DOCSLIB.ORG

VALP Modelling

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
VALP Modelling VALP Modelling BCC NE Bucks Local Plan Tests -Technical Report TN02 | 2 30/05/19 BCC NE B ucks Loc al Plan T ests -Tec hnical Report BCC NE Bucks Local Plan Tests -Technical Report VALP Modelling Project No: BRJ10150 Document Title: NE Bucks Local Plan Tests -Technical Report Document No.: TN02 Revision: 2 Date: 30/05/19 Client Name: BCC Client No: BCC Project Manager: Mily Parveen Author: Catherine Hill File Name: M:\Transport Modelling\BRJ10150 VALP Model Runs\Technical Work\Reports\Countywide modelling report\Countywide Modelling Report- VALP 290519.docx Jacobs U.K. Limited NONE www.jacobs.com © Copyright 2019 Jacobs U.K. Limited. The concepts and information contained in this document are the property of Jacobs. Use or copying of this document in whole or in part without the written permission of Jacobs constitutes an infringement of copyright. Limitation: This document has been prepared on behalf of, and for the exclusive use of Jacobs’ client, and is subject to, and issued in accordance with, the provisions of the contract between Jacobs and the client. Jacobs accepts no liability or responsibility whatsoever for, or in respect of, any use of, or reliance upon, this document by any third party. Document history and status Revision Date Description By Review Approved 0 28/02/19 Draft CH TW MP 1 09/04/19 Revision after client comment CH/TP MP MP 2 30/05/19 Revision after client comment CH/TP MP MP TN02 1 NE Bucks Local Plan Tests -Technical Report Contents 1. Introduction ....................................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 Background ........................................................................................................................................ 4 1.2 Scope of study .................................................................................................................................... 4 1.3 Development scenarios ...................................................................................................................... 4 1.4 Mitigation options ................................................................................................................................ 5 1.5 Structure of report ............................................................................................................................... 5 2. Modelling Methodology ................................................................................................................... 6 2.1 Overview ............................................................................................................................................. 6 3. Development Scenarios ................................................................................................................... 8 3.1 Overview ............................................................................................................................................. 8 3.2 Development summary....................................................................................................................... 8 3.2.1 Do Something ..................................................................................................................................... 9 4. Mitigation options ........................................................................................................................... 10 4.1 Overview ........................................................................................................................................... 10 4.2 Option generation ............................................................................................................................. 10 4.3 Options for appraisal ........................................................................................................................ 10 5. Results ............................................................................................................................................. 12 5.1 Overview ........................................................................................................................................... 12 5.1.1 Congestion ratio ............................................................................................................................... 12 5.1.2 Change in travel time ........................................................................................................................ 12 5.2 Summary of impacts ......................................................................................................................... 14 5.2.1 DM Scenario ..................................................................................................................................... 14 5.2.2 DS scenario ...................................................................................................................................... 16 5.2.3 DS1 scenario .................................................................................................................................... 18 5.2.4 DS2 Scenario ................................................................................................................................... 22 5.2.5 DS3 Scenario ................................................................................................................................... 26 5.2.6 DS4 Scenario ................................................................................................................................... 30 5.2.7 DS5 Scenario ................................................................................................................................... 