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Telangana Prepoll 2018-Survey Findings

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Telangana Prepoll 2018-Survey Findings Telangana Pre-poll 2018 -Survey Findings Q1: In a few days from now, assembly elections are going to be held in Telangana. Will you vote in these elections? N (%) 1: No 77 2.7 2: Yes 2781 95.9 8: Don't know/Can't say/No response 43 1.5 Total 2901 100.0 a: (If yes in Q1 ) Will you definitely vote in any condition or is it possible that you may not be able to vote for some reason? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Definitely vote 2700 93.1 95.4 2: Might not vote for some reason 81 2.8 2.9 8: Don't know/Can't say/No response 48 1.7 1.7 Total 2829 97.5 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 72 2.5 Total 2901 100.0 Q2: If Assembly elections in Telangana are held tomorrow which party will you vote for? N (%) 01: Congress 825 28.4 02: BJP 203 7.0 03: BSP 60 2.1 04: TRS 1360 46.9 05: CPI 1 .0 06: CPI-M 9 .3 07: NCP 0 .0 08: TDP 102 3.5 09: TJS 1 .0 41: AIMIM 79 2.7 55: Mahakutami/Prajakutami 10 .3 70: No party 1 .0 92: NOTA 4 .1 95: Independents 3 .1 97: Other smaller parties 1 .0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 1 Telangana Pre-poll 2018 -Survey Findings N (%) 98: Don’t know/Can’t say 243 8.4 Total 2901 100.0 a: (If answered in Q2 ) The party for which you voted now, will you vote for the same party on the day of voting or your decision may change? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 1: Vote for the same party 2400 82.7 88.9 2: Decision may change 211 7.3 7.8 8: Don't know/Can't say/No response 89 3.1 3.3 Total 2700 93.1 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 201 6.9 Total 2901 100.0 Q3: While deciding whom to vote for in the assembly election, what would matter to you the most –party, local candidate or Chief Ministerial candidate of a party? N (%) 1: Party 760 26.2 2: Candidate 1226 42.3 3: Chief Ministerial candidate 592 20.4 4: Narendra Modi 32 1.1 5: Rahul Gandhi 34 1.2 7: Others 54 1.9 8: No opinion 202 7.0 Total 2901 100.0 Q4: In deciding who to vote for in the election, will you pay heed to someone’s advice? N (%) 1: No 2230 76.9 2: Yes 525 18.1 8: Can't say 146 5.0 Total 2901 100.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 2 Telangana Pre-poll 2018 -Survey Findings a: (If yes in Q4 ) Whose advice will you pay attention to/go by the most? N (%) Valid (%) Valid 01: Local Political Leader 9 .3 1.7 02: Husband/Wife 130 4.5 24.8 03: Other family members 147 5.1 28.0 04: Religious leader 8 .3 1.5 05: Friend/Neighbour 46 1.6 8.8 06: Colleagues/Co-Workers 26 .9 5.0 07: Village Sarpanch/Pradhan 8 .3 1.6 97: Others 3 .1 .5 98: Can't say 148 5.1 28.2 Total 525 18.1 100.0 Missing 99: N.A. 2376 81.9 Total 2901 100.0 Q5: While deciding whom to vote for in these elections, what will be the single most important election issue for you? N (%) 01: Employment/Unemployment/Lack of jobs 351 12.1 02: Poverty/the gap between rich and poor/inequality 69 2.4 03: Hunger/food/clothes 25 .9 04: Housing related 254 8.8 05: Inflation/rising prices 11 .4 06: Increasing prices of petrol, diesel 17 .6 07: Development/lack of development 252 8.7 08: Good governance 92 3.2 09: Lack of good governance 44 1.5 10: Change of regime/anti-incumbent 31 1.1 11: Want the government to return/pro-incumbent 2 .1 12: Corruption 125 4.3 14: PNB/Nirav Modi scam 1 .0 16: Corruption of State government 9 .3 17: Bribery 22 .8 18: Roads, bridges, transport, bus service 199 6.9 19: Water related/clean drinking water 306 10.6 20: Electricity related/electricity supply 18 .6 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 3 Telangana Pre-poll 2018 -Survey Findings N (%) 21: Health/hospital/doctors 76 2.6 22: Education/school/college/studies/teachers 33 1.1 23: Farmers’ problems/crisis in the farm sector 65 2.3 24: Crop prices/not getting the right price for crops 14 .5 25: Communalism, religious tension, atrocities against 6 .2 26: