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Township Establishment Traffic Impact Study

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Township Establishment Traffic Impact Study FARM LILYVALE 30/2313 AND SHELLYVALE EXT 8, BLOEMFONTEIN TOWNSHIP ESTABLISHMENT TRAFFIC IMPACT STUDY SEPTEMBER 2017 Project: 7069 PO Box 25054, Langenhoven Park, 9330, 12 AG Visser Street, Langenhoven Park, Bloemfontein Tel & Fax: 051 446 2647, Cell: 083 381 5884, E-mail: [email protected] REPORT SHEET Property Description: Farm Lilyvale 30/2313 and Shellyvale Ext 8, Bloemfontein Municipal Area: Mangaung Metro Municipality Application: Township Establishment Type of Report: Traffic Impact Study Project Number: 7069 Compiled by: Koot Marais Pr Eng Declaration I, Koot Marais, author of this traffic impact study, hereby certify that I am a professional traffic engineer (registration No 920023) and that I have the required experience and training in the field of traffic and transportation engineering as required by the Engineering Council of South Africa (ECSA), to compile this traffic impact study and I take full responsibility for the content, including all calculations, conclusions and recommendations made herein. Signed: 920023 Date: September 2017 Prepared by: PO Box 25054, Langenhoven Park, 9330, 12 AG Visser Street, Langenhoven Park, Bloemfontein Tel & Fax: 051 446 2647, Cell: 083 381 5884, E-mail: [email protected] ` 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION 5 1.1 Aim of the Study 5 1.2 Background 5 1.3 Site Location 6 1.4 Development 7 1.5 Scope of Analysis 10 1.5.1 Period for Analysis 10 1.5.2 Assessment Years 10 1.5.3 Warrants for a Traffic Impact Study 10 1.5.4 Extent of Analysis 11 1.6 Available Information 12 1.6.1 Traffic Counts 12 1.6.2 Latent Rights 13 2 BACKGROUND INFORMATION 14 2.1 Existing Road Network 14 2.2 Existing Land Use 14 2.3 Road Planning 15 3 TRIP GENERATION 16 3.1 Trip Generation Rates - The South African Trip Generation Rates Document 16 3.2 Trip Generation Rates - TMH 17 17 3.3 Trips Generated 18 4 TRIP DISTRIBUTION 21 5 TRIP ASSIGNMENT 23 6 CAPACITY ANALYSIS 28 6.1 Intersection A: Access from Bloemendal Road 29 6.2 Intersection B: Bloemendal Road / Ray Champion Road Intersection 32 6.3 Intersection C: Bloemendal Road / Flockemann Street Intersection 35 6.4 Intersection D: Rayton Road / Gilles van der Wall Street Intersection 37 6.5 Intersection E: Rayton Road / General Dan Pienaar Drive Intersection 38 6.6 Bloemendal Road 38 ` 3 6.7 Summary 39 7 SITE DEVELOPMENT PLAN 42 8 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 52 9 REFERENCES 53 ` 4 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Aim of the Study The aim of this study is to determine the traffic impact of a proposed Township Establishment on the Farm Lilyvale 30/2313 and Shellyvale Ext 8, Bloemfontein. 1.2 Background Township establishment on Shellyvale Extension 8, (previously Portion 33 of the Farm Lilyvale 2313), which forms part of the application, has been approved and was supported by a number of studies, of which the latest was a study in support of Service Agreement Purposes undertaken during 2014. The said layout will now be changed and Portion 30 of the Farm Lilyvale 2313 is now included as part of the township establishment. This document reports on the traffic impact of the whole area. The developer is as follows: Lenova Construction and Development Pty Ltd 4 Christo Groenewald Street. Lilyvale ` 5 1.3 Site Location The development is situated to the north of Hillsboro, and will access onto Bloemendal Road (extension of Rayton Road), and with possible future extension of the road network, also with Nicolai Street and De Vletter Street. Figure 1.1 Location Plan ` 6 1.4 Development The planned layout is shown below. Figure 1.1 Amended Layout It was endeavoured to as far as possible retain the approved layout of Extension 8 as shown below: ` 7 Figure 1.1 Approved Layout of Extension 8 Detail of the new layout is as follows: ` 8 From a practical point of view the land uses are as follows: Land Use Size Unit Note Extension 8 Single Residential Units 78 unit Townhouse Units 237 unit Shopping Centre 2000 m² 1 Cemetery 5866 m² Creche 50 pupils 2 Por 30/2313 Single Residential Units 128 unit Townhouse Units 58 unit Flats 358 unit Offices 3500 m² 3 Notes: 1. A shopping centre of 2000m² was assumed for Extension 8 in the approved layout and was thus retained. 2. It was assumed that the crèche will accommodate 50 pupils. This will not have a major implication 3. Offices will be restricted to 3500m², which is the practical development size ` 9 1.5 Scope of Analysis 1.5.1 Period for Analysis Based on the type of proposed development and the nature of traffic flow in the area, both the morning and afternoon peak periods need to be investigated. 