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Sevan-Hrazdan Cascade Of GTMax Training Course for Georgian State Electric System (GSE) 14-18 March 2011 Tbilisi, Georgia Thomas Veselka, Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Vahan Sargsyan, Armenian Scientific Research Institute of Energy (SRIE). Lecture 11: Overview of GTMax Application in Armenia CONTENT . Country Overview . USAID Project Purposes & Objectives . Armenian Power System in 2008, 2015 & 2020 . Modeling of Armenian Power System in GTMax . Summary of Model Results . Future uses/applications Armenia: country overview Armenia: country overview Territory – 29.8 thousand km2 40 % – 2 500 m above the sea level Population – 3.25 million inhabitants 64% – urban, including 1.1 million peoples in Yerevan Armenia: country overview Main economic indicators (2009/2008) GDP, million € 6 239/8 108 GDP per capita, € 1 919/2 504 GDP growth, % -14.4/6.8 Unemployment rate,% 6.9/6.3 USAID Project “Assistance to Energy Sector to Strengthen Energy Security and Regional Integration” USAID Project’s Main Objectives . Improve the Enabling Environment for Development of Renewable Energy in Armenia . Support Armenia’s Integration into Regional Energy Systems and ability to trade with Region for Security, Supply and Power Export Consideration USAID Project’s Specific Objectives . Support in Development of Renewable Energy Strategy . Assistance in Facilitation of Regional Electricity System Synchronization and Trade & Market Development USAID Project’s Main Tasks . Development of Armenia Power System national economic Simulation Models using GTMax Software . Conduct Economic Evaluation of Renewable Impacts on Operational Costs of Armenia Power System . Development of Regional Economic Simulation Models of Armenia and Georgia Power Systems USAID Project’s Main Tasks . Economic simulation of the Regional (Armenia-Georgia) market . Analysis of adequacy of the proposed transmission investment project . Provide assistance on utilizing and deepening knowledge of GTMax software Armenian entities . Transfer of Armenia and Georgia power system models to System Operator and Transmission Company for their future utilization Armenian Power System in 2008 (Base Year) Power System. Main Indicators Installed capacities (MW) Armenian NPP 407 Hrazdan TPP 1110 Yerevan CHP 550 Sevan-Hrazdan Cascade of HPPs 550 Vorotan cascade of HPPs 400 Small HPPs (<10 MW) 92 Wind Power Plant 2.6 Power System. Main Indicators Electricity generation and consumption 3 215 MW – total installed capacity 6 114 mln. kWh – annual production 4 730 mln. kWh – final consumption 485 mln. kWh – export 343 mln. kWh – import 1 327 MW – peak demand 950 000 – consumers Power System. Main Indicators Shares of Installed Capacities NPP 13% TPP 51% HPP Shares of Electricity 33% Production Wind, Small HPP NPP 3% 40% TPP HPP 30% 26% Wind, Small HPP 4% Power System. Main Indicators 2008 Small HPPs and 2006 Wind Armenian NPP 2004 2002 Yerevan CHP 2000 Hrazdan TPP 1998 Sevan-Hrazdan Cascade of HPPs 1996 V orot an Cascade of 1988 HPPs 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 m ln. kWh Interconnections Gyumri Vanadzor Lake Sevan Power System Structure Customers Electricity Tariffs 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Tariff, Voltage, Connection type AMD (USc)/kWh Night-time Daytime 35 kV and higher 17 (4.47) 21 (5.53) 6 (10) kV direct connection 17 (4.47) 25 (6.58) 6 (10) kV non-direct connection 17 (4.47) 30 (7.89) 0.38 kV 20 (5.26) 30 (7.89) Electricity Generation Tariffs Main Power Plants (without VAT – 20%) 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Power Plant Measurement Unit Tariff Armenian NPP: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 2352.6(6.19) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 4.4136(1.16) Hrazdan TPP: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 494.35(1.30) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 27.049(7.12) Yerevan TPP: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 580.82(1.52) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 26.222(6.90) Electricity Generation Tariffs Main Power Plants (without VAT – 20%) 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Power Plant Measurement Unit Tariff Sevan-Hrazdan HPP Cascade: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 717.45(1.88) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 1.164(0.306) Vorotan HPP Cascade: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 197.73(0.52) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 0.180(0.047) Electricity Generation Tariffs Renewables (without VAT – 20%) 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Power Plant Measurement Unit Tariff Small HPPs: Build on drinking water AMD(USc)/kWh 10.284(2.71) pipeline Build on irrigation system AMD(USc)/kWh 15.424(4.06) Build on natural water flow AMD(USc)/kWh 23.136(6.09) Wind Power Plant AMD(USc)/kWh 37.61(9.897) Armenian Power System in 2015 Power System. Main Indicators. 2015 Installed capacities (MW) Armenian NPP 407 Hrazdan TPP 1110 Hrazdan Unit 5 445 Yerevan CCHP 242 Sevan-Hrazdan Cascade of HPPs 550 Vorotan cascade of HPPs 400 Small HPPs (<10 MW) 117 Wind Power Plants 38.6 Electricity Generation Tariffs. 