An Applied SWOT Model for Analyzing Role-Taking of Converted Villages to Towns in Urban Network Behzad ENTEZARI1, Mostafa TALESHI2, Mahdi MUSAKAZEMI3 1 Ph.D
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Special Issue INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES AND February 2016 CULTURAL STUDIES ISSN 2356-5926 An Applied SWOT Model for Analyzing Role-Taking of Converted Villages to Towns in Urban Network Behzad ENTEZARI1, Mostafa TALESHI2, Mahdi MUSAKAZEMI3 1 Ph.D. Student in Geography and Rural Planning, PNU. Tehran (Responsible Author) 1 Associated Prof. of Geography, PNU, Tehran 1 Associated Prof. of Geography, PNU, Tehran (The case of 12 villages in East Azerbaijan/Iran – 2001-2011) Abstract One of the most important features of urbanization in IRAN, like other third world countries, has been converting rural points to new city centers. These effects impact on the number of cities and urban networks of the different regions. So it is necessary to provide new development plans for these new rurban settlements. However, as the usual, after converting them to cities, especially in macro regional plans, they are placed in the same group as service points for their rural jurisdictions. As a result, there is a need to introduce some methods and models for separating these small settlements to be able to offer different strategies for their development and role- taking in the region’s urban network. For this purpose, using SWOT analysis, a research has been done in 12 converted former villages to city centers during 2001-2011 in East Azerbaijan, Iran. The results show that with regard to structural-functional features of each settlement, it would be possible to place them in different groups and offer different strategies for each group. The model can be easily applied to small towns and rural centers almost in all and especially in the third world countries. Keywords: Converted villages to city centers, urban networks, SWOT analysis, East Azerbaijan province in Iran. 1 Ph.D. Student in Geography and Rural Planning, PNU. Tehran (Responsible Author) 2 Associated Prof. of Geography, PNU, Tehran 3 Associated Prof. of Geography, PNU, Tehran http://www.ijhcs.com/index.php/ijhcs/index Page 1953 Special Issue INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES AND February 2016 CULTURAL STUDIES ISSN 2356-5926 Literature During the last 50 years, one of the most important effects of acceleration of urbanization on spatial structure of the population in Iran has been increasing the number of cities through changing rural points to urban centers (ZiaTavana,2007: 1). Despite substantial differences in the forms and dynamics of urbanization in different parts of the country, the share of urban population is increasing annually due to changing villages to towns, although increasing of cities’ population themselves has a role in this process. Converting villages to towns is realized by legal rights and approves in parliament and with creating political and administrative institutions in these newly created towns which results in structural and functional changes in them (Rahnamayi and ShahHoseyni,2003:29) Locating in the center of commercial as well as socio-economical exchanges parallel with increasing number of population can change a village to a city status (Rahmani and Parishan,2009:102). Therefore regardless of those settlements which have been originally cities, annually there is an increasing number of villages converting to towns after a transitional period and legal approving (Goli,2004:3). One of the most important problems in studying converted villages to towns (CVTs) specially in macro regional plans is that they are categorized in one group say “cities with less than 25000 population with a service role for their hinterlands”; while these settlements have different features, potentials and obstacles which make a need for establishing certain models and methods for separating them and adopting different policies and strategies for their development and role accepting in a large scale urban network of the province and even the whole country. Study area and methodology In the present study SWOT analysis is used to analyze the structural - functional features of CVTs in reorganizing East Azerbaijan province’s urban networks. Using SWOT analysis is due to this fact that any settlement has after all some internal as well as external positive possibilities and negative obstacles which can be very different from other settlements and SWOT analysis is one of the simplest methods for scoring small scale settlements which can be done by any local authorities specially in developing countries. SWOT is a qualitative prospective, as it describes the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats and it is used for the identification of the proper strategies for the regional development (Buta, 2007:241). On this basis analyzing strategies can be defined and choosing