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Long-Range EV Charging Infrastructure Plan for Greater San Diego

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Long-Range EV Charging Infrastructure Plan for Greater San Diego Long-Range EV Charging Infrastructure Plan for Greater San Diego October 2010 Version 4.0 Long-Range EV Charging Infrastructure Plan for Greater San Diego 2010 by Electric Transportation Engineering Corporation. All rights reserved. No part of the contents of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the express written permission of Electric Transportation Engineering Corporation. This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Energy under Award Number DE-EE0002194 Microsoft® and MapPoint® are registered trademarks of Microsoft Corporation. Disclaimers This document establishes the foundation for the initial deployment of electric vehicle supply equipment (EVSE) by Electric Transportation Engineering Corporation (doing business as ECOtality North America). Neither ECOtality NA, nor any of its affiliates: (a) represents, guarantees, or warrants to any third party, either expressly or by implication: (i) the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of; (ii) the intellectual or other property rights of any person or party in; or (iii) the merchantability, safety, or fitness for purpose of; any information, product, or process disclosed, described, or recommended in this document, (b) assumes any liability of any kind arising in any way out of the use by a third party of any information, product, or process disclosed, described, or recommended in this document, or any liability arising out of reliance by a third party upon any information, statements, or recommendations contained in this document. Should third parties use or rely on any information, product, or process disclosed, described, or recommended in this document, they do so entirely at their own risk. This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States Government. Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately-owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any agency thereof. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the United States Government or any agency thereof. 10/29/2010 ii Long-Range EV Charging Infrastructure Plan for Greater San Diego Forward Looking Statements ECOtality, Inc. (NASDAQ:ECTY), headquartered in San Francisco, CA, is a leader in clean electric transportation and storage technologies. Remarks contained in this document may contain forward- looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain, as they are based on current expectations and assumptions concerning future events or future performance of the Company. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are only predictions and speak only of the date hereof. In evaluating such statements, prospective users of this information should review carefully various risks and uncertainties identified in this document and the matters stated in the Company’s SEC filings. These risks and uncertainties could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements. Electric Transportation Engineering Corporation dba ECOtality North America 430 S. 2nd Avenue Phoenix, Arizona 85003-2418 (602) 716-9576 www.ecotalityna.com 10/29/2010 iii Long-Range EV Charging Infrastructure Plan for Greater San Diego Table of Contents Preface .......................................................................................................... 1 1 Introduction ............................................................................................. 2 2 Driver Behavior – National Household Travel Survey ............................... 5 2.1 Daily Trips All Vehicles ................................................................................................ 5 2.2 Daily Trips by Car ........................................................................................................ 7 2.3 Vehicle Information .................................................................................................... 9 2.4 Other Factors ............................................................................................................ 10 2.5 California Household Travel Survey ......................................................................... 12 2.6 Summary .................................................................................................................. 13 3 EV Sales Projections in the United States ............................................... 14 3.1 EV Types ................................................................................................................... 14 3.2 EV Batteries .............................................................................................................. 14 3.3 EV Sales Analysis ...................................................................................................... 16 3.3.1 BEV and PHEV ................................................................................................ 16 3.3.2 Consumers ..................................................................................................... 17 3.3.3 Automotive Manufacturer Plans ................................................................... 19 3.4 EV Sales Projections ................................................................................................. 20 3.5 EVs as Part of the Overall Vehicle Mix ..................................................................... 22 3.6 Fleet Vehicles ........................................................................................................... 23 4 EVSE Sales Projections in the United States ............................................ 25 4.1 Level 2 Charging ....................................................................................................... 27 4.1.1 Residential ..................................................................................................... 27 4.1.2 Fleet ............................................................................................................... 29 4.1.3 Commercial Publicly Available EVSE.............................................................. 29 4.1.4 Public EVSE .................................................................................................... 30 4.1.5 Employer ........................................................................................................ 30 4.1.6 EVSE Requirements........................................................................................ 31 4.2 EVSE Projection Methods ......................................................................................... 31 4.2.1 Geographic Coverage .................................................................................... 31 4.2.2 Destination Planning ..................................................................................... 32 4.2.3 Refueling Stations .......................................................................................... 32 4.2.4 Rich Infrastructure ......................................................................................... 32 10/29/2010 iv Long-Range EV Charging Infrastructure Plan for Greater San Diego 4.2.5 National EVSE Sales Projections .................................................................... 33 5 EV and EVSE Penetrations in Greater San Diego ..................................... 35 5.1 Long-Range Plan Boundaries .................................................................................... 35 5.2 Demographics........................................................................................................... 36 5.2.1 Population ..................................................................................................... 37 5.2.2 Education ....................................................................................................... 39 5.2.3 Vehicles .......................................................................................................... 40 5.2.4 Traffic Patterns .............................................................................................. 42 5.2.5 Employment Centers ..................................................................................... 43 5.3 EV Sales Projections ................................................................................................. 46 5.4 EVSE Sales Projection ............................................................................................... 48 6 DC Fast Charging .................................................................................... 52 6.1 Design Characteristics .............................................................................................. 52 6.2 Customer Usage ....................................................................................................... 52 6.3 Local Area Impact ....................................................................................................
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