Derby and Nottingham Transforming Cities Fund Tranche 2 Strategic Outline Business Case November 2019

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Derby and Nottingham
Transforming Cities Fund Tranche 2

Strategic Outline Business Case

November 2019

Derby and Nottingham
Transforming Cities Fund Tranche 2

Strategic Outline Business Case

November 2019

Produced by:
With support from:

Contact:

Chris Carter
Head of Transport Strategy Nottingham City Council
4th Floor, Loxley House
Station Street Nottingham NG2 3NG

0115 876 3940
[email protected]

Derby & Nottingham - TCF Tranche 2 – Strategic Outline Business Case

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NT

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MD, GT,
CC, VB 28/11/19
LM, IS
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Derby & Nottingham - TCF Tranche 2 – Strategic Outline Business Case

Table of Contents

1. Introduction.............................................................................................................................. 1

Bid overview...................................................................................................................................................1 Structure of the remainder of this document...................................................................................2

2. Strategic Case: The Local Context................................................................................... 3

Key statistics and background ................................................................................................................5 Primary local transport challenges and opportunities...................................................................7 Key opportunities for transforming our cities................................................................................ 33

3. Strategic Case: Developing the programme............................................................35

The option generation, shortlisting and selection process....................................................... 35 Step 1: Option Generation..................................................................................................................... 41 Step 2: Initial sift of options.................................................................................................................. 42 Step 3: Secondary sift of options........................................................................................................ 42 Step 4: Prioritisation and Grouping.................................................................................................... 43 Step 5: Definition of Low/Med/High investment packages...................................................... 55

4. Strategic Case: Finalised TCF packages......................................................................57

Theme A: City Centre Connectivity and Integration.................................................................... 57 Theme B: Strategic Derby – Nottingham – EMA links................................................................. 73 Theme C: Nottingham Urban Growth Corridors........................................................................... 86 Theme D: Derby Urban Growth Corridors.....................................................................................102 Forecast programme-level impacts..................................................................................................116 TCF Tranche 1 and FMZ proposals additionality.........................................................................117

5. Economic Case: Value for Money............................................................................... 124

Overview.....................................................................................................................................................124 Methodology and key assumptions ................................................................................................125 ‘Low’ investment package: Economic appraisal ..........................................................................130 ‘Medium’ package: Economic appraisal.........................................................................................133 ‘High’ package: Economic appraisal ................................................................................................136 Value for Money assessment..............................................................................................................139 Key risks and uncertainties..................................................................................................................141 Distributional analysis of forecast benefits..............................................................................142

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Derby & Nottingham - TCF Tranche 2 – Strategic Outline Business Case

Environmental impacts..........................................................................................................................147

6. Financial Case: Package and scheme costs............................................................ 149

Low investment package costs..........................................................................................................149 Medium investment package costs .................................................................................................152 High investment package costs.........................................................................................................154 Future sustainability and Section 151 Officer sign-off..............................................................157

7. Commercial Case: Procurement and deliverability............................................. 159

Procurement strategy............................................................................................................................159 Rationale for selecting preferred procurement routes.............................................................160 Treatment of costs and risks...............................................................................................................170

8. Management Case: Governance, risks, monitoring and evaluation............ 171

Track record in delivery.........................................................................................................................171 Governance ...............................................................................................................................................173 Detailed programme plan....................................................................................................................179 Resources and reporting......................................................................................................................181 Risk management strategy..................................................................................................................183 Stakeholder management ...................................................................................................................196 Communications and dissemination strategy..............................................................................197 Monitoring and evaluation..................................................................................................................198

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Derby & Nottingham - TCF Tranche 2 – Strategic Outline Business Case

List of Tables

Table 2-1: AM Peak (8:30am arrival) vs Inter-Peak (3:00pm arrival) journey time comparison across travel modes (mins)................................................................................................................................ 14

Table 2-2: Key bus corridor weekday delays linked to identified pinch points............................. 15 Table 2-3: DfT’s TCF objectives in relation to local opportunities...................................................... 34 Table 3-1: Stakeholder engagement activities completed during TCF programme development........................................................................................................................................................... 37

