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Modeling the Probability of a Batter/Pitcher Matchup Event: a Bayesian Approach
RESEARCH ARTICLE Modeling the probability of a batter/pitcher matchup event: A Bayesian approach Woojin Doo, Heeyoung KimID* Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST), Daejeon, Republic of Korea * [email protected] Abstract We develop a Bayesian hierarchical log5 model to predict the probability of a particular bat- a1111111111 a1111111111 ter/pitcher matchup event in baseball by extending the log5 model which is widely used for a1111111111 describing matchup events. The log5 model is simple and intuitive with fixed coefficients but a1111111111 less flexible than the generalized log5 model that allows the estimation of coefficients using a1111111111 data. Meanwhile, although the generalized log5 model is more flexible, the estimation of coefficients often suffers from a lack of data as a large sample of previous outcomes for a particular batter/pitcher matchup is rarely available in practice. The proposed Bayesian hier- archical log5 model retains the advantages of both models while complementing their disad- OPEN ACCESS vantages by estimating the unknown coefficients as in the generalized log5 model, but by Citation: Doo W, Kim H (2018) Modeling the using the fixed coefficients of the standard log5 model as prior knowledge. By combining the probability of a batter/pitcher matchup event: A ideas of the two previous models, the proposed model can estimate the probability of a par- Bayesian approach. PLoS ONE 13(10): e0204874. ticular matchup event using a small amount of historical data of the players. Furthermore, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0204874 we show that the Bayesian hierarchical log5 model achieves better predictive performance Editor: Yong Deng, Southwest University, CHINA than the standard log5 model and the generalized log5 model using a real data example. -
Units Result Record Roi Total Units
DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 10 | 1:00PM PST UNDER 155.5 PENDING PENDING � The Basketball Tournament -110 House Of ‘Paign @ Red Scare RISK 1 UNIT JUL 10 | 1:00PM PST REAL MADRID PENDING PENDING ⚽ Spanish Primera División -1.5 -135 Depor Alaves @ Real Madrid RISK 1.5 UNITS JUL 10 | 12:42 PST CHRIS KIRK ML PENDING PENDING ⛳ Workday Charity Open RD 2 -110 Chris Kirk @ Joel Dahmen RISK 1 UNIT JUL 10 | 12:15PM PST UNDER 2.5 PENDING PENDING ⚽ English League Championship -135 Cardiff City @ Fulham RISK 1.5 UNITS JUL 10 | 4:23AM PST PARTICK REED ML -2.1 LOSER 61-41-3 31.3% 31.925 ⛳ Workday Charity Open RD 2 -105 Collin Morikawa vs Patrick Reed RISK 2 UNITS DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 10 | 2:30AM PST NC DINOS RL -1.5 2 WINNER 61-40-3 33.9% 34.025 ⚾ Korean Baseball -110 NC Dinos @ LG Twins RISK 2 UNITS JUL 10 | 2:30AM PST OVER 9.5 1 WINNER 60-40-3 32% 32.025 ⚾ Korean Baseball -115 SK Wyverns @ Hanwha Eagles RISK 1 UNIT JUL 10 | 2:00AM PST HIROSHIMA CARP -2.025 LOSER 59-40-3 31.5% 31.175 ⚾ Japan Baseball ML -135 Hiroshima Carp @ Chunichi Dragons RISK 1.5 UNITS JUL 10 | 1:00AM PST OVER 188.5 -1.1 LOSER 59-39-3 33.9% 33.2 � Chinese Basketball Association -110 Bayi Rockets @ Jiangsu Dragons RISK 1 UNIT JUL 9 | 5:00PM PST MONTREAL -1.8 LOSER 59-38-3 35.4% 34.3 ⚽ Major League Soccer IMPACT +.5 -120 NE Revolution @ Montreal Impact RISK 1.5 UNITS DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 9 | 4:55AM PST XANDER 1.5 WINNER 59-37-3 37.6% 36.1 -
Units Result Record Roi Total Units
DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 21 | 5:00PM PST COLUMBUS PENDING PENDING ⚽ Major League Soccer CREW ML +115 Columbus Crew @ Atlanta United RISK 1.5 UNITS JUL 21 | 12:15PM PST OVER 2.5 -2.7 LOSER 105-85-9 15.4% 29.3 ⚽ English Premier League -135 Arsenal @ Aston Villa RISK 2 UNITS JUL 21 | 11:00AM PST UNDER 2.5 1 WINNER 104-85-9 19.9% 32 ⚽ Portuguese Liga -105 Victoria Setubal @ Sporting Lisbion RISK 1 UNIT JUL 21 | 10:00AM PST OVER 3.5 1.3 WINNER 103-85-9 16.5% 31 ⚽ English Premier League +130 Manchester City @ Watford RISK 1 UNIT JUL 21 | 2:30AM PST NC DINOS -1 LOSER 102-85-9 15.9% 29.7 ⚾ Korean Baseball RL -1.5 +115 Samsung Lions @ NC Dinos RISK 1 UNIT (RUN LINE) OVER 10.5 3 WINNER 102-84-9 16.5% 30.7 RISK 3 UNITS (TOTAL) -120 DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 21 | 2:30AM PST KIA TIGERS RL 0.5 WINNER 101-84-9 15% 27.7 ⚾ Korean Baseball -1.5 -130 Kia Tigers @ Hanwha Eagles RISK .5 UNIT JUL 21 | 2:00AM PST SEIBU LIONS 1.4 WINNER 100-84-9 14.9% 27.2 ⚾ Japan Baseball RL -1.5 +140 Chiba Lotte Marines @ Seibu Lions RISK 1 UNIT JUL 21 | 2:00AM PST OVER 8.5 1 WINNER 99-84-9 14.1% 25.8 ⚾ Japan Baseball -115 Yakult Swallow @ Yokohama Baystars RISK 1 UNIT JUL 20 | 5:00PM PST PHILA UNION PK 0 PUSH 98-84-9 13.6% 24.8 ⚽ Major League Soccer -115 Orlando City FC @ Philadelphia Union RISK 2 UNITS JUL 20 | 12:15AM PST WOLVES -1 1.5 WINNER 98-84-8 13.6% 24.8 ⚽ English Premier League -120 Crystal Palace @ Wolverhampton RISK 1.5 UNITS DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI -
Internationalisation Strategy (“GCA’S Internationalisation Strategy”)
Ref. Ares(2019)4111434 - 28/06/2019 Global Content Alliance Grant Agreement n° 783405 Internationalisation Strategy (“GCA’s Internationalisation Strategy”) Grant Agreement Deliverable D4.1 Actual Date submission date: 07/01/2019 Due date of deliverable: M11 Start date of the Project: 01/01/2018 Duration: 18 months 06/01/2019 GCA D4.1 Internationalisation Strategy – PUBLIC DOCUMENT Page 1 of 64 Credits This document has been elaborated in the frame of the GCA - Global Content Alliance - project (Agreement N°783405) co-funded by the European Commission COSME programme (2014-2020). The contributors to this Document: Editor: Emre Koca, GCA WP4 leader at Transmedia Bayern, Germany Coached by Philippe Dubois, in-house consultant at Transmedia Bayern, Germany Contributors: Egbert Van Wyngaarden, CEO at Transmedia Bayern, Germany Pierre Collin, CEO at Cluster TWIST, Belgium Pervenche Beurier, CEO at Pôle Média Grand Paris, France Pernilla Lavesson, Community Manager at Media Evolution, Sweden Disclaimer The content of this document represents the views of the authors only and is their sole responsibilities; it cannot be considered to reflect the views of the European Commission and/or the Executive Agency for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (EASME) or any other body of the European Union. The European Commission and the Agency do not accept any responsibility for use that may be made of the information it contains. This document is part of the project GCA which has received funding from the European Commission COSME programme (2014-2020) - grant agreement No. 783405. 06/01/2019 GCA D4.1 Internationalisation Strategy – PUBLIC DOCUMENT Page 2 of 64 Table of Contents 1 THE KEY CHALLENGES FOR INTERNATIONALISATION ............................................................................................................. -
Sport Fans' Price Sensitivity Based on Loyalty Levels: a Case of Korean Professional Baseball League
sustainability Article Sport Fans’ Price Sensitivity Based on Loyalty Levels: A Case of Korean Professional Baseball League Jung-Sup Bae 1 , Weisheng Chiu 2,* and Sang-Back Nam 3,* 1 Division of Academic Affairs, Glocal Campus, Konkuk University, Chungju-si 27478, Korea; [email protected] 2 Lee Shau Kee School of Business and Administration, The Open University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China 3 Division of Sport Science, Hanyang University-ERICA Campus, Ansan 15588, Korea * Correspondence: [email protected] (W.C.); [email protected] (S.-B.N.) Abstract: For the sustainable development of the Korean Professional Baseball League (a.k.a., KBO League), it is critical to propose profitable and efficient pricing strategies for each team in the KBO League. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to understand KBO League fans’ perceptions of price sensitivity. More specifically, this study explored how fans’ perceptions of price sensitivity and latitude of price acceptance vary between different loyalty groups. A total of 213 valid responses were recruited from KBO League fans by using a convenience sampling approach. As a result, based on the levels of attitudinal loyalty and behavioral loyalty, fans were classified into four categories: loyal fans, latent fans, spurious fans, and indifferent fans. Moreover, loyal fans were found to be less sensitive to the ticket price increase of different levels (i.e., 10%, 20%, and 30%), followed by latent fans, spurious fans, and indifferent fans. Meanwhile, loyal fans have the highest level of the latitude of price acceptance, followed by latent fans, spurious fan, and indifferent fans. -
