Lidija Čehulić Vukadinović (Ed.) YEARBOOK ŠIPAN 2011 the Atlantic Council of Croatia Center for International Studies Zagreb
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Lidija Čehulić Vukadinović (ed.) YEARBOOK ŠIPAN 2011 The Atlantic Council of Croatia Center for International Studies Zagreb, 2012 INTERNATIONAL SUMMER SCHOOL ŠIPAN President Radovan Vukadinović, The Atlantic Council of Croatia and Center for International Studies Editors Gordan Grlić Radman, Center for International Studies Mladen Nakić, Center for International Studies Editor in Chief Lidija Čehulić Vukadinović Editorial Board Fraser Cameron, Institute for Political Studies, Bruxelles John Groom, Kent University Joseph Joseph, University of Nicosia Konstantin Khudoley, University of Sant Petersburg Steve Larrabee, RAND, Washington D.C. Stefano Pilotto, University of Trieste Peter Stania, International Institute for Peace, Wien Dragan Vukčević, University Donja Gorica, Montenegro Partners Casa Mediterraneo, Barcelona Center for American Studies, Faculty of Political Science, Belgrade European Academy Berlin, Berlin Florida State University, Tallahasse Hanns Seidel Sitftung, Zagreb Humanistic Studies, University of Donja Gorica, Montenegro International Institute for Peace, Wien Kennedy School of Government, University of Harvard NATO Public Diplomacy Division, Bruxelles Universita di Trieste, Trieste Editorial correspondence and ordering information should be addressed to Editor The Atlantic Council of Croatia, Zagreb, Lepušićeva 6, Fax. 0038514655316, e-mail: [email protected] Copyright The Atlantic Council of Croatia, Center for International Studies, Zagreb, 2012 ISSN 1846 - 4149 Abstracting and Indexing service PAIS – Public Affairs Information Service This publication is co-founded by the Hanns Seidel Foundation, Zagreb Lidija Čehulić Vukadinović (ed.) YEARBOOK ŠIPAN 2011 The Atlantic Council of Croatia Center for International Studies Zagreb, 2012 YEARBOOK ŠIPAN 2011 TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface ................................................................................................................... 7 Kolinda Grabar Kitarović Towards NATO’s 2012 Chicago Summit ................................................................. 9 Sharyl Cross Defining Elements for International Strategy to Counter Violent Extremism in the Internet and New Social Media Communities .................................................. 12 Marijana Petir The Impact of Global Climate Change .................................................................. 29 Anton Bebler The European Union, NATO and the “Arab spring” ............................................. 38 Filip Dragović The Role of Police in the International Environment and Peace Missions .............. 45 Peter Schieder Future and Significance of Neutrality ................................................................... 59 Gordan Grlić Radman Danube Countries and Multilingualism ................................................................ 66 Ivo Samson New NATO Member States: Contribution of Central Eastern Europeans to European Unity? Slovakia as a Model Case .......................................................... 77 Predrag Simić Euroatlanticism and Creation of Security Community in the Balkans ................... 85 Mladen Nakić Persisting Security Challenges in South East Europe: A Threat to EU’s CFSP - A comparative view ............................................................................................ 97 James Seroka United States National Security Policy and the Western Balkans: Assessment and Future Potential .......................................................................................... 106 Jozo Radoš The impact of accession to the EU on the security and defense policy of the Republic of Croatia ............................................................................................ 118 5 YEARBOOK ŠIPAN 2011 TABLE OF CONTENTS Mile Lasić The Road of BiH to EU and NATO or Searching for a Credible Belonging .......... 127 Arian Starova Albania in NATO – Reforms, Achievements and New Challenges ........................ 136 Jasminka Simić Serbia between neutrality and NATO .................................................................. 155 Aida Cvjetković Šipan – the Golden Island................................................................................... 