Richard Thaler and the Rise of Behavioral Economics
Richard Thaler and the Rise of Behavioral Economics Nicholas Barberis Yale University April 2018∗ Abstract Richard Thaler was awarded the 2017 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his contributions to behavioral economics. In this article, I review and discuss these contributions. JEL classification: B2, D9, G1 Keywords: endowment effect, prospect theory, mental accounting, nudge ∗I am grateful to Hunt Allcott, Ingvild Almas, James Choi, Stefano DellaVigna, Keith Ericson, Owen Lamont, Ulrike Malmendier, Matthew Rabin, and Jesse Shapiro for helpful discussions about the content of this article. 1 I. Introduction From the 18th century to the first half of the 20th century, the leading economists of the day – figures such as Adam Smith, John Maynard Keynes, and Irving Fisher – were known to bring aspects of human psychology into their analysis of the economy. By the middle of the 20th century, however, this practice was less common, and with the advent of the rational expectations revolution in the 1960s, economists began to focus almost exclusively on models with the same, tightly-specified assumptions about individual psychology: that people have rational beliefs, and that they make decisions according to Expected Utility. In the early 1980s, a small group of economists began to argue that the rational ex- pectations revolution had gone too far, and that to understand many important economic phenomena, it was critical to develop new models that made assumptions about human be- havior that were psychologically more realistic, and that, in particular, allowed for less than fully rational thinking. This message was roundly dismissed at first, sometimes in scornful terms, but it gradually gained traction.
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