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A WAY FORWARD with IRAN? Options for Crafting a U.S. Strategy
A WAY FORWARD WITH IRAN? Options for Crafting a U.S. Strategy THE SOUFAN CENTER FEBRUARY 2021 A WAY FORWARD WITH IRAN? OPTIONS FOR CRAFTING A U.S. STRATEGY A WAY FORWARD WITH IRAN? Options for Crafting a U.S. Strategy THE SOUFAN CENTER FEBRUARY 2021 Cover photo: Associated Press Photo/Photographer: Mohammad Berno 2 A WAY FORWARD WITH IRAN? OPTIONS FOR CRAFTING A U.S. STRATEGY CONTENTS List of Abbreviations 4 List of Figures 5 Key Findings 6 How Did We Reach This Point? 7 Roots of the U.S.-Iran Relationship 9 The Results of the Maximum Pressure Policy 13 Any Change in Iranian Behavior? 21 Biden Administration Policy and Implementation Options 31 Conclusion 48 Contributors 49 About The Soufan Center 51 3 A WAY FORWARD WITH IRAN? OPTIONS FOR CRAFTING A U.S. STRATEGY LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS BPD Barrels Per Day FTO Foreign Terrorist Organization GCC Gulf Cooperation Council IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency ICBM Intercontinental Ballistic Missile IMF International Monetary Fund IMSC International Maritime Security Construct INARA Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act INSTEX Instrument for Supporting Trade Exchanges IRGC Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps IRGC-QF Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps - Qods Force JCPOA Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action MBD Million Barrels Per Day PMF Popular Mobilization Forces SRE Significant Reduction Exception 4 A WAY FORWARD WITH IRAN? OPTIONS FOR CRAFTING A U.S. STRATEGY LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Iran Annual GDP Growth and Change in Crude Oil Exports 18 Figure 2: Economic Effects of Maximum Pressure 19 Figure 3: Armed Factions Supported by Iran 25 Figure 4: Comparison of Iran Nuclear Program with JCPOA Limitations 28 5 A WAY FORWARD WITH IRAN? OPTIONS FOR CRAFTING A U.S. -
The National Security Council and the Iran-Contra Affair
THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL AND THE IRAN- CONTRA AFFAIR Congressman Ed Jenkins* and Robert H. Brink** I. INTRODUCTION Early in November of 1986, newspapers in the United States carried the first reports that the United States government, in an effort to gain release of United States citizens held hostage by terrorists in Lebanon, had engaged in a covert policy of supplying arms to elements within Iran.' Later in that month, following a preliminary inquiry into the matter, it was revealed that some of the funds generated from those arms sales had been diverted to support the "Contra" 2 forces fighting the Sandinista government in Nicaragua. The events giving rise to these disclosures became known collectively as the "Iran-Contra Affair." Both elements of the affair raised serious questions regarding the formulation and conduct of our nation's foreign policy. In regard to the Iranian phase of the affair, the Regan administration's rhetoric had placed the administration firmly in op- position to any dealings with nations supporting terrorism, and with Iran in particular.' In addition, the United States had made significant * Member, United States House of Representatives, Ninth District of Georgia. LL.B., University of Georgia Law School, 1959. In 1987, Congressman Jenkins served as a member of the House Select Committee to Investigate Covert Arms Transactions with Iran. ** Professional Staff Member, Committee on Government Operations, United States House of Representatives. J.D., Marshall-Wythe School of Law, College of William and Mary, 1978. In 1987, Mr. Brink served as a member of the associate staff of the House Select Committee to Investigate Covert Arms Transactions with Iran. -
Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 12/07/2020 9:54:33 AM
Received by NSD/FARA Registration Unit 12/07/2020 9:54:33 AM Friday 12/04/20 This material is distributed by Ghebi LLC on behalf of Federal State Unitary Enterprise Rossiya Segodnya International Information Agency, and additional information is on file with the Department of Justice, Washington, District of Columbia. ‘Stand Our Ground’: US Lawmakers Call to Resist Chinese Communist Party’s ‘Quest to Exert Dominance’ by Morgan Artvukhina Top US intelligence officials have sounded the alarm in recent days about the supreme danger posed by China and the Communist Party of China to the United States. While their rhetoric casts the US as a victim of China’s unfair rise, in reality the US’ climb to world leadership was helped by its own sabotage of Chinese development. In a joint statement on Friday. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence acting Chairman Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Vice Chairman Mark Warner (D-VA) said they agree with US Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe “that China poses the greatest national security threat to the United States. Our intelligence is clear: the Chinese Communist Party will stop at nothing to exert its global dominance.” The day prior, Ratcliffe penned an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal in which he argued that “the People’s Republic of China poses the greatest threat to America today, and the greatest threat to democracy and freedom world-wide since World War II.” Ratcliffe claimed “Beijing intends to dominate the US and the rest of the planet economically, militarily and technologically” through a vast espionage plan to steal intellectual property from the US, replicate the technology, then edge those same firms out of the market - a strategy he called “rob, replicate and replace.” Ratcliffe’s article isn’t limited to attacking the Communist Party of China, however: he also warns of the dangers “Chinese nationals” pose to intellectual property and to “research and development secrets,” noting the FBI is “frequently arresting” them. -