Exploratory Study on Professional Baseball Fan Experience Management: Based on In-Depth Interview and Customer Journey Map
International Journal of Advanced Smart Convergence Vol.10 No.1 176-183 (2021) http://dx.doi.org/10.7236/IJASC.2021.10.1.176 IJASC 21-1-19 Exploratory Study on Professional Baseball Fan Experience Management: Based on In-Depth Interview and Customer Journey Map Se-yun Kim1, Kyung-Won Byun2 1Assistant Professor, Department of Sport management, Dankook University, Korea 2Assistant Professor, Department of graduate school of business Administration, Dankook University, Korea E-mail: [email protected], [email protected] Abstract The purpose of this study is was to analyze customer experience attribute of professional baseball. To achieve objectives of this study, a method was used the in-depth interview and experts' consultation which understanding the attributes and structure of customer experience attribute of professional baseball. As a result, the professional baseball customer experience attributes are 'viewing plan & purchase', 'stadium movement', 'entrance stadium', 'move to seat', 'game viewing', 'amenities/services', 'events/cheering', ‘move after match'. The review of the experience section and attributes derived through in-depth interviews with professional baseball fans was verified through an expert’ consultation to secure content validity. Through this process, 8 experience section and 41 attributes were analyzed. The customer experience journey was analyzed for a more in-depth analysis of the viewing experience of professional baseball fans. The customer experience journey was presented based on the needs of fans and discomfort in each experience section activity. Keywords: Professional Baseball, Customer Experience Management, In-Depth Interview, Customer Experience Journey 1. Introduction Seattle Sounders FC is a soccer team that has more than doubled the average audience of the Major League Soccer(MLS) and in 2013 it showed a capacity of crowd mobilization with 43,124, higher than the average audience of Chelsea, a popular English premier league club. -
USAG Humphreys Invited PTPI Pyeongtaek Chapter
Local Information Provider for USFK Members April 25, 2018 Published by Pyeongtaek Cultural Newspaper for those serving in the Republic of Korea Volume 18, lssue Oh my! K-League 1 Baseball! Something about popularity of Korean Professional Baseball League “Did you watch the game last night?” SK Wyverns built Wi-Fi zones in Incheon Moonhak Baseball games are always the hottest topic during female baseball fans has been doubled in recent years. Stadium for the convenience of fans. It also repackaged The key to the popularity of Korean professional this time of the year. Baseball game season is here. On the pavement of the sidewalk around the stadium for a March 24, Korean professional baseball league opened baseball is the unique cheering culture. Baseball better walk and built a family-friendly zone which is games are more fun with exciting cheer chants and its season for 2018. located on the grassy hillside and available to set up a Now that the regular season is going on, baseball is splendid moves of cheerleaders. Cheerleaders of each tent or lay a mat. club help in transforming the mood of the game and in favor among Korean fans. Monday blues gets worse Doosan Bears, offers discounts and events for Seoul because there are no baseball games on Mondays. bringing about an infectious flow of energy. There are Jamsil Stadium, the home stadium of Doosan Bears. 10 professional clubs in Korea and each club has its Since the launch of Korean professional baseball in The tickets are 50 percent off on a Bears’ Day, last 1982, baseball has been Korea’s most popular sports. -