Casteism, caste based discrimination, violence 9 .3 27: Discrimination against upper castes 3 .1 28: Discrimination against women 1 .0 29: Safety of women/rape/harassment 1 .0 30: Crime/poor law and order situation 0 .0 31: Terrorism 2 .1 32: Reservation 17 .6 33: Lack of cleanliness, sanitation 55 1.9 35: Dynastic politics, nepotism 1 .0 36: Pollution 10 .3 38: Environmental degradation 1 .0 39: Black money problem 11 .4 40: Demonetization 6 .2 41: GST 9 .3 42: Alcoholism/drugs 5 .2 43: Exam paper leaks/SSC/CBSE 2 .1 44: Problems of government employees 3 .1 45: Salary, pension, wages, allowances 34 1.2 47: Violence in the name of cow protection 1 .0 49: Issue of triple talaaq 2 .1 50: SC-ST Act controversy 4 .1 51: Tribal rights/problems 2 .1 53: Problem of Naxalism 4 .1 54: Vote or support for Narendra Modi 5 .2 57: Vote for Congress/any Congress leader 5 .2 58: Vote for BJP/any BJP leader 13 .4 60: Vote for a party 1 .0 61: Vote for a candidate 1 .0 62: Candidate’s caste or religion 1 .0 63: Candidate’s work/performance 9 .3 64: MLA’s good work/performance 2 .1 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 4 Telangana Pre-poll 2018 -Survey Findings N (%) 65: MLA’s bad work/performance 1 .0 78: Vote for TRS/any TRS leader 3 .1 79: Vote for K Chandrashekhar Rao 6 .2 80: Vote for N Uttam Kumar Reddy 1 .0 82: Vote for TDP/any TDP leader 17 .6 97: Some other issues 47 1.6 98: Can’t say 585 20.2 Total 2901 100.0 Q6: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of the Telangana Rashtra Samiti (TRS) government in Telangana over the last four and a half years? N (%) 1: Fully satisfied 726 25.0 2: Somewhat satisfied 1069 36.9 3: Somewhat dissatisfied 529 18.2 4: Fully dissatisfied 489 16.9 8: No response 88 3.0 Total 2901 100.0 Q7: Thinking of how you (or your family, in the case of first time voters) have voted in previous/last few elections, how would you describe yourself - which party’s traditional supporter are you? N (%) 01: Congress 755 26.0 02: BJP 125 4.3 03: BSP 35 1.2 04: TRS 904 31.2 06: CPI-M 27 .9 07: NCP 7 .2 08: TDP 132 4.6 09: TJS 3 .1 41: AIMIM 67 2.3 45: YSRCP 1 .0 48: Jana Sena 1 .0 70: Not a supporter of any party 16 .6 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 5 Telangana Pre-poll 2018 -Survey Findings N (%) 92: NOTA 40 1.4 95: Independents 12 .4 97: Other smaller parties 20 .7 98: Don’t know/Can’t say 755 26.0 Total 2901 100.0 Q8: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with your MLA’s performance over the last four and a half years? N (%) 1: Fully satisfied 575 19.8 2: Somewhat satisfied 891 30.7 3: Somewhat dissatisfied 670 23.1 4: Fully dissatisfied 654 22.5 8: No response 110 3.8 Total 2901 100.0 Q9: After the upcoming assembly election, who would you prefer as the next Chief Minister of Telangana? N (%) 01: Kalvakuntla Chandrashekar Rao (KCR) 1408 48.5 02: Kalvakuntla Kavitha 21 .7 03: T Harish Rao 20 .7 04: K Taraka Rama Rao (KTR) 114 3.9 05: Someone else from TRS/anyone from TRS 6 .2 06: Sudini Jaipal Reddy 13 .5 07: Nalamada Uttam Kumar Reddy 269 9.3 08: Kunduru Jana Reddy 32 1.1 09: Damodar Raja Narasimha 4 .1 10: Revanth Reddy 227 7.8 11: Mallu Bhatti Vikramarka 19 .6 12: J. Geeta Reddy 3 .1 14: Someone else from Congress 60 2.1 15: L. Ramana 8 .3 17: Someone else from TDP 4 .1 18: Prof. M. Kodandaram 1 .0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 6 Telangana Pre-poll 2018 -Survey Findings N (%) 20: Chada Venkat Reddy 1 .0 22: Someone else from Mahakutami/Prajakutami 1 .0 23: Dr. K. Lakshman 58 2.0 24: Kishan Reddy 28 1.0 25: Bandaru Dattatreya 7 .2 26: Someone else from BJP 23 .8 29: Prof Kancha Iliah 1 .0 31: Asaduddin Owaisi 8 .3 32: Akbaruddin Owaisi 3 .1 33: Someone else from AIMIM/anyone from 0 .0 35: Rahul Gandhi 4 .1 36: Sonia Gandhi 8 .3 38: Pawan Kalyan 1 .0 39: Y S Jaganmohan Reddy 6 .2 97: Others 4 .1 98: No response/Can’t say 540 18.6 Total 2901 100.0 Q10: During the elections people participate in various activities.
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