DCCA Opinion No. 91-BG-1518: in Re Elliott Abrams
Notice: This opinion is subject to formal revision before publication in the Atlantic and Maryland Reporters. Users are requested to notify the Clerk of the Court of any formal errors so that corrections may be made before the bound volumes go to press. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COURT OF APPEALS No. 91-BG-1518 IN RE ELLIOTT ABRAMS, RESPONDENT, A Member of the Bar of the District of Columbia Court of Appeals On Report and Recommendation of the Board on Professional Responsibility ON REHEARING EN BANC (Reargued En Banc May 7, 1996 Decided February 5, 1997) Charles J. Cooper, with whom William L. McGrath was on the brief, for respondent. Michael S. Frisch, Assistant Bar Counsel, with whom Leonard H. Becker, Bar Counsel, and Julia L. Porter, Assistant Bar Counsel, were on the brief, for the Office of Bar Counsel. Before WAGNER, Chief Judge, and FERREN, TERRY, STEADMAN, SCHWELB, FARRELL, KING, RUIZ, and REID, Associate Judges. Opinion for the court by Associate Judge SCHWELB. Concurring opinion by Associate Judge SCHWELB, with whom Associate Judges FERREN and FARRELL join, at p. __. Concurring opinion by Associate Judge KING at p. __. Concurring opinion by Associate Judge RUIZ at p. __. Dissenting opinion by Associate Judge TERRY, with whom Chief Judge WAGNER and Associate Judges STEADMAN and REID join, at p. __. SCHWELB, Associate Judge: This matter is before us on the recommendation of the Board on Professional Responsibility that Elliott Abrams, Esq., a member of our Bar, and formerly Assistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs, be suspended from the practice of law in the District of Columbia for a period 2 of one year. -
Congressional Record—House H2616
H2616 CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — HOUSE March 15, 2007 b 1715 peace or stability in Iraq or Iran with- and the British), began running a similar op- out addressing the Palestinian-Israeli eration, aimed at avoiding congressional USING CONSTRUCTIVE ENGAGE- scrutiny or public accountability of any sort, MENT IN THE MIDDLE EAST issue openly, honestly and urgently. The issues of the Middle East are in- out of Vice President Dick Cheney’s office. The SPEAKER pro tempore (Mrs. They dipped into ‘‘black pools of money’’, extricably interconnected, and no one possibly stolen from the billions of Iraqi oil BOYDA of Kansas). Under a previous understands that better than Speaker order of the House, the gentleman from dollars that have never been accounted for PELOSI. At a time when the White since the US occupation began. Washington (Mr. MCDERMOTT) is recog- House prefers to choose sides, our dis- Some of these funds, as well as Saudi ones, nized for 5 minutes. tinguished leader prefers to pursue were evidently funneled through the embat- Mr. MCDERMOTT. Madam Speaker, peace in the Middle East, demanding tled, Sunni-dominated Lebanese government you don’t negotiate with the barrel of diplomacy aimed at achieving peace of Prime Minister Fouad Siniora to the sort a gun, but that seems to be the Presi- of Sunni jihadist groups (‘‘some sympathetic through social and economic justice for to al-Qaeda’’) whose members might nor- dent’s strategy with respect to Iran. all. That is why the House must legislate mally fear ending up in Guantanamo and to It is the kind of vision the whole a group, or groups, associated with the fun- to ensure that the President cannot world has passionately embraced before damentalist Muslim Brotherhood. -
Geopolitics of the Iranian Nuclear Energy Program
Geopolitics of the Iranian Nuclear Energy Program But Oil and Gas Still Matter CENTER FOR STRATEGIC & CSIS INTERNATIONAL STUDIES A Report of the CSIS Energy and National Security Program 1800 K Street, NW | Washington, DC 20006 author Tel: (202) 887-0200 | Fax: (202) 775-3199 Robert E. Ebel E-mail: [email protected] | Web: www.csis.org March 2010 ISBN 978-0-89206-600-1 CENTER FOR STRATEGIC & Ë|xHSKITCy066001zv*:+:!:+:! CSIS INTERNATIONAL STUDIES Geopolitics of the Iranian Nuclear Energy Program But Oil and Gas Still Matter A Report of the CSIS Energy and National Security Program author Robert E. Ebel March 2010 About CSIS In an era of ever-changing global opportunities and challenges, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) provides strategic insights and practical policy solutions to decision- makers. CSIS conducts research and analysis and develops policy initiatives that look into the future and anticipate change. Founded by David M. Abshire and Admiral Arleigh Burke at the height of the Cold War, CSIS was dedicated to the simple but urgent goal of finding ways for America to survive as a nation and prosper as a people. Since 1962, CSIS has grown to become one of the world’s preeminent public policy institutions. Today, CSIS is a bipartisan, nonprofit organization headquartered in Washington, D.C. More than 220 full-time staff and a large network of affiliated scholars focus their expertise on defense and security; on the world’s regions and the unique challenges inherent to them; and on the issues that know no boundary in an increasingly connected world. -