2019 Season Starts! Korea Culture News “Did You Watch the Game Last Night?” Baseball Games Are Always the Hottest Topic During This Time of the Year
March 28, 2019 Local Information Provider for Foreigners in Korea Volume 18, lssue 22 Printed by Pyeongtaek Culture Newspaper, a private firm in no way connected with the U.S. Government, under written agreement with U.S. Army Garrison Humphreys. K-League Baseball! by Lee, Sangbae 2019 Season Starts! Korea Culture News “Did you watch the game last night?” Baseball games are always the hottest topic during this time of the year. Baseball game season is here. On March 23rd, Korean professional baseball league Something about popularity opened its season for 2019. Now that the playoffs are going on, baseball is in favor among Korean fans. Monday blues gets worse because there are no baseball of Korean Professional games on Mondays. Since the launch of Korean professional baseball in 1982, baseball has been Korea’s most Baseball League popular sports. Major owner companies of each professional baseball club have been playing a part in boosting the popularity of Korean professional base- ball league. The owner companies of each professional baseball club stimulate the emotions of baseball fans, improving the public image of the companies and attracting the fans to feel strong affinity to those companies. Through various events and marketing, the fans unconsciously become loyal customers of the club they support. SK Wyverns built Wi-Fi zones in Incheon Moonhak Stadium for the convenience of fans. It also repackaged the pavement of the sidewalk around the stadium for a better walk and built a family-friendly zone which is lo- cated on the grassy hillside and available to set up a tent or lay a mat. -
Ergebnisse 24.09.2021.-25.09.2021
ERGEBNISSE 24.09.2021.-25.09.2021. Fussball-Deutschland Bundesliga HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 2300 | 1358A Fr 20:30 Greuther Fürth - FC Bayern München 0:2 1:3 2 1,12 2. Bundesliga HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 2310 | 1359E Fr 18:30 Jahn Regensburg - FC Erzgebirge Aue 2:0 3:2 1 1,65 2309 | 1359D Fr 18:30 1. FC Heidenheim - SV Darmstadt 98 1:0 2:1 1 2,00 3. Liga HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 2320 | 135BF Fr 19:00 Hallescher FC - 1. FC Magdeburg 1:1 3:2 1 3,75 Fussball-England Championship HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 2356 | 136BF Fr 20:45 Coventry City - Peterborough United 0:0 3:0 1 1,60 2357 | 136CD Fr 21:00 West Bromwich Albion - QPR 0:1 2:1 1 1,65 League Two HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 2384 | 137BF Fr 20:45 Barrow AFC - Newport County AFC 0:1 2:1 1 2,15 Fussball-Spanien La Liga 2 HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 2451 | 1456B Fr 20:00 Real Sociedad B - SD Huesca 0:1 0:2 2 2,35 2452 | 1456C Fr 21:00 UD Almeria - CD Tenerife 0:0 3:1 1 2,10 Primera RFEF, Gruppe 1 HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 10350 | 349DE Fr 19:00 San Sebastian Reyes - CD Tudelano 1:1 2:1 1 2,25 10383 | 459EF Fr 21:00 Racing Santander - Internacional de Madrid … 1:0 2:0 1 1,65 Primera Rfef, Gruppe 2 HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 10487 | 2469EF Fr 19:00 Gimnastic de Tarragona - CD Alcoyano 0:1 2:1 1 1,85 10347 | 245ADE Fr 21:00 FC Barcelona B - Real Balompedica Linense 2:1 2:1 1 1,95 Fussball-Italien Campionato Primavera 2, Girone B HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 11763 | 3468AE Fr 14:00 Ternana U19 - Reggina U19 1:1 X 3,50 Fussball-Frankreich Ligue 2 HT FT OT/AP Tipp Quote 2562 | 148AB Fr 21:00 Dijon FCO - Valenciennes FC 0:1 0:1 -
Baseball Baseball 野球
