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Market Report Trends in Air Traffic Control Opportunities in the Middle East

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Market Report Trends in Air Traffic Control Opportunities in the Middle East Co-located with: Market Report Trends in Air Traffic Control Opportunities in the Middle East Prepared by: TRENDS IN AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL: OPPORTUNITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST IATA estimates global passenger traffic movements will double to 8.3 billion per annum by 2037 with the centre of activity moving to Asia. Fuelled by low cost carriers and the emergence of middle-class wealth, air travel will continue to grow and dominate and with it, air traffic control management (ATCM). A recent report stated the ‘Global Air Traffic Control market accounted for $30.93 billion in 2017 and is expected to reach $105.20 billion by 2026 growing at a CAGR of 14.6%’ Regionally, the Middle East is showing 4.4% CAGR in passenger numbers and Africa is experiencing 5.01% growth. By 2037, the total Middle Eastern market size should be 501 million passenger movements annually. Furthermore Dubai, as the world’s busiest airport for international traffic, is likely to remain in this position due to its strategic location between Europe and Asia as well as being a hop the ‘Kangaroo Route’ to Australia. This growth will equate to investment in the latest in air traffic control management (ATCM). Dubai’s national air navigation service provider, dans, invested AED$60 million (USD$16 million) into soft and human infrastructure to support the expected 1.2 million annual air traffic movements in UAE airspace in 2025. Another major investment and progression for regional air traffic management came in 2017 when GCAA UAE (General Civil Aviation Authority) pressed go on the ground-breaking performance- based navigation system. This new system offers more automation and dynamic control than traditional signal-based systems delivering greater scheduling efficiency, improved aircraft on time performance plus reducing fuel wastage and fallout. The Emirates are not alone in their investments. Reportedly, USD$50 billion worth of aviation projects were under construction in the Gulf region in 2018. Bahrain announced a BD13 million (USD$37 million) project to upgrade their ATCM systems including BD2.4 million (USD$6.4million) on a new ATC centre to manage the expected growth in traffic in the coming two decades. This is in addition to the USD$1.1 billion being spent in the country on a new passenger terminal. Whilst Saudi Arabia selected Thales to upgrade its radar to Monopulse Secondary Surveillance Radars (MSSR) Mode S for Jeddah, Riyadh, Damman and Jazan Airports. Kuwait has committed to investing a total of USD$20 billion in human resources and infrastructure for commercial aviation. The investment program includes a new greenfield airport development in the country plus a new ATC tower for the existing Kuwait International Airport. An additional KD 10.19 million (USD33.6 million) will be spent over five years in a management deal with Deerns to develop navigational, meteorological and technical systems to support the ATCM of the existing and new airport. Growth presents threats and opportunities for the air traffic control industry for both regulators and operators. The tragedy of MH370 brought into sharp focus the weaknesses in aircraft monitoring systems in remote areas and since that time, there has been increased investment and consideration not only to the modernisation of technology yet to the integration of those managing air space, training and automation. Co-located with TRENDS IN AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL: OPPORTUNITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST Key trends As airports, ANSPs, aviation authorities and airlines work towards predicting and managing future growth, there are clear trends in the technology and systems. In short, the industry is working towards greater reliance on digital and satellite technology, more automation and addressing the changing human resources needs of the industry. 1. Remote Towers London City Airport has been the first to SESAR’s PJ05 Remote Tower Project seeks adopt the digital remote air traffic control to develop a model for a centralised remote tower with technology produced by Saab tower servicing multiple airports. The Digital Air Traffic Solutions. The technology technology was born out of a desire to support was developed in a regional Swedish airport smaller regional airports to achieve cost and tested in a range of locations including efficiencies, yet this would equally apply to central Australia. London City Airport will larger airports. With their MOTO project, utilise 14 high definition cameras to capture SESAR is developing the virtual reality aspect the 1500-metre single runway. The footage is of the towers to include other senses including then transmitted in real time to a digital tower audio and vibro-tactile given the ATC a true 120 miles (193 km) away. to life experience albeit in a remote location. Digital Remote Towers offer ATCs greater In late 2017, NATS (the UK’s ANSP) was visual clarity, irrespective of weather awarded the contract to trial a