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Walter Heller Oral History Interview II, 12/21/71, by David G
LYNDON BAINES JOHNSON LIBRARY ORAL HISTORY COLLECTION LBJ Library 2313 Red River Street Austin, Texas 78705 http://www.lbjlib.utexas.edu/johnson/archives.hom/biopage.asp WALTER HELLER ORAL HISTORY, INTERVIEW II PREFERRED CITATION For Internet Copy: Transcript, Walter Heller Oral History Interview II, 12/21/71, by David G. McComb, Internet Copy, LBJ Library. For Electronic Copy on Compact Disc from the LBJ Library: Transcript, Walter Heller Oral History Interview II, 12/21/71, by David G. McComb, Electronic Copy, LBJ Library. GENERAL SERVICES ADNINISTRATION NATIONAL ARCHIVES AND RECORDS SERVICE LYNDON BAINES JOHNSON LIBRARY Legal Agreement Pertaining to the Oral History Interviews of Walter W. Heller In accordance with the provisions of Chapter 21 of Title 44, United States Code and subject to the terms and conditions hereinafter· set forth, I, Walter W. Heller of Minneapolis, Minnesota do hereby give, donate and convey to the United States of America all my rights, title and interest in the tape record- ings and transcripts of the personal interviews conducted on February 20, 1970 and December 21,1971 in Minneapolis, Minnesota and prepared for deposit in the Lyndon Baines Johnson Library. This assignment is subject to the following terms and conditions: (1) The edited transcripts shall be available for use by researchers as soon as they have been deposited in the Lyndon Baines Johnson Library. (2) The tape recordings shall not be available to researchers. (3) During my lifetime I retain all copyright in the material given to the United States by the terms of this instrument. Thereafter the copyright in the edited transcripts shall pass to the United States Government. -
Kermit Gordon and Walter W
Kermit Gordon and Walter W. Heller Oral History Interview –JFK #2, 9/14/1972 Administrative Information Creator: Kermit Gordon and Walter W. Heller Interviewer: Larry J. Hackman and Joseph A. Pechman Date of Interview: September 14, 1972 Place of Interview: Washington, D.C. Length: 50 pp. Biographical Note Gordon, Kermit; Economist, Member, Council of Economic Advisers (1961-1962). Heller, Walter W.; Economist, Chairman, Council of Economic Advisers (1961-1964). Gordon and Heller discuss wage-price guideposts, the steel crises in 1962 and 1963, John F. Kennedy’s [JFK] relationship with the business community, and their efforts regarding tax reform and a tax cut bill, among other issues. Access Restrictions No restrictions. Usage Restrictions Copyright of these materials have passed to the United States Government upon the death of the interviewees. Users of these materials are advised to determine the copyright status of any document from which they wish to publish. Copyright The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Under certain conditions specified in the law, libraries and archives are authorized to furnish a photocopy or other reproduction. One of these specified conditions is that the photocopy or reproduction is not to be “used for any purpose other than private study, scholarship, or research.” If a user makes a request for, or later uses, a photocopy or reproduction for purposes in excesses of “fair use,” that user may be liable for copyright infringement. This institution reserves the right to refuse to accept a copying order if, in its judgment, fulfillment of the order would involve violation of copyright law. -
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES ARTIFICIAL STATES Alberto
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES ARTIFICIAL STATES Alberto Alesina William Easterly Janina Matuszeski Working Paper 12328 http://www.nber.org/papers/w12328 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 June 2006 We thank Jean Marie Baland, Alberto Bravo-Biosca, Ernesto dal Bo, Ashley Lester, and participants at conferences at Brown, NBER and a seminar at Harvard for useful comments. For much needed help with maps we thank Patrick Florance, Kimberly Karish and Michael Oltmans. Alesina gratefully acknowledges financial support from the NSF with a grant trough NBER. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. ©2006 by Alberto Alesina, William Easterly and Janina Matuszeski. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Artificial States Alberto Alesina, William Easterly and Janina Matuszeski NBER Working Paper No. 12328 June 2006 JEL No. F43, F50 ABSTRACT Artificial states are those in which political borders do not coincide with a division of nationalities desired by the people on the ground. We propose and compute for all countries in the world two new measures how artificial states are. One is based on measuring how borders split ethnic groups into two separate adjacent countries. The other one measures how straight land borders are, under the assumption the straight land borders are more likely to be artificial. We then show that these two measures seem to be highly correlated with several measures of political and economic success. -
Investment Insights
