State Elections 2018 Election 2018 Governors
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STATE ELECTIONS 2018 ELECTION 2018 GOVERNORS INTRODUCTION In addition to the presidential elections and for the renewal of the Federal Congress, midterm elections were held in 30 entities of the country, in which 8 Governors, 27 Local Congresses, 1,596 City Councils, 16 City Halls and the Head of Government of Mexico City will be renewed. 8 1 8 Governors in: Head of • Chiapas Governors Government, • Guanajuato Mexico City • Jalisco 387 Local 585 Local • Morelos Deputies Deputies • Puebla (Proportional • Representation) (Relative Mayority) Tabasco • Veracruz • Yucatán 16 1596 Town Halls Municipalities Mexico City This electoral process will be characterized by the introduction of the reelection. Depending on the State, local deputies may be re-elected for four or two consecutive terms, which is equivalent to twelve and six years in office, respectively. The members of the City Councils: Municipal Presidents and Trustees, may be re-elected for an additional period only. Re-election for up to four periods: 4 consecutive • Baja California • Nayarit Re-election for up to two periods: 2 consecutive periods • Baja California Sur • Nuevo León • Campeche • Puebla • Aguascalientes • Chiapas • Querétaro • Chihuahua • Coahuila • San Luis Potosí • Colima • Ciudad de México • Sinaloa • Hidalgo • Durango • Sonora • Oaxaca • Guanajuato • Tabasco • Quintana Roo • Guerrero • Tlaxcala • Tamaulipas • Jalisco • Veracruz • Zacatecas • Estado de México • Yucatán • Michoacán • Morelos ELECTION 2018 GOVERNORS POLITICAL MAP (LOCAL GOVERNMENT REDISTRIBUTION) Political Map 2018 Current Political Map According to the election results, the distribution of local governments will be as follows: States in which will be transition in the party Currently, the States’ Governments are distributed among the Party 2015 2018 Dif. occupying the Governorship: following political forces: 14 12 -2 CDMX CHIAPAS 8 8 = 14 1 1 MORELOS 0 5 +5 JALISCO 4 5 +1 4 8 4 TABASCO 4 1 -3 VERACRUZ 0 1 +1 YUCATÁN The party continues in the government in the States of: PUEBLA (PAN) and GUANAJUATO (PAN) ELECTION 2018 GOVERNORS ELECTED CANDIDATES (PROJECTED) PREP: 70% 46.94% CDMX Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo PREP: 76.12% 44.68% Cuitláhuac García Jiménez VERACRUZ Enrique Alfaro Ramírez PREP: 58.60% 39.03% PREP: 90.14% JALISCO 61.78% Adán A. López Hernández TABASCO PREP: 57.46% 31.65% Sinhué Rodríguez Vallejo PREP: 88.82% 49.68% YUCATÁN Mauricio Vila Dosal GUANAJUATO PREP: 77.66% 38.04% 52.53% PUEBLA PREP: 91.40% MORELOS 35.76% Rutilio Escandón Cadenas Cuauhtémoc Blanco Bravo CHIAPAS PREP: 70.81% Martha Erika Alonso ELECTION 2018 LOCAL CONGRESSES LOCAL CONGRESSES (ONLY RELATIVE MAJORITY) Party 2018 Final Election Composition 19 19 5 5 1 4 1 3 Divided 1 1 Preliminary data show a favorable trend for the The coalition formed by PAN, PRD • The PRI, PVEM, PANAL Coalition coalition of Morena, PES and PT, who would and MC would be the first only manages to be the first become the first political force: political force in: force in the Yucatan; • Campeche is divided between • Baja California Sur • Oaxaca • Aguascalientes MORENA and PRI; • • Chiapas • Puebla • Chihuahua PAN manages to be the first • Ciudad de México • San Luis Potosí • Guanajuato force in Nuevo León. • Colima • Sinaloa • Jalisco • Durango • Sonora • Querétaro • Estado de México • Tabasco • Guerrero • Tlaxcala • Hidalgo • Veracruz • Michoacán • Zacatecas • Morelos ELECTION 2018 AGUASCALIENTES’ LOCAL CONGRESS AGUASCALIENTES Total ELECTED POSITIONS Voter turnout Abstentions Null votes Participation 27 Local Deputies (18 Relative Majority, 454,946 327,092 17,238 9 Proportional Representation) 782,038 58.17% 41.82% 3.79% CURRENT INTEGRATION PROJECTED INTEGRATION CONSIDERATIONS LXIII LEGISLATURE LXIV LEGISLATURE Party Deputies RELATIVE MAJORITY The coalition Por México al Frente achieved a MORENA 1 majority in Congress by obtaining 14 relative majority deputies, followed by Juntos Haremos PRD 1 Historia with 4. PAN 13 14 PRI 6 Coalitions Por México al Frente and Juntos Haremos Historia were the only ones to win a PVEM 2 4 seat in the local Congress through relative MC 0 majority’s method. PT 0 The PRI went from being the second political PES 1 force in Congress to obtaining zero PANAL 3 representation through relative majority. Same situation with PVEM and PANAL. HUMANISTA 0 INDEPENDIENTE 0 Total: 27 Deputies September 15, 2018 NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The Local Deputies take Office. distribution of proportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votes obtained by each party. ELECTION 2018 BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR’S LOCAL CONGRESS Total Voter turnout Abstentions Null Votes BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR Participation 261,443 254703 11,693 ELECTED POSITIONS 516,146 56.59% 43.41% 4.49% 21 Local Deputies (16 Relative Majority, 5 Porportional Representation) PROJECTED INTEGRATION Municipilaties 5 XV LEGISLATURE BCS CONSIDERATIONS RELATIVE MAJORITY CURRENT INTEGRATION The results show an alternation in the state XIV LEGISLATURE BCS Congress, since MORENA-PES achieved 14 seats of relative majority, which were Party Deputies 14 previously owned by the PAN. PAN 13 PRI 3 The relationship of the local executive currently represented by the PAN with the legislative PT 1 power can become complicated. PRS 2 1 MORENA 1 INDEPENDENT 1 August 31st, 2018 Total: 21 Deputies 1 Local Deputies take Office NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The distribution of proportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votes obtained by each party. ELECTION 2018 MUNICIPALITIES BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR CONSIDERATIONS Municipality Current Next Elected Mayor* Administration Administration The results favor the coalition formed by MORENA and PES, by obtaining the victory in 3 out of 5 municipalities, including La Paz Rubén Muñoz Álvarez La Paz and Los Cabos. The PAN who currently governs the 5 municipalities of the Jesús Armida Castro entity, but in this elections will probably only win in Loreto. Los Cabos Guzmán * Projected winner. 25 -29 September 2018 Mayors take Office ELECTION 2018 CAMPECHE’S LOCAL CONGRESS AMPECHE C Total Voter turnout Abstentions Null Votes Participation ELECTED POSITIONS 68.93 % 31.03 % 4.16 % Local Deputies 642 056 35 (21 Relative Majority, 14 348,129 156, 693 14, 191 Proportional Representation) Municipalities 11 ONSIDERATIONS PROJECTED INTEGRATION C CURRENT INTEGRATION LXIII LEGISLATURE During the registration to the electoral process, the Alliance “Juntos Haremos Historia” was not RELATIVE MAJORITY LXII LEGISLATURE consolidated; so MORENA competed by itself. Party Deputies PRI remains as a majority. However, MORENA PRI 15 10 will become the second force, by obtaining 8 PAN 10 seats under the principle of Relative Majority. PVEM 3 The head of the local Government is Rafael PANAL 2 8 Alejandro Moreno Cárdenas from PRI; In this PRD 1 context, the new reconfiguration of the Congress will modify the relation between both MORENA 1 powers. INDEPENDENT 3 3 Total: 35 Deputies NOTE: Only the election of relative majority deputies is contemplated. The distribution of proportional representation deputies will be determined from the percentages of votes September 30th, 2018 obtained by each party. Local Deputies take Office. ELECTION 2018 MUNICIPALITIES CAMPECHE CONSIDERATIONS Municipality Current Next Elected Mayor* Administration Administration The electoral geography of the Coalition “Todos por Eliseo Fernández México”, conformed by PRI, PVEM and PANAL, shows the Campeche Montufar continuity of the electoral preference towards the alliance in 5 of the 11 municipalities. Pablo Gutiérrez Carmen Lazarus However, the Coalition “Por México al Frente” (PAN-MC) is placed as the second force with 3 municipalities and MORENA appears on the state with the victory in 2 municipalities. There is political alternation in Campeche, the capital, where the candidate of the coalition “Por México al Frente” won. October the 1st, 2018 Mayors take Office * Projected winner. ELECTION 2018 GOVERNOR CHIAPAS ELECTED POSITIONS CURRENT ADMINISTRATION Total Voter turnout Abstentions Null Votes 1 Governor Participation Manuel Velasco 40 Local Deputies 2,352,993 1,106,783 92,238 Coello (24 Relative Majority, 3,459,776 16 Proportional Representation) 68.01% 31.99% 5.62% Governor 2012-2018 124 Municipalities RUTILIO ESCANDÓN CADENAS (GOVERNOR*) Election 2018 Candidate Party / Coalition Percentage BIOGRAPHY: PhD in Law from the UNAM. He served as Chief Justice of the Superior Court of Justice and the Council of the Judiciary of the State of Rutilio Escandón Cadenas Juntos Haremos 39.93% Chiapas (2013-2018). Historia Roberto A. Albores MAIN PROPOSALS 20.41% Gleason Podemos Mover a Chiapas • Fight against corruption. • Austere government • Promotion of employment. Fernando Castellanos Cal • Promotion to the development of agriculture PVEM – Mover 21.63% y Mayor a Chiapas – Chiapas Unido December 8 2018 * Projected winner. Governor takes office. ELECTION 2018 CHIAPA’S LOCAL CONGRESS CHIAPAS CURRENT INTEGRATION PROJECTED INTEGRATION LXVI LEGISLATURE LXVII LEGISLATURE CONSIDERATIONS Party Deputies RELATIVE MAJORITY The Local Congress of Chiapas went from PVEM 13 having a PVEM majority to one led by the PRI 10 Coalition Juntos Haremos Historia". Chiapas Unido 4 15 The local parties were significantly affected in Mover a Chiapas 3 these elections. PAN 2 The Coalition Juntos Haremos Historia will not PRD 2 9 only have a majority in the Local Congress but will MORENA 2 also