Constructing and Transgressing Borders Images of Self and Other in the History of the Americas
Rev16-01 23/11/04 11:54 Página 107 Stefan Rinke* ➲ Constructing and Transgressing Borders Images of Self and Other in the History of the Americas A border usually signifies a line that separates one country or territorial area from another. In a cultural sense a border also represents difference and constitutes otherness as well as identity. In the case of borders between states, the use of national symbols such as flags and anthems reinforce the concept of otherness. Borders, in this sense, are symbols of power. Yet they also mark out a space between territories, a space where foreigners encounter each other. Thus they establish links and facilitate contacts that are not always under the control of existing power structures. Borders are not only dividing lines between two or more contingent systems, but also contact zones where encounters and exchange become possible.1 This article will focus on cognitive and mental borders that find expression in per- ceptions of the foreign other.2 Perceptions and mental images demonstrate the exchange function of borders. Borders – whether political or cultural – are constructed on the basis of concepts of alterity. For historians of Latin America, the main pole of alterity has been Europe; historians have traditionally concentrated on processes of perception in relation to the “Old World”.3 From a European perspective, America – at the point of its discovery – constituted a monolithic “New World”. Only in the course of the colonial period did a terminological differentiation of the Americas emerge. Since the nineteenth century the emergence of categories such as “North” and “South” or “Anglo” and “Latin” has often concealed the differences between the many Americas. -
Papers from the Conference on Homeland Protection
“. to insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence . .” PAPERS FROM THE CONFERENCE ON HOMELAND PROTECTION Edited by Max G. Manwaring October 2000 ***** The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. This report is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited. ***** Comments pertaining to this report are invited and should be forwarded to: Director, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 122 Forbes Ave., Carlisle, PA 17013-5244. Copies of this report may be obtained from the Publications and Production Office by calling commercial (717) 245-4133, FAX (717) 245-3820, or via the Internet at [email protected] ***** Most 1993, 1994, and all later Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) monographs are available on the SSI Homepage for electronic dissemination. SSI’s Homepage address is: http://carlisle-www.army. mil/usassi/welcome.htm ***** The Strategic Studies Institute publishes a monthly e-mail newsletter to update the national security community on the research of our analysts, recent and forthcoming publications, and upcoming conferences sponsored by the Institute. Each newsletter also provides a strategic commentary by one of our research analysts. If you are interested in receiving this newsletter, please let us know by e-mail at [email protected] or by calling (717) 245-3133. ISBN 1-58487-036-2 ii CONTENTS Foreword ........................ v Overview Max G. Manwaring ............... 1 1. A Strategic Perspective on U. S. Homeland Defense: Problem and Response John J. -
STAND up AGAINST IRANIAN FINANCING of TERRORISM & MONEY Laundering
PAID ADVERTISEMENT An Open Letter to Members of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF): STAND UP AGAINST IRANIAN FINANCING OF TERRORISM & MONEY Laundering FebruaryFebruary 19, 2018 15, 2018 Dear FATF Members: As you gather in Paris on February 18–23, we urge the FATF to re-impose effective countermeasures to stymie Iran’s financing of terrorism and money laundering. While the Rouhani administration has made nominal efforts to bring Iran into compliance with international banking standards, Tehran’s actions speak louder than its words. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), a sanctioned terrorist organization which has enabled the Assad regime’s barrel bombing of thousands of innocent civilians, is slated to receive increased funding of $8 billion under the Iranian regime’s proposed budget for the next fiscal year. That’s alongside an influx of funds in the draft financial plan for FY 2018-19 to religious foundations, which have been sources of financing for Iran’s terror proxy, Hezbollah. Hezbollah also receives funds directly from Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s personal budget which is not subject to independent oversight. Hezbollah is not the only terror group that benefits from Tehran’s generosity. Reports indicate the head of Iran’s Qods Force—the IRGC’s foreign operations unit—placed calls to the leaders of the military wings of Hamas and Islamic Jihad, which are themselves internationally sanctioned terrorist organizations, pledging renewed military assistance after President Trump’s announcement on the status of Jerusalem in December 2017. In addition to terrorist financing, money laundering is rampant in Iran. The preeminent Basel Institute on Governance ranks Iran last out of 146 countries in its 2017 Basel Anti-Money Laundering (AML) index, meaning money laundering and terrorist financing is most rampant there. -
