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Farm Incomes in Wales, 2019-20 SFR 84/2021

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Farm Incomes in Wales, 2019-20 SFR 84/2021 25 March 2021 Farm incomes in Wales, 2019-20 SFR 84/2021 Average farm business income in Wales 2019-20, and About this release change since 2018-19 (at current prices) Figures are presented on farm Dairy farms: Average income has varied incomes in Wales for 2019-20 greatly over the past eight years. After the i.e. up to March 2020 which is high of 2017-18, income has returned to a largely prior to the coronavirus moderate level but still significantly higher (COVID-19) pandemic and than the low period of 2015-17. little if any effect is seen in the data. However, data collection Cattle & sheep LFA (Less Favoured was impacted by COVID-19 Areas) farms: After a low in 2018-19 which has led to a delay in average income is again around the level publication. See Key Quality seen over the previous six years. (These Information for details. farms are looked at in more detail below). The farm incomes data used in this statistical release are Cattle & sheep (lowland) farms: Following derived from the annual Farm the increase in 2017-18, average income Business Survey (FBS) with a remains around the level of that in 2015-16. sample of 500 businesses It is important to see latest farm incomes in the context of longer term trends in across Wales from a farm incomes and market conditions. Farm incomes are the small difference population of approximately between total output and total input, so can be volatile across years. Small 9,700 farms. The sample for changes in output or input (such as movements in input costs) can result in the FBS is drawn from those large percentage changes in farm income. farm businesses in Wales with Chart 1: Average farm business income in Wales, 2009-10 to 2019-20 a Standard Output (SO) of at least €25,000, and excludes specialists in horticulture, poultry and pigs. Further information on the survey sample can be found under Key Quality information. In this release Farm business income 3 Glossary & Notes 11 Source: Farm Business Survey Key quality information 15 (a) The vertical dashed lines indicate when Standard Output coefficients were updated. This had an effect on both the survey population and classification of farms (see Notes for further details). Strengths and limitations (b) LFA denotes Less Favoured Area (see Notes for further details). of the FBS 17 Statistician: Tim Evans 03000 62 8236 [email protected] Enquiries from the press: 03000 25 8099 Public enquiries : 03000 25 5050 Twitter: @StatisticsWales Importance of measuring farm incomes Although agriculture makes a relatively small contribution to GDP1, around half of the food consumed in the UK is sourced from UK agriculture, with the rest imported into the UK from abroad2. Agriculture also has important impacts on the natural environment, with over 80% of land in Wales used for agricultural purposes3. Farm incomes show some volatility from year to year, influenced by prevailing agricultural (including weather related) and market conditions. There is also wide variation in farm incomes for individual farms, including for farms of the same type. Farm incomes provide an important measure of farm profitability and, in conjunction with other measures from the farm accounts, can inform on the performance and viability of farm businesses. (1) Agriculture, forestry and fishing together account for around 0.6% of UK GDP (source: Office for National Statistics). (2) Source: Food statistics pocketbook, Defra. (3) Source: June agricultural survey, Welsh Government Farm income measures For non-corporate businesses, farm business income represents the financial return to all unpaid workers (farmers, spouses, non-principal partners and their spouses, and family workers) and on all their capital invested in the farm business (including land and buildings). For corporate businesses, it represents the financial return on the shareholders capital invested in the farm business. Farm business income includes some ‘notional’ items, such as depreciation of farm assets (eg machinery) and changes in the value of breeding livestock. In essence, farm business income is the same as net profit, which as a standard financial accounting measure of income, is used widely within and outside agriculture. However, using the term farm business income rather than net profit: gives an indication of the measure’s farm management accounting rather than financial accounting origins, and accurately describes its composition; is intuitively recognisable to users as a measure of farm income. Importantly, farm business income does not