Table 3-2: The Derby and Nottingham area Transforming Cities investment packages........... 45 Table 4-1: Low/Med/High breakdown of Theme A scheme components...................................... 58 Table 4-2: Low/Med/High breakdown of Theme B scheme components....................................... 75 Table 4-3: Low/Med/High breakdown of Theme C scheme components...................................... 87 Table 4-4: Low/Med/High breakdown of Theme D scheme components....................................103 Table 4-5: Key differences between TCF Tranche 1 and Tranche 2 investments in public transport and cycling.........................................................................................................................................118

Table 5-1: Summary of economic appraisal - Estimation of benefits............................................128 Table 5-2: Summary of investment costs and Operational & Maintenance costs (Net Present Values, 2010 prices)............................................................................................................................................129

Table 5-3: Low package - Economic appraisal summary results.....................................................131 Table 5-4: Summary of Present Value of Benefits (Low package, £m, 2010 prices)..................131 Table 5-5: Medium package - Economic appraisal summary results.............................................134 Table 5-6: Summary of Present Value of Benefits (Medium Package)..........................................134 Table 5-7: High package - Economic appraisal summary results....................................................137 Table 5-8: Summary of Present Value of Benefits (High Package) .................................................138 Table 5-9: Economic Appraisal results (2010 Prices) .............................................................................139 Table 6-1: Low investment package cost breakdown (2019 prices)................................................150 Table 6-2: Summary of TCF Tranche 2 Low investment package funding....................................151 Table 6-3: Medium investment package cost breakdown (2019 prices) .......................................153 Table 6-4: Summary of TCF Tranche 2 Medium investment package funding ...........................154 Table 6-5: High investment package cost breakdown (2019 prices)...............................................156 Table 6-6: Summary of TCF Tranche 2 High package programme funding.................................157 Table 7-1: Procurement strategy...................................................................................................................164 Table 8-1: Key milestones linked to successful delivery.......................................................................180 Table 8-2: Derby-Nottingham TCF programme team members and their role..........................181 Table 8-3: Risk register......................................................................................................................................185 Table 8-4: Wider stakeholders and their involvement in the TCF programme ...........................196 Table 8-5: Communications matrix ..............................................................................................................198

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Derby & Nottingham - TCF Tranche 2 – Strategic Outline Business Case

Table 8-6: Proposed Performance Indicators for monitoring............................................................202 Table 8-7: Monitoring Framework................................................................................................................206 Table 8-8: Programme coordination, monitoring and evaluation costs........................................210

List of Figures

Figure 2-1: Key Derby & Nottingham area investment corridors and growth hubs......................4 Figure 2-2: Strategic housing and employment growth...........................................................................9 Figure 2-3: Traffic congestion pressures in the Derby and Nottingham area................................ 12 Figure 2-4: Nottingham 2020 NO2 air quality model forecasts........................................................... 20 Figure 2-5: Derby 2020 NO2 air quality model forecasts....................................................................... 21 Figure 2-6: Castleward is one of Derby’s major urban renaissance areas....................................... 23 Figure 2-7: Priority Derby City Centre Regeneration Framework projects...................................... 23 Figure 2-8: Nottingham Broadmarsh area regeneration proposals .................................................. 24 Figure 2-9: Nottingham’s Southside regeneration totals £2bn of investment.............................. 25 Figure 2-10: Derby major housing and commercial growth locations............................................. 27 Figure 2-11: Nottingham HCA Action Plan sites and TCF relationships .......................................... 28 Figure 2-12: Index of Multiple Deprivation for Nottingham (L) and Derby (R)............................. 29 Figure 3-1: Derby and Nottingham Area TCF programme development process....................... 35 Figure 3-2: Map of Derby and Nottingham area TCF Tranche 2 investments............................... 49 Figure 3-3: Map of TCF Tranche 1 investments and Future Mobility Zone proposals ............... 50 Figure 3-4: Derby and Nottingham Area Transforming Cities Fund Programme rationale...... 51 Figure 3-5: Belfast’s Glider achieved 30% passenger trip growth in its first year......................... 53 Figure 3-6: NET Tram network extension proposals................................................................................ 54 Figure 4-1: Map of Theme A – City Centre Connectivity and Integration proposals.................. 60 Figure 4-2: New Nottingham College City Hub (under construction now) .................................... 61 Figure 4-3: The Eastside (left) and Unity Square (right) regeneration projects............................. 63 Figure 4-4: Nottingham’s Broadmarsh area regeneration proposals ............................................... 64 Figure 4-5: Refurbished Carrington Street buildings returned to office use.................................. 65 Figure 4-6: Nottingham city centre growth areas .................................................................................... 66 Figure 4-7: Proposed extent of Derby rail station – city centre improvements ............................ 68 Figure 4-8: Derby rail station proposals – current (left) and future (right) ..................................... 68 Figure 4-9: Derby Rail and Bus station link cycling + public realm proposals .............................. 69 Figure 4-10: Current layout of Derby Bus Station..................................................................................... 69

