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Conduct of Monetary Policy, Report of the Federal Reserve Board, July 24
CONDUCT OF MONETARY POLICY HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON BANKING AND FINANCIAL SERVICES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED FIFTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION JULY 24, 1997 Printed for the use of the Committee on Banking and Financial Services Serial No. 105-25 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 42-634 CC WASHINGTON : 1997 For sale by the U.S. Government Printing Office Superintendent of Documents, Congressional Sales Office, Washington, DC 20402 ISBN 0-16-055923-5 Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis HOUSE COMMITTEE ON BANKING AND FINANCIAL SERVICES JAMES A. LEACH, Iowa, Chairman BILL MCCOLLUM, Florida, Vice Chairman MARGE ROUKEMA, New Jersey HENRY B. GONZALEZ, Texas DOUG BEREUTER, Nebraska JOHN J. LAFALCE, New York RICHARD H. BAKER, Louisiana BRUCE F. VENTO, Minnesota RICK LAZIO, New York CHARLES E. SCHUMER, New York SPENCER BACHUS, Alabama BARNEY FRANK, Massachusetts MICHAEL N. CASTLE, Delaware PAUL E. KANJORSKI, Pennsylvania PETER T. KING, New York JOSEPH P. KENNEDY II, Massachusetts TOM CAMPBELL, California FLOYD H. FLAKE, New York EDWARD R. ROYCE, California MAXINE WATERS, California FRANK D. LUCAS, Oklahoma CAROLYN B. MALONEY, New York JACK METCALF, Washington LUIS V. GUTIERREZ, Illinois ROBERT W. NEY, Ohio LUCILLE ROYBAL-ALLARD, California ROBERT L. EHRLICH JR., Maryland THOMAS M. BARRETT, Wisconsin BOB BARR, Georgia NYDIA M. VELAZQUEZ, New York JON D. FOX, Pennsylvania MELVIN L. WATT, North Carolina SUE W. KELLY, New York MAURICE D. HINCHEY, New York RON PAUL, Texas GARY L. ACKERMAN, New York DAVE WELDON, Florida KEN BENTSEN, Texas JIM RYUN, Kansas JESSE L. JACKSON JR., Illinois MERRILL COOK, Utah CYNTHIA A. -
Mark W Olson: the Federal Open Market Committee and the Formation of Monetary Policy (Central Bank Articles and Speeches)
Mark W Olson: The Federal Open Market Committee and the formation of monetary policy Remarks by Mr Mark W Olson, Member of the Board of Governors of the US Federal Reserve System, at the 26th Conference of the American Council on Gift Annuities, Orlando, Florida, 5 May 2004. * * * Thank you very much for inviting me here this evening. When my longtime friend Lance Jacobson extended this invitation more than a year ago, I readily accepted. Several months later, the 2004 calendar of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings was released, and I discovered that this meeting would occur on the day following the Committee's May meeting. Because FOMC members observe a blackout on discussions of the economy for the week before and the week of the FOMC meetings, I prefer not to talk about current economic conditions. However, I can provide you with some insight into the way the FOMC functions and the impact of monetary policy on the U.S. and global economies. My former Federal Reserve colleague Laurence Meyer provided the blueprint for this presentation in a 1998 speech entitled “Come with Me to the FOMC.”1 That title, in turn, was borrowed from remarks given back in 1951. While my remarks are not identical in either style or substance, I have borrowed heavily from Larry's presentation, and you have the assurance that they have a long history. First, a comment or two on who we are. Nineteen policymakers participate in FOMC meetings, although at most only twelve vote at any one time. At times vacancies on the Board mean that the FOMC has fewer than twelve voting members. -
SED Program A4.Indd
THE SED 2007 ANNUAL MEETING IS ORGANIZED BY CERGE-EI together with THE CZECH NATIONAL BANK and THE CZECH ECONOMIC SOCIETY THE SED GRATEFULLY ACKNOWLEDGES THE SPONSORSHIP OF CSOB CEZ METROSTAV The Conference is held under the auspices of Mr. Pavel Bem, Mayor of Prague. PROGRAM CHAIRS Ricardo Lagos (New York University) Noah Williams (Princeton University) SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE George Alessandria (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia) Michelle Alexopoulos (University of Toronto) Manuel Amador (Stanford University) George-Marios Angeletos (MIT) Cristina Arellano (University of Minnesota) Francisco Buera (Northwestern University) Ariel Burstein (UCLA) Ricardo de O. Cavalcanti (EPGE) James Costain (Bank of Spain) Carlos Eugenio da Costa (EPGE) Chris Edmond (New York University) Jan Eeckhout (University of Pennsylvania) Liran Einav (Stanford University) Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde (University of Pennsylvania) Mikhail Golosov (MIT) Gita Gopinath (Harvard University) Nezih Guner (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid) Christian Hellwig (UCLA) Johannes Horner (Northwestern University) Nir Jaimovich (Stanford University) Dirk Krueger (University of Pennsylvania) Rasmus Lentz (University of Wisconsin-Madison) Igor Livshits (University of Western Ontario) Maurizio Mazzocco (UCLA) Guido Menzio (University of Pennsylvania) Eva Nagypal (Northwestern University) Tomoyuki Nakajima (Kyoto University) Monika Piazzesi (University of Chicago) Luigi Pistaferri (Stanford University) Ronny Razin (LSE) Stephen Redding (LSE) Diego Restuccia (University of Toronto) Yuliy -
Appointing Central Bankers
CY241/Chang-FM 0521823331 June 2, 2003 13:1 Char Count= 0 APPOINTING CENTRAL BANKERS The Politics of Monetary Policy in the United States and the European Monetary Union KELLY H. CHANG v CY241/Chang-FM 0521823331 June 2, 2003 13:1 Char Count= 0 PUBLISHED BY THE PRESS SYNDICATE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE The Pitt Building, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, United Kingdom CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge cb2 2ru, uk 40 West 20th Street, New York, ny 10011-4211, usa 477 Williamstown Road, Port Melbourne, vic 3207, Australia Ruiz de Alarcon´ 13, 28014 Madrid, Spain Dock House, The Waterfront, Cape Town 8001, South Africa http://www.cambridge.org C Kelly H. Chang 2003 This book is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provisions of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. First published 2003 Printed in the United States of America Typeface Sabon 10/13 pt. System LATEX 2ε [tb] A catalog record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication data available isbn 0 521 82333 1 hardback vi CY241/Chang-FM 0521823331 June 2, 2003 13:1 Char Count= 0 Contents List of Figures page x List of Tables xi Acknowledgments xiii 1 Introduction 1 1.1 The Book’s Main Questions 3 1.2 Question 1: Do Politicians Influence Monetary Policy through Appointments? 4 1.3 Question 2: Who Influences Appointments? 7 1.4 Question 3: What Explains the Structure of Federal Reserve -
The Buttonwood Gathering New York, October 25 - 26, 2010 the Graduate Center/City University of New York
The Buttonwood Gathering New York, October 25 - 26, 2010 The Graduate Center/City University of New York About the event At last year’s Buttonwood Gathering, National Economic Council Director Larry Summers called on banks to accept the responsibility of greater regulation as a service to their country. Have they taken his words to heart? As the news continues to tell of a weak and jobless recovery, are banks and other financial institutions living up to their responsibilities? Once again in 2010, The Buttonwood Gathering will draw together leading policymakers, banking executives and regulators to discuss restoring trust in the financial system and evaluate our place on the road to recovery. Chair person John Micklethwait, Editor-in-Chief, The Economist The Bagehot lecture Mervyn King, Governor, Bank of England Confirmed speakers Mark Almeida, President, Moody’s Analytics Clifford Asness, Managing & Founding Principal, AQR Capital Management Zanny Minton Beddoes, Economics Editor, The Economist Matthew Bishop, American Business Editor, New York Bureau Chief, The Economist Joshua Bolten, Visiting Professor, Princeton University Joyce Chang, Managing Director and Global Head of Emerging Markets Strategy and Credit Research, JPMorgan James Chanos, Founder and Managing Partner, Kynikos Associates Ed Clark, President and Chief Executive Officer, TD Bank Financial Group Philip Coggan, Capital Markets Editor and Buttonwood Columnist, The Economist Sean Dobson, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Amherst Securities Group Former Senator Pete -
Programa Lacea-Lames
