Bonn Minicourse Syllabus
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Economics & Finance 2011
Economics & Finance 2011 press.princeton.edu Contents General Interest 1 Economic Theory & Research 15 Game Theory 18 Finance 19 Econometrics, Mathematical & Applied Economics 24 Innovation & Entrepreneurship 26 Political Economy, Trade & Development 27 Public Policy 30 Economic History & History of Economics 31 Economic Sociology & Related Interest 36 Economics of Education 42 Classic Textbooks 43 Index/Order Form 44 TEXT Professors who wish to consider a book from this catalog for course use may request an examination copy. For more information please visit: press.princeton.edu/class.html New Winner of the 2010 Business Book of the Year Award, Financial Times/Goldman Sachs Fault Lines How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy Raghuram G. Rajan “What caused the crisis? . There is an embarrassment of causes— especially embarrassing when you recall how few people saw where they might lead. Raghuram Rajan . was one of the few to sound an alarm before 2007. That gives his novel and sometimes surprising thesis added authority. He argues in his excellent new book that the roots of the calamity go wider and deeper still.” —Clive Crook, Financial Times Raghuram G. Rajan is the Eric J. Gleacher Distinguished Service Profes- “Excellent . deserve[s] to sor of Finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and be widely read.” former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund. —Economist 2010. 272 pages. Cl: 978-0-691-14683-6 $26.95 | £18.95 Not for sale in India ForthcominG Blind Spots Why We Fail to Do What’s Right and What to Do about It Max H. Bazerman & Ann E. -
When Does Behavioural Economics Really Matter?
When does behavioural economics really matter? Ian McAuley, University of Canberra and Centre for Policy Development (www.cpd.org.au) Paper to accompany presentation to Behavioural Economics stream at Australian Economic Forum, August 2010. Summary Behavioural economics integrates the formal study of psychology, including social psychology, into economics. Its empirical base helps policy makers in understanding how economic actors behave in response to incentives in market transactions and in response to policy interventions. This paper commences with a short description of how behavioural economics fits into the general discipline of economics. The next section outlines the development of behavioural economics, including its development from considerations of individual psychology into the fields of neurology, social psychology and anthropology. It covers developments in general terms; there are excellent and by now well-known detailed descriptions of the specific findings of behavioural economics. The final section examines seven contemporary public policy issues with suggestions on how behavioural economics may help develop sound policy. In some cases Australian policy advisers are already using the findings of behavioural economics to advantage. It matters most of the time In public policy there is nothing novel about behavioural economics, but for a long time it has tended to be ignored in formal texts. Like Molière’s Monsieur Jourdain who was surprised to find he had been speaking prose all his life, economists have long been guided by implicit knowledge of behavioural economics, particularly in macroeconomics. Keynes, for example, understood perfectly the “money illusion” – people’s tendency to think of money in nominal rather than real terms – in his solution to unemployment. -
Prof. Dr. Armin Falk Biographical Sketch 1998 Phd, University Of
Prof. Dr. Armin Falk Biographical Sketch 1998 PhD, University of Zurich 1998 - 2003 Assistant professor, University of Zurich 2003 - 2005 Lecturer, Central European University (Budapest) 2003 - today Research Director, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 2003 - today Professor of Economics, University of Bonn Affiliations with CESifo, CEPR Research Interests Labor Economics, Behavioral and experimental economics Selected Journal Publications “Fairness Perceptions and Reservation Wages - The Behavioral Effects of Minimum Wage Laws” (with Ernst Fehr and Christian Zehnder), Quarterly Journal of Economic, forthcoming. “Distrust - The Hidden Cost of Control” (with Michael Kosfeld), American Economic Review, forthcoming. “Clean Evidence on Peer Effects” (with Andrea Ichino), Journal of Labor Economics, forthcoming. “A Theory of Reciprocity” (with Urs Fischbacher), Games and Economic Behavior 54 (2), 2006, 293-315. “Driving Forces Behind Informal Sanctions” (with Ernst Fehr and Urs Fischbacher), Econometrica 73 (6), 2005, 2017-2030. “The Success of Job Applications: A New Approach to Program Evaluation” (with Rafael Lalive and Josef Zweimüller), Labour Economics 12 (6), 2005, 739-748. “Choosing the Joneses: Endogenous Goals and Reference Standards” (with Markus Knell), Scandinavian Journal of Economics 106 (3), 2004, 417-435. “Relational Contracts and the Nature of Market Interactions” (with Martin Brown and Ernst Fehr), Econometrica 72, 2004, 747-780. “On the Nature of Fair Behavior” (with Ernst Fehr and Urs Fischbacher), Economic Inquiry 41(1), 2003, 20-26. “Reasons for Conflict - Lessons From Bargaining Experiments” (with Ernst Fehr and Urs Fischbacher), Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics 159 (1), 2003, 171-187. “Why Labour Market Experiments?” (with Ernst Fehr), Labour Economics 10, 2003, 399-406. -
Armin Falk IZA and University of Bonn April 2004
