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The Principle of Effective Demand and the State of Post Keynesian Monetary Economics
The University of Adelaide School of Economics Research Paper No. 2008-04 The Principle of Effective Demand and the State of Post Keynesian Monetary Economics Colin Rogers The principle of effective demand and the state of post Keynesian monetary economics Colin Rogers (Revised 20/08/08) School of Economics University of Adelaide Introduction Keynesians of all shades have generally misunderstood the theoretical structure of the General Theory. What is missing is an appreciation of the principle of effective demand. As Laidler (1999) has documented, Old Keynesians largely fabricated the theoretical basis of the Keynesian Revolution and retained the `classical' analysis of long-period equilibrium. Old Keynesians generally took Frank Knight's (1937) advice to ignore the claim to revolution in economic theory and interpreted the General Theory as another contribution to the theory of business cycles. This is most obvious from the Old Keynesian reliance on wage rigidity to generate involuntary unemployment. But for Keynes (1936, chapter 19), wage and price stickiness is the `classical' explanation for unemployment to be contrasted with his explanation, in terms of the principle of effective demand, where the flexibility of wages and prices cannot automatically shift long-period equilibrium to full employment. New Keynesians have continued the `classical' vision by providing the microeconomic foundations for the `ad hoc' rigidities employed by Old 1 Keynesians. Generally, New Keynesians do not question the underlying `classical' vision. Post Keynesians have always questioned the `classical' vision but have not succeeded as yet in agreeing on what the principle of effective demand is1. There should, however, be no grounds for misunderstanding of the principle of effective demand given Keynes's exposition in the General Theory and Dillard's (1948) synopsis. -
Chapter 19 the Theory of Effective Demand
Chapter 19 The theory of effective demand In essence, the “Keynesian revolution” was a shift of emphasis from one type of short-run equilibrium to another type as providing the appropriate theory for actual unemployment situations. Edmund Malinvaud (1977), p. 29. In this and the following chapters the focus is shifted from long-run macro- economics to short-run macroeconomics. The long-run models concentrated on factors of importance for the economic evolution over a time horizon of at least 10-15 years. With such a horizon the supply side (think of capital accumulation, population growth, and technological progress) is the primary determinant of cumulative changes in output and consumption the trend. Mainstream macro- economists see the demand side and monetary factors as of key importance for the fluctuations of output and employment about the trend. In a long-run perspective these fluctuations are of only secondary quantitative importance. The preceding chapters have chieflyignored them. But within shorter horizons, fluctuations are the focal point and this brings the demand-side, monetary factors, market imper- fections, nominal rigidities, and expectation errors to the fore. The present and subsequent chapters deal with the role of these short- and medium-run factors for the failure of the laissez-faire market economy to ensure full employment and for the possibilities of active macro policies as a means to improve outcomes. This chapter introduces building blocks of Keynesian theory of the short run. By “Keynesian theory”we mean a macroeconomic framework that (a) aims at un- derstanding “what determines the actual employment of the available resources”,1 including understanding why mass unemployment arises from time to time, and (b) in this endeavor ascribes a primary role to aggregate demand. -
Demand Composition and the Strength of Recoveries†
Demand Composition and the Strength of Recoveriesy Martin Beraja Christian K. Wolf MIT & NBER MIT & NBER September 17, 2021 Abstract: We argue that recoveries from demand-driven recessions with ex- penditure cuts concentrated in services or non-durables will tend to be weaker than recoveries from recessions more biased towards durables. Intuitively, the smaller the bias towards more durable goods, the less the recovery is buffeted by pent-up demand. We show that, in a standard multi-sector business-cycle model, this prediction holds if and only if, following an aggregate demand shock to all categories of spending (e.g., a monetary shock), expenditure on more durable goods reverts back faster. This testable condition receives ample support in U.S. data. We then use (i) a semi-structural shift-share and (ii) a structural model to quantify this effect of varying demand composition on recovery dynamics, and find it to be large. We also discuss implications for optimal stabilization policy. Keywords: durables, services, demand recessions, pent-up demand, shift-share design, recov- ery dynamics, COVID-19. JEL codes: E32, E52 yEmail: [email protected] and [email protected]. We received helpful comments from George-Marios Angeletos, Gadi Barlevy, Florin Bilbiie, Ricardo Caballero, Lawrence Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, Fran¸coisGourio, Basile Grassi, Erik Hurst, Greg Kaplan, Andrea Lanteri, Jennifer La'O, Alisdair McKay, Simon Mongey, Ernesto Pasten, Matt Rognlie, Alp Simsek, Ludwig Straub, Silvana Tenreyro, Nicholas Tra- chter, Gianluca Violante, Iv´anWerning, Johannes Wieland (our discussant), Tom Winberry, Nathan Zorzi and seminar participants at various venues, and we thank Isabel Di Tella for outstanding research assistance. -
