors Influencing the Nature of I Present Export Items 154 7.3.2.3 Other Production OriP.n~at"!d Factors Influencing the Nature of Exrort Items 155 I 7.3.3 Products Suitable for Export 156 7.3.4 Measures Needed to Improve the Design and I Ouality ol Articles Prese;tly ProduceCI to Make them More Attractive to International Markets 156 I 7.3.4.1 Outline of Technical As~,istance Progr< .nr.1e 157 7.3.4.2 Further Training for Counterpari.s 157 I 8.0 UST OF SAMPLES OF KNITWEAR COL!.ECTED 160 --, ---~· ------------ ------ ---- I I ANNEX~S I ANNEX -1 VISIT SCHEDULE ANNEX l DISCUSSION SCHEDULE I ANNEX 3 TABLES ANNEX 4 RECOMMENDED TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE PROGRAMMES FOR I SPINNING AND WEAVING ESTABLISHMENTS A4.l OBJECTIVE I A4.l SCOPE A4.2.l Process Research and Development I ;\.4.2.2 Process Testing and Quality Control I A4.2.3 Staffing ANNEX 5 TEXTILE AND CLOTHING TRADE FAIRS IN COUNTRIES OF I THE EEC IN 1986 I I I I I I I I I I I -......