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Rebuilding Iraq: an Assessment of the U.S.-Led Statebuilding in Iraq (2003-2011)

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Rebuilding Iraq: an Assessment of the U.S.-Led Statebuilding in Iraq (2003-2011) Leiden University – Faculty of Governance and Global Affairs Rebuilding Iraq: an Assessment of the U.S.-led Statebuilding In Iraq (2003-2011) Master Thesis MSc Crisis and Security Management Written by: Karen de Brouwer Student Number: s2073218 Supervised by: Dr. Ernst Dijxhoorn Leiden University- Faculty of Governance and Global Affairs Program- MSc Crisis and Security Management (September Intake) Date of Submission – June 10th, 2018 Word Count – 20, 568 (excluding Table of Contents, references and footnotes). Table of Contents List of Abbreviations ................................................................................................................ 4 Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 5 Societal Relevance .................................................................................................................... 7 Academic Relevance ................................................................................................................ 7 Reading Guide ......................................................................................................................... 8 Chapter 1: Theoretical and Methodological Underpinnings ............................................. 10 Theoretical Framework ......................................................................................................... 10 Neo-Weberian Institutionalism and the Theory on the State and Statebuilding ............... 10 Neo-Weberian Institutionalism implications for the Practice of Statebuilding ................ 12 U.S. Statebuilding in Practice ........................................................................................... 13 Main Critiques and Prescriptions for Statebuilding ............................................................. 14 Location of this Research within the Body of Knowledge ............................................... 15 Methodology ......................................................................................................................... 16 Data Gathering .................................................................................................................. 17 Data Exploitation .............................................................................................................. 18 Chapter 2: Context ................................................................................................................. 20 The War on Terror and the Bush Doctrine ........................................................................... 20 Iraq- the next step in the War on Terror............................................................................ 21 Going to War ..................................................................................................................... 22 The origins of the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) ................................................... 23 The Issuance of Coalition Provisional Authority Orders 1 and 2 ..................................... 24 Chapter 3: Establishing Security and the Strength of the Iraqi State .............................. 26 Strategic Planning for Post-war Iraq and its clash with reality: ........................................... 27 Coalition Provisional Authority Order 1- The de-Ba’athification of Iraqi Society .......... 28 Coalition Provisional Authority Order 2- Dissolution of Entities .................................... 29 1 The effects of the Issuance and Implementation of CPA orders 1 and 2 on post-war Iraq’s security and rule of law. ....................................................................................................... 30 CPA Order 2- Dissolution of Entities ............................................................................... 30 CPA Order 1- De-Ba’athification of Iraqi Society ........................................................... 31 Evolution of Post-war Iraqi Security Environment .............................................................. 36 2003 -2005 –The Immediate Post-war context and deterioration of the Iraqi Security Environment ...................................................................................................................... 36 2006- 2007- The Iraqi Civil war ....................................................................................... 37 2007 – 2011 – testing the Statebuilding 3.0 model and Counterinsurgency Strategy ...... 37 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................ 39 Chapter 4: Restoring Essential Services and the Scope dimension of the Iraqi State ..... 41 Efforts of the U.S.-led coalition to enhance Public Services Provision in Iraq (2003-2011)42 Planning and Assumptions ..................................................................................................... 43 The influence of public expectations on service provision´s effect on state legitimacy ... 46 The impact of CPA Order 1 on the Restoration of Public Services ..................................... 48 The impact of CPA Order 2 on the Restoration of Public Services ..................................... 50 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................ 52 Chapter 5: The Democratization of Iraq ............................................................................. 53 Democracy in Liberal Peacebuilding and the Ambitions for Iraq ........................................ 54 Transition towards Democracy- Drafting a new Constitution and the Elections of 2005 and 2010 ...................................................................................................................................... 55 The January 2005 Elections and the Transitional National Assembly ............................. 56 Drafting a New Iraqi Constitution .................................................................................... 58 December 2005 elections .................................................................................................. 58 The National Elections of 2010. ....................................................................................... 60 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................ 62 Chapter 6: Conclusion ........................................................................................................... 65 2 The effects of CPA orders 1 and 2 on the U.S.-led Statebuilding intervention in Iraq (2003- 2011) ..................................................................................................................................... 65 Limitations and Pitfalls ......................................................................................................... 68 Recommendations for Statebuilding Practitioners ............................................................... 69 References ............................................................................................................................... 71 Academic Articles ................................................................................................................ 71 News Articles ....................................................................................................................... 77 Databases and Surveys ......................................................................................................... 77 Statements and Official Documents .................................................................................... 78 Annexes ................................................................................................................................... 79 Annex 1- CPA order 1- de-Ba’athification of Iraqi Society ................................................. 79 Annex 2- CPA order 2- Dissolution of Entities .................................................................... 81 3 List of Abbreviations CPA – Coalition Provisional Authority ORHA - Organization for Reconstruction and Humanitarian Affairs HNDC - Higher National de-Ba’athification Commission OECD - Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development UN - United Nations Organization CFM - Counterinsurgency Field Manual IGC – Iraqi Governing Council OIF – Operation Iraqi Freedom NIA – New Iraqi Army ISG – Iraq Study Group TNA – Transitional National Assembly TAL – Transitional Administrative Law AJC – Accountability and Justice Commission AJL – Accountability and Justice Law UIA – United Iraqi Alliance IHEC - Iraqi Independent Higher Electoral Committee IAF – Iraqi Accord Front DPAK – Democratic Patriotic Alliance of Kurdistan COIN – Counterinsurgency 4 Introduction Up until 2002, Iraq was “still a sovereign state, with government institutions able to deliver standard public goods to its people”1, with a strong security apparatus, relatively low corruption and practically nonexistent terrorist activity. Overall, “while the national sphere lacked political and civil society activities, security and stability were maintained”2 . This image contrasts severely with what we have come to associate with Iraq over the last fifteen years. As of 2018, Iraq is considered to be one of the most unstable, insecure and fragile states in the world.3 The country suffers from widespread insecurity, mounting sectarianism, and insufficient provision
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