34 5.3 Bletchley Bypass Removal Sensitivity Test...................................................................................... 38 5.3.1 DS Scenario ..................................................................................................................................... 38 5.3.2 DS1 Scenario ................................................................................................................................... 40 5.3.3 DS2 Scenario ................................................................................................................................... 42 5.3.4 DS3 Scenario ................................................................................................................................... 44 5.3.5 DS4 Scenario ................................................................................................................................... 46 5.3.6 DS5 Scenario ................................................................................................................................... 48 6. Summary and conclusion .............................................................................................................. 50 6.1 Summary of results ........................................................................................................................... 50 6.2 Summary of individual development impacts ................................................................................... 51 6.3 Conclusions ...................................................................................................................................... 52 TN02 2 NE Bucks Local Plan Tests -Technical Report Appendix A. Phase 3 Methodology and Assumptions (taken from the Phase 3 Technical Note, Section 2) Appendix B. Congestion Ratio Plots Appendix C. Change in Travel Time Plots TN02 3 NE Bucks Local Plan Tests -Technical Report 1. Introduction 1.1 Background Jacobs is framework consultant to the Transport for Buckinghamshire Alliance (TfB) between Ringway Jacobs and Buckinghamshire County Council (BCC). Under the terms of this contract, Jacobs is commissioned to undertake transport planning, modelling and appraisal projects on behalf of BCC. Jacobs has previously been commissioned to undertake transport modelling assessments of the impacts of Local Plan developments in Buckinghamshire. Work on the first, second and third phase of the Countywide Local Plan Modelling project, which used a strategic transport model of Buckinghamshire, was undertaken and completed as part of that commission. Further details of this work can be found in the Phase One Forecast Modelling Report 1, the Phase Two Forecast Modelling Report 2 and the Phase 3 Technical Note 3. Following the Vale of Aylesbury Local Plan (VALP) Examination in Public (EiP), Buckinghamshire County Council (BCC) and Aylesbury Vale District Council (AVDC) have asked Jacobs to undertake further modelling using updated Aylesbury and Countywide strategic models, as well as local junction models of Buckingham, in order to assess the impacts of the Local Plan in more detail. This report will build on previous Countywide modelling as AVDC have requested an assessment of new sites around Milton Keynes through the use of new forecast scenarios tested through the Countywide model. The additional sites for assessment are at Eaton Leys and Salden Chase Extension with a revision in development quantum at the previously assessed Shenley Park site. The Phase 3 countywide ‘Do something’ (DS) scenario will be retained as a comparator for the purpose of this modelling, and five further DS scenarios will be developed. 1.2 Scope of study The most recent Countywide modelling undertaken was the Phase 3 work, in which ‘Do minimum’, ‘Do something’, and ‘Do something with mitigation’ scenarios were
Load more

Recommended publications
  • High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Supplementary Environmental Statement and Additional Provision 2 Environmental Statement Volume 4 | Off-Route Effects
    HIGH SPEED RAIL (London - West MidLands) Supplementary Environmental Statement and Additional Provision 2 Environmental Statement Volume 4 | Off-route effects High Speed Two (HS2) Limited One Canada Square July 2015 London E14 5AB T 020 7944 4908 X56 E [email protected] SES and AP2 ES 3.4.1 SES AND AP2 ES – VOLUME 4 SES AND AP2 ES – VOLUME 4 www.gov.uk/hs2 HIGH SPEED RAIL (London - West MidLands) Supplementary Environmental Statement and Additional Provision 2 Environmental Statement Volume 4 | Off-route effects July 2015 SES and AP2 ES 3.4.1 High Speed Two (HS2) Limited has been tasked by the Department for Transport (DfT) with managing the delivery of a new national high speed rail network. It is a non-departmental public body wholly owned by the DfT. A report prepared for High Speed Two (HS2) Limited: High Speed Two (HS2) Limited, One Canada Square, London E14 5AB Details of how to obtain further copies are available from HS2 Ltd. Telephone: 020 7944 4908 General email enquiries: [email protected] Website: www.gov.uk/hs2 Copyright © High Speed Two (HS2) Limited, 2015, except where otherwise stated. High Speed Two (HS2) Limited has actively considered the needs of blind and partially sighted people in accessing this document. The text will be made available in full via the HS2 website. The text may be freely downloaded and translated by individuals or organisations for conversion into other accessible formats. If you have other needs in this regard please contact High Speed Two (HS2) Limited. Printed in Great Britain on paper containing at least 75% recycled fibre.
