FORTUM Power and Heat Company in the Nordic Area, Russia, Poland and the Baltics
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FORTUM Power and heat company in the Nordic area, Russia, Poland and the Baltics Investor/Analyst material June 2012 Disclaimer This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Fortum shares. Past performance is no guide to future performance, and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial adviser. 2 Content Fortum today, pages 4 -17 European and Nordic power markets, pages 19 - 30 Data on Fortum’s nuclear fleet, pages 31 - 37 Russia, pages 39 - 46 Data on capacity payments, pages 42 - 43 Fortum’s investment programme, page 46 Financials and outlook, pages 48 – 56 Hedges, pages 54 - 55 More than 100,000 shareholders • Power and heat company in the Nordic countries, Russia, Poland and the Baltics • Listed at the Helsinki Stock Exchange since 1998 • Among the most traded shares on the NASDAQ OMX Helsinki stock exchange • Market cap ~13 billion euros Households 8.6% Financial and insurance institutions 3.1% Other Finnish investors 10.0% Finnish State 50.8% Foreign investors 27.5% 31 May 2012 4 Capital returns Dividend per share EUR 1.35 1.26 1.12 • Dividend 2011 EUR 1.00 Total ~ 8,630 MEUR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 per share, in total ~EUR 0.58 0.53 0.9 billion 0.58 0.54 • Dividend policy of 50-60% 0.42 payout of previous year's 0.26 0.31 0.23 0.77 0.73 results on the average 0.13 0.18 0.58 1998 19992000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 72% 103% 78% 58% 68% 68% 50% 5 Organisational structure Business President and CEO Staff Functions Divisions Tapio Kuula Power (Espoo) Executive Vice President Matti Ruotsala Finance Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Heat (Stockholm) Juha Laaksonen Executive Vice President Per Langer Corporate Relations and Strategy Executive Vice President Russia (Chelyabinsk) Anne Brunila Executive Vice President Alexander Chuvaev Corporate Human Resources Senior Vice President Mikael Frisk Electricity Solutions and Distribution (Espoo) Executive Vice President Timo Karttinen Country responsibles: Timo Karttinen / Finland, Norway; Per Langer / Sweden, Poland, Baltics; Alexander Chuvaev / Russia 6 Fortum’s Mission and Strategy Mission Fortum’s purpose is to create energy that improves life for present and future generations. We provide sustainable solutions that fulfill the needs for low emissions, resource efficiency and energy supply security, and deliver excellent value to our shareholders. Strategy Leverage the strong Create solid earnings Build platform for Nordic core growth in Russia future growth Competence in CO2-free hydro, nuclear and energy efficient CHP production, and energy markets 7 Strategy builds on our competences and industry beliefs Two strong Competitiveness Integrating European More attractive platforms for key for long term energy markets and growth prospects growth value creation a gradual decrease in power and heat in the weight of the generation Nordic power price • Nordic power • Sustainable • Leverage our •Electricity wholesale and business models competences in solutions and heat market cannot rely on a nuclear, hydro and distribution part of • Russian power continuous high CHP the Nordic core and heat level of subsidies • Industrial restructuring market opportunities StrongStrong focusfocus onon deliveringdelivering valuevalue andand stablestable returnsreturns toto shareholdersshareholders 8 Our geographical presence today Nr 1 Heat Key figures 2011 Nordic countries Sales EUR 6.2 bn Operating profit EUR 2.4 bn Nr 1 Distribution Power generation 53.1 TWh Balance sheet EUR 23 bn Heat sales 17.2 TWh Personnel 10,800 Nr 2 Power Distribution customers 1.6 million generation Electricity customers 1.2 million Nr 2 Electricity sales Russia OAO Fortum Power generation 17.4 TWh Great Britain Heat sales 26.7 TWh Power generation 1.2 TWh TGC-1 (~25%) Heat sales 2.1 TWh Power generation ~7 TWh Heat sales ~8 TWh Poland Baltic countries Power generation 0.6 TWh Power generation 0.4 TWh Heat sales 4.3 TWh Heat sales 1.1 TWh Distribution cust. ~24,000* * Distribution business sold Jan 1, 2012 9 Divisions of Fortum Business Power Division Heat Division Russia Division Electricity Solutions and description Fortum’s power generation, Combined heat and power Power and heat generation Distribution Division physical operation and generation, district heating and sales in Russia. It Fortum's electricity sales and trading as well as expert and cooling activities and includes OAO Fortum and distribution activities. Two services for power b- to-b heating solutions. Fortum’s slightly over 25% business areas: Distribution producers. holding in TGC-1. and Electricity Sales. Comparable operating EUR 1,201 million EUR 278 