Tuesday 17Th July 2018 Attention: Legal and Constitutional Affairs Legislation Committee (Senate) Modern Slavery Bill 2018 Enqui
Tuesday 17th July 2018 Attention: Legal and Constitutional Affairs Legislation Committee (Senate) Modern Slavery Bill 2018 Enquiry Dear Senators, May I lodge this individual submission opposing this Bill in its current form? Yours faithfully, Andrew Oliver (copy with signature to follow by post), Constituent of Goldstein. Table of Contents Definitional Considerations..................................................................................................................... 3 Constitutional Considerations................................................................................................................. 4 This Bill Lacks Teeth ................................................................................................................................ 5 Property Restitution Of Stolen Wages .................................................................................................... 5 Antislavery Inspectorate ......................................................................................................................... 5 Demarcation Between Antislavery And Industrial Relations Legislation ................................................ 6 Recommendation .................................................................................................................................... 6 Definitional Considerations Winston Churchill famously stated: “A labour contract into which men enter voluntarily for a limited and for a brief period, under which they are paid wages which they consider adequate, -
Wong V. Commonwealth of Australia Selim V. Lele, Tan and Rivett Constituting the Professional Services Review Committee No 309 H
Wong v. Commonwealth of Australia Selim v. Lele, Tan and Rivett constituting the Professional Services Review Committee No 309 High Court of Australia 2 February 2009 [2009] HCA 3 FRENCH CJ AND GUMMOW J. The appeals 1 These appeals were heard together. Both appellants carry on in New South Wales private practice as general medical practitioners. They are "vocationally registered general practitioners" within the meaning of s 3F of the Health Insurance Act 1973 (Cth) ("the Act"). 2 Part VAA of the Act (ss 80-106ZR) is headed "The Professional Services Review Scheme" and was introduced in its original form in 1994 by the Health Legislation (Professional Services Review) Amendment Act 1994 (Cth) ("the 1994 Act")1. The definition in s 82 of "inappropriate practice" is central to the operation of the scheme established by Pt VAA. A finding that a practitioner has engaged in "inappropriate practice" may lead, among other consequences, to the imposition of an obligation to repay to the Commonwealth Medicare benefits paid for services rendered in connection with inappropriate practice (s 106U(1)(ca)) and to full disqualification 1 Part VAA was amended by the Health Insurance Amendment (Professional Services Review) Act 1999 (Cth) and the Health Legislation Amendment Act (No 3) 1999 (Cth). Part VAA was further amended by the Health Insurance Amendment (Professional Services Review and Other Matters) Act 2002 (Cth) ("the 2002 Act"). This was after the institution of proceedings respecting the appellants and the Full Court applied Pt VAA as it stood before the 2002 Act: (2008) 167 FCR 61 at 63. -
Civilians in Cyberwarfare: Conscripts
Civilians in Cyberwarfare: Conscripts Susan W. Brenner* with Leo L. Clarke** ABSTRACT Civilian-owned and -operated entities will almost certainly be a target in cyberwarfare because cyberattackers are likely to be more focused on undermining the viability of the targeted state than on invading its territory. Cyberattackers will probably target military computer systems, at least to some extent, but in a departure from traditional warfare, they will also target companies that operate aspects of the victim nation’s infrastructure. Cyberwarfare, in other words, will penetrate the territorial borders of the attacked state and target high-value civilian businesses. Nation-states will therefore need to integrate the civilian employees of these (and perhaps other) companies into their cyberwarfare response structures if a state is to be able to respond effectively to cyberattacks. While many companies may voluntarily elect to participate in such an effort, others may decline to do so, which creates a need, in effect, to conscript companies for this purpose. This Article explores how the U.S. government can go about compelling civilian cooperation in cyberwarfare without violating constitutional guarantees and limitations on the power of the Legislature and the Executive. * NCR Distinguished Professor of Law and Technology, University of Dayton School of Law. ** Associate, Drew, Cooper & Anding, P.C., Grand Rapids, Michigan. 1011 1012 Vanderbilt Journal of Transnational Law [Vol. 43:1011 TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION ............................................................. -
Safety Net to Poverty Trap? the Twentieth-Century Origins of Australia's Uneven Social Security System