the best positive strategy for each settlement can be selected for future actions and then reorganizing of urban networks would be possible in macro level for dealing with transforming regions. Of course it will be a two sided approach: by analyzing present perspective it is possible to give special roles to settlements and by defining roles it will be possible to design the future perspective. SWOT analysis is created based on two series of positive and negative variables and in this case the http://www.ijhcs.com/index.php/ijhcs/index Page 1954 Special Issue INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES AND February 2016 CULTURAL STUDIES ISSN 2356-5926 study surveys structural-functional strengths and opportunities as well as weaknesses and threats of CVTs. East Azerbaijan Province is one of the 31 provinces of Iran. With a population more than 3.7 million people in 2011, it is located in Iranian Azerbaijan, bordering with Armenia, Republic of Azerbaijan and three Turkish internal provinces (map 1). Its Capital city is Tabriz with almost 2 million inhabitants. During (2001-2011) period 12 villages with a population altogether more than 35000 have converted to cities in this province. Map 1: East Azerbaijan Province in IRAN Using Cochran formula 96 questioners have been applied as the table 1 below: Table 1: The number of samples for each converted village to town (CVT) Settlement’s Population Share Number of Name (2011) (of total Samples Population) Tark 2406 1.14 7 Khodaju 1584 4.5 3 Yamchi 9832 27.94 27 Aghkand 1733 4.93 5 Khumarlu 1659 4.73 5 Duzduzan 3815 10.84 10 Siyahrud 1553 4.41 4 Kharvana 1373 3.90 4 Kuzekonan 3274 9.31 9 AbishAhmad 2318 6.59 6 Bunab-i- 4371 12.42 12 http://www.ijhcs.com/index.php/ijhcs/index Page 1955 Special Issue INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES AND February 2016 CULTURAL STUDIES ISSN 2356-5926 Marand Nazarkahrizi 1266 3.6 3 Total 35184 100 96 Source: Authors based on Official Statics of 2011 Selecting indicators of VCTs for analyzing urban networks is not a simple engagement and can be done carefully only after passing years and experiencing some empirical cycles. Moreover, any indicator can have different weight in different regions which make need to calibration which is out of scope of this research. In this early study, 100 different indicators are intended to test the model and the proposed method. These indicators have been within the ten groups as follows: Table 2: components and indicators SWOT analysis in this study N Typ Dime N Indicators o e nsions o 1 Settlement’s Population Population Growth Rate (2006- 2 2011) 3 Tourism Potentials Specialization in a Special Settle 4 Product ment’ Approximate Number of s 5 Investors Inter Potent 1 Existence of Suitable nal ial for 6 Structures Devel Settlement’s Capacities for opme 7 Growth and Development nt Existence of Different Banks 8 Branches 9 Number of Industrial Plants 1 Amount of Exports from the 0 Settlement 1 Age of Municipality 1 Coope Ability of Independent Action 1 ration among Authorities and 2 Inter Level Managers 2 nal in the 1 Cooperation between People Settle 3 and Public Offices ment 1 Cooperation between People 4 and Municipality 1 Cooperation between City http://www.ijhcs.com/index.php/ijhcs/index Page 1956 Special Issue INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES AND February 2016 CULTURAL STUDIES ISSN 2356-5926 5 Council Members and the Mayor 1 The Settlement’s Authorities 6 Believe in Development 1 Telephone and Communication Infrast 7 Status ructur 1 Gas Status as a Base for Inter es for 8 Industries 3 nal Devel 1 Electricity Status for opme 9 Stablishing New Industries nt 2 Water Status for Industries 0 2 Transportation Status 1 Differ 2 Tourism Status ent 2 Inter Sector 2 4 Education Status nal s 3 Status 2 Health and Sanitary Status 4 2 Commerce Status 5 2 Existence of Multi-Blur 6 2 General Status of People 7 Culture 2 General Status of People 8 Income 2 Obeying Environmental Laws Institu 9 tional 3 Obey of Civil Laws and Obsta 0 Regulations Inter 5 cles in 3 nal General Level of Education Urban 1 Netw 3 Public Confidence to Tabriz ork 2 (Capital of The Province) 3 Public Confidence to Tehran 3 (Capital of the Country) 3 Existence of Different Political 4 Tendencies 3 Public Information Status 5 (Specially about Opportunities) 3 Private Sector’s Actors http://www.ijhcs.com/index.php/ijhcs/index Page 1957 Special Issue INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HUMANITIES AND February 2016 CULTURAL STUDIES ISSN 2356-5926 6 Response to Opportunities 3 Religious Fanaticism 7 3 Women Participation in the 8 Society 3 Linguistic and Ethnical 9 Prejudices 4 Low Number of Inhabitants as 0 an Obstacle for Development Low Level of Education and 4 Specialization as Obstacles for 1 Development 4 Rate of Migration of Educated 2 and Specialized Persons 4 Lack of Public Confidence to 3 development 4 Number of Villages and Towns 4 in