    [Show full text]
  • Joint Note: Development That Should Have Been Assessed As Part of the Cumulative Assessment
    th Joint Statement 26 November 2016 Joint Note: Development that should have been assessed as part of the cumulative assessment Statement on behalf of: LB Hillingdon, Slough BC, South Bucks DC and Bucks CC. 1. Project 1: Western Rail Link to Heathrow th Joint Statement 26 November 2016 Highways England Comment 1.1 The Western Rail Link to Heathrow proposal it not yet either a committed project nor is it the subject of a live application. Its details and effects are not yet known. 1.2 The proposal was announced on 5 February 2014 following consideration of four options by Network Rail. At the time the assessment for the M4 Junctions 3 to 12 Smart Motorway scheme (the "Scheme") was undertaken, the proposal was at “early stages of development” following its inclusion in the Route Utilisation Strategies published in March 2010. As such, it was not at a sufficiently developed stage to be included in the cumulative assessment for the Scheme and did not come within the guidelines set out in Design Manual for Roads and Bridges (“DMRB”) for those committed, reasonably foreseeable developments that should be included in an assessment. It is understood that an application may be brought forward in due course. Any application for the construction of the Western Rail Link will be required to take the M4 Scheme into account when assessing the effect of its proposals, rather than the reverse. 1.3 Network Rail submitted a Scoping Report (Environmental Impact Assessment – Scoping Report, Western Rail Link to Heathrow, Jacobs, April 2015) to the Planning Inspectorate in April 2015 that set the principles of the proposed approach to the construction of the relocated depot.
    [Show full text]
  • Environmental Statement Volume 2 (Appendices) (Part 3)
    PINEWOOD STUDIOS DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK AND FIVE POINTS ROUNDABOUT ENVIRONMENTAL STATEMENT VOLUME 2 (APPENDICES) (PART 3) DOCUMENT NUMBER February 2013 Eiii ENVIRONMENTAL STATEMENT SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONTEXT APPENDIX 13.1 Economic context A1.1 Introduction 1. This socio-economic baseline has been established through the analysis of the change over time of a range of applicable socio-economic indicators. The change over time within each area of impact has been compared. 2. Ward-level, Beaconsfield Constituency, Local Authority and LEP data are not available for every indicator group. A1.2 Economic output and productivity 3. In 2009 Buckinghamshire generated some £10,945 million of GVA, representing 6.1% of the GVA generated across the South East of England. Between 2005 and 2009, GVA in Buckinghamshire increased by 7.1%, although this was below the UK national rate of 12.5% over the same period. Figure 1 shows the change in GVA per head. Figure 1: Change in GVA per head (1999-2009) (current basic prices) 25,000 23,000 21,000 19,000 GVA perGVA head (£) 17,000 15,000 13,000 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 UK Buckinghamshire Source: ONS headline GVA per head by NUTS3 area A1.3 Population 4. Figure 2 shows the indexed change in total population over the 2001-2010 period. During this period, the total population of the PSA increased by 8.0%, compared with increases of 9.0% for South Bucks, 4.0% for the LEP area and 5.3% for the UK as a whole. A comparable trend of total population increase is observed over the 2007-2010 period, during which the total population of the PSA increased by 3.8%, compared with increases of 3.7% for South Bucks, 1.9% for the LEP area and 2.1% for the UK as a whole.
    [Show full text]
  • Sustainability Appraisal for Chiltern and South Bucks District Councils
