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Greater Bahr El Ghazal, South Sudan October - December 2018

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Greater Bahr El Ghazal, South Sudan October - December 2018 Situation Overview: Greater Bahr el Ghazal, South Sudan October - December 2018 Figure 1: Proportion of assessed settlements Introduction. # of key informant interviews53+33+13 conducted: 1,117 an up to date understanding of current WBeG 597 humanitarian conditions and displacement reporting IDPs present in settlements, WBeG, GTA and NBeG, December 2018 Ongoing insecurity in Western Bahr el Ghazal 373 dynamics in settlements across WBeG State, 1 NBeG (WBeG) State and Greater Tonj Area (GTA) NBeG State, GTA and Gogrial East County, GTA+GE2 147 and environmental shocks in Northern Bahr Warrap State, REACH interviewed KIs who # of assessed settlements covered: 864 el Ghazal (NBeG) State and GTA continued 43+40+17+ were new arrivals in either IDP sites or 373 to drive food insecurity and limited access WBeG settlements from the area of knowledge or KIs to resources for settlements in the Greater NBeG 348 who were in contact with an individual from Bahr el Ghazal (GBeG) region from October GTA+GE 143 the assessed settlement within the last month. to December 2018. Despite the arrival of the seasonal harvest, minimal crop yields in State; Aweil North, East, South, Centre and To triangulate the findings, REACH conducted some areas due to conflict and erratic rainfall West counties in NBeG State; and Gogrial 4 Food Security and Livelihoods (FSL) focus resulted in low reported access to food in East and Tonj North, South and East counties group discussions (FGDs) and 2 Participatory assessed settlements in the GBeG region and in Warrap State. This is the first quarter Cattle Migration mapping FGDs. Additionally, restricted access to services. REACH collected data on Gogrial East County, 5 key informants from humanitarian Warrap State. In the absence of a baseline for organisations were also consulted during REACH has been assessing hard-to-reach Gogrial East County, only data reflecting key the quarter. The findings were supplemented areas in WBeG since April 2017, NBeG since concerns, such as food security and livelihoods with secondary data sources and past displacement and population movement March 2018, GTA since January 2018 and (FSL), displacement and water, sanitation and REACH assessments of hard-to-reach areas. and the second section addresses access Gogrial East County since November 2018. hygiene (WASH), are reported in this overview. to food and basic services for both internally The data was collected through key informant This situation overview evaluates changes displaced persons (IDPs) and local populations interviews (KIIs) carried out on a daily basis In the fourth quarter of 2018, REACH in humanitarian needs and displacement in assessed settlements in the GBeG region. with key informants (KIs) from settlements in interviewed 1,117 KIs across 864 settlements dynamics across the GBeG region from October Jur River, Wau, and Raja counties in WBeG in 12 counties in the GBeG region. To ensure to December 2018. The first section analyses Population Movement and Map 1: REACH assessment coverage of the GBeG region, October (A), November (B) and December 2018 (C) Displacement A B C Renewed conflict and insecurity triggered forced displacement and unseasonal population Aweil Aweil Aweil Aweil Aweil Aweil North East North East North East movement in WBeG State, GTA and Gogrial Twic Twic Twic Aweil Aweil Aweil Raja Raja West Raja West Gogrial West Gogrial East County between October and December Aweil Gogrial Aweil Aweil West South West West Aweil South Aweil Aweil South Gogrial Gogrial Gogrial Centre Tonj Centre Tonj Centre Tonj 2018, while water stress in parts of WBeG and East East East North North North 0 - 4.9% Tonj Tonj Tonj NBeG states caused population movement East East 5 - 10% East to riverine areas. Flooding in NBeG State 11 - 20% Jur Jur Jur : Wau River Wau Wau River River 21 - 50% Tonj Tonj Tonj South 51 - 100% South South Assessed settlement 1. Greater Tonj Area (GTA) includes Tonj North County, Tonj East County and Tonj 2. Gogrial East County South County and GTA also resulted in minor displacement IDP presence in their community in Wau County with September (47%). METHODOLOGY and early labour migration in select counties. reported that the most recent IDPs had arrived Returns in WBeG State To provide an overview of the situation in hard-to- in the last 3 months, and 62% reported they had The proportion of assessed settlements in reach areas of Western Bahr el Ghazal (WBeG) arrived since July 2018, just after the conflict By the end of the fourth quarter, Wau, Jur WBeG State and GTA reporting the presence State, Northern Bahr el Ghazal (NBeG) State, and began. See the REACH July-September 2018 River and Raja counties began to see the of IDPs remained consistent between the third 3 the Greater Tonj area and Gogrial East County in Situation Overview for more information on return of some IDPs. In December, 78% of and fourth quarter, while NBeG saw a decrease Warrap State, REACH used primary data provided displacement in the Greater Baggari area. assessed settlements in WBeG State reported by key informants who have recently arrived, or in the proportion of assessed settlements that former IDPs had returned after being Populations reportedly remained displaced in receive regular information, from a location or “Area reporting IDPs living in the community, from displaced in another area of South Sudan. Wau County in December; 60% of assessed of Knowledge” (AoK). 