WORKING PAPER Safety net to poverty trap? The twentieth-century origins of Australia’s uneven social security system Danielle Thornton, Dina Bowman and Shelley Mallett RESEARCH & POLICYCENTRE Work and economic security September 2020 The Brotherhood of St Laurence is a non-government, community-based organisation concerned with social justice. Based in Melbourne, but with programs and services throughout Australia, the Brotherhood is working for a better deal for disadvantaged people. It undertakes research, service development and delivery, and advocacy, with the objective of addressing unmet needs and translating learning into new policies, programs and practices for implementation by government and others. For more information visit <www.bsl.org.au>. Danielle Thornton is a Senior Research Fellow, Dina Bowman a Principal Research Fellow and Shelley Mallett the Director of Brotherhood’s Research and Policy Centre. Published by Brotherhood of St Laurence 67 Brunswick Street Fitzroy, Victoria 3065 Australia ABN 24 603 467 024 T (03) 9483 1183 www.bsl.org.au Suggested citation: Thornton, D, Bowman, D & Mallett, S 2020, Safety net to poverty trap? The twentieth-century origins of Australia’s uneven social security system, Brotherhood of St Laurence, Fitzroy, Vic. © Brotherhood of St Laurence 2020 Apart from fair dealing for the purpose of private study, research, criticism, or review, as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968 and subsequent amendments, no part of this paper may be reproduced by any process without written permission. Enquiries -
The Broken Promises of an All-Volunteer Military
THE BROKEN PROMISES OF AN ALL-VOLUNTEER MILITARY * Matthew Ivey “God and the soldier all men adore[.] In time of trouble—and no more, For when war is over, and all things righted, God is neglected—and the old soldier slighted.”1 “Only when the privileged classes perform military service does the country define the cause as worth young people’s blood. Only when elite youth are on the firing line do war losses become more acceptable.”2 “Non sibi sed patriae”3 INTRODUCTION In the predawn hours of March 11, 2012, Staff Sergeant Robert Bales snuck out of his American military post in Kandahar, Afghanistan, and allegedly murdered seventeen civilians and injured six others in two nearby villages in Panjwai district.4 After Bales purportedly shot or stabbed his victims, he piled their bodies and burned them.5 Bales pleaded guilty to these crimes in June 2013, which spared him the death penalty, and he was sentenced to life in prison without parole.6 How did this former high school football star, model soldier, and once-admired husband and father come to commit some of the most atrocious war crimes in United States history?7 Although there are many likely explanations for Bales’s alleged behavior, one cannot help but to * The author is a Lieutenant Commander in the United States Navy. This Article does not necessarily represent the views of the Department of Defense, the United States Navy, or any of its components. The author would like to thank Michael Adams, Jane Bestor, Thomas Brown, John Gordon, Benjamin Hernandez- Stern, Brent Johnson, Michael Klarman, Heidi Matthews, Valentina Montoya Robledo, Haley Park, and Gregory Saybolt for their helpful comments and insight on previous drafts. -
The Structuralist Growth Model
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS Working Paper The Structuralist Growth Model by Bill Gibson Working Paper 2009-01 UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS AMHERST The Structuralist Growth Model Bill Gibson∗ Abstract This paper examines the underlying theory of structuralist growth models in an effort to compare that framework with the standard approach of Solow and others. Both the standard and structuralist models are solved in a common mathematical framework that emphasizes their similarities. It is seen that while the standard model requires the growth rate of the labor force to be taken as exogenously determined, the structuralist growth model must take investment growth to be determined exogenously in the long run. It is further seen that in order for the structuralist model to reliably converge to steady growth, considerable attention must be given to how agents make investment decisions. In many ways the standard model relies less on agency than does the structuralist. While the former requires a small number of plausible assumptions for steady growth to emerge, the structuralist model faces formidable challenges, especially if investment growth is thought to be determined by the rate of capacity utilization. 1 Introduction The structuralist growth model (SGM) has its roots in the General Theory of Keynes (1936), Kalecki (1971) and efforts by Robinson (1956), Harrod (1937), Domar (1946), Pasinetti (1962) and others to extend the Keynesian principle of effective demand to the long run. The central concept of growth models in this tradition is the dual role played by investment, both as a component of aggregate demand and as a flow that augments the stock of capital. -
Medical Law Reporter Editor: Thomas Faunce*