millionEUR 74 million Distr.: EUR 295 million profit El. sales: EUR 27 million EUR 6,247 million EUR 4,191 million EUR 3,273 million Distr.: EUR 3,589 million Net assets El. sales: EUR 11 million Volume Nordic generation 48.1 Heat sales 22.6 Power sales.: 20.2 Distr.net. 26.1, reg.net. 16.7 (TWh) Power sales: 6.2 Heat sales.: 26.7 El. sales: 14.4 Drivers Nordic power price, Fuel mix, heat and New capacity, and price for Distr.: Regulated generation volumes power price that, power and heat price El. sales: Sales margin 10 Fortum mid-sized European power generation player; Global #4 in heat Power generation Heat production Customers Largest producers in Europe and Russia, 2010 Largest global producers, 2010 Electricity customers in EU, 2010 TWh TWh millions EDF *) IES Enel E.ON Gazprom EDF Enel Dalkia E.ON RWE Fortum RWE ***) GDF SUEZ Vattenfall Iberdrola Gazprom **) SUEK Rosenergoatom Onexim CEZ Vattenfall Bashkirenergo DEI Inter RAO UES Irkutskenergo Centrica Iberdrola RAO ES East EDP NNEGC Energoat. Inter RAO UES Vattenfall RusHydro TGC-2 GDF SUEZ Fortum Tatenergo SSE CEZ Lukoil EnBW EnBW Kievenergo PGE *) IES Minsk Energo Gas Natural Irkutskenergo Dong Energy Fenosa Statkraft KDHC, Korea Tauron PGE PGNiG Fortum SSE TGC-14 Dong Energy DEI ELCEN, Rom. Hafslund 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0204010 30 * incl. TGC-5, TGC-6, TGC-7, TGC-9, ** incl. TGC-12, TGC-13, *** incl. International Power Source: Company information, Fortum analyses, 2010 figures pro forma, heat production of Beijing DH not available. 11 12 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 TWh Biggest nuclearandhydrogener 50 0 Figures 2010 pro forma 2010pro Figures EDF Rosenergoatom E.ON NNEGC Energoatom Enel RusHydro Vattenfall GDF SUEZ Irkutskenergo Statkraft RWE Iberdrola Fortum EnBW CEZ Verbund Krasnoyarskaya HPP ators inEuropeandRussia Axpo Hidroelectrica EDP Gazprom Alpiq Ukrhydroenergo EPS, Serbia Gas Natural Fenosa E-CO Energi Norsk Hydro DEI Agder Energi Edison Total generation BKK Inter RAO UES Hydro Other Nuclear SSE PGE IES Fortum's carbon exposure among the lowest in Europe g CO2/kWh electricity, 2010 2011 1000 65% of Fortum's total power generation CO2-free 85% of Fortum’s power generation in the EU CO2-free 800 Close to 100% of the ongoing investment programme in the EU CO2-free 600 Average 337 g/kWh 400 200 189 0 84 DEI SSE Enel CEZ EDF EDP Drax PVO RWE Dong E.ON Statkraft Verbund Iberdrola Vattenfall Fortum EU Fortum total Union Fenosa Source: PWC & Enerpresse, Novembre 2011 Changement climatique et Électricité, Fortum GDF SUEZ Europe Note: Fortum’s specific emission of the power generation in 2011 in the EU were 88 g/kWh and in total 192 g/kWh. 13 Figures for all other companies include only European generation. Fortum’s strategic route Divestment of Länsivoima Länsivoima Elnova Separation of Divestment of non-strategic E.ON Finland 45%→65% →100% 50%→100% oil businesses Fingrid shares heat business 19961997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Neste IVO Stora Birka Energi Divestment of Divestment of Divestment of Gullspång Birka Energi Østfold 50% Fortum Kraft 50% → 100% Lenenergo heat operations non-strategic 50% Stockholm shares outside of heat business Shares in Skandinaviska Stockholm Hafslund Starting Elverk Gullspång TGC-10 TGC-1 Stockholm Shares in Energi Lenenergo District heat in Poland Lenenergo 2003 → shares 1998 → 14 Fortum in the Nordic electricity value chain Nordic Large customers wholesale Generation market Retail companies Power exchanges and bilateral Competitive Private customers, small businesses businesses Regulated Transmission and Distribution businesses system services Independent transmission Independent system operator distribution companies 15 Fortum's European power and heat production Fortum's European Fortum's European power generation in 2011 heat production in 2011 Nuclear power Coal 26% Biomass fuels 45% 24% Other 1% Biomass 3% Other 4% Natural gas 4% Peat 3% Natural gas Waste 4% 22% Coal 9% Oil 5% Hydro power 38% Heat pumps, electricity 12% European generation 55.3 TWh European production 22.0 TWh (Generation capacity 11,422 MW) (Production capacity 10,625 MW) 16 Fortum a forerunner in sustainability • Dow Jones Sustainability Index World – Fortum is the only Nordic power and heat company listed in the index • SAM Sustainability Yearbook 2010, 2011 and 2012 • STOXX® Global ESG Leaders indices • oekom • OMX GES Sustainability Finland Index • Storebrand SRI (Fortum, the most responsible electricity company globally in 2006 and 2009) • Carbon Disclosure Project (sector leader in CDLI index in 2011) 17 Fortum today, pages 4 -17 European and Nordic power markets, pages 19 - 30 Data on Fortum’s nuclear fleet, pages 31 - 37 Russia, pages 38 - 45 Data on capacity payments, pages 42 - 43 Fortum’s investment