165 6 YEARBOOK ŠIPAN 2011 Preface In summer 2002 the Center for International Studies of the Croatian Association for International Studies and The Atlantic Council of Croatia have organized the first International Summer School on the island of Šipan, Luka Šipanska, hotel Šipan. The school, consisting of the separate, one-week scientific seminars, is foremostly intended for young leaders: attendants of post graduate and doctorate studies, diplomats, journalists, military officials, foreign affairs officials, civil servants, teachers, NGO members and all those who are, or will be, professionally involved with some aspects of the complex issue of international relations. The content of the summer school seminars is primarily focusing on topics relating to South East Europe and Euro-Atlantic integrations, which is understandable having in mind the venue of the summer school (the Republic of Croatia) and the significance of the South East Europe and the Euro-Atlantism within the emerging new European and world order. The Šipan Yearbook 2011 is the ninth publication of this school. This year also the Šipan Yearbook is published in English language only, which fact further affirms the international character of the school, its participants, and messages being conveyed. Papers published in Šipan Yearbook 2011 are illustrating some of the issues and topics discussed in four scientific seminars during the summer school of 2011: 13th to 18th June 2011 - 'Western Balkans after the Lisbon Summit' in cooperation with Royal Danish Embassy in Croatia 5th to 9th July 2011 - 'Mediterranean and NATO after Lisbon Summit' in cooperation with NATO Public Diplomacy Division, Brussels 11th to 16th July 2011 - 'European Union and Western Balkans' in cooperation with International Institute for Peace – Vienna and Renner Institute, Vienna 29th August to 3rd September 2011 - 'Euro-Atlantic relations in the 21st Century - Opportunities and Challenges' in cooperation with Hanns Seidel Stiftung in Zagreb During the last eleven years our summer school gathered more than 1500 speakers and participants from the following countries: Albania, Austria, Australia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Dominican Republic, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iran, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Serbia, Sweden, Turkey, Ukraine and USA; as well as representatives of various international organizations, such as NATO, EU, Atlantic Treaty Association – ATA, Council of Europe, RACVIAC and relevant NGOs from the region. The aim of the Šipan International Summer School is to reflect upon and analyze the complexities present in South East Europe, to provide a forum for exchange of thoughts and perceptions between the members of younger generation, 7 YEARBOOK ŠIPAN 2011 Preface and to foster independent approaches to these issues through workshops and case simulations, constantly seeking for new suggestions on how to solve the numerous and complex problems of this part of Europe in a most efficient manner. On a small Mediterranean island, in a relaxed and informal atmosphere, young leaders are given the opportunity not only to contemplate on these issues together with the lecturers from academic circles, international organizations, NGOs as well as high ranking political officials and diplomats (president of state, ministers, ambassadors, military leaders), but also to meet their colleagues and establish professional and private contacts needed in their future professional development. The interest for these courses so far bears witness to the fact that the ŠIPAN summer school has found its place among the similar international summer schools, that it has proven its value and reputation and that by entering into its 11th year of existence the summer school in Šipan is gaining on its institutional value. Publication of the Yearbook Šipan certainly contributes to this fact, thus Šipan Yearbook 2011 contains 16 presentations from the last year summer school. Publication of the Yearbook Šipan 2011 is financially supported by the Hans Seidel Stiftung. This organization has recognized our summer school and the whole project as a valuable and useful effort. Activities of the Šipan International Summer School would not be possible without the assistance of the co-sponsors: NATO Public Diplomacy Division, Brussels; Royal Danish Embassy in Croatia; Hanns Siedle Stiftung, Zagreb; International Institute for Peace, Vienna and Renner Institute, Vienna. It must be accented that valuable and active support is provided by the Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Croatia and the Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs, along with several other sponsors. The Yearbook Šipan 2011 is intended for domestic and foreign public and should serve as useful and interesting reading for all those who are actively and practically involved in the international relations, as well as those who are studying international relations from more theoretical aspects. Times of crysis that is being felt in all countries has not stopped our activities. Again it was proven that even in toughest times, with strong will on organizer’s side and interest for certain topics, it is possible to continue the work in spite of all the difficulties.