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICE Investment Insights AUGUST 2017 Matthew Diczok A Focus on the Fed Head of Fixed Income Strategy An Overview of the Federal Reserve System and a Look at Potential Personnel Changes SUMMARY After years of accommodative policy, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is on its path to policy normalization. The Fed forecasts another rate hike in late 2017, and three hikes in each of the next two years. The Fed also plans to taper reinvestments of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, gradually reducing its balance sheet. The market thinks differently. Emboldened by inflation persistently below target, it expects the Fed to move significantly more slowly, with only one to three rate hikes between now and early 2019. One way or another, this discrepancy will be reconciled, with important implications for asset prices and yields. Against this backdrop, changes in personnel at the Fed are very important, and have been underappreciated by markets. The Fed has three open board seats, and the Chair and Vice Chair are both up for reappointment in 2018. If the administration appoints a Fed Chair and Vice Chair who are not currently governors, then there will be five new, permanent voting members who determine rate moves—almost half of the 12-member committee. This would be unprecedented in the modern era. Similar to its potential influence on the Supreme Court, this administration has the ability to set the tone of monetary policy for many years into the future. Most rumored candidates share philosophical leanings at odds with the current board; they are generally hawkish relative to current policy, favor rules-based decision-making over discretionary, and are unconvinced that successive rounds of quantitative easing were beneficial. -
Front Matter To" Modeling the Distribution and Intergenerational
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Modeling the Distribution and Intergenerational Transmission of Wealth Volume Author/Editor: James D. Smith, ed. Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-76454-0 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/smit80-1 Publication Date: 1980 Chapter Title: Front matter "Modeling the Distribution and Intergenerational Transmission of Wealth Chapter Author: James D. Smith Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c7441 Chapter pages in book: (p. -10 - 0) This Page Intentionally Left Blank Modeling the Distribution and Intergenerational Transmission of Wealth Studies in Income and Wealth [\FE Volume 46 i= -1 National Bureau of Economic Research Conference on Research in Income and Wealth Modeling the Distribution and Intergenerational Transmission of Wealth Editedby James D. Smith -423- The University of Chicago Press iww Chicago and London JAMES D. SMITHis Senior Project Director, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637 The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London 87 86 85 84 83 82 81 80 5 4 3 2 1 @ 1980 by the National Bureau of Economic Research All rights reserved. Published 1980 Printed in the United States of America Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data Main entry under title: Modeling the distribution and intergenerational trans- mission of wealth. (Studies in income and wealth ; v. 46) Includes indexes. 1. Wealth-United States-Addresses, essays, lec- tures. 2. Inheritance and succession-United States- Addresses, essays, lectures. I. Smith, James D. 11. Series: Conference on Research in Income and Wealth. -
Interview of Stanley Fischer by Olivier Blanchard
UBRARIBS Digitized by the Internet Archive in 2011 with funding from Boston Library Consortium IVIember Libraries http://www.archive.org/details/interviewofstanlOOblan 2 DEWEY HB31 .M415 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Economics Working Paper Series Interview of Stanley Fischer By Olivier Blanchard Working Paper 05-1 April 1 9, 2005 Room E52-251 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 021 42 This paper can be downloaded without charge from the Social Science Research Networl< Paper Collection at http://ssrn.com/abstract=707821 MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY APR 2 6 2005 LIBRARIES Interview of Stanley Fischer, by Olivier Blanchard.i Abstract Stanley Fischer is a macroeconomist par excellence. After three careers, the first in academia at Chicago, and at MIT, the second at the World Bank and at the International Monetary Fund, the third in the private sector at Citigroup, he is starting a fourth, as the head of the Central Bank of Israel. This interview, to be published in Macroeconomic Dynamics, took place in April 2004, before the start of his fourth career. This interview took place long before Stan had any idea he would become Governor of the Bank of Israel, a position he took up in May 2005. We have not changed the text to reflect this latest stage. Introduction. The interview took place in April 2004 in my office at the Russell Sage Foundation in New York City, where I was spending a sabbatical year. We completed it while running together in Central Park during the following weeks. Our meeting at Russell Sage was just like the many meetings we have had over the years. -
Report to the President on the Activities of the Council of Economic Advisers During 2009
