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The Fire Next Time How to Prevent a Climate Catastrophe •          THE COMING UPHEAVAL IN CHINA MAY/JUNE 2020 / • / The Fire Next Time How to Prevent a Climate Catastrophe • • FOREIGNAFFAIRS.COM FA_MA20_cover_Fry.indd All Pages 3/20/20 10:19 AM DOWNLOAD CSS Notes, Books, MCQs, Magazines www.thecsspoint.com Download CSS Notes Download CSS Books Download CSS Magazines Download CSS MCQs Download CSS Past Papers The CSS Point, Pakistan’s The Best Online FREE Web source for All CSS Aspirants. Email: [email protected] BUY CSS / PMS / NTS & GENERAL KNOWLEDGE BOOKS ONLINE CASH ON DELIVERY ALL OVER PAKISTAN Visit Now: WWW.CSSBOOKS.NET For Oder & Inquiry Call/SMS/WhatsApp 0333 6042057 – 0726 540316 CSS Solved Compulsory MCQs From 2000 to 2020 Latest & Updated Order Now Call/SMS 03336042057 - 0726540141 Brush Up Your English By S T Imam Call/SMS 0726540141 - 03336042057 English Literature MCQs By Nawaz Khalid Emporium Publishers Order Now Call/SMS 03336042057 - 0726540141 Volume 99, Number 3 THE FIRE NEXT TIME The Climate Club 10 How to Fix a Failing Global E ort William Nordhaus The Paths to Net Zero 18 How Technology Can Save the Planet Inês Azevedo, Michael R. Davidson, Jesse D. Jenkins, Valerie J. Karplus, and David G. Victor The Strategic Case for U.S. Climate Leadership 28 How Americans Can Win With a Pro-Market Solution James A. Baker III, George P. Shultz, and Ted Halstead A Foreign Policy for the Climate 39 How American Leadership Can Avert Catastrophe John Podesta and Todd Stern The Unlikely Environmentalists 47 How the Private Sector Can Combat Climate Change Rebecca Henderson Building a Resilient Planet 54 COVER: BRIAN COVER: How to Adapt to Climate Change From the Bottom Up Kathy Baughman McLeod STAUFFER The Climate Debt 60 What the West Owes the Rest Mohamed Adow May/June 2020 02_TOC2_Blues.indd 1 3/23/20 4:14 PM ESSAYS The Comeback Nation 70 U.S. Economic Supremacy Has Repeatedly Proved Declinists Wrong Ruchir Sharma China’s Coming Upheaval 82 Competition, the Coronavirus, and the Weakness o Xi Jinping Minxin Pei What Kim Wants 96 The Hopes and Fears o North Korea’s Dictator Jung H. Pak The End of Grand Strategy 107 America Must Think Small Daniel W. Drezner, Ronald R. Krebs, and Randall Schweller Britain Adrift 118 The United Kingdom’s Search for a Post-Brexit Role Lawrence D. Freedman The Next Iranian Revolution 131 Why Washington Should Seek Regime Change in Tehran Eric Edelman and Ray Takeyh Making Cyberspace Safe for Democracy 146 The New Landscape o Information Competition Laura Rosenberger The Right Way to Fix the EU 160 Put Politics Before Economics Matthias Matthijs ON FOREIGNAFFAIRS.COM Yanzhong Huang on Lisa Monaco on Timothy Naftali on coronavirus conspiracy pandemics and impeachment and U.S. theories. national security. foreign policy. May/June 2020 02_TOC2_Blues.indd 3 3/23/20 4:15 PM A Sustainable Future uman survival is predicated on our ability to create long-term Hsustainability and mitigate the effects of climate change. Experts predicted in 2018 that a major global city—Cape Town, South Africa—was on the brink of running out of fresh water. While heavy rains ultimately filled reservoirs and a crisis was averted, Cape Town remains vulnerable. Learn more: Go.fiu.edu/climate From exploring water scarcity to developing models for a global “green economy,” the Steven J. Green School of International & Public Affairs works at the nexus of environmentalism, economic development and sociopolitical discourse. Creating a Just, Peaceful and Prosperous World 20259_SIPA_Foreign AffairsAD-FINAL.indd 1 3/12/20 4:41 PM REVIEWS & RESPONSES A Few Good Men 172 Trump, the Generals, and the Corrosion o Civil-Military Relations Max Boot The Myanmar Mirage 179 Why the West Got Burma Wrong Sebastian Strangio Trials and Tribulations 186 A Response to “How Poverty Ends” Jerey D. Sachs The Two-State Devolution 190 Will Power Shifts in the Middle East Revive “Land for Peace”? Tarek Osman; Michael S. Doran Recent Books 194 “Foreign Aairs . will tolerate wide dierences of opinion. Its articles will not represent any consensus of beliefs. What is demanded of them is that they shall be competent and well informed, representing honest opinions seriously held and convincingly expressed. It does not accept responsibility for the views in any articles, signed or unsigned, which appear in its pages. What it does accept is the responsibility for giving them a chance to appear.” Archibald Cary Coolidge, Founding Editor Volume 1, Number 1 • September 1922 May/June 2020 Book 1.indb 5 3/20/20 11:00 PM May/June 2020 · Volume 99, Number 3 Published by the Council on Foreign Relations ­ Editor, Peter G. 