digital remote conditions, in a 360o virtual reality set up. It tower for one of the busiest airports in the will also allow them to zoom to identify rogue world, Singapore’s Changi Airport. The trial drones or other hazards. It is part of a is expected to end in early 2020. Whilst in the development upgrade to the whole London UAE, dans also began a trial of a remote City Airport and is currently in testing phase digital tower in 2017 with the view of before being fully implemented by 2020. supporting both Dubai International (DXB) Remote towers, until recently, have been and Al Maktoum International Airport (DWC) promoted for smaller or secondary airports yet airports. Co-located with TRENDS IN AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL: OPPORTUNITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST 2. Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) Concerns exist around the bandwidth capacity The development of ADS-B is intended to to cope with the increasing number of aircraft supplement the current radar-based movements as well as the security of the data surveillance system which has inherent being transmitted. The system has also relied weaknesses in remote areas or stretches of on ground receivers therefore sharing similar flight paths over vast oceans. Championed by weaknesses to radar monitoring system. the USA’s Federal Aviation Administration However, since the MH370 mystery (FAA), the first ADS-B system was launched disappearance, Aireon has launched a fleet of in 2006 and consisted of 11 ground stations 66 satellites, with the support of Iridium, to with an ultimate mandated goal of nationwide receive and subsequently transmit ADS-B implementation by 2020. signals from aircraft to ANSPs mitigating the Since then, many national civil aviation reliance on land-based receivers. The authorities have taken on the technology company has gone one step further to combine which allows an aircraft to automatically and this technology with the data process regularly broadcast data from onboard systems capabilities of FlightAware to launch with pilot intervention to ground receivers GlobalBeacon; a real time tracking system for and, ultimately, ANSPs. In the UAE, DXB is airlines and ANSPs. To date, Aireon – a strat operating ADS-B in conjunction with Wide up – has raised USD$550 million to fund the area multilateration (WAM) and dans has venture whilst the reported costs to individual indicated their intention to invest in this aircraft to comply with ADS-B ranges from system for DWC as well. USD$2,000 to above USD$20,000. With ADS technology, airline operators and However, the future of this technology will ATCs have access to more accurate and timely also support air traffic movements around information on any given aircraft’s position airports. Rather than just broadcasting out improving. This improved predictability information, aircraft can receive data from allows ATCs to confidently reduce the ATC and surrounding aircraft. FAA is separation times between aircrafts increasing maturing the ADS-B technology both IN and capacity and accuracy of scheduling. The OUT to manage intervals between aircraft as result is more flights, less delays and greater part of the growing trend to automate ATCM commercial outcomes for airports and airlines. systems. Co-located with TRENDS IN AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL: OPPORTUNITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST 3. Instrument Landing System (ILS) Whilst the basic principal of guiding a pilot to land via developing GBAS technology to cover Cat II and III instrument with the support of radio navigation has and overcome ionospheric disturbances through dual remained unchanged, the advent of the satellite has frequency transmissions. resulted in the next incarnation of ILS; GBAS (Ground Base Augmentation System). The next generation ILS Furthermore, the system also purports to be able to offers much greater accuracy to the pilot for Cat I support multiple glide paths to an airport tailored to approaches through satellites and requires only one specific aircraft. The industry had been slow to uptake single frequency on the VHF transmission. The the technology however; NATS studied arriving benefits of GBAS is more accuracy for pilots; less aircraft to the Dubai to model savings on fuel, relief on infrastructure and cost requirements for airports; ATC workload and reliability achieved by a GBAS suitability to more airports than ILS technology; and system. Subsequently, and perhaps fuelled by the fuel saving approaches. average 105 flights affected each of the 156 fog days However, it is currently limited to only Cat I experienced in Dubai, dans has supported the use of conditions. Subsequently, both FAA and SESAR are this technology at their airports. Co-located with TRENDS IN AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL: OPPORTUNITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST Automation and consolidation ATCM is really a conglomeration of a series calculation. The best possible route is of systems, technology and infrastructure calculated, and the pilot is guided by a series designed to manage and anticipate air craft of green lights. It reduces human error born movements.
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