Ethnic Violence on Kenya's Periphery: Informal Institutions and Local Resilience in Conflict-Affected Communities
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University of Denver Digital Commons @ DU Electronic Theses and Dissertations Graduate Studies 1-1-2015 Ethnic Violence on Kenya's Periphery: Informal Institutions and Local Resilience in Conflict-Affected Communities Fletcher D. Cox University of Denver Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.du.edu/etd Part of the Peace and Conflict Studies Commons, and the Political Science Commons Recommended Citation Cox, Fletcher D., "Ethnic Violence on Kenya's Periphery: Informal Institutions and Local Resilience in Conflict-Affected Communities" (2015). Electronic Theses and Dissertations. 1019. https://digitalcommons.du.edu/etd/1019 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate Studies at Digital Commons @ DU. It has been accepted for inclusion in Electronic Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ DU. For more information, please contact [email protected],[email protected]. ETHNIC VIOLENCE ON KENYA’S PERIPHERY: INFORMAL INSTITUTIONS AND LOCAL RESILIENCE IN CONFLICT-AFFECTED COMMUNITIES __________ A Dissertation Presented to The Faculty of the Josef Korbel School of International Studies University of Denver __________ In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy __________ by Fletcher D. Cox August 2015 Advisor: Dr. Timothy D. Sisk ©Copyright by Fletcher D. Cox 2015 All Rights Reserved Author: Fletcher D. Cox Title: ETHNIC VIOLENCE ON KENYA’S PERIPHERY: INFORMAL INSTITUTIONS AND LOCAL RESILIENCE IN CONFLICT-AFFECTED COMMUNITIES Advisor: Dr. Timothy D. Sisk Degree Date: August 2015 ABSTRACT Deadly, inter-ethnic group conflict remains a threat to international security in a world where the majority of armed violence occurs not only within states but in the most ungoverned areas within states. Conflicts that occur between groups living in largely ungoverned areas often become deeply protracted and are difficult to resolve when the state is weak and harsh environmental conditions place human security increasingly under threat. However, even under these conditions, why do some local conflicts between ethnic groups escalate, whereas others do not? To analyze this puzzle, the dissertation employs comparative methods to investigate the conditions under which violence erupts or stops and armed actors choose to preserve peace. The project draws upon qualitative data derived from semi-structured interviews, focus group dialogues, and participant observation of local peace processes during field research conducted in six conflict- affected counties in Northern Kenya. Comparative analysis of fifteen conflict episodes with variable outcomes reveals the conditions under which coalitions of civic associations, including local peace committees, faith-based organizations, and councils of elders, inter alia, enhance informal institutional arrangements that contain escalation. Violence is less likely to escalate in communities where cohesive coalitions provide platforms for threat- monitoring, informal pact making, and enforcement of traditional codes of restitution. ii However, key scope conditions affect whether or not informal organizational structures are capable of containing escalation. In particular, symbolic acts of violence and the use of indiscriminant force by police and military actors commonly undermine local efforts to contain conflict. The dissertation contributes to the literatures on civil society and peacebuilding, demonstrating the importance of comparing processes of escalation and non-escalation and accounting for interactive effects between modes of state and non- state response to local, inter-ethnic group conflict. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................. vi! LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ........................................................................................... vii! INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................. 1! Patterns and Consequences of Ethnic Violence ...................................................... 6! Escalation and Containment of Ethnic Violence .................................................... 8! Methods ................................................................................................................. 11! Overview ............................................................................................................... 15! CHAPTER ONE: ETHNIC CONFLICT IN FRAGILE CONTEXTS ............................. 17! Conceptual Orientation ......................................................................................... 18! Theoretical Foundations ........................................................................................ 21! Sub-state Fragility, Ethnic Conflict, and Coping ...................................... 22! Civic Organizations, Ethnic Conflict, and Coalitions ............................... 28! Informal Institutions, Ethnic Conflict, and Communal Adaptation .......... 40! Assessing State, Civic, and Communal Responses to Local Conflicts ................. 49! Coalitions and Conflict Trajectories ..................................................................... 53! Logic of Escalation in Fragile Settings ..................................................... 53! Cohesive Coalitions .................................................................................. 55! Scope Conditions ...................................................................................... 57! Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 58! CHAPTER TWO: ETHNIC IDENTITY AND INSECURITY IN MODERNIZING KENYA ............................................................................................................................. 60! State Formation and Sub-state Fragility ............................................................... 61! Colonial Strategies for Containing Local Violence .................................. 62! Opening a Closed District ......................................................................... 68! Ethnic Federalism and Local Violence ..................................................... 74! The Development Frontier ........................................................................ 79! National Reform and Local Conflict ..................................................................... 87! Localizing Ethnic Politics ......................................................................... 91 Kenya's Peace Committee System ............................................................ 92! Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 96! CHAPTER THREE: CONFLICT ESCALATION IN NORTHERN KENYA ............. 100! Samburu: Turkana – Samburu Range War (1996 – 1997) ................................. 101! Samburu: The Baragoi Massacre (August – November 2012) ........................... 108! The Maralal Clashes (October 2013) .................................................................. 114! Turkana: The Todonyang Massacre (2011 - 2013) ............................................. 117! Marsabit: The Moyale Clashes (2011 – 2013) .................................................... 123! Logics of Escalation ............................................................................................ 134! iv CHAPTER FOUR: LIMITED ESCALATION IN NORTHERN KENYA ................... 138! Samburu: Nyiro Mountain Corridor: Turkana – Samburu (2012 – 2014) .......... 139! Marsabit: Sarimo: Turkana – Gabra (2010 – 2014) ............................................ 154! West Pokot: Turkwel Gorge and the Motorcycle Murders (July 2014) ............. 159! Turkana: Oil and Ethnic Riots (2012 – 2014) ..................................................... 170! Isiolo: Post-election Peace (2013 – 2014) .......................................................... 178! Coalitions and Constraint .................................................................................... 182! CHAPTER FIVE: RECURRING ESCALATION IN NORTHERN KENYA .............. 186! The Turbi Massacre (2005) ................................................................................. 187! West Pokot: Turkana – Pokot Range War (2013 – 2014) .................................. 196! The Isiolo Triangle (2009 – 2012) ...................................................................... 203! Mandera: Garre – Murule (2005 – 2008) ............................................................ 214! Mandera: Garre – Degodia Clashes (2013 – 2014) ............................................ 226! Coalitions, Fragmentation, and Conflict Recurrence .......................................... 237! CHAPTER SIX: CONTAINING VIOLENCE IN CONFLICT-AFFECTED COMMUNITIES ............................................................................................................ 241! State Responses across Local Contexts .............................................................. 243! State Action in Periphery Conflicts ........................................................ 243! State Action in Developmental Conflicts ............................................... 247! State Action in Border Conflicts ............................................................. 251! Cohesive Coalitions: Monitoring, Threat Response, and Brokering .................. 258! Inter-group