    Sustainability Appraisal for Chiltern and South Bucks District Councils Regulation 18 Green Belt Preferred Options September 2017 Sustainability Appraisal for Chiltern and South Bucks District Councils Regulation 18 – Green Belt Preferred Options LC-330 Document Control Box Client Chiltern and South Bucks District Councils Sustainability Appraisal of the Chiltern and South Bucks Local Plan Report Title (Regulation 18) Green Belt Preferred Options Status Final Filename LC-330_SBucks_&_Chilterns_GB_SA_18_290917DS Date September 2017 Author DS Reviewed JE Approved ND Cover Photo: Looking East across option ‘National Epilepsy Centre, Chalfont St Peter’ © Lepus Consulting for Chiltern and South Bucks District Councils Chiltern and South Bucks SA Green Belt Preferred Options September 2017 LC-330_SBucks_&_Chilterns_GB_SA_18_290917DS.docx Contents 1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................................................... 3 1.1 Background ............................................................................................................................................ 3 1.2 Purpose of this report ......................................................................................................................... 3 1.3 About the Chiltern and South Bucks Local Plan 2014-2036 ............................................... 4 1.4 The Regulation 18 Consultation .....................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Public Session
    PUBLIC SESSION MINUTES OF ORAL EVIDENCE taken before HIGH SPEED RAIL COMMITTEE On the HIGH SPEED RAIL (LONDON – WEST MIDLANDS) BILL Monday 25 January 2016 (Evening) In Committee Room 5 PRESENT: Mr Robert Syms (Chair) Sir Henry Bellingham Sir Peter Bottomley Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Mr David Crausby Mr Mark Hendrick _____________ IN ATTENDANCE Mr James Strachan QC, Counsel, Department for Transport Mr Edward Briggs Mr Alan Masters WITN ESSES Mr Bob Birch Mr Andrew Pibworth Mr Simon Clarke Mr Michael Gallagher Mr Humphrey Tizard Mr Br ia n Cab le Mr Robin Allen Mr Tim Smart, International Director for High Speed Rail, CH2M Hill _____________ IN PUBLIC SESSION INDEX Subject Page The Association of the Residents of the Drive (Harefield Place) et al Submissions by Mr Masters 3 Evidence of Mr Birch 8 Mr Smart, examined by Mr Strachan 13 Mr Smart, cross-examined by Mr Masters 19 Further evidence from Mr Birch 27 Further submissions by Mr Masters 28 Evidence of Mr Pibworth 29 Evidence of Mr Clarke 34 Evidence of Mr Gallagher 35 Further submissions by Mr Masters 37 Response from Mr Strachan 38 Closing submissions by Mr Masters 41 Ickenham Residents’ As soc ia tio n Submissions by Mr Tizard 42 Response from Mr Strachan 51 Closing submissions by Mr Tizard 54 Mr Br ia n Cab le Submissions by Mr Cable 55 Response from Mr Strachan 59 The London Wildlife Trust Submissions by Mr Frith 64 Response from Mr Strachan 68 Denham Water Ski Club Submissions by Mr Briggs and Mr Allen 71 Response from Mr Strachan 77 2 (At 18.40) The Association of the Residents of the Drive (Harefield Place) et al 1.
    [Show full text]
  • Denham Parish Neighbourhood Plan Pre-Submission
    DENHAM PARISH NEIGHBOURHOOD PLAN 2020 – 2036 SUBMISSION PLAN Denham Golf Club Station Published by Denham Parish Council for Pre-Submission consultation under the Neighbourhood Planning (General) Regulations 2012 (as amended). OCTOBER 2020 A Guide to Reading this Plan Of necessity, this Neighbourhood Plan is a detailed technical document. The purpose of this page is to explain the structure and help you find your way around the plan. 1. Introduction & Background This section explains the background to this Neighbourhood Plan and how you can take part in and respond to the consultation. 2. The Neighbourhood Area This section details many of the features of the designated area. 3. Planning Policy Context This rather technical section relates this Plan to the National Planning Policy Framework and the planning policies of Buckinghamshire Council. 4. Community Views on Planning Issues This section explains the community involvement that has taken place. 5. Vision, Objectives & Land Use Policies This is the key section. Firstly, it provides a statement on the Neighbourhood Plan Vision and Objectives. It then details Policies which are proposed to address the issues outlined in the Foreword and in Section 4. These Policies are listed opposite. There are Policy Maps at the back of the plan and additional information in the Appendices to which the policies cross reference. 6. Implementation This section explains how the Plan will be implemented and future development guided and managed. It suggests projects which might be supported by the Community Infrastructure Levy which the Parish Council will have some influence over. Finally, it deals with a number of issues which although relevant are outside the scope of a Neighbourhood Plan.