APPENDIX A REPORT TO THE PRESIDENT ON THE ACTIVITIES OF THE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS DURING 2009 letter of transmittal Council of Economic Advisers Washington, D.C., December 31, 2009 Mr. President: The Council of Economic Advisers submits this report on its activities during calendar year 2009 in accordance with the requirements of the Congress, as set forth in section 10(d) of the Employment Act of 1946 as amended by the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978. Sincerely, Christina D. Romer, Chair Austan Goolsbee, Member Cecilia Elena Rouse, Member 307 Council Members and Their Dates of Service Name Position Oath of office date Separation date Edwin G. Nourse Chairman August 9, 1946 November 1, 1949 Leon H. Keyserling Vice Chairman August 9, 1946 Acting Chairman November 2, 1949 Chairman May 10, 1950 January 20, 1953 John D. Clark Member August 9, 1946 Vice Chairman May 10, 1950 February 11, 1953 Roy Blough Member June 29, 1950 August 20, 1952 Robert C. Turner Member September 8, 1952 January 20, 1953 Arthur F. Burns Chairman March 19, 1953 December 1, 1956 Neil H. Jacoby Member September 15, 1953 February 9, 1955 Walter W. Stewart Member December 2, 1953 April 29, 1955 Raymond J. Saulnier Member April 4, 1955 Chairman December 3, 1956 January 20, 1961 Joseph S. Davis Member May 2, 1955 October 31, 1958 Paul W. McCracken Member December 3, 1956 January 31, 1959 Karl Brandt Member November 1, 1958 January 20, 1961 Henry C. Wallich Member May 7, 1959 January 20, 1961 Walter W. Heller Chairman January 29, 1961 November 15, 1964 James Tobin Member January 29, 1961 July 31, 1962 Kermit Gordon Member January 29, 1961 December 27, 1962 Gardner Ackley Member August 3, 1962 Chairman November 16, 1964 February 15, 1968 John P. -
The Transformation of Economic Analysis at the Federal Reserve During the 1960S
The Transformation of Economic Analysis at the Federal Reserve during the 1960s by Juan Acosta and Beatrice Cherrier CHOPE Working Paper No. 2019-04 January 2019 The transformation of economic analysis at the Federal Reserve during the 1960s Juan Acosta (Université de Lille) and Beatrice Cherrier (CNRS-THEMA, University of Cergy Pontoise) November 2018 Abstract: In this paper, we build on data on Fed officials, oral history repositories, and hitherto under-researched archival sources to unpack the torturous path toward crafting an institutional and intellectual space for postwar economic analysis within the Federal Reserve. We show that growing attention to new macroeconomic research was a reaction to both mounting external criticisms against the Fed’s decision- making process and a process internal to the discipline whereby institutionalism was displaced by neoclassical theory and econometrics. We argue that the rise of the number of PhD economists working at the Fed is a symptom rather than a cause of this transformation. Key to our story are a handful of economists from the Board of Governors’ Division of Research and Statistics (DRS) who paradoxically did not always held a PhD but envisioned their role as going beyond mere data accumulation and got involved in large-scale macroeconometric model building. We conclude that the divide between PhD and non-PhD economists may not be fully relevant to understand both the shift in the type of economics practiced at the Fed and the uses of this knowledge in the decision making-process. Equally important was the rift between different styles of economic analysis. 1 I. -
A Tribute to George Perry and William Brainard
10922-01_Gordon_REV.qxd 1/25/08 11:05 AM Page 1 ROBERT J. GORDON Northwestern University A Tribute to George Perry and William Brainard YOUNGER READERS OF THIS volume may not appreciate how creative was the invention of the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, how much it changed the way applied economics is communicated, and how magic has been its appeal to economists young and old, the novices and the famous, over its many years of operation. Within ten years of its creation, it had become one of the four most circulated academic journals in economics. The Brookings Papers started at 1:30 p.m. on Thursday, April 16, 1970, with my first paper on the Phillips curve,1 which was discussed by none other than George Perry and Robert Solow. Right from the start, the Brookings Papers was the place to go to for up-to-date analysis of the macroeconomic puzzles of the day. A scorecard of frequent contributors to the Brookings Papers over the years would include many of the great and famous economists of our day: not just Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke, but other luminaries including Olivier Blanchard, Rudiger Dornbusch, Stanley Fischer, Paul Krugman, Jeffrey Sachs, and Lawrence Summers, not to mention the Nobel Prize contingent of George Akerlof, Franco Modigliani, Edmund Phelps, Robert Solow, and James Tobin. It is a supreme tribute to Perry and Brainard— and to Arthur Okun, the journal’s cofounder with Perry—that, when they asked, these people came, whether they were famous then or would become so only later. -
Fairness and Redistribution