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Box 324, Congers, NY 10920 ³ª´: Facebook.com/ForeignA airs °: The contents o Foreign A airs are copyrighted. No part o the magazine may be reproduced, hosted or distributed in any form or by any means without prior written permission from Foreign A airs. To obtain permission, visit ForeignA airs.com/permissions Foreign A airs is a member o the Alliance for Audited Media and the Association o Magazine Media. GST Number 127686483RT Canada Post Customer #4015177 Publication #40035310 Book 1.indb 6 3/20/20 11:00 PM CONTRIBUTORS WILLIAM NORDHAUS is a pioneer in the economics o climate change. A Sterling professor o economics at Yale University, where he has taught since 1967, Nordhaus was the rst to develop the concept o a carbon tax, an idea that has since become central to several dozen countries’ strategies for reducing emissions. For his work integrat- ing climate change into long-term macroeconomic analysis, he shared the 2018 Nobel Prize in Economics with Paul Romer. In “The Climate Club” (page 10), Nordhaus explains why the global ght against climate change is failing—and lays out a vision o how to make international climate agreements work. MOHAMED ADOW has spent almost two decades ghting climate change across Africa. As a member o the relie agency Christian Aid from 2008 to 2019, he consulted for African governments on international climate agreements, disaster risk reduction, and drought management. Today, he continues that work as the founding director o the think tank Power Shift Africa. In “The Climate Debt” (page 60), Adow argues that when it comes to climate change, the West owes the rest. Ever since RUCHIR SHARMA graduated college in New Delhi, at the age o 20, he has balanced a career in nance with his work as an author and columnist, writing several books and frequent articles on emerging markets, global economic trends, and Indian politics, among other topics. In “The Comeback Nation” (page 70), Sharma, currently the head o emerging markets and chie global strategist at Morgan Stanley, argues that despite a widespread narrative o U.S. decline, the 2010s were in fact a golden decade for the United States. As a doctoral student at Columbia, JUNG PAK set out to study U.S. history. Instead, she became a leading authority on North Korea, spending almost ten years analyzing the shadowy regime as a senior ocial at the CIA and the National Intelligence Council—experience she draws on in her new book, Becoming Kim Jong Un. In “What Kim Wants” (page 96), Pak, now the SK-Korea Foundation chair in Korea studies at Brookings, argues that Washington and its allies should focus less on making the North Korean dictator feel secure and more on changing his risk calculus. 02_TOC2_Blues.indd 7 3/23/20 4:15 PM THE FIRE NEXT TIME rofessionals warn and plan, ama- technologies could limit future tem- teurs sco and ignore them, and by perature increases, argues a team o P the time a crisis arrives, it’s too top researchers. late to do more than react and suer. Washington should see climate Nothing about this story is novel; the change not only as an environmental °-19 pandemic is only the latest in risk but also as a strategic opportunity, a long series o unnecessary catastrophes. suggest two former Republican secre- We can’t go back now and regain those taries o state, James Baker and George precious early months during the winter, Shultz, with Ted Halstead, and capitalize using them to aggressively test and on the early U.S. lead in green technol- quarantine and contain the outbreak. We ogy. John Podesta and Todd Stern, who can’t retrospectively conjure up a func- handled climate policy in the Obama tioning global public health infrastructure, administration, oer a road map for eective crisis-management systems, overhauling American foreign policy and and leaders who put lives over pride. But institutions to rise to the occasion. at least we can learn the lessons. Rebecca Henderson shows why Climate change is also a crisis. It is business leaders are starting to drive a unfolding more slowly than its pandemic green agenda rather than obstruct it.
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