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Estimates of Aged Population, by State, 1940-48

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Estimates of Aged Population, by State, 1940-48 :aid to the blind, and aid to dependent Estimated population 6.5 years of age and over as of July 1 of each year children programs. When general 1940-48, by State 1 assistance is added, however, it is state 1840 1941 1942 1943 clear that low-income States allocated - ~~ proportionately much less to that CO$lgt~ program than did most of the States. States..... 9, 020,916 9,222,257;9.455,038~9,660.24 In the aggregate, general assistance - _____ Bla. -- . ..__ 140,148 142,552 144,991 147,681 150.524 - expenditures represented 20 percent Ariz...-.- . .._. 29,697 31,281 32,870 34,527 36,225 of total assistance expenditures. Ark . -_. 110,518 112,173 113,636 115.696 117,678 Calif . .._.. -... 666,713 696,525 726,439 757,868 730,238 Mississippi and Tennessee, however, co10 .._._._ --... 92,501 96,104 98,076 104,163 CO?lll..._._ --... 143,544 151,979 156,515 161,236 allotted 2 percent of total assistance Delm.m- 22,163 23,210 23,781 24.378 funds to the general assistance pro- D. C 46,474 49,718 51,451 53,251 Fla _..._._ . 145,755 161,985 170,425 179.083 gram ; Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, G3 ._..__. ..___ 160,970 165.318; 167,820 170,470 about 7 percent; and North Carolina, 33,939 34,596 35,262 35, 9Qai 36,758 627,404 644,515 661,787 660,349 699,646 9 percent. While the national aver- 302,632 307,412 312,236 317,665 323,389 age per capita expenditure for general 241,579 245,802 250,100 254,815 259,838 166,519 lti9,539 172,554 175,896 179,411 assistance was $1.27, Mississippi spent 197.716 200,755 203,842 207,296 210.961 127.028 130,273 133,547 137,063 140; 746 3 cents, Tennessee 7 cents, and Arkan- 81,350 81,899 82,454 83,155 83,933 sas, Georgia, Kentucky, and North 133,053 136,191 139.344 142,771 146,367 403,651 411,629 429,653 Carolina from 14 to 20 cents. Al- 395, ml 420,427 t,hough this pattern of assistance ex- gi;;y”,l-. ..-.. 373,007 384,861 396,812 409,541 422,716 __...~.... 228,840 233,612 238,409 243,634 249.135 penditures in the low-income States Miss .._._.. _._ __ 116.050 117,690; llY, 344 121,215 123.206 MO. .__._._._ ._. 352,519 360,579 368,691 377,480 386,710 is undoubtedly the result of many Mont ._._._..._. 40,805 42,083 43,373 44,741 46,167 N&r- _. -. 112,869 115,053 117,259 119,687 122,234 faCtOrs, it may be attributed in large NC%. ._....... -. 8,228 8.624 9,026 9,447 9,882 measure to the absence of Federal N. II.. _. 51,019 51,778 52,539 53,395 54,307 N. J...- 311,875 321,305 330,819 341.010 351,608 participation in Anancing the general N. Mer -.. 24,620 25,058 25,500 25,989 26,505 assistance program. N.Y.. 927,060 954,120 984,541 I, 011,326 1, g, 2; 1,y3 y;g 1, ;g, g 4 ;;g#fg 1,;;g z; N. c . .._ -.__ 154,066 157,884 162,230 ETQ6; 42: 369 43; 252 44: 133 45: 104 46,114> : N. Dak.k _...._. 39.570 40,257 41,073 Ohio . .._. 541,362 552.196 564,941 575; 646 585,877 599,573 613.392 628,315 644,002 Estimates of Aged Okla . ._... 144,968 147,177 149,875 152,016 154,035 156,965 159,908 163.132 166,535 Oreg............ 93,2;7 95,548 98,133 100,358 102,514 105,258 108,020 110,995 114,093 Population, by State, Pa ..___. -.- 679,937 694,081 710,624 724,576 737,986 755,803 7;T ;;; 793,304 813, 718 R. I.... 54,576 55,639 56,891 57,937 58,945 60,300 63,160 64,718 s. c! . 78,903 79,768 80,906 81,742 82,516 83,774 85: 042 86,472 87.989 1940-48 S. Dak.. 44,508 45,279 46,1Y8 46,946 47,658 48,643 49.6421 50,725 51,862 Term .. ._ ....... 185,297 189,808 194,349 199,218 204,381 The Social Security Administration Texas -..-....... 381,057 391,405 401,796 412,964 424,612 has recently prepared estimates of Utah- __-. ...... 34,088 35,158 36,236 37,38.3 38,574 vt.. ............ 35,513 35,904 36,296 36,758 37 256 the number of persons 65 years of age v% _............ 166,727 170, 9il6 175,143 179,716 184: 497 Wash ........... 162,634 167,692 172,785 178,209 183,859 and over, by State, for the years 1940- lV.VR ........ -.I 109.408 111,912 114,446 117,178 120,048 46. The Bureau of the Census regu- Wis .-... ..... -__I 264,835 271,341 277,885 284,972 292,364 14,899 15,403 15,938 16.492 larly prepares and releases current wyo.. .......... 