47% in October to 34% in December (Figure 1). Congruently, IDPs reportedly made up a settlements reported that half or less than half of Information for this report was collected from key smaller proportion of the host communities Displacement in the Greater Baggari area, the original population remains in the settlement informants in the Wau PoC site, the five collective in assessed settlements in Wau County in Wau County, WBeG State and the proportion of assessed settlements centres in Wau town, Aweil town, and through remote December, also suggesting some IDPs have In early October 2018, renewed insecurity that reported the presence of IDPs in their phone calling to key informants in Warrap State in likely started returning to their settlements. in the Greater Baggari area triggered forced community in December (55%) was consistent October, November and December 2018. In September, 38% of assessed settlements displacement to Wau town and settlements In-depth interviews were conducted with selected reported that IDPs made up half or more of the around Wau town. The insecurity in the Greater participants using a standardised survey tool community, which slightly decreased to 27% in Baggari area has been ongoing since June 2018, comprising questions on displacement trends, December 2018 in Wau County. causing displacement primarily to remote areas population needs, and access to basic services. south and southwest of Wau town. In December, Timsaha After data collection was completed, all data was 38% of assessed settlements that reported an examined at the settlement level, and settlements Malual were assigned the modal response. When KIs Aweil North WESTERN BAHR Gok-Machar Aweil Map 2: Displacement and population movement in Warawar Aoc Mayen reporting on the same settlement reported differing E GHAA STATE Abun Greater Bahr el Ghazal, October-December 2018 Nyamlel East answers for an indicator and there was no consensus Wanyjok Wunro Turalei Aweil West Mayom Totin WARRAP across the majority of KIs, then the responses were Aweil 42 Raja Gossinga Aroyo STATE deleted to maintain data quality and reported as no Ale Mango Displacement due to lack of access MalekAlel Gogrial iet- 17 Minamba + consensus (NC). When KIs reported not knowing Raja NhomTonj North to resources Boro Medina Aweil Centre Dolo Akop 15 + an answer or preferring not to answer, this was also Mangayat Bar Mayen uajo Displacement due to insecurity NORTHERN BAHR unyaer Mashara Chandioy reported as NC. Data was analysed using descriptive E GHAA STATE 14 + Warrap Sopo Marial-ou statistics and geospatial analysis. Displacement due to water stress Romich To assure the comparability of findings, trends over Khorr Ghana Besellia Tonj Main road Kuru abulu Wau Wunlit Deim Zubier Masna East time are only reported for quarters in which 70% or Flooding Mboro State line Agok Thiet Faragullah Bagarri Kuarjina more of the same payams were assessed during Wadhalel County line Gedi data collection. Water stressed area Tonj Mapel State capital (lack access of water) Wau Data reflects findings from October to December for Bazia JurRiver WBeG State and Greater Tonj Area. For NBeG State County capital Swamp (toich) Tonj findings from October and December are reported Settlement South and for Gogrial East County only December. 3. Humanitarian Coordination Forum meeting minutes, December 2018 5. DTM, monthly displacement population figures 4. This is specifically the head-counted population. The registered IDP population is 2 35,496 individuals Map 3: Proportion of assessed settlements months, while 44% of households (HHs) Excessive rainfall and the flooding of Episodic cattle raids and insecurity in Tonj North reporting the presence of returnees in the intend to remain there.6 However, areas of rivers in north-western NBeG State and East counties, primarily near the toich along settlement (A); Proportion of assessed return are reportedly still not entirely suited and GTA reportedly caused population the border with Unity State caused unseasonal settlements reporting returnee arrival in the last for population return; 74% of respondents movement during the fourth quarter. population movement and minor displacement 3 months (B), December 2018 that own houses or land reported their west primarily to Warrap town, Akop and 7 The proportion of assessed settlements A property was destroyed during conflict. Theit in December 2018. KIs from Warrap reporting that flooding had caused HHs to State reported that such insecurity is likely to Water stress migration in WBeG and leave their home in NBeG State more than escalate in the following dry season months.
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