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Derby & Nottingham - TCF Tranche 2 – Strategic Outline Business Case

Figure 4-11: Derby city centre public realm – old (orange) meets new (grey).............................. 70 Figure 4-12: Public realm proposals for The Spot in Derby.................................................................. 71 Figure 4-13: Derby City Centre public realm + cycle route improvements.................................... 72 Figure 4-14: Theme B proposals to enhance links between Derby, Nottingham and EMA..... 74 Figure 4-15: Current (left) and proposed (right) width and quality of Derby Canal and Riverside Paths, once upgraded...................................................................................................................... 77

Figure 4-16: Outline route for the Derby – Nottingham cycle expressway .................................... 78 Figure 4-17: The 7% increase in journeys using Spectrum fares in 2018-19.................................. 82 Figure 4-18: Current RTI/traffic signal priority system architecture................................................... 83 Figure 4-19: Proposed RTI/traffic signal priority system architecture............................................... 83 Figure 4-20: Proposed Nottingham area charge point Locations...................................................... 85 Figure 4-21: Theme C proposals for Nottingham’s Urban Growth Corridors................................ 90 Figure 4-22: Nottingham Southern Growth Corridor Plan.................................................................... 92 Figure 4-23: Potential B5010 inbound bus capacity improvements.................................................. 94 Figure 4-24: Leapool Park & Ride bus link proposals............................................................................. 95 Figure 4-25: LCWIP priority cycling proposals included in our TCF2 programme....................... 99 Figure 4-26: Current and proposed River Trent ped/cycle crossing options...............................100 Figure 4-27: Theme D – Derby Urban Growth Corridor proposals..................................................105 Figure 4-28: Outline design for Boulton Moor (A6) Park & Ride site .............................................107 Figure 4-29: Outline route plan for Derby’s new eRT service.............................................................111 Figure 4-30: Derby – Mickleover segregated cycle route (eastern section) .................................113 Figure 4-31 Derby – Mickleover segregated cycle route (western section) .................................113 Figure 4-32: Chequers Road scheme designs..........................................................................................114 Figure 4-33: Raynesway / Spondon LCWIP route options ..................................................................115 Figure 4-34: Proposed FMZ data platform functionality......................................................................120 Figure 4-35: Proposed ‘Open access MaaS’ system delivered through FMZ...............................121 Figure 4-36: Summarising the Proposed Future Mobility Zones Package....................................122 Figure 5-1: Low package sources of estimated benefits by scheme type.....................................132 Figure 5-2: Medium package sources of estimated benefits by scheme type............................135 Figure 5-3: High package sources of estimated benefit by scheme type.....................................138 Figure 8-1: TCF programme governance...................................................................................................176 Figure 8-2: LEP governance structure..........................................................................................................178

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Derby & Nottingham - TCF Tranche 2 – Strategic Outline Business Case