14,398 estimates of the total population by 1 Figures me shown to the last digit as computed tim nf tbe United States, by Age, Color, and Sez: 1940 State, but it does not currently make for cowenience in summation, not because they are to !946 (Population-Special Reports, Series P-47, accurate to the last place. Totals for 1949-46 esti- No.3)); State data for all years and totals for 1947-48 estimates of the aged population. mated by Bureau of the Census (Estimated Popula- estimated by Social Security Administration. The present estimates, shown in the accompanying table, were derived State deaths in these classes. The deaths of aged persons. If, for ex- from published and unpublished result represented the preliminary ample, the number of aged persons materials furnished by the Bureau estimate of aged persons in the State in a given State is raised substantially of the Census and the National on July 1. The final estimate re- by additions of individuals reaching OEice of Vital Statistics and have had flected adjustments for: (1) chance age 65 and by immigration, the num- the benefit of critical review by the fluctuations from year to year in the ber of deaths of aged persons reported Bureau of the Census. The method State’s death rate; (2) any constant in that State will probably increase used is briefly as follows: Census esti- difference between the State death also. Thus, the use of mortality mates of total aged population in the rate and the national death rate; (3) statistics for estimating population country as a whole on July 1 of each biases in the reporting of age in the groups takes into account the factor of the 9 years, by 5-year age-sex- 1940 census; and (4) any difference of migration, as well as the effect of race classes, were divided by the between the sum of the State esti- natural increase. Migration trends number of deaths during the year re- mates and the national total esti- among aged persons, however, were ported to the National Office of Vital mated by the Bureau of the Census. assumed to be fairly smooth and not Statistics for persons in these classes The basic premise behind the esti- greatly distorted by the sharp fluctu- to obtain an average number of per- mates is that any change in the num- ation in wartime employment oppor- sons in each class Per death reported. ber of aged persons in a State tends t,unities that occurred in some areas. The averages were then multiplied by to be reflected in the number of The use of mortality data to meas- Bulletin, January 1949 23 ure the size of age groups is undoubt- October 1948 BULLETIN, are based on At the beginning of 1949, slightly edly most reliable when applied to the estimates of aged population more than 1 out of every 3 fully in- estimates of aged populations. Aged made by the Social Security Adminis- sured workers was permanently in- persons are subject to higher mor- tration and described above. sured. The effect of the more liberal tality rates than younger people; in requirement for permanently insured estimating the number of persons in Workers With Perma- status at the older ages is illustrated the population, therefore, deaths pro- nently Insured Status in a comparison, by age, of the num- vide a larger “sample” of aged than ber of fully insured and permanently of younger persons. As a result, a on January 1, 1949 insured workers: chance variation of a few deaths An estimated 13.2 million workers among persons 65 years and over had permanently insured status 1 un- Workers fully insured 1 as of January 1.1949 (number makes less difference in a population der old-age and survivors insurance in millions) estimate than a like variation in the on January 1, 1949, an increase of 1.9 deaths of younger persons. million over the estimated 11.3 million Workers perma- nently insured Care has been taken to make the permanently insured workers on Jan- - - estimates of aged population as ac- Total uary 1, 1948. These workers can, re- Percent curate as possible. It is character- gardless of their future employment, Number of fully insured istic of these figures, however, as of qualify for primary benefits either most population estimates, that the when or after they reach age 65; in Total __......_.
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