    [Show full text]
  • PARISH PROFILE the Parish of St
    PARISH PROFILE The Parish of St. Margaret’s Iver Heath in the Archdeaconry of Buckingham, Diocese of Oxford, is vacant following the appointment of the Reverend William Hazlewood as the Vicar of the United Benefice of Dartmouth and Dittisham in August 2011. Location and amenities Iver Heath is a village of 5,000 people within a green belt conservation zone of South Buckinghamshire. Until the 19 th century it was an area of heath land, which was crossed by the roads from Denham and Uxbridge leading towards Upton and Burnham and the site of modern Slough. After St. Margaret's Church was built in 1862, housing development followed in the village. This process has continued ever since. The best known feature of Iver Heath is the world famous Pinewood Studios, situated next to Black Park Country Park. This park and the neighbouring Langley Park are major amenities for the area. Many of the houses built before the Second World War were for the employees of Pinewood Studios. Some local people continue to work there as well as in Slough and West London, such as at Heathrow Airport. Iver Heath is within easy access of the M4, M25 and M40 motorways and the railway system. From Iver station, in the neighbouring parish, London (Paddington) can be reached in approximately 25 minutes and there is access to Wales and the West of England via Slough. Denham is on the Chiltern line from Birmingham to London. Uxbridge is served by the London Underground trains on the Piccadilly and Metropolitan lines. There is also a local bus service into Slough and Uxbridge which both have large shopping centres and entertainment facilities.
    [Show full text]
  • Three Rivers District Council Level 2 SFRA Detailed Site Summary Tables
    Three Rivers District Council Level 2 SFRA Detailed Site Summary Tables Table of Contents ACFS8b ................................................................................................................................................ 3 CFS12 ................................................................................................................................................... 6 CFS16 ................................................................................................................................................. 11 CFS18 ................................................................................................................................................. 15 CFS20 ................................................................................................................................................. 19 CFS24 ................................................................................................................................................. 23 CFS26A .............................................................................................................................................. 27 CFS32 ................................................................................................................................................. 31 CFS33 ................................................................................................................................................. 35 CFS38A .............................................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Buckinghamshire Council
    Buckinghamshire Council www.buckinghamshire.gov.uk Report to South Buckinghamshire Area Planning Committee Application Number: PL/19/4159/FA Proposal: Erection of crematorium, dining hall and widening of access road with associated landscape and biodiversity enhancements. Site Location: The Lea, Western Avenue, Denham, Buckinghamshire, UB9 4NA Applicant: Anoopam Mission Case Officer: Laura Peplow Ward affected: Denham Parish Town Council: Denham Parish Council Valid date: 2 December 2019 Determination date: 6 March 2020 Recommendation: It is recommended that the Committee delegate the application to the Director of Planning and Environment to: GRANT planning permission subject to the conditions set out in this report and any others which he considers appropriate and to: a) The satisfactory completion of a Section 106 Agreement to secure the requirements as set out in this report. b) There being no new substantive, material planning matters being raised following statutory publicity for the development proposed being a potential ‘Departure from the Development Plan’ c) Resolving that the application be forwarded to the Secretary of State in accordance with the provision of the Town and Country Planning (Consultation) (England) Direction 2009. Or REFUSE planning permission if a satisfactory S106 Agreement cannot be completed, for such reasons relating to the Countryside Management Service and Public Rights of Way as the Director of Planning and Environment considers appropriate. 1.0 Summary & Recommendation/ Reason for Planning Committee Consideration 1.1 The application proposes the construction of a crematorium and dining hall within the grounds of the existing Anoopam Mission Temple site. 1.2 The site is within the Green Belt and construction of the proposed development would constitute inappropriate development and would also result in a loss of openness and encroachment into the Green Belt.
    [Show full text]
  • Beeches Local Area Forum
    Buckinghamshire County Council Visit www.buckscc.gov.uk/democracy for councillor information and email alerts for local meetings Beeches Local Area Forum Title: Update report from Transport for Buckinghamshire Date: 6 March 2013 Author: Sean Rooney Contact officer: Si Khan Transport Localities Team Leader (South) 01494 475320 Electoral divisions affected: Burnham Beeches Taplow, Dorney and Lent Rise Stoke Poges & Farnham Common Summary 1. From 2010 this standard report will be issued to each Local Area Forum (LAF) / Local Community Partnership (LCP) from Transport for Buckinghamshire. 2. It will aim to provide a comprehensive update on current and relevant Transportation issues which are tailored to each individual LAF / LCP. 3. Standard topics to be covered will be: - Dates of when Local Community Gangs will visit parishes - Major issues likely to affect parishes within the LAF / LCP - Update on ongoing local issues - Policy Development - Any other information 4. In addition, it will cover any emerging issues which could or will affect Local Area Forum / Local Community Partnership areas. Area Maintenance Routine Maintenance At present, the peaks and troughs in the numbers of potholes, have been absorbed by the works teams, whilst keeping other patching, white lining, gully emptying crews etc, on normal duties. The workforce is to be supplemented on 27th February by the introduction of a Velocity Patcher. This self contained unit, is specifically for potholing, minor patching and sealing of road surfaces and will initially be used on the rural roads. If you have any queries, please contact you local area technician in the first instance. Any urgent works should be reported via the Contact Centre on: 0845 230 2882 or through our website at: http://www.buckscc.gov.uk/bcc/transport/ea_report_problem.page A full list of when work will be taking place is available on: http://www.transportforbucks.net/Roadworks-Centre.aspx Winter Maintenance The recent cold snap passed without significant disruption to the network.
