ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग Meteorological Department नागपुर

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Regional Weather Inference And Forecast Friday, 18 August 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs. IST

Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations)

Weather Watch :- M Heavy to very heavy rainfall occured at isolated places over . Thunderstorm observed at isoloated places over Chhattisgarh. Very light to moderate rainfall occurred at most places over Chhattisgarh, at many places over East , at few places over and at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh.

Monsoon Watch :- Monsoon been active over Chhattisgarh.

Inference:- The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level passes through Amritsar, Ambala, Budaun, Sidhi, Jharsiguda, centre of low pressure area and thence southeastwards to eastcentral Bay of Bengal. Under the influence of an upper air cyclonic circulation over northwest Bay of Bengal, a low pressure area has formed over northwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining coastal Odisha. Associated upper air cyclonic circulation and extends upto 9.5 km above mean sea level tilts southwestwards with height. The Western disturbance as an upper air cyclonic circulation over north Pakistan & neighbourhood between 3.1 & 3.6 km above mean sea level persists, with the trough aloft now runs roughly along Longitude of 74.0° E and north of 30.0°N. The east-west shear zone runs roughly along latitude 14.0°N at 7.6 km above mean sea level. .

Datia recorded the highest maximum temparature of 37.2 degree celsius. Damoh recorded the Lowest minimum temperature of 19.6 degree celsius. Chief amount of rainfall in cms are :- Madhya Pradesh:- MALANJKHAND ORCHHA ANUPPUR-AWS GADARWARA GHANSORE NAINPUR -- 3each; KURWAI RAJNAGAR KHURAI KHAJURAHO TENDUKHEDA NARSINGHPUR-AWS JABALPUR-NEW--AWS -- 2each; LAHAR HARDA-AWS BARELI SHUJALPUR AMARKANTAK DINDORI-AWS KARELI REHLI BICHHIA DEORI SEONI-AWS PUSHPAJGARH SOHAGPUR-AWS KOTMA GOTEGAON -- 1each;

Chhattisgarh :- Akaltara--- 12 Kawardha -- 10;Premnagar -- 7; Bhanupratappur Pratappur -- 6each; Keshkal Ramanujganj -- 5each; Antagarh Rajpur BALRAMPUR Mungeli Bilaspur Khairagarh Balod Mana AP -- 4each; Bhopalpatnam Charama Kanker Surajpur Wadrafnagar Mainpat Ambagarh Rajnandgaon Bemetara Durg Basna Balodabazar RAIPUR Raigarh -- 3each; AP Kondagaon Kusumi Udaipur Ambikapur Dongargaon Saja Berla Saraypali Dhamtari Rajim Simga Arang Champa -- 2each; Sadakarjuni Narayanpur Sukma Jagdalpur Manendragarh Baikunthpur Pathalgaon Kunkuri Marwahi Pendra Road Gandai Dhamdha Mahasamund Nagari Gariaband Palari -- 1each;

Vidarbha :- Amagaon Salekasa Etapalli Gondia Gregaon Nandura---2 Deori Gondia AP Babhulgaon Bhamragad Pawni Sakoli Chamorshi Tumsar---1

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 23 August 2017 Meteorological Sub-division wise detailed 5 days rainfall forecast is given in Table 1.

No significant change in maximum and minimum temparatures over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh during next 2 days.

Outlook for subsequent two days from 23 August 2017 to 25 August 2017 RA/TSH Very likely to occur at many places over Vidarbha and Madhya Pradesh and at few places over Chhattisgarh.

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

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Weather Warnings for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 23 August 2017

Heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Vidarbha and 18-Aug-2017 Chhattisgarh. Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Northeast Madhya (Day 1) Pradesh. Heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Vidarbha. Heavy 19-Aug-2017 rainfall very likely at few places over Vidarbha and at isolated places over (Day 2) Southeast Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and West Madhya Pradesh.

20-Aug-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Southeast Madhya Pradesh, (Day 3) West Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh.

21-Aug-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh (Day 4) 22-Aug-2017 No Warning. (Day 5)

* The Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : Warning Probability of WARNING (TAKE ACTION) UnlikelyOccurence <(%) 25 ALERT (BE PREPARED) Likely 25 - 50 WATCH (BE UPDATED) Very Likely 50 - 75 NO WARNING (NO Most Likely > 75 ACTION)

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

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Table 1

5 Day Rainfall Forecast

Outlook for next 18-Aug 19-Aug 20-Aug 21-Aug 22-Aug two days valid Met Sub- from 0830 hrs IST division Today Sat Sun Mon Tue of 23-Aug to 0830 hrs IST of 25-Aug

West Madhya SCT FWS WS FWS FWS FWS Pradesh

East Madhya FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS Pradesh

Vidarbha FWS WS WS FWS FWS FWS

Chattisgarh WS FWS FWS SCT SCT SCT

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of n ext day Legend : % Station Reporting Rainfall 76 - 100 WS Widespread / Most Places 51-75 FWS Fairly Widespread / Many Places 26-50 SCT Scattered / A Few Places 1-25 ISOL Isolated No Rain DRY Dry

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157