Daily Report Protocol Protocole de rapport quotidien デイリーレポートプロトコル WED 28 JUL 2021 Baseball Baseball 野球 Fukushima Azuma Stadium Stade de baseball d'Azuma 福島あづま球場 BSBMBBLTEAM9 ----------------------_B58 1 Report Created WED 28 JUL 2021 16:00 Page 1/1 Baseball/Softball 野球・ソフトボール / Baseball/Softball Baseball 野球 / Baseball Team Roster チームロースター / Composition de l’équipe As of TUE 27 JUL 2021 DOM - Dominican Republic Height Bat Throw No. Name Date of Birth Pos. Club m / ft in Hand Hand 2 NUNEZ Gustavo 8 FEB 1988 1.80/5'11" IF S R Estrellas Orientales San Pedro de Macoris (DOM) 3 PEREZ Yefri 24 FEB 1991 1.80/5'11" U S R Aguilas Cibaenas Santiago de los Caballeros (DOM) 6 MEJIA Erick 9 NOV 1994 1.80/5'11" U S R Kansas City Royals AAA Papillion, Nebraska (USA) 7 VALERIO Charlie 7 NOV 1990 1.82/6'0" C S R Sioux Falls Canaries Sioux Falls, South Dakota (USA) 10 GUZMAN Jeison 8 OCT 1998 1.87/6'2" IF S R Kansas City Royals A+ Davenport, Iowa (USA) 14 CABRERA Melky 11 AUG 1984 1.77/5'10" OF S L Aguilas Cibaenas Santiago de los Caballeros (DOM) 15 MERCEDES Cristopher 8 MAR 1994 1.87/6'2" P L L Yomiuri Giants Tokyo (JPN) 16 BALDWIN Roldani 16 MAR 1996 1.80/5'11" C R R Boston Red Sox AAA Portland, Maine (USA) 18 RODRIGUEZ Julio 29 DEC 2000 1.90/6'3" OF R R Seattle Mariners A+ North Little Rock, Arkansas (USA) 19 BAUTISTA Jose 19 OCT 1980 1.82/6'0" OF R R Diablos Rojos del Mexico Ciudad de Mexico, CDMX (MEX) 23 ROSSO Ramon 9 JUN 1996 1.93/6'4" P R R Lehigh Valley Iron Pigs Lehigh Valley, Pennsylvania (USA) 28 GARCIA Junior 1 OCT 1995 1.80/5'11" P L L Arizona -
Wochenangebot Fußball
Wochenangebot Gültig ab 25.09.2021 bis 02.10.2021 Fußball - Internationale Klubturniere UEFA Champions League 1 X 2 1X 12 2X HC 1 X 2 T - + 34E Di 18:45 Ajax : Besiktas Istanbul 1,13 9,30 20,55 - 1,01 6,05 0:1 1,35 4,85 6,05 3.5 1,70 1,95 35F Di 18:45 FC Shakhtar Donetsk : Inter Mailand 5,45 4,40 1,60 2,30 1,16 1,10 1:0 2,30 3,90 2,45 2.5 2,15 1,55 30E Di 21:00 Paris SG : Manchester City FC 3,00 3,60 2,35 1,55 1,24 1,35 1:0 1,55 4,60 4,30 2.5 2,25 1,50 32C Di 21:00 FC Porto : Liverpool FC 4,65 4,10 1,70 2,05 1,19 1,14 1:0 2,05 3,90 2,80 2.5 2,10 1,60 2FB Di 21:00 RB Leipzig : FC Brügge 1,55 4,55 5,75 1,09 1,15 2,40 0:1 2,35 3,95 2,40 2.5 2,30 1,50 356 Di 21:00 Dortmund : Sporting Lisbon 1,35 5,80 8,30 1,03 1,09 3,25 0:1 1,85 4,10 3,25 3.5 1,60 2,10 35E Di 21:00 Real Madrid : Sheriff Tiraspol 1,09 11,40 28,55 - - 7,70 0:1 1,27 5,40 7,70 3.5 1,80 1,85 30F Di 21:00 AC Mailand : Atlético Madrid 2,90 3,20 2,60 1,45 1,30 1,35 1:0 1,45 4,45 5,45 2.5 1,65 2,00 30C Mi 18:45 Z. -
Vol. 1 May 2018 Movie Time Baseball Seasonis Back Again a Taste Of
Vol. 1 May 2018 Movie time Baseball seasonis back again A taste of Korea Let’s learn Korean Movie time Avengers Best movie to see this month Avengers: Infinity War is a 2018 American superhero film based on the Marvel Comics superhero team The Avengers, produced by Marvel Studios and distributed Photo by: http://www.cgv.co.kr/theaters/special/?regioncode=TEM by Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures. It is the sequel to 2012's The Avengers and 2015's Avengers: Age of Ultron, and the nineteenth film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU). TEMPUR CINEMA Mattress brand Tempur Korea and CGV opened Tempur cinemas at the CGV Cine de Chef loca- AVENGERS: Innity War tions in Apgujeong in Seoul and Centum City in Who’s starring? Busan in 2015. The beds are electric recliners Some of the biggest names involved include Robert Downey Jr’s Tony Stark/Iron equipped with Tempur mattresses. Using a Man, Chris Evans’ Captain America, Scarlett Johansson’s Black Widow, Benedict remote control, movie-goers can change the Cumberbatch’s Doctor Strange and Josh Brolin’s big baddie Thanos. recliner into a bed. Slippers and blankets are “Imagine provided, and people can also enjoy food while What’s it about? watching a movie. Tempur was originally based The Avengers and other superheroic allies team up to take down Thanos, an evil megalomaniac determined to assemble the six Infinity Stones (which have watching on NASA's research to develop a material that cropped up in previous Marvel movies) and kill half the universe. a movie in bed would cushion aircraft seats and improve survivability in the event of an accident.