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Air Transportation Investment Proposition Air Transportation Investment Proposition 30th August 2016 Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal Why Canadian firms are investing in Indonesia Indonesia has the 4th Indonesia is very cost Indonesia is one of the largest population in effective - the average fastest growing the world (261 million monthly wage is $161 economies in the world as of August 2016) in the world (>5% p.a. 2012-16) Indonesia’s GDP will Access to the $2.5 increase by over 150% trillion ASEAN market to $2.2 trillion by 2025 with a population of 620 million Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board What Canadian investors say about Indonesia invested by of Canadian investors of Canadian investors Canadian firms in Indonesia are in Indonesia would in Indonesia planning to recommend other re-invest in Indonesia Canadian companies (WAVTEQ, June 2016 survey) to invest in Indonesia (WAVTEQ, June 2016 survey) Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Why invest in Indonesia’s air transportation sector? Booming sector New air passengers Track record $ 28% p.a. 183 million $14.3 billion growth in air additional air passengers Transport, Storage & transportation in forecast by 2034 Communication FDI in Indonesia (2005-14) Indonesia (2011-15) Global importance Growth in freight New airports #6 in world 50% p.a. planned Indonesia is expected to be growth in air cargo by 2025 with 24 the 6th largest market for expected a s a result of 45 air travel by 2034 the 2015 ASEAN Open new airports planned Skies Policy by 2017 Indonesia’s competitive strengths for air transportation investment Word’s fourth largest population of 260 million with rapid GDP growth *5%+ p.a.) Huge growth in air transportation with 45 new airports planned Labour costs nearly half of China and lower than India for skilled positions Better availability of scientists & engineers than China or India Effective corporate tax less than half China and India Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Demand for air transportation in Indonesia 1. Indonesia’s aviation industry is booming, growing by 28.10% average per annum between 2005 and 2014. Air transportation contribution to real GDP*, Indonesia, IDR billion, 2005-2014 120000 111232 100000 79038 80000 62153 60000 46702 40000 34781 24249 16547 19666 20000 11979 14669 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Statistics Indonesia *2000 constant market prices Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Air passengers in Indonesia 1. Indonesia’s airport sector is recording rapid growth with a rapid rise in the number of domestic and international air travellers, as well as freight. 2. The economic growth in the country is contributing to this – real GDP grew in Indonesia at an average growth rate of 5.07% between 2012 and 2016. Number of domestic and international aircraft passengers, Indonesia, millions, 2005-2014 100 94.5 88.59 80 79.41 70.91 60 59.38 40 29.77 29.87 30.41 27.42 20 26.84 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Economist Intelligence Unit Market Indicators & Forecasts Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Direct flights from Jakarta, Indonesia Direct flights to selected countries from Soekarno–Hatta International Airport, Indonesia, 2016 Number of direct Flight distance Destination city Country Flight time flights per week (miles) Singapore Singapore 326 1 hr 36 min 553 Kuala Lumpur Malaysia 258 1 hr 58 min 733 Bangkok Thailand 105 3 hr 22 min 1436 Manila Philippines 18 3 hr 57 min 1727 Xiamen China 17 4 hr 59 min 2239 Ho Chi Minh Vietnam 14 2 hr 50 min 1168 Shanghai China 14 5 hr 58 min 2732 Bandar Seri Begawan Brunei 12 2 hr 23 min 944 Fuzhou China 8 5 hr 14 min 2369 Bayan Lepas Malaysia 7 2 hr 19 min 908 Beijing China 6 6 hr 58 min 3230 Tianjin China 4 6 hr 52 min 3187 Kota Kinabalu Malaysia 3 2 hr 36 min 1051 Zhengzhou China 3 6 hr 12 min 2850 Source: WAVTEQ based on OAG Flight Guide Worldwide and Travelmath Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Key opportunities for Canadian investment - Air transportation services and PPP projects Providing technical services for air transportation • Traffic control systems, ground handling, aircraft maintenance, passenger services, freight services, and logistics and distribution Participating in PPP projects • The Indonesian government is planning 45 new airports by 2025 (24 by 2017) Potential PPP projects and estimated costs, USD million Project name Location Estimated cost (USD, mn) Development of New Bali airport Bali 510.00 Kulon Progo International Airport DI Yogyakarta 500.00 Expansion of Fatmawati Soekarno Airport Bengkulu 123.95 Expansion of Radin Inten II Airport Lampung 109.37 Expansion of Sentani Airport Papua 109.37 Expansion of Tjilik Riwut Airport Central Kalimantan 109.37 Expansion of Mutiara Airport Central Sulawesi 103.30 Expansion of Juwata Airport North Kalimantan 103.30 Expansion of Sultan Babullah Airport North Maluku 100.26 Expansion of H. As. Hananjoeddin Airport Bangka-Belitung Islands 58.33 Expansion of Komodo Airport East Nusa Tenggara 48.61 Expansion of Matahora Airport Southeast Sulawesi 48.61 Source: Indonesia National Development Planning Agency, Public Private