CHINA’S DEVELOPMENT TRAJECTORY: A STRATEGIC OPENING FOR INDUSTRIAL POLICY IN THE SOUTH No. 218 December 2014 CHINA’s Development TRAJECTORY: A STRATEGIC OPENING FOR INDUSTRIAL POLICY IN THE SOUTH Daniel Poon No. 218 December 2014 Acknowledgement: The author is grateful to Richard Kozul-Wright, Dic Lo, Jörg Mayer, Nimrod Zalk, Alice Sindzingre, Manfred Bienefeld, Ricardo Gottschalk, Janvier Nkurunziza, Mussie Delelegn, Junior Roy Davis, Zhang Yan, Kris Terauds, Shaun Ferguson, Ngoc Nguyen, and an anonymous referee, for comments and suggestions on draft versions of this paper. A special thanks to Zhang Moxi for editing assistance. All remaining errors and omissions are the author’s sole responsibility. Email:
[email protected]. UNCTAD/OSG/DP/2014/4 ii The opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author and are not to be taken as the official views of the UNCTAD secretariat or its member States. The designations and terminology employed are also those of the author. UNCTAD Discussion Papers are read anonymously by at least one referee, whose comments are taken into account before publication. Comments on this paper are invited and may be addressed to the author, c/o the Publications Assistant, Macroeconomic and Development Policies Branch (MDPB), Division on Globalization and Development Strategies (DGDS), United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), Palais des Nations, CH-1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland; e-mail:
[email protected]. UNCTAD Discussion Papers are available on the UNCTAD website at http://unctad.org. JEL classification: O2, L52, L60 iii Contents Page Abstract ....................................................................................................................................................... 1 I. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................... 1 II. A TALE OF TWO CHINAS ...............................................................................................................