include other sources of household income from outside the farm business (such as other employment of the farmer or spouse outside of the farm). Farm business income is the headline measure of farm incomes in Wales. Data for other measures of income (net farm income and cash income) is published in a spreadsheet alongside this release on the Welsh Government farm income statistics page. 2 Farm business income This section shows trends in average farm business income by farm type, and how incomes vary around these averages. This is more evident when looking at LFA farms in more detail. Farms in Less Favoured Areas (LFA) are defined according to criteria related to the quality of land, and cover the mountainous and hill farming areas. Within the LFA are the Severely Disadvantaged Areas (SDA) and the Disadvantaged Areas (DA). The SDA are more environmentally challenging areas and largely upland in character, and the DA less so. These areas influence the type of farming with LFA farms predominantly cattle & sheep whereas land other than LFA - defined as Lowland – is where dairy and crop farms are in the main. See Notes section for more detail on how farms are classified into these farm types. Chart 2: Average LFA farm business income in Wales, 2016-17 to 2019-20 (at current prices) Chart 2 shows that there are significant differences within LFA farms. Specifically SDA sheep farms are performing strongly, and in the latest year (2019-20) have an average income higher than that for ‘All farms’. Table 1 below shows the variation in average income for all farm types over the last four years due to a number of factors described in more detail below. The latest year on year change should be viewed in light of this varying trend. 3 Table 1: Average farm business income by farm type in Wales, 2016-17 to 2019-20 Average farm business income per farm £ per farm % change (2018-19 to Farm type 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2019-20) At current prices Cattle & sheep (LFA) 23,100 26,900 18,900 22,600 20% SDA sheep 29,100 33,400 24,600 32,200 31% SDA sheep/beef 16,000 15,900 17,300 19,500 13% DA sheep/beef 17,500 23,000 13,100 13,200 1% Lowland sheep/beef 22,700 24,000 17,100 16,600 -3% Dairy 31,300 82,400 46,600 50,700 9% Others 28,300 30,200 31,500 26,100 -17% All farm types 24,500 34,600 23,600 26,200 11% In real terms at 2019-20 prices (a) Cattle & sheep (LFA) 24,600 28,100 19,300 22,600 17% SDA sheep 30,900 34,900 25,200 32,200 28% SDA sheep/beef 17,000 16,600 17,600 19,500 11% DA sheep/beef 18,700 24,000 13,400 13,200 -1% Lowland sheep/beef 24,200 25,000 17,400 16,600 -5% Dairy 33,300 86,000 47,600 50,700 7% Others 30,100 31,500 32,100 26,100 -19% All farm types 26,100 36,100 24,000 26,200 9% Source: Farm Business Survey (a) GDP deflators are used here to uprate figures for 2018-19 (and earlier) to 2019-20 prices. Average farm business income in 2019-20, by farm type Now we will examine the key differences in average income for the different farms types. Dairy farms After a fall last year (2018-19) from the high of 2017-18, average farm business income rose by 9% at current prices (or 7% in real terms) to £50,700 per farm and to a level significantly higher than the low period of 2015-17. Average income has varied greatly over the past eight years and a key factor is farm gate milk prices which directly effects income on dairy farms. Following a seven-year low reached in June 2016, the average price has increased almost continuously to reach levels similar to 2013, although the latest year 2019-20 has fallen slightly. Looking at the data at a farm level there has been a wide variation in milk price paid to farmers in Wales. On dairy farms, increases in milk production and revenue from other cattle enterprises have offset slightly lower average milk prices. Feed costs generally account for around half of variable costs on dairy farms but the reduction in these costs were offset by the increase in fixed costs. 4 Chart 3: Annual UK average farm gate milk prices, 2010-11 to 2019-20 Source: UK milk price statistics at current prices (published by Defra) Farm gate milk price: the price paid by dairy processors to farms for their milk. After milk leaves the farm it will go for processing before being sold to retailers. Chart 3 shows the volatility of the average farm gate milk price over the past ten years. Over this period, the average price in Wales was between 1 and 3 pence per litre lower than the UK price with a gap of 1.4 pence per litre in 2019-20. Cattle & sheep (LFA) farms Average farm business income rose by 20% at current prices (or 17% in real terms) to £22,600 per farm from the previous year.
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