1.5.2 Assessment Years As excessive Latent Rights are assumed and there is little chance of densification in this area other than the Latent Rights, a horizon year growth rate is not really deemed appropriate. To ensure a conservative approach, a growth rate of 1.5% was nonetheless assumed. The base year and five years after the base year have been analysed. The base year was assumed to be 2019. 1.5.3 Warrants for a Traffic Impact Study The change is expected to generate in excess of 150 peak hour trips and according to the “Manual for Traffic Impact Studies”1, a Traffic Impact Study is warranted. ` 10 1.5.4 Extent of Analysis All intersections where the increase in the critical lane volumes is expected to exceed 75, within 1.5 km of the development should be analysed. Given the location of the development, the following intersections were analysed. Figure 1.3 Intersections Investigated a) Intersection A: Access from Bloemendal Road b) Intersection B: Bloemendal Road / Ray Champion Road Intersection c) Intersection C: Bloemendal Road / Flockemann Street Intersection d) Intersection D: Rayton Road / Gilles van der Wall Street Intersection e) Intersection E: Rayton Road / General Dan Pienaar Drive Intersection ` 11 1.6 Available Information 1.6.1 Traffic Counts The following traffic counts were used. Intersection Source Date Counted Growth Rate Bloemendal Rd / Ray Counted by KMA for this study 2017/06/08 1.5% Champion Rd Bloemendal Rd / Flockeman Counted by KMA for this study 2017/06/07 1.5% St Rayton Rd / Gilles van der Counted by KMA for this study 2017/06/07 1.5% Wall St Rayton Rd / General Dan Counted by KMA for this study 2017/06/06 1.5% Pienaar Dr Notes: (1) All traffic counts undertaken by KMA are done by Koot Marais PR Eng personally or under his direct supervision. ` 12 1.6.2 Latent Rights The Manual for Traffic Impact Studies describes Background Traffic as the existing traffic volumes, approved developments and anticipated developments. All applied for developments, and more accurately rezonings or township establishments for which traffic impact studies have been compiled, are normally assumed to be anticipated developments. In this corridor the following latent rights are applicable. No Description Project Impact in No Study Area 1 Woodland Hills development 6017 No 2 Remainder of, and Subdivision 3 of Musket 2718, 6158 No 3 Shellyvale Extension 2 & 5 6154 Yes 4 Portion 2 and the Remainder of Portion 1 of the farm Mount Sophia 1441 6174 No 5 Plot 13 Lilyvale 6176 Yes 6 Portion 2 of Western Spitskop 6185 No 7 Plot 4, Rayton 6188 Yes 8 Joy 1401 6202 No 9 Portion 4 of the Farm Newmarket 2946 6197 Yes 10 Portion 2 of the farm Newmarket 2946 Yes 11 Remainder of Plot 28, Portion 1 of Plot 28, and Portion 2 of Rayton 341 6194 Yes 12(Rayton Portion 1View) of Plot 3 Raytion 6226 Yes 13 Township establishment on Portion 20 of the farm Lilyvale 2313, 6171 Yes 14 Township Establishment on Portion 2 of Plot 28, Rayton Smallholdings 6319 Yes 15 Township establishment on Plot 9 and the Remainder of Plot 12 Lilyvale 6528 Yes 16 Subdivision 29 of the Farm Lilyvale 2313 , Bloemfontein 6598 Yes 17 Erf 28563 Woodlands 6760 No 18 Rezoning to extend Curro School 6259 No 19 Erven 535 and 536 Shellyvale Extension 7 6154 Yes 20 Portion 45 of Farm No 2844, Groenvlei Function-, Facilities. 6978 No 21 Private University on Plot 27 Rayton 7097 No 22 Farm Rooidam (Emoya) Yes 23 Portion 1 of Plot 3, Lilyvale 6910 Yes 24 Erf 538, Shellyvale Yes In reality, only a portion of applied for developments actually realise as some are not approved, whilst a large portion of applications do not proceed to the final stage. In many instances land is zoned for development or an application was launched, but the main aim was to increase the value of land and not to actually develop the property. The implication is that developers keen to actually develop are “penalised” due to the need to consider all the latent rights. It is not possible to determine the status of each latent right, but to give an indication of the impact, scenarios were also developed to indicate the situation with no latent right trips. These scenarios were not fully analysed but in certain instances reference is made to the specific situation. ` 13 2 BACKGROUND INFORMATION 2.1 Existing Road Network The most important roads in the area are the following: Street / Road Road No Route Description Geometry Classific Functional Jurisdiction No ation Classification Frans Kleynhans Road S850 The road becomes Lucas Stayn Two-lane undivided Collector Collector Free State Province Road to the east of the N1. The road rural road provides access to properties but also connects certain areas with the city centre Ray Champion Street The road serves a number of small Two-lane undivided Local Major Residential Mangaung Metro holdings rural road Street Access Link Municipality Rayton Road / S1031 Provides access for institutions Rural Two-lane Collector Collector Free State Province/ Bloemendal Road such as the National Botanical Paved Road.
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