Fairness and Redistribution By ALBERTO ALESINA AND GEORGE-MARIOS ANGELETOS* Different beliefs about the fairness of social competition and what determines income inequality influence the redistributive policy chosen in a society. But the composition of income in equilibrium depends on tax policies. We show how the interaction between social beliefs and welfare policies may lead to multiple equi- libria or multiple steady states. If a society believes that individual effort determines income, and that all have a right to enjoy the fruits of their effort, it will choose low redistribution and low taxes. In equilibrium, effort will be high and the role of luck will be limited, in which case market outcomes will be relatively fair and social beliefs will be self-fulfilled. If, instead, a society believes that luck, birth, connec- tions, and/or corruption determine wealth, it will levy high taxes, thus distorting allocations and making these beliefs self-sustained as well. These insights may help explain the cross-country variation in perceptions about income inequality and choices of redistributive policies. (JEL D31, E62, H2, P16) Pre-tax inequality is higher in the United support the poor; an important dimension of States than in continental West European coun- redistribution is legislation, and in particular the tries (“Europe” hereafter). For example, the regulation of labor and product markets, which Gini coefficient in the pre-tax income distribu- are much more intrusive in Europe than in the tion in the United States is 38.5, while in Europe United States.1 it is 29.1. Nevertheless, redistributive policies The coexistence of high pre-tax inequality are more extensive in Europe, where the income and low redistribution is prima facia inconsis- tax structure is more progressive and the overall tent with both the Meltzer-Richard paradigm of size of government is about 50 percent larger redistribution and the Mirrlees paradigm of so- (that is, about 30 versus 45 percent of GDP). -
Stanley Fischer
Stanley Fischer: Monetary policy - by rule, by committee, or by both? Speech by Mr Stanley Fischer, Vice Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, at the 2017 US Monetary Policy Forum, sponsored by the Initiative on Global Markets at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, New York City, 3 March 2017. * * * In recent years, reforms in the monetary policy decisionmaking process in central banks have been in the direction of an increasing number of monetary policy committees and fewer single decisionmakers – the lone governor model.1 We are only a few months away from the 20th anniversary of the introduction of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, just a few years after the 300th birthday of the venerable Old Lady of Threadneedle Street. The Bank of Israel moved from a single policymaker to a monetary policy committee in 2010, while I was governor there; more recently, central banks in India and New Zealand have handed over monetary policy to committees. The Federal Reserve is not part of this recent shift, however. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has been responsible for monetary policy decisions in the United States since it was established by the Banking Act of 1935, two decades after the founding of the Fed itself.2 The movement toward committees reflects the advantages of committees in aggregating a wide range of information, perspectives, and models. Despite the prevalence and importance of committees in modern central banking, the role of committees in the formulation of policy -
(US PROGRAMMING) - JAN, 2019 (1/7/2019 - 1/13/2019) Date Updated:12/13/2018 6:40:14 PM
MONTHLY GRID (US PROGRAMMING) - JAN, 2019 (1/7/2019 - 1/13/2019) Date Updated:12/13/2018 6:40:14 PM MON (1/7/2019) TUE (1/8/2019) WED (1/9/2019) THU (1/10/2019) FRI (1/11/2019) SAT (1/12/2019) SUN (1/13/2019) 05:00A 05:00 AM WORLDWIDE EXCHANGE 05:00 AM WORLDWIDE EXCHANGE 05:00 AM WORLDWIDE EXCHANGE 05:00 AM WORLDWIDE EXCHANGE 05:00 AM WORLDWIDE EXCHANGE 05:00 AM AMERICAN GREED 43B - 05:00 AM THE PROFIT: HIGH 05:00A THE BLING RING CNAMG043B0KH STAKES (PRIME TIME BUG) 05:30A 05:30 AM ON THE MONEY 05:30A CNOTM01129H 06:00A 06:00 AM SQUAWK BOX 06:00 AM SQUAWK BOX 06:00 AM SQUAWK BOX 06:00 AM SQUAWK BOX 06:00 AM SQUAWK BOX 06:00 AM OPTIONS ACTION (2 LINE 06:00 AM OPTIONS ACTION (2 LINE 06:00A TICKER/NO BUGSTACK) TICKER/NO BUGSTACK) 06:30A 06:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 06:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 06:30A 07:00A 07:00 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 07:00 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 07:00A 07:30A 07:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 07:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 07:30A 08:00A 08:00 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 08:00 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 08:00A 08:30A 08:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 08:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 08:30A 09:00A 09:00 AM SQUAWK ON THE STREET 09:00 AM SQUAWK ON THE STREET 09:00 AM SQUAWK ON THE STREET 09:00 AM SQUAWK ON THE STREET 09:00 AM SQUAWK ON THE STREET 09:00 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 09:00 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 09:00A 09:30A 09:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 09:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 09:30A 10:00A 10:00 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 10:00 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 10:00A 10:30A 10:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 10:30 AM PAID PROGRAMMING 10:30A 11:00A 11:00 AM SQUAWK ALLEY (2 LINE 11:00 AM SQUAWK ALLEY (2 LINE 11:00 AM SQUAWK