Appendices

Appendix A Option Assessment Report Appendix B Economic Appraisal Summary Appendix C AMCB TEE PA Tables Appendix D Strategic Model reports Appendix E Appendix F
VURT Appraisal outputs Active Mode appraisals
Appendix G Financial Case spreadsheet Appendix H Other spreadsheet models Appendix I Appendix J
Logic Maps Letters of support confirming match-funding contributions
Appendix K Programme Plan

vii

Derby & Nottingham - TCF Tranche 2 – Strategic Outline Business Case

1. Introduction

1.1

This document sets out the Strategic Outline Business Case (SOBC) for Derby and Nottingham City Councils’ joint bid into tranche 2 of the Department for Transport’s (DfT) Transforming Cities Fund (TCF). It builds purposefully on our fully-funded Tranche 1 transport schemes to establish inter-related packages of regionally significant investments. Together, these will improve opportunities for local residents, employees and visitors to travel more sustainably into, and around, the local area. This complements our Future Mobility Zone proposals submitted to DfT in September 2019.

Bid overview

1.2

This is a programme-level SOBC submission, for which we have prepared three costed packages in line with DfT’s co-development guidance:

•••

Low: £117.91m total programme value (£100.46m DfT Capital investment) Medium: £152.95m total programme value (£131.16m DfT Capital) High: £186.35m total programme value (£160.78m DfT Capital)

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    King Salmon Derby on the Nushagak Benefiting the Bristol Bay Native Corporation Education Foundation Date: June 24-25, 2018 PRIZE DONATION INFORMATION The Bristol Bay Native Corporation Education Foundation is hosting the first King Salmon Derby on the Nushagak River near Dillingham, AK on Sunday and Monday, June 24 and 25, 2018. This is the signature fundraising event to benefit the BBNC Education Foundation, whose mission is to provide higher education and vocational training scholarships to Bristol Bay Native Corporation shareholders and support for cultural heritage activities in the Bristol Bay Region. Each year, BBNC Education Foundation supports more than 250 students to pursue their educational and vocational training goals. Graduates now serve as lawyers, doctors, teachers, scientists and in a wide range of careers that serve the Bristol Bay region. In addition, the Foundation provides grant funds to Bristol Bay communities to preserve traditional cultural practices through activities like cultural camps and school-based programs. The Neqa Derby will feature for two days of healthy competition on the Nushagak during King Salmon season. The Derby will award three cash prizes, an individual trophy, and a lodge trophy. We anticipate that the primary participants in the inaugural event will be guests in the high-end lodges that dot the Nushagak River and Bristol Bay area. The derby will also be open to the public. The BBNC Education Foundation is a 501(c)3 nonprofit organization (IRS tax I.D. number 92- 0141709) and all donations are tax exempt. Prize donations are sought for a raffle to be held during the two-day event, and as special prizes for participating anglers.
  • Nottingham University

    Nottingham University

    Case Study Nottingham High-quality infrastructure is an essential component of a modern and successful university. This is not University only achieved by providing an attractive environment in which to work and study. It is also important to maintain leading-edge technology. AEOS fits perfectly in this picture. AEOS can operate different buildings from one central point. The University of Nottingham is renowned for its research innovations. Its system to control access and to secure the facilities no longer reflected its commitment to excellence in the advancement of technology. Over the years, the University acquired several systems for access control, each with their own card technology. Additionally, it had various platforms for its daily operations. Not only was maintaining all these different systems and technologies time-consuming, expensive and complex. It also limited a possible system expansion. Most of all, there was no clear overview of who was authorized to enter the premises and who was not. Time for change! Security Management Facts at a glance 5 Faculties 4 main sites in the UK 2 campuses in Malaysia and China 40,000 students and employees Time for change Rule Engine The University decided that it needed to do The University also concluded to have the extra two things: switch to one single access control AEOS open architecture AEOS functionality Rule Engine. This functionality platform, upgrade the card system and revert to uses predefined rules and data fields that using one single card in the whole University. allows the use of both represent a certain authorization (access level). The reason to go for Nedap’s security system existing and new The Rule Engine checks the rules and data fields AEOS was that it provides all the functionalities against one’s profile and if they match, that person that the University was looking for.