Bolivia's Divisions
BOLIVIA'S DIVISIONS: TOO DEEP TO HEAL? 6 July 2004 Latin America Report N°7 Quito/Brussels TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS................................................. i I. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1 II. HISTORICAL SYNOPSIS ............................................................................................ 2 III. THE MESA ADMINISTRATION ............................................................................... 4 IV. THE POLITICAL AND SOCIAL OPPOSITION ...................................................... 7 A. EVO'S EVOLUTION AND THE MAS TODAY...............................................................................7 B. LABOUR ORGANISATIONS: THE STREET-BASED OPPOSITION.................................................8 C. OTHER POLITICAL PARTIES...................................................................................................9 D. THE CATHOLIC CHURCH AND NGOS ..................................................................................10 V. SPARKS THAT COULD SET THE COUNTRY AFLAME ................................... 11 A. NATURAL GAS ....................................................................................................................13 B. CAMBAS AND COLLAS ........................................................................................................14 C. THE COCA LEAF .................................................................................................................17 -
Journal of the Inter-American Foundation
Grassroots Development Journal of the Inter-American Foundation Enterprise at the Grassroots VOLUME 29 NUMBER 1 2008 Lester Salamon: Business Social Engagement in Latin America The Inter-American Foundation (IAF), an independent foreign assistance agency of the United States government, was created in 1969 to promote self-help development by awarding grants directly to organizations in Latin America and the Caribbean. Its operating budget consists of congressional appropriations and funds derived through the Social Progress Trust Fund. Grassroots Development is published in English and Spanish by the IAF’s The Inter-American Foundation Office of Operations. It appears on the IAF’s Web site at www.iaf.gov in Larry L. Palmer, President English, Spanish and Portuguese versions accessible in graphic or text only format. Original material produced by the IAF and published in Grassroots Board of Directors Development is in the public domain and may be freely reproduced. Certain material in this journal, however, has been provided by other sources and Roger Wallace, Chair might be copyrighted. Reproduction of such material may require prior Jack Vaughn, Vice Chair permission from the copyright holder. IAF requests notification of any re- Kay Kelley Arnold production and acknowledgement of the source. Grassroots Development is in- Gary Bryner dexed in the Standard Periodical Directory, the Public Affairs Service Bulletin, the Thomas Dodd Hispanic American Periodical Index (HAPI) and the Agricultural Online Access Hector Morales (WORLD) database. Back issues are available on microfilm from University John Salazar Microfilms International, 300 N. Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, MI 48106. To receive Thomas Shannon the journal, e-mail [email protected] or write to the following address: Grassroots Development Grassroots Development Journal of the Inter-American Foundation Inter-American Foundation Publication Editor: Paula Durbin 901 North Stuart St. -
February–March 2000
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF STATE February–March 2000 StateStateMagazine After The Wall BerlinBerlin Coming Up: Lima State State Magazine (ISSN 1099–4165) is published monthly, except Magazine bimonthly in July and August, by the U.S. Department of State, 2201 C St., N.W., Washington, DC. Periodicals postage paid at Washington, Carl Goodman DC. POSTMASTER: Send changes of address to State Magazine, EDITOR-IN-CHIEF PER/ER/SMG, SA-1, Room H-236, Washington, DC 20522-0602. State Kathleen Goldynia Magazine is published to facilitate communication between manage- ment and employees at home and abroad and to acquaint employees ART DIRECTOR with developments that may affect operations or personnel. The Nicole Deaner magazine is also available to persons interested in working for the EDITORIAL ASSISTANT Department of State and to the general public. ADVISORY BOARD MEMBERS State Magazine is available by subscription through the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, James Williams Washington, DC 20402 (telephone [202] 512-1850). CHAIRMAN For details on submitting articles to State Magazine, request Sally Light our guidelines, “Getting Your Story Told,” by email at EXECUTIVE SECRETARY [email protected]; download them from our web site at Janice Burke www.state.gov/www/publications/statemag;or send your request Frank Coulter in writing to State Magazine, PER/ER/SMG, SA-1, Room H-236, Cheryl Hess Washington, DC 20522-0602. The magazine’s phone number is Stevenson McIlvaine (202) 663-1700. Wayne Oshima Deadlines: March 15 for May issue. Michael Scanlin April 15 for June issue. StateState Magazine February–March Contents 2000 Department of State • United States of America No.