28th European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF GLOBAL INSTALLED PHOTOVOLTAIC CAPACITY AND IDENTIFICATION OF HIDDEN GROWTH MARKETS Ch. Werner1,2,3, Ch. Breyer4, A. Gerlach1 1 Hanwha Q CELLS GmbH, Sonnenallee 17-21, 06766 Bitterfeld-Wolfen OT Thalheim, Germany 2 now with: Hanergy Holding Group, Potsdamer Platz 10, 10785 Berlin, Germany, E-mail:
[email protected] 3 FernUniversität in Hagen, Universitätsstr. 11, 58084 Hagen, Germany 4 Reiner Lemoine Institut gGmbH, Ostendstraße 25, 12459 Berlin, Germany, E-mail:
[email protected] ABSTRACT The installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) is rising steadily. Most PV is installed in highly electrified countries as on-grid systems. Further there are reams of small off-grid systems in rural areas of developing countries. Due to this, reliable installation rates for PV are available only for a small number of countries. For the end of 2012 EPIA reports 102,156 MWp of installed PV capacity giving data for 50 countries, whereas 2,098 MWp are not allocatable to specific countries. IEA-PVPS provides data for 89,500 MWp installed in 23 countries. This Paper gives an overview on installed PV for all countries in the world, being predicated on the examination of public accessible data. Furthermore, an analysis on development of cumulative PV capacities in recent years is given. Resulting from this evaluation, PV installations are localized in 190 countries claiming 98,988 MWp. Keywords PV Markets, Installed Capacity, PV Installation, Market Growth 1 EXAMINATION METHOD ‘exports A’ + ‘production A’ = ‘market A’. The production volumes refer to the publications of the European Photovoltaic Industry Association (EPIA) magazine ‘Photon’ on the topic of production output [2].