Nicaragua: Offgrid Rural Electrification (PERZA)
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NICARAGUA Offgrid Rural Electrification (PERZA) Report No. 127696 JUNE 28, 2018 © 2018 International Bank for Reconstruction This work is a product of the staff of The World RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONS and Development / The World Bank Bank with external contributions. The findings, The material in this work is subject to copyright. 1818 H Street NW interpretations, and conclusions expressed in Because The World Bank encourages Washington DC 20433 this work do not necessarily reflect the views of dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be Telephone: 202-473-1000 The World Bank, its Board of Executive reproduced, in whole or in part, for Internet: www.worldbank.org Directors, or the governments they represent. noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. Attribution—Please cite the work as follows: The World Bank does not guarantee the World Bank. 2018. Nicaragua—Offgrid Rural accuracy of the data included in this work. 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Report No.: 127696 PROJECT PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT REPORT NICARAGUA OFFGRID RURAL ELECTRIFICATION (PERZA) PROJECT (IDA CREDIT 3760-NI) (GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY TRUST FUND GRANT TF051960) June 28, 2018 Financial, Private Sector, and Sustainable Development Independent Evaluation Group ii Currency Equivalents (annual averages) Currency Unit = Nicaraguan córdobas (C$) 2003 $1.00 C$15.22 2004 $1.00 C$16.05 2005 $1.00 C$16.85 2006 $1.00 C$17.69 2007 $1.00 C$18.58 2008 $1.00 C$19.41 2009 $1.00 C$20.38 2010 $1.00 C$21.40 2011 $1.00 C$22.49 2012 $1.00 C$23.59 All dollar amounts are U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated. Abbreviations ATDER-BL Asociación de Trabajadores de Desarrollo Rural—Benjamin Linder BDS business development services CAS country assistance strategy CNE Comisión Nacional de Energía CPF Country Partnership Framework EIRR economic internal rate of return EMEEAW Empresa Municipal de Energía Eléctrica Autónoma Wiwilí ENATREL Empresa Nacional de Transmision Eléctrica ENEL Empresa Nicaragüense de Electricidad ESMAP Energy Sector Management Assistance Program FODIEN Fondo para el Desarrollo de la Industria Eléctrica Nacional GEF Global Environment Facility HISMOW Hidroeléctrica Salto Molejones Wapi S.A. ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report IDA International Development Association (of the World Bank Group) IFC International Finance Corporation (of the World Bank Group) INE Instituto Nicaragüense de Energía MEM Ministerio de Energía y Minas M&E monitoring and evaluation PERZA Proyecto de Electrificación Rural para Zonas Aisladas PLANER Programa Nacional de Electricidad Rural PMU Project Management Unit PNESER Programa Nacional de Electrificación Sostenible y Energías Renovables RAAN Región Autónoma de la Costa Caribe Norte RAAS Región Autónoma de la Costa Caribe Sur UNDP United Nations Development Programme iii Fiscal Year Government: January 1–December 31 Director-General, Independent Evaluation: Ms. Caroline Heider Director, Financial, Private Sector, and Sustainable Development: Mr. José C. Carbajo Martínez Manager, Sustainable Development: Ms. Midori Makino Task Manager: Mr. Ramachandra Jammi v Contents Principal Ratings ................................................................................................................ vi Summary ............................................................................................................................ ix 1. Background and Context................................................................................................. 1 2. Objectives, Design, and their Relevance ........................................................................ 2 Objectives ....................................................................................................................... 2 Relevance of Objectives ................................................................................................. 4 Relevance of Design ....................................................................................................... 6 3. Implementation ............................................................................................................... 6 4. Achievement of the Objectives ..................................................................................... 10 5. Efficiency ...................................................................................................................... 19 6. Ratings .......................................................................................................................... 20 7. Lessons .......................................................................................................................... 24 Bibliography ..................................................................................................................... 25 Figure Figure 1.1. Electrification Rates in Nicaragua .................................................................... 5 Tables Table 4.1. Status of Small Hydropower and Minigrid Projects as of Febraury 2018 ....... 11 Table 4.2. Number of Connections as of February 2018 .................................................. 12 Table 4.3. Rate of Electrification, 2007 versus 2016 (percent) ........................................ 12 Appendixes Appendix A. Basic Data Sheet .......................................................................................... 26 Appendix B. Project Costs and Financing ........................................................................ 29 Appendix C. List of Persons Met ...................................................................................... 30 This report was prepared by Ihsan Kaler Hürcan (author), who assessed the project in February 2018. Ramachandra Jammi was the task team leader. The report was peer reviewed by Migara Jayawardena and panel reviewed by Fernando Manibog. Richard Kraus provided administrative support. vi Principal Ratings ICR* ICR Review* PPAR Outcome Satisfactory Moderately satisfactory Moderately satisfactory Risk to Development Moderate Moderate Substantial Outcome Bank Moderately satisfactory Moderately satisfactory Moderately satisfactory Performance Borrower Moderately satisfactory Moderately unsatisfactory Moderately satisfactory Performance * The Implementation Completion and Results (ICR) is a self-evaluation by the responsible World Bank Global Practice. The ICR Review is an intermediate IEG product that seeks to independently validate the findings of the ICR. Key Staff Responsible Division Chief or Project Task Manager or Leader Sector Director Country Director Appraisal Clemencia Torres de Danny Leipziger Jane Armitage Mästle Completion Xiaoping Wang Malcolm Cosgrove- Carlos Felipe Jaramillo Davies vii IEG Mission: Improving World Bank Group development results through excellence in independent evaluation. About this Report The Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) assesses the programs and activities of the World Bank for two purposes: first, to ensure the integrity of the World Bank’s self-evaluation process and to verify that the World Bank’s work is producing the expected results, and second, to help develop improved directions, policies, and procedures through the dissemination of lessons drawn from experience. As part of this work, IEG annually assesses 20–25 percent of the World Bank’s lending operations through fieldwork. In selecting operations for assessment, preference is given to those that are innovative, large, or complex; those that are relevant to upcoming studies or country evaluations; those for which executive directors or World Bank management have requested assessments; and those that are likely to generate important lessons. To prepare a Project Performance Assessment Report (PPAR), IEG staff examine project files and other documents, visit the borrowing country to discuss the operation with the government and other in-country stakeholders, interview World Bank staff and other donor agency staff both at headquarters and in local offices as appropriate, and apply other evaluative methods as needed. Each PPAR is subject to technical peer review, internal IEG panel review, and management approval. Once cleared internally, the PPAR is commented on by the responsible World Bank country management unit. The PPAR is also sent to the borrower for review. IEG incorporates both World Bank and borrower comments as appropriate, and the borrowers’ comments are attached to the document that is sent to the World Bank’s Board of Executive Directors. After an assessment report has been sent to the Board, it is disclosed to the public. About the IEG Rating System for Public Sector Evaluations IEG’s use of multiple evaluation methods offers both rigor and a necessary level of flexibility to adapt to lending instrument, project design, or sectoral approach. IEG evaluators all apply the same basic method to arrive at their project ratings. Following is the definition and rating scale used for each evaluation