I. Introduction Armin Falk IZA and University of Bonn April 2004 Falk: Behavioral Labor Economics: Psychology of Incentives 1/18 This course • Study behavioral effects for labor related outcomes • Empirical studies •Overview – Introduction – Psychology of incentives • Reciprocity and contract enforcement • Dysfunctional effects of explicit incentives • Peer effects • Loss aversion, collusion and sabotage in the presence of tournament incentives – Labor supply – Market behavior • Monopsony and minimum wages • Fairness, efficiency wages and wage rigidities • Incomplete contracts, fairness and the functioning of markets Falk: Behavioral Labor Economics: Psychology of Incentives 2/18 Requirements 1. Take part in the lecture 2. Write a short paper • Either about a summary and discussion of 3 papers • List of topics and papers will be provided • Papers, which are not discussed in this course • Or about a labor economics experiment, which you design, conduct and analyze • Motivation, design, results, discussion • Few observations sufficient • Can also be a field experiment, a theoretical model or the analysis of an existing data set • You can see me and David Huffman to discuss your suggestions Falk: Behavioral Labor Economics: Psychology of Incentives 3/18 Information • Slides can be downloaded – www.iza.org/home/falk • Readers available at IZA Falk: Behavioral Labor Economics: Psychology of Incentives 4/18 Behavioral Economics: From the Nobel Prize laudation “Traditionally, economic theory has relied on the assumption of a "homo œconomicus", whose behavior is governed by self-interest and who is capable of rational decision-making. Economics has also been regarded as a non-experimental science, where researchers – as in astronomy or meteorology – have had to rely exclusively on field data, that is, direct observations of the real world. -
Notes and Sources for Evil Geniuses: the Unmaking of America: a Recent History
Notes and Sources for Evil Geniuses: The Unmaking of America: A Recent History Introduction xiv “If infectious greed is the virus” Kurt Andersen, “City of Schemes,” The New York Times, Oct. 6, 2002. xvi “run of pedal-to-the-medal hypercapitalism” Kurt Andersen, “American Roulette,” New York, December 22, 2006. xx “People of the same trade” Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations, ed. Andrew Skinner, 1776 (London: Penguin, 1999) Book I, Chapter X. Chapter 1 4 “The discovery of America offered” Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy In America, trans. Arthur Goldhammer (New York: Library of America, 2012), Book One, Introductory Chapter. 4 “A new science of politics” Tocqueville, Democracy In America, Book One, Introductory Chapter. 4 “The inhabitants of the United States” Tocqueville, Democracy In America, Book One, Chapter XVIII. 5 “there was virtually no economic growth” Robert J Gordon. “Is US economic growth over? Faltering innovation confronts the six headwinds.” Policy Insight No. 63. Centre for Economic Policy Research, September, 2012. --Thomas Piketty, “World Growth from the Antiquity (growth rate per period),” Quandl. 6 each citizen’s share of the economy Richard H. Steckel, “A History of the Standard of Living in the United States,” in EH.net (Economic History Association, 2020). --Andrew McAfee and Erik Brynjolfsson, The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies (New York: W.W. Norton, 2016), p. 98. 6 “Constant revolutionizing of production” Friedrich Engels and Karl Marx, Manifesto of the Communist Party (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1969), Chapter I. 7 from the early 1840s to 1860 Tomas Nonnenmacher, “History of the U.S. -
Kranton Duke University
The Devil is in the Details – Implications of Samuel Bowles’ The Moral Economy for economics and policy research October 13 2017 Rachel Kranton Duke University The Moral Economy by Samuel Bowles should be required reading by all graduate students in economics. Indeed, all economists should buy a copy and read it. The book is a stunning, critical discussion of the interplay between economic incentives and preferences. It challenges basic premises of economic theory and questions policy recommendations based on these theories. The book proposes the path forward: designing policy that combines incentives and moral appeals. And, therefore, like such as book should, The Moral Economy leaves us with much work to do. The Moral Economy concerns individual choices and economic policy, particularly microeconomic policies with goals to enhance the collective good. The book takes aim at laws, policies, and business practices that are based on the classic Homo economicus model of individual choice. The book first argues in great detail that policies that follow from the Homo economicus paradigm can backfire. While most economists would now recognize that people are not purely selfish and self-interested, The Moral Economy goes one step further. Incentives can amplify the selfishness of individuals. People might act in more self-interested ways in a system based on incentives and rewards than they would in the absence of such inducements. The Moral Economy warns economists to be especially wary of incentives because social norms, like norms of trust and honesty, are critical to economic activity. The danger is not only of incentives backfiring in a single instance; monetary incentives can generally erode ethical and moral codes and social motivations people can have towards each other. -
Connections in Transportation Department of Urban Studies and Planning, MIT, Spring 2015
