Capstone Study Invasive Species in Riparian Habitats of Washington
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Capstone Study Invasive Species in Riparian Habitats of Washington: Using Species Distribution Models to Guide Monitoring Efforts Samantha Nicole Smiley Masters of Natural Resources Oregon State University Capstone Project March 5, 2021 Contents Abstract ......................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Objectives ...................................................................................................................................................................... 6 Review of Literature on Select Washington Invasive Species ....................................................................................... 8 Potamopyrgus antipodarum (New Zealand mudsnail) .............................................................................................. 8 Lithobates catesbeianus (American Bullfrog) .......................................................................................................... 11 Cipangopaludina chinensisis (Chinese Mystery Snail) ............................................................................................. 14 Myriophyllum spicatum (Eurasian Watermilfoil) ..................................................................................................... 17 Egeria densa (Brazilian Elodea)................................................................................................................................ 20 Butomus umbellatus (Flowering Rush) .................................................................................................................... 24 Reynoutria japonica (Japanese Knotweed) and Polygonum sachalinense (Giant Knotweed) ................................. 28 Species Distribution Model Methods .......................................................................................................................... 32 Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................... 32 Model Building ......................................................................................................................................................... 35 Model Evaluation ..................................................................................................................................................... 35 Results ......................................................................................................................................................................... 36 Discussion .................................................................................................................................................................... 50 Conclusions .................................................................................................................................................................. 53 References ................................................................................................................................................................... 55 Abstract Riparian ecosystems provide critical habitat for a broad diversity of aquatic and terrestrial species. However, due to their connectivity along river corridors, and the tendency for people to build roads, infrastructure, and other settlements next to rivers, riparian ecosystems are vulnerable to colonization by invasive plant and animal species. Early Detection and Rapid Response (EDRR) is vital for monitoring and managing novel invasions as well as population expansions of known invasive species. Species distribution modeling (SDM) can be used to identify high priority locations for monitoring to catch early colonization by invasive species when there is still time for complete eradication. This case study targeted 8 invasive plant and animal species of concern to forest managers that are associated with riparian habitats. A literature review was completed to understand the biological and ecological factors that influence potential species distributions. Species distribution models were created for the 8 plant and animal species using Maxent program and bioclimatic variables. Generally, model results show high predicted suitability in the Puget Sound for all 8 species, with lower predicted suitability in the northeastern portion of the state. This paper demonstrates how SDM can be used to identify potential species distributions of invasive species thereby allowing forest managers to identify new infestations and plan cost-effective and efficient early detection monitoring efforts. With swift eradication efforts managers can minimize the impact that new infestations of invasive species have on riparian forests. Introduction Riparian Habitat The riparian ecosystem is considered a vital transitional zone connecting terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems (Everest and Reeves 2006). In the Pacific Northwest, the riparian forest ecosystem is the transition between forest and freshwater environments include riverbanks, floodplains, and wetlands. These forest riparian ecosystems are resilient and provide critical habitat for a variety of aquatic and terrestrial species including threatened and endangered trout such as Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) and bull trout (Salvelinus confluentus). The forested rivers and streams provide vegetation cover to regulate stream temperatures and allows for the recruitment of large woody debris. Throughout the world, riparian zones are recognized for the complexity of species they support, and the habitats that they provide (Naiman and Decamps 1997). These critical riparian zones provide ecological functions such as streamflow, water quality, stream nutrients and complex habitats for a variety of fish and wildlife (Everest and Reeves 2006). Riparian habitats also provide important ecosystem services for human populations by removing excess nutrients and sediments from water (Lee et al., 2003, Poff et al., 2012). Urbanization has drastically altered the watersheds and hydrology of Washington State. Increased surface water runoff from urban developments can lead to surges of pollutants and sediments into local waterways from storm events. Discharges of water and pollutants poses extreme risks to survival of fish and wildlife (Burton and Pitt 2002), as does chronic pollution from roads (Tian et al. 2020). Riparian habitats help to mitigate and minimize the effects of storm events by naturally filtering and lowering pollutants in waterways from agriculture and municipal water runoff thereby cleaning water. Riparian areas are inherently resistant to change associated with predictable cyclical patterns of river flow and flooding. However, riparian ecosystems that are resilient to natural changes and disturbance are still vulnerable to colonization by invasive plant and animal species. Management of riparian habitats is vital to protect the diversity and maintain the ecosystem services that they provide. Invasive Species Invasive species alter the communities and structures of the ecosystems they invade (Mack et al., 2000). With time, invasive species can influence the native flora and fauna as they manipulate and modify their surroundings and can outcompete native species. For example, scientists in Europe and North America have reported that invasive Japanese knotweed leads to a reduction of native plants and invertebrate species abundance and richness (Gerber et al. 2008; Claeson et al. 2014). This decreased species abundance and diversity can change the composition of native plants in riparian forests and thus change the ecosystem benefits that these forests provide. Invasive species may also impact the abiotic components of the ecosystem. These abiotic factors include physical structure, nutrient availability, and water temperature and depth (Simberloff 2013). One example of this environmental modification can be found in zebra and quagga mussels that have invaded the soft substrates of Lake Erie, USA (Berkman et al., 2000). These colonies generate a hard substrate with their shells allowing for easier attachment of mussel larvae. These new harder mussel bed substrates lead to changes in water flow dynamics. All these changes are often enough to damage the original ecosystem effecting biodiversity and can have economic impacts through loss of commercial fish or cost of managing invasions (Mack et al., 2000). Monitoring Invasive Species Early Detection and Rapid Response (EDRR) is vital for monitoring and managing invasive species (Simberloff, 2013). EDRR allows for practical and effective control or eradication of invasive species before populations become widespread. Common methods for the detection of invasive species include surveys and monitoring programs (Simberloff, 2013). These programs can often be expensive and may suffer from a lack of resources. New advances in technology can help to target monitoring resources more effectively. Species distribution modeling (SDM) can be used to identify high priority locations for monitoring and identify potential locations of new infestations. Species distribution modeling methods can be used to visualize a distribution where a species may occur. The generated models can be mapped to visually represent the fundamental niche of a species,