Felixstowe Port Logistics Study Final Report for Suffolk Coastal District
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In association with Felixstowe Port Logistics Study Final Report For Suffolk Coastal District Council October 2008 Felixstowe Port Logistics Study Suffolk Coastal District Council A report submitted by GHK in association with Haskoning UK Ltd. Date: 30/10/2008 526 Fulham Road, London SW6 5NR Tel: 020 7471 8000; Fax: 020 7736 0784 www.ghkint.com Document Control Document Felixstowe Port Logistics Study Prepared by Jamie Simpson (GHK), Colin Arnott (GHK), John Vercoe (RH) Checked by Andrew Davidge (GHK) Date 30 October 2008 Felixstowe Port Logistics Study Final Report October 2008 CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ....................................................................................................................I 1 INTRODUCTION..........................................................................................................................1 1.1 Objectives..................................................................................................................................1 1.2 Background ...............................................................................................................................1 1.3 Scope and Method ....................................................................................................................2 1.3.1 Data sources ..........................................................................................................................4 1.4 Report Structure ........................................................................................................................4 2 THE UK CONTAINER PORT MARKET ......................................................................................5 2.1 National Container Traffic..........................................................................................................5 2.2 Felixstowe: The Leading National Gateway Port ......................................................................6 2.3 Container Growth Forecasts .....................................................................................................7 2.4 Supply and Competition ............................................................................................................8 2.5 UK Ports: Pressures for Change...............................................................................................9 3 PORT – LOGISTICS IN TRANSITION ......................................................................................13 3.1 Golden Triangle vs Port Centric Models..................................................................................13 3.1.1 Current factors shaping off-port land use.............................................................................15 3.2 Inland Connectivity and Infrastructure: Making the Links.......................................................16 3.2.1 Modal Splits: Road is Dominant – Rail is a Priority ..............................................................17 3.3 Rail: The capacity challenge ...................................................................................................17 3.4 Road: Policy context, modal shift and planning issues ...........................................................21 3.4.1 The Critical Strategic Link: The A14 Trunk Road Traffic Conditions and Strategy.............21 3.4.2 The Highway Authority, Suffolk County Council...................................................................22 3.4.3 Lorry Parking/Operation Stack .............................................................................................22 3.4.4 Road issues and off-port land selection criteria ...................................................................24 4 FELIXSTOWE: PORT TRAFFIC FORECASTS ........................................................................26 4.1 Forecast of Felixstowe’s Container Traffic ..............................................................................26 4.2 Scenario A Planning for Success............................................................................................26 4.3 Scenario B Business as Usual ................................................................................................29 5 LAND IMPLICATIONS OF PORT GROWTH AND LOGISTICS...............................................31 5.1 From Traffic Forecasts to Land Requirements........................................................................31 5.1.1 Interaction between On-port and Off-port Activities .............................................................31 5.1.2 Projecting Off-port Land Requirements................................................................................32 5.1.3 Method 1...............................................................................................................................33 5.1.4 Method 2...............................................................................................................................34 5.2 Model Results: Potential Land Requirements ........................................................................35 5.3 Summary of Sensitivities and Uncertainties............................................................................39 6 SUPPLY OF LAND ....................................................................................................................40 6.1 Regional and local planning policies and frameworks ............................................................41 6.1.1 RSS Policy and targets for economic/employment and housing growth .............................41 Felixstowe Port Logistics Study Final Report October 2008 6.1.2 Regional Economic Strategy ................................................................................................42 6.1.3 National Statutory Spatial Policy and Guidance...................................................................43 6.1.4 Local Planning Policy on Employment Land for Logistics and Port-related Distribution......45 6.2 Identifying a Pool of Sites from which to Draw........................................................................46 6.3 Creating the Long List of Sites ................................................................................................47 6.4 Site Screening to Create a Short List of Sites.........................................................................55 6.5 Detailed Criteria for the Appraisal of Potential Sites and Locations........................................58 7 SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS .................................................................................60 7.1 Off Port Land Demand and Supply Balance ...........................................................................60 7.2 Summary .................................................................................................................................62 7.3 Recommendations and Next Steps.........................................................................................63 Felixstowe Port Logistics Study Final Report October 2008 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Objectives and Scope The competitiveness and sustainable growth of the Port of Felixstowe and related logistics services is a key strategic objective of Suffolk Coast District and its partners. Within this context, the primary objective of the Felixstowe Port Logistics Study is to identify the key land use issues and requirements likely to emerge from the proposed Felixstowe South Reconfiguration (FSR) in order to inform local and regional decision- making. The study is intended to inform the preparation of Development Plan Documents (DPD) produced by local planning authorities within the LDF planning process. It is intended to provide part of the evidence base to identify potential sites and support land allocations that would be suitable to support the sustainable expansion of the Port of Felixstowe and related port uses. The study will provide part of two key elements of a sound evidence base for the DPD required by PPS12, namely: Participation: evidence of the views of the local community and others who have a stake in the future of the area. Research/ fact finding: evidence that the choices made by the plan are backed up by the background facts. Suffolk Coastal District Council has also recognised that port-related land requirements are likely to extend beyond its borders into the sub-region. The neighbouring local authorities, including Ipswich Borough Council, Babergh District Council, Mid Suffolk District Council, St. Edmundsbury Borough Council and Forest Heath District Council, are also in the process of preparing Development Plan Documents (DPD) and have been involved throughout the study process. This study will also feed into their Development Plan Document preparation processes. Port of Felixstowe Market Positioning and Traffic Growth The Port of Felixstowe is the largest container port in the UK – handling over 3 million TEUs and having about 40% of the container market. The Port of Felixstowe is a national gateway port serving the wider Great Britain market – the port’s success is a national concern as well as local. Going forward, competition in the port sector is expected to intensify with more capacity coming on stream and shipping lines aggressively pursuing cost reduction strategies and exercising greater commercial bargaining power. Supporting the port’s competitiveness is important. Against this background, the container traffic forecasts for the Port of Felixstowe are summarised in the Table ES1. Table ES1 Port of Felixstowe Container Traffic Forecasts (Mn