Medical law reporter Editor: Thomas Faunce* COMMISSIONS OF AUDIT IN AUSTRALIA: HEALTH SYSTEM PRIVATISATION DIRECTIVES AND CIVIL CONSCRIPTION PROTECTIONS The use of commissions of audit as vehicles to drive privatisation policy agendas in areas such as health service delivery has become popular with conservative federal and State governments. Such commissions have charac- teristically been established early in the terms of such governments with carefully planned terms of reference and membership. The policy directions they advocate, unlike election policies, have not come under the intense scrutiny, wide public debate or the opportunities for (dis)endorsement afforded by the electoral process. Governments do, however, anticipate and often accept recommendations from these reviews, and use them as justification to implement policy based on their findings.This highlights the power entrusted to review bodies and the risks to the public interest arising from limited public consultation. An example can be seen in the proposed privatisation of important aspects of Australia’s public sector, particularly including those related to health systems delivery, currently entering a new iteration through the work of the National Commission of Audit appointed in October 2013. The NCA follows on from various State audit commissions which in recent years have directed the divestment of government responsibilities to the private and not-for-profit sectors. Through a discussion on the formation of policy frame- works by the NCA and the Queensland Commission of Audit, this column examines the ideological thrust of the commissions and how they synergise to produce a national directive on the future of public sector health services. The practical impacts on health service procurement and delivery in critical areas are examined, using the case of the federally contracted out medical service for asylum seekers and two hospitals in Western Australia, a State which is well advanced in the privatisation of public hospitals. -
Medical Law Reporter
Medical law reporter Editor: Thomas Faunce* CONSTITUTIONAL LIMITS ON FEDERAL LEGISLATION PRACTICALLY COMPELLING MEDICAL EMPLOYMENT: WONG v COMMONWEALTH; SELIM v PROFESSIONAL SERVICES REVIEW COMMITTEE A recent decision by the High Court of Australia (Wong v Commonwealth; Selim v Professional Services Review Committee (2009) 236 CLR 573) (the PSR case) has not only clarified the scope of the Australian constitutional prohibition on “any form of civil conscription” in relation to federal legislation concerning medical or dental services (s 51xxiiiA), but has highlighted its importance as a great constitutional guarantee ensuring the mixed State- federal and public-private nature of medical service delivery in Australia. Previous decisions of the High Court have clarified that the prohibition does not prevent federal laws regulating the manner in which medical services are provided. The PSR case determined that the anti-overservicing provisions directed at bulk-billing general practitioners under Pt VAA of the Health Insurance Act 1973 (Cth) did not offend the prohibition. Importantly, the High Court also indicated that the s 51(xxiiiA) civil conscription guarantee should be construed widely and that it would invalidate federal laws requiring providers of medical and dental services (either expressly or by practical compulsion) to work for the federal government or any specified State, agency or private industrial employer. This decision is likely to restrict the capacity of any future federal government to restructure the Australian health care system, eg by implementing recommendations from the National Health and Hospitals Reform Commission for either federal government or private corporate control of presently State-run public hospitals. INTRODUCTION On 2 February 2009, the High Court delivered judgment in two cases concerning the scope of one of the few rights guarantees enshrined in the Australian Constitution. -
Keynes and Marx by Claudio Sardoni University of Rome “La Sapienza”
Keynes and Marx by Claudio Sardoni University of Rome “La Sapienza” I. Introduction Soon after the publication of The General Theory, Keynes manifested his dissatisfaction with the ‘final product’ of the intellectual process which had started in 1931-32 and he stated an intention to re-cast his ideas in a clearer and more satisfactory way. Joan Robinson thought that starting from Marx, rather than orthodox economics, would have saved Keynes ‘a lot of trouble’ (1964: 96). The object of this chapter is to inquire into the possibility that Keynes could have re-written The General Theory by giving Marx more attention and more credit than he did in the 1936 edition of the book. The interest in this issue does not derive, however, from any evidence that Keynes changed his opinion of Marx after 1936: it remained highly critical. Such interest rather derives from the fact that, in the quest for a clearer formulation of his fundamental ideas, Keynes, in my opinion, could have chosen to go, at least partly, ‘back’ to the approach that he had followed earlier on in the process which led to the publication of The General Theory. In fact, at a relatively early stage (1933) of this process, Keynes’s analysis of a capitalist economy and his critique of the orthodox view had come close to Marx’s approach. Keynes soon abandoned his 1933 approach and, in The General Theory, he formulated the critique of orthodox economics in a different way from Marx. In the chapter, I argue that the reason for the change may be found in the fact that the economic theory criticised by Keynes was significantly different from the Ricardian theory to which Marx referred.