FEBRUARY 2019 NATIONWIDE POLL on the Upcoming European Elections SURVEY DETAILS
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FEBRUARY 2019 NATIONWIDE POLL on the upcoming European Elections SURVEY DETAILS Company name Kapa Research SA Principal ETHNOS Purpose Nationwide opinion poll on the European Parliament Elections of May 2019 Sample size / geographical 2,999 respondents. proportionally distributed throughout the country’s 13 regions distribution Sample characteristics Representative, men and women, 17 years old and above, based on the 2011 household census (ELSTAT) Period of data collection 1 – 7 February 2019 Random sampling using quotas with respect to geographical distribution of the population. Weighting adjustment was Sampling method / weights performed based on the July 2015 referendum and the September 2015 parliamentary election results Mixed mode: 956 respondents via face-to-face interviews (CAPI), 1,002 respondents via landline telephone interviews (CATI) Data collection method and 1,041 respondents via web-based interviews (CAWI). 54 interviewers and 10 supervisors and analysts were employed for fieldwork and analysis activities of this survey Sampling error/ 2% at the 95% confidence interval. Results (%) are presented rounded to the closest integer and may not necessarily add up rounding to 100% Member of the Greek Association of Opinion and Market Research Companies (SEDEA). Complies with ESOMAR About Kapa Research deontological rules of conduct and publication of opinion surveys kaparesearch.com ASSESSMENT OF LATEST GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIY How do you assess each of the following actions taken by the government recently? Positively & Rather positively Rather negatively & Negatively DK/NA Increase of the minimum wage at 650 Euros 64 33 3 Return in international capital markets with a five-year 51 10 government bond issue worth 2.5 billion Euros 39 Parliament confidence vote with new 151 MP majority after 40 50 10 ANEL's decision to withdraw from coalition government Ratification of the Prespa Agreement in parliament 36 63 1 | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 EVALUATION OF LATEST POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS (1/2) In your view, is Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras now better off or worse off, politically, from the latest developments we mentioned? 62% 45 41 40 35 33% 30 25 22 21 20 15 11 10 5 5 0 Better off Probably better off Probably worse off Worse off DK/NA | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 EVALUATION OF LATEST POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS (2/2) In your view, is Main Opposition leader Kyriakos Mitsotakis now better off or worse off, politically, from the latest developments we mentioned? 60% 50 45 43 40 35 % 30 37 25 19 20 18 17 15 10 5 3 0 Better off Probably better off Probably worse off Worse off DK/NA | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 IMPORTANCE OF THE MAY 2019 EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT ELECTIONS Next May, in about four months, the European parliament elections will be held. How important do you to consider these European elections ...: … for the future of Europe … for the future of Greece 0 35 0 10 20 30 40 50 Very important 37 Very important 40 71 69 Somewhat important 34 Somewhat important 29 Not that important 16 Not that important 17 Not important at all 12 Not important at all 13 DK/NA 1 DK/NA 1 | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 LEVEL OF SATISFACTION FROM THE RISE OF NATION-CENTRIC FORCES IN EUROPE In Europe today, it seems that the ethnocentric political forces that are opposing the European Union are being strengthened. Would you say that you are satisfied with this trend, or not? 65% 60 50 48 40 32% 30 19 20 17 13 10 3 0 Yes Yes, probably Probably not No DK/NA | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 WILL THIS TREND BE EXPRESSED IN GREECE? Do you expect this trend to be expressed in Greece in the upcoming European elections? 67% 45 40 39 35 30% 30 28 25 22 20 15 10 8 5 3 0 Yes Yes, probably Probably not No DK/NA | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 ASSOCIATION BETWEEN NATIONAL AND EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT ELECTIONS Which of the following is closer to your stance on voting in the upcoming European elections? DK/NA 7 It's a good chance to vote for a smaller party or some other party 26 I will vote for the same party I would vote for in the national elections 67 | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 KEY VOTE CRITERIA IN THE EUROPEAN ELECTIONS Based on which of the following criteria are you planning to vote in the upcoming European parliament elections? 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 To express my disagreement with the path Europe is following 34 40 To contribute to the break up of the European Union 6 To strengthen European integration 33 I will vote solely based on national election criteria 24 DK/NA 3 | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 KEY MESSAGES TO STRENGTHEN WITH VOTE IN EUROPEAN ELECTIONS Which of the following suggestions on the course of Europe would you like strengthened with your vote in the European parliament elections? UP TO 2 ANSWER CHOICES 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Tackling unemployment and social inequalities 60 Ending austerity rules for Member States 36 Common foreign policy 26 Closing national borders to address the refugee issue 25 Creation of a European Army 11 Tackling terrorism, even by limiting individual freedoms 10 Other 4 DK/NA 1 | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 PARTIES’ VOTE POTENTIAL IN THE EUROPEAN ELECTION For each of the following parties please tell me if you could vote on it in the European parliament elections or if you would never vote for it? NEW DEMOCRACY - Kyriakos Mitsotakis 40 56 4 INDEPENDENT GREEKS (ANEL) - Panos Kammenos 10 88 2 SYRIZA - Alexis Tsipras 34 63 3 DIMIOURGIA XANA - Thanos Tzimeros 9 85 6 MOVEMENT OF CHANGE - Fofi Gennimata 22 73 5 DEMOCRATIC RESPONSIBILITY - Alekos Papadopoulos / Thomas Papaliagas 9 80 11 TO POTAMI - Stavros Theodorakis 18 77 5 LAOS - Giorgos Karatzaferis 9 87 4 PLEFSI ELEFTHERIAS - Zoe Konstantopoulou 17 80 3 ANTARSYA 8 87 5 MERA25 - Yanis Varoufakis 17 81 2 STRENGTH OF HELLENISM - Dimitris 8 84 8 ECOLOGISTS GREENS 16 78 6 Kammenos / Takis Baltakos EPAM - Dimitris Kazakis 8 82 10 GOLDEN DAWN - Nikos Michaloliakos 15 83 2 KKE - Dimitris Koutsoumbas 15 80 5 NEW RIGHT - Failos Kranidiotis 8 85 7 HELLENIC SOLUTION - Kyriakos Velopoulos 15 80 5 GREEK PIRATES PARTY 6 86 8 CENTRISTS' UNION - Vassilis Leventis 14 81 5 ELLINON SYNELEFSIS - Artemis Sorras 2 95 3 LAIKI ENOTITA - Panagiotis Lafazanis 13 83 4 SOCIETY - Emmanuel Voloudakis 1 86 13 | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019 EUROPEAN ELECTIONS VOTING INTENTION If European parliament elections were to be held next Sunday, which party would you most likely vote for? 30 24.3 24 20.2 18 18,3 12 11.2 8.1 5.5 5.7 6 5.0 2.9 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.3 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.4 0 SYRIZA Golden Dawn ΚΚΕ ANEL Hellenic Plefsi LAOS Dimiourgia Blank/Invalid Would not vote Other Wouldn’t Blank/ Undecided Solution Eleftherias Xana parties Invalid vote | kaparesearch.com NATIONWIDE POLL February 2019.