Partnerships 2015 Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Track record in attracting FDI 1. Indonesia had attracted over $14.3 billion of FDI into the sector since 2011 with over $3 billion of FDI in 2015 FDI flows into Indonesia in the Transport, Storage & Communication sector (2010-15), US$ million 4,000 3,799 3,500 3,290 3,001 3,000 2,808 2,500 2,000 1,450 1,500 1,000 500 00 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Based on BKPM data Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board FDI Track Record – Canada case studies Canada-based CAE has entered into a joint venture with Malaysia Airlines and has opened a new B738 simulation training centre in Glenmarie, Subang. The centre, maintained and operated by CAE, features a CAE 7000 Series Boeing 737-800 Level D full-flight simulator and a CAE Simfinity Boeing 737-800 Integrated Procedures Trainer. FL Technics, a provider of integrated aviation related services and a subsidiary of Lithuania-based Avia Solutions, has opened an 8400 sq m aircraft maintenance hangar at Soekarno-Hatta International Airport, Indonesia. It will create around 150 jobs and will help facilitate cooperation with Asian carriers, MROs and other players in the Asia- Pacific region. Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Competitive strengths for services – Size of market GDP 2011-2025, US$ billion (EIU forecasts) 2500 Indonesia’s GDP 2025 forecast: • Increase >150% to $2.2 trillion Indonesia 2000 • Larger than India’s in 2015 • Nearly same size as Canada’s ($2.6 tn) • GDP/capita: $3370 (2015) to $7840 Philippines 1500 Thailand Malaysia 1000 Vietnam 500 Singapore 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Competitive strengths for for services – Size of population Population by country, 2015-2030 308 Indonesia 255 128 Philippines 101 103 Vietnam 92 Indonesia’s population is 70 th Thailand 69 the 4 largest in the world and will increase to over 36 Malaysia 31 300 million people 7 Singapore 6 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Population projection (mid-2030, Millions) Population (2015, Millions) Source: fDi Benchmark (IMF and Population Reference Bureau World Population Data Sheet) Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Competitive strengths for for services - Skilled workforce Availability of Scientists and Engineers – out of 7 (2015) Indonesia 4.6 China 4.5 Thailand 4.3 India 4.2 Philippines 4.0 Vietnam 3.9 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6 Source: fDi Benchmark (Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum, Switzerland, 2015-16 ) Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Competitive strengths for for services – Available workforce Unemployment rate, 2015-2020 Indonesia 6.3% 5.9% Thailand 0.8% 0.8% Singapore 1.9% Indonesia has the least tight 2.0% labour market in ASEAN Vietnam 2.9% 2.4% Malaysia 2.9% 3.2% China 4.0% 4.1% Philippines 6.0% 6.0% India 8.4% 3.6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% Forecast Unemployment Rate in 2020 (%) Unemployment Rate in 2015 (%) Source: fDi Benchmark (Economist Intelligence Unit March 2016 & International Monetary Fund 2016) Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Competitive strengths for for services – Low taxes Total Tax Rate (% profit) in 2015 Indonesia 30% Indonesia has low effective Thailand 28% tax rates Vietnam 39% Malaysia 40% Philippines 43% China 68% India 61% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Source: fDi Benchmark (World Bank Doing Business 2016) Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Competitive strengths for for services – Lowest wages in ASEAN Average monthly wages, USD, 2011-2020 800.00 700.00 600.00 Indonesia 500.00 Malaysia 400.00 Philippines 300.00 Thailand 200.00 Vietnam 100.00 0.00 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: EIU Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Competitive strengths for for services – Low labour costs for engineering positions Labour costs by country for an engineer, USD, 2015 Vietnam 11029 Indonesia has highly Philippines 12000 competitive labour costs Indonesia 13801 Thailand 15552 Malaysia 15840 India 15893 China 24030 Singapore 57537 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 Source: fDi Benchmark Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Competitive strengths for for services – Innovation Total of Patent applications, non-residents (foreign investors) (2014) Indonesia 7321 Singapore 9009 Thailand 6924 Malaysia 6267 Vietnam 3960 Philippines 3255 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 Source: fDi Benchmark (World Bank World Development Indicators) Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Competitive strengths for for services – Low cost of living Cost of Living Index, 2015* Indonesia 1.79 India 1.4 Vietnam 1.82 Philippines 1.86 Thailand 2.14 Malaysia 2.22 China 3.28 Singapore 5.7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Source: fDi Benchmark *Rating 0-10 (0=lowest cost of living; 10=highest cost of living) (2014) Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Thank You Terima Kasih Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal (BKPM) Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Jln.
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