NEWSLETTER: NOVEMBER 2016 Food Retail update

The food store sector continues to be a difficult and highly competitive industry with fierce competition for the best locations and diminishing or no interest for lesser sites that previously would have been considered.

From the period April 2016 to October 2016, according to Kantar, the division of the spoils has swung significantly to the discounters Lidl and Aldi, from the big CONTACT Richard Curry four, and continues to do so. We must now consider that there is the big six. 07876 747146 [email protected]

Market Share being able to acquire the offloaded space or According the Kantar World Panel for the six sites that have been made available. months ending the 9 October 2016, market Conversely, the premium brand large format share has adjusted to: operators have been active, although not 28.0% 0.2% immune to the price war and discounters. Sainsbury’s 16.5% 0.5% Rapleys have recently advised Booker Retail on the disposal of two of its trading stores to Asda 16.0% 0.4% for its 7,000 sq.ft sales area 10.6% 0.2% ‘convenience’ format store. In addition, they have been committing to a pipeline of larger Co-op 6.2% 0.3% stores currently under construction. Recently however, it has been announced that 6/7 of Aldi 6.0% 0.2% these larger store commitments have either Waitrose 5.2% 0.2% been shelved or withdrawn. Lidl 4.4% 0.2% M&S has acquired a number of sites for future Supermarkets development in a variety of locations and For large format food stores, priority has been developments for their Simply Food format and to consolidate and reorganise existing estates continue to expand their representation in PFS and trading operations. Asda, Sainsbury’s, sites. Tesco and WM Morrison have all been looking Convenience to offload areas of surplus car parking, for activity has also suffered, example. Land bank sales, contraction of larger stores, straightforward disposals, or in principally due to competitive pricing and rapleys.com the case of Sainsbury’s, the cessation of Netto, tightening margins. The result has been the loss of (following on from M Local) are being prioritised rather than taking on new 0370 777 6292 and being acquired by a wholesaler trading space. (Booker) to become its high end brand fascia. Discounters have not only contributed to this Continued > situation but have also benefited as a result, NEWSLETTER: NOVEMBER 2016 Food Retail update

< Continued trading stores as these not only offer an immediate contribution to EBITDA but also Rapleys advised My Local Convenience Group, enables the store to ‘mature’ sooner. owned by Greybull Capital, in the sale of more ‘Virgin’ sites are now heavily scrutinised due to than 40 stores prior to the retailer going into higher thresholds needing to be reached—the administration. Sizeable packages of stores result of tighter margins. Accordingly, were sold to Southern Co-Operative, The Co- Operative Group, Midco, Central England Co- currently Tesco and Sainsbury’s have almost Operative and AF Blakemore (Spar). no requirements at all. CONTACT Rapleys Comment: The Co-Operative Group also acquired 14 Richard Curry trading company owned Budgens stores It’s not all gloom though, there are signs of 07876 747146 following Bookers takeover of Musgrave Retail recovery at both Morrisons and Tesco’s larger [email protected] formats, the discounters remain highly Partners. acquisitive and M&S is making positive Nevertheless, the convenience store market approaches on a number of new remains active albeit selective. All operators developments. In the convenience sector, The are having to reassess sites on almost a Co-op, Blakemore, McColl’s and other monthly basis due to the high level of independents remain particularly expansive. competition and pressure on margins. There are rumours that Tesco Express and Sainsbury’s Local are now looking to re-enter Similarly to the supermarkets, the the market. convenience operators are refining optimum store size based on range, location and format. Despite Ocado having been in the online and We have recently seen the Co-Operative Group home delivery market for some time and the not only disposing of their larger stores to announcement that Amazon is to join in, the Hilco and other traders, but also disposing of jury is still out as to whether this sector will all their smaller sites (approximately 220) to deliver! McColl’s. The current policy being to operate If you have any questions about the above, from an estate of stores of approximately please contact Richard Curry 4,500 sq ft GIA. [email protected] or Josh Tyler Acquisition policy appears to be heavily [email protected]. weighted towards the acquisition of existing

rapleys.com The comments in this newsletter are for information purposes only. Professional advice should be sought prior to taking any action and Rapleys LLP will not accept responsibility for decisions taken solely on the basis of information contained in this newsletter. Map 0370 777 6292 illustrations by fifty-fathoms.co.uk, created with Mapbox.