Behavior and Policy 11.478 Behavior and Policy: Connections in Transportation Department of Urban Studies and Planning, MIT, Spring 2015 Full Reading List Part I: Behavior and Policy in a Nutshell Class 1. Cafeteria Trays and Multiple Frameworks • Etheredge (1976) The case of the unreturned cafeteria trays: An Investigation based upon theories of motivation and human behavior Class 2. Ten Instruments for Behavioral Change • Miller and Prentice (2013) Psychological Levers of Behavior Change, Chapter 17 in Eldar Shafir, The Behavioral Foundations of Public Policy • Richard Thaler, Cass R. Sunstein: Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness, Introduction • Daniel Kahneman: Thinking, Fast and Slow, Introduction Class 3. Measurement, Tools and Technology (Emile Bruneau) • Emile Bruneau 2015 "Putting Neuroscience to Work for Peace”, Working Paper • Duflo, E., Glennerster, R., & Kremer, M. (2007). Using randomization in development economics research: A toolkit. Handbook of development economics, 4, 3895-3962. • Greenwald, A. G., Nosek, B. A., & Banaji, M. R. (2003). Understanding and using the implicit association test: I. An improved scoring algorithm. Journal of personality and social psychology, 85(2), 197. You may try the Implicit Association Test here https://implicit.harvard.edu/ • Winter Mason and Siddharth Suri (2012) Conducting Behavioural Research on Amazon’s Mech Turk, Behavior Research Method 44(1) Class 4. My Brain at the Bus Stop: EEG & Waiting • Dan Ariely and Gregory S. Berns (2010), “Neuromarketing: The Hope and Hype of Neuroimaging in Business.” Nature Reviews Neuroscience. • Li, Zelin, F. Duarte, J. Zhao, Z. Zhao (2015) My brain at the bus stop: an exploratory framework for applying EEG-based emotion detection techniques in transportation study, working paper Class 5. -
Patience and Comparative Development*
Patience and Comparative Development* Thomas Dohmen Benjamin Enke Armin Falk David Huffman Uwe Sunde May 29, 2018 Abstract This paper studies the role of heterogeneity in patience for comparative devel- opment. The empirical analysis is based on a simple OLG model in which patience drives the accumulation of physical capital, human capital, productivity improve- ments, and hence income. Based on a globally representative dataset on patience in 76 countries, we study the implications of the model through a combination of reduced-form estimations and simulations. In the data, patience is strongly corre- lated with income levels, income growth, and the accumulation of physical capital, human capital, and productivity. These relationships hold across countries, sub- national regions, and individuals. In the reduced-form analyses, the quantitative magnitude of the relationship between patience and income strongly increases in the level of aggregation. A simple parameterized version of the model generates comparable aggregation effects as a result of production complementarities and equilibrium effects, and illustrates that variation in preference endowments can account for a considerable part of the observed variation in per capita income. JEL classification: D03, D90, O10, O30, O40. Keywords: Patience; comparative development; factor accumulation. *Armin Falk acknowledges financial support from the European Research Council through ERC # 209214. Dohmen, Falk: University of Bonn, Department of Economics; [email protected], [email protected]. Enke: Harvard University, Department of Economics; [email protected]. Huffman: University of Pittsburgh, Department of Economics; huff[email protected]. Sunde: University of Munich, Department of Economics; [email protected]. 1 Introduction A long stream of research in development accounting has documented that both pro- duction factors and productivity play an important role in explaining cross-country income differences (Hall and Jones, 1999; Caselli, 2005; Hsieh and Klenow, 2010). -
ON the EARLY HISTORY of EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS Alvin E
ON THE EARLY HISTORY OF EXPERIMENTAL ECONOMICS Alvin E. Roth I. INTRODUCTION In the course of coediting the Handbook of Experimental Economics it became clear to me that contemporary experimental economists tend to carry around with them different and very partial accounts of the history of this still emerging field. This project began as an attempt to merge these "folk histories" of the origins of what I am confident will eventually be seen as an important chapter in the history and sociology of economics. I won't try to pin down the first economic experiment, although I am partial to Bernoulli (1738) on the St. Petersburg paradox. The Bernoullis (Daniel and Nicholas) were not content to rely solely on their own intuitions, and resorted to the practice of asking other famous scholars for their opinions on that difficult choice problem. Allowing for their rather informal report, this is not so different from the practice of using hypothetical choice problems to generate hypotheses about individual choice behavior, which has been used to good effect in much more modern research on individual choice. But I think that searching for scientific "firsts" is often less illuminating than it is sometimes thought to be. In connection with the history of an entirely different subject, I once had occasion to draw the following analogy (Roth and Sotomayor 1990, p. 170): Columbus is viewed as the discoverer of America, even though every school child knows that the Americas were inhabited when he arrived, and that he was not even the first to have made a round trip, having been preceded by Vikings and perhaps by others. -
Who Are the Behavioral Economists and What Do They Say?