2015 Main Power Plants (without VAT – 20%) 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Power Plant Measurement Unit Tariff Armenian NPP: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 3108.4(8.18) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 4.604(1.21) Hrazdan TPP: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 512.7(1.35) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 32.59(8.58) Yerevan CCHP: Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 14.32(3.77) Hrazdan Unit 5: Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 16.91(4.45) Electricity Generation Tariffs. 2015 Main Power Plants (without VAT – 20%) 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Power Plant Measurement Unit Tariff Sevan-Hrazdan HPP Cascade: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 502.7(1.32) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 1.174(0.31) Vorotan HPP Cascade: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 214.57(0.56) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 1.154(0.30) Electricity Generation Tariffs. 2015 Renewables (without VAT – 20%) 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Power Plant Measurement Unit Tariff Small HPPs: Build on drinking water AMD(USc)/kWh 10.284(2.71) pipeline Build on irrigation system AMD(USc)/kWh 15.424(4.06) Build on natural water flow AMD(USc)/kWh 23.136(6.09) Wind Power Plant AMD(USc)/kWh 42.902(11.29) New Small HPPs: AMD(USc)/kWh 19.0(5.0) Armenian Power System in 2020 Power System. Main Indicators. 2020 Installed capacities (MW) New NPP 1000 Hrazdan TPP 1110 Hrazdan Unit 5 445 Yerevan CCHP 235 Sevan-Hrazdan Cascade of HPPs 550 Vorotan cascade of HPPs 400 HPPs (>10 MW) 110 Small HPPs (<10 MW) 142 Wind Power Plants 282.6 Electricity Generation Tariffs. 2020 Main Power Plants (without VAT – 20%) 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Power Plant Measurement Unit Tariff New NPP: Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 38.0(10.0) Hrazdan TPP: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 512.7(1.35) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 32.59(8.58) Yerevan CCHP: Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 13.94(3.67) Hrazdan Unit 5: Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 16.34(4.3) Electricity Generation Tariffs. 2020 Main Power Plants (without VAT – 20%) 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Power Plant Measurement Unit Tariff Sevan-Hrazdan HPP Cascade: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 412.92(1.10) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 0.978(0.26) Vorotan HPP Cascade: Power Tariff AMD(US$)/kW 178.81(0.47) Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 0.962(0.25) Shnokh HPP: Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 36.1(9.50) Loriberd HPP: Electricity Tariff AMD(USc)/kWh 32.3(8.50) Electricity Generation Tariffs. 2020 Renewables (without VAT – 20%) 1 USc ≈ 3.80 AMD Power Plant Measurement Unit Tariff Small HPPs: Build on drinking water AMD(USc)/kWh 10.284(2.71) pipeline Build on irrigation system AMD(USc)/kWh 15.424(4.06) Build on natural water flow AMD(USc)/kWh 23.136(6.09) Wind Power Plant AMD(USc)/kWh 42.902(11.29) New Small HPPs: AMD(USc)/kWh 19.0(5.0) Modeling of Armenian Power System in GTMax Modeling of Armenian Power System in GTMax Isolated Operation of Armenian Power System Scenarios of Power System Development 2015 – With / Without New Renewables 2020 – With / Without New Renewables with technical minimum to NPP operation without technical minimum to NPP operation Armenian System’s full GTMax Model GTMax Model of NPP/TPP GTMax Model of NPP/TPP input data Armenian NPP MW 450 Hrazdan TPP MW 400 600 Yerevan TPP MW 350 60 500 300 25050 400 200 40 300 150 10030 200 50 20 100 0 1 8760 10 0 1 8760 0 1 8760 GTMax Model of Sevan-Hrazdan & Vorotan HPP Cascades GTMax Model of Sevan-Hrazdan & Vorotan HPP Cascades Input Data Sevan-Hrazdan Cascade of HPP MW 300 Vorotan Cascade of HPP MW 350 250 300 200 250 150 200 100 150 10050 500 1 8760 0 1 8760 GTMax Model of Renewables/Networks/Consumers GTMax Model of Renewables/Networks/Consumers Input Data Lori Wind Farm MW 2.5 Small HPPs MW 60 2.0 50 1.5 40 1.0 30 0.5 20 0.0 10 1 8760 0 1 8760 Summary of Model Results Example of Model Results DaDaiillyy LoadLoad Curve,Curve, January,January, 2020,2020, withwith newnew RERE, with/o NPPNPP technicaltechnical minimumminimum Total Generation 1600 1600 1400 1400 Zod Wind Farm Zod Wind Farm 1200 Vorotan cascade 1200 Vorotan cascade Sevan-Hrazdan cascade Sevan-Hrazdan cascade Karakhach Wind Farm Karakhach Wind Farm 10001000 New Small HPPs MW New Small HPPs MW Loriberd HPP Loriberd HPP Shnokh HPP Shnokh HPP 800 800 HrazdanHrazdan 5 5--thth unitunit YerevanYerevan CC CC NewNew NPP NPP 600 600 LoriLori Wind Wind FarmFarm SmallSmall HPPsHPPs HrazdanHrazdan TPP TPP 11--44 unitsunits 400400 InternalInternal ConsumptionConsumption 200200 00 217241 218242 219243 220244 221245 222246 223247 224248 225249 226250 227251 228252 229253 230254 231255 256232 257233 258234 259235 260236 261237 262238 263239 264240 Summary of Model Results.
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