    [Show full text]
  • Proposal for Northern Extension of Northolt Tunnel SIFT Report
    C222-ATK-DS-REP-020-000034 |P06 | 27 Feb 2015 Proposal for Northern Extension of Northolt Tunnel SIFT Report Revision Date Issued for/Revision details Revised by P01 13.06.2014 Issued for review HSF Review and update to include P02 30.01.2015 SS HS2 comments Updated to include comments P03 24.02.2015 AR and Rail Systems info P04 26.02.2015 Updated following review AR P05 27.02.2015 Updated for final review AR P06 02.03.2015 Final AR Name Data FOI / EIR None Document type Report Directorate London West Midlands WBS B320 & PE.06.57 Keywords Colne Valley Viaduct, Northolt Tunnel, River Colne Authors H S Farrant Checker Roger Weber Accepted Approver Andy Robson - Owner C222 Atkins 1 Review Directorate LWM TD Employer’s Lead Reviewer Neil Cowie Authorised for use `Code Uncontrolled when printed INTERNAL INFORMATION Northern Extension of Northolt Tunnel SIFT Report London West Midlands Northolt Tunnel Extension - SIFT Report Contents Page number 1. Executive Summary ................................................................................................... 5 2. Introduction ............................................................................................................... 6 3. Scope of the Sift ......................................................................................................... 8 4. Assumptions .............................................................................................................. 9 4.1 General .................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Transport Assessment
    HIGH SPEED RAIL(LONDON WEST- MIDLANDS) | SES3 and AP4 ES SES3 AP4 and HIGH SPEED RAIL (LONDON - WEST | Volume 5 | Technical appendices | Transport Assessment | Transport appendices 5 | Technical Volume MIDLANDS) Supplementary Environmental Statement 3 and Additional Provision 4 Environmental Statement Volume 5 | Technical appendices Transport Assessment (TR-001-000) High Speed Two (HS2) Limited One Canada Square Revised version issued 30 October 2015 London E14 5AB T 020 7944 4908 E [email protected] Z70 SES3 and AP4 ES 3.5.1.10.1 AP4 SES3 and AP4 ES – VOLUME 5 SES3 and AP4 ES – VOLUME 5 www.gov.uk/hs2 AP4 SS&Pur A4P-1.indd 37 30/10/2015 15:49:36 HIGH SPEED RAIL (LONDON - WEST MIDLANDS) Supplementary Environmental Statement 3 and Additional Provision 4 Environmental Statement Volume 5 | Technical appendices Transport Assessment (TR-001-000) NOTE: this document was updated on 30th October 2015 to correct specific traffic data relating to CFAs 7, 8, 10, 11, 12, 13 and 15. The corrected text is highlighted in yellow. These corrections do not affect the outcome of the traffic assessments. October 2015 SES3 and AP4 ES 3.5.1.10.1 www.gov.uk/hs2 High Speed Two (HS2) Limited has been tasked by the Department for Transport (DfT) with managing the delivery of a new national high speed rail network. It is a non-departmental public body wholly owned by the DfT. A report prepared for High Speed Two (HS2) Limited: High Speed Two (HS2) Limited, One Canada Square, London E14 5AB Details of how to obtain further copies are available from HS2 Ltd.
    [Show full text]