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Heukelom, Floris Working Paper Who are the Behavioral Economists and what do they say? Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper, No. 07-020/1 Provided in Cooperation with: Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam and Rotterdam Suggested Citation: Heukelom, Floris (2007) : Who are the Behavioral Economists and what do they say?, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper, No. 07-020/1, Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam and Rotterdam This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/86489 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu TI 2007-020/1 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper Who are the Behavioral Economists and what do they say? Floris Heukelom University of Amsterdam, and Tinbergen Institute. -
Introduction to Game Theory
Economic game theory: a learner centred introduction Author: Dr Peter Kührt Introduction to game theory Game theory is now an integral part of business and politics, showing how decisively it has shaped modern notions of strategy. Consultants use it for projects; managers swot up on it to make smarter decisions. The crucial aim of mathematical game theory is to characterise and establish rational deci- sions for conflict and cooperation situations. The problem with it is that none of the actors know the plans of the other “players” or how they will make the appropriate decisions. This makes it unclear for each player to know how their own specific decisions will impact on the plan of action (strategy). However, you can think about the situation from the perspective of the other players to build an expectation of what they are going to do. Game theory therefore makes it possible to illustrate social conflict situations, which are called “games” in game theory, and solve them mathematically on the basis of probabilities. It is assumed that all participants behave “rationally”. Then you can assign a value and a probability to each decision option, which ultimately allows a computational solution in terms of “benefit or profit optimisation”. However, people are not always strictly rational because seemingly “irrational” results also play a big role for them, e.g. gain in prestige, loss of face, traditions, preference for certain colours, etc. However, these “irrational" goals can also be measured with useful values so that “restricted rational behaviour” can result in computational results, even with these kinds of models. -
Arms and Influence by Thomas Schelling
01 Arms and Influence By Thomas Schelling DESCRIPTION This is an influential book written during the Cold War addressing the concept of deterrence. The author’s purpose is to discuss the “diplomacy of violence” in which states use the ability to cause harm to other nations as bargaining power (deterrence and compellence). - Air University SIGNIFICANCE TO THE DETERRENCE COMMUNITY Thomas Schelling was one of the intellectual founders of US nuclear deterrence thinking, and his writing still resonates in the work of deterrence scholars and practitioners today. Schelling’s profound analysis of the impact of nuclear weapons on diplomacy and international relations is timeless and essential reading. This book provides an intellectual and historical basis for understanding contemporary nuclear deterrence issues. 02 The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century By Brad Roberts DESCRIPTION The case against nuclear weapons has been made on many grounds—including historical, political, and moral. But, Brad Roberts argues, it has not so far been informed by the experience of the United States since the Cold War in trying to adapt deterrence to a changed world, and to create the conditions that would allow further significant changes to U.S. nuclear policy and posture. - Stanford Security Press SIGNIFICANCE TO THE DETERRENCE COMMUNITY Roberts draws on his experience and academic acumen in this thoughtful, well-researched book. Contrary to those scholars making calls for global nuclear disarmament, Roberts argues the need for and utility of U.S. nuclear weapons now and into the future. After a review of post- Cold War U.S. nuclear policies, Roberts provides in-depth analysis of some of the major nuclear proliferation and deterrence challenges for U.S.