INDEX Welcome to Rio......................................................................................................................3 Synthetic Program ..................................................................................................................5 Sponsors - LACEA.................................................................................................................6 Sponsors - LAMES.................................................................................................................7 Chairs......................................................................................................................................8 LACEA Program Committee .................................................................................................9 LAMES Scientific Committee..............................................................................................11 Local Committee ..................................................................................................................12 General Information .............................................................................................................13 COMPLETE PROGRAM ....................................................................................................16 THURSDAY 20 November 2008…………………………………………………….. 16 FRIDAY 21 November 2008 ………………………………………………………… 43 SATURDAY 22 November 2008 ……………………………………………………. 65 SUNDAY 23 November 2008……………………………………………………....... 93 Index of Presenters .............................................................................................................106 -
Economic Policy in Uncertain Times
Conference Proceedings th ANNUAL HYMAN P. MINSKY CONFERENCE ON FINANCIAL MARKETS Recession and Recovery: 12Economic Policy in Uncertain Times April 25, 2002 Roosevelt Hotel, New York City A conference of The Levy Economics Institute of Bard College LEVY INSTITUTE Contents Foreword Program Speakers Wynne Godley 1 Anthony M. Santomero 10 Gary H. Stern 17 Sessions 1. The State of the U.S. Economy: A View from Wall Street 21 2. Macroeconomic Issues in the Recovery 26 Participants 31 The proceedings consist of edited transcripts of the speakers’ remarks and summaries of session participants’ presentations. Foreword For those of you not familiar with his work, Hyman P. Minsky’s professional career spanned more than four decades. After receiving a Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University, he began his professional career at the University of California, Berkeley, then traveled to Washington University in St. Louis. After retiring from academia, he became a Distinguished Scholar at the Levy Economics Institute, where he remained until his death in 1996. Minsky studied and documented the conditions that produced a sequence of booms, govern- ment intervention to prevent debt contraction, and new booms entailing the progressive buildup of new debt that eventually left the economy financially fragile. This conference marks the 12th annual event at which we honor both Hy and his work by examining both the state of the financial sector and its relation to the real economy. The theme of this year’s conference is very Minskian in that it seeks to examine the causes of the U.S. recession that officially started in March 2001, while assessing the many cheerful yet cautionary forecasts of the good times having once again begun. -
Understanding the Greenspan Standard
Commentary: Understanding the Greenspan Standard John B. Taylor No matter what metric you use, the Greenspan era gets exceedingly high marks for economic performance. The era always will be remembered for its price stability—with declining and now low, stable inflation—and for its economic stability—with only two historically short, mild recessions and three long expansions. An indi- cation of how different things are in the Greenspan era is that the current expansion is already one of the longest in American history. Alan Blinder and Ricardo Reis have provided us with a comprehen- sive evaluation of the Greenspan era, shedding light on key policy issues and controversies. I particularly liked their behind-the-scenes review of the move toward greater transparency. And I agree with their overall evaluation of Alan Greenspan that “when the score is toted up, we think he has legitimate claim to be the greatest central banker who ever lived.” Evaluating policy with a monetary policy rule The core of the Blinder-Reis paper is an evaluation of monetary policy through the lens of a policy rule, in particular the Taylor rule. Blinder and Reis find that this rule fits the Greenspan era very well. 107 108 John B. Taylor They then use the estimated rule for a number of purposes. They use it to identify key episodes, defined as the deviations from the rule. They also use the rule to back out Alan Greenspan’s implicit esti- mate of the natural rate of unemployment and to assess the correct response to a change in productivity growth. -
Policy, Monetary
iess_Batch7N-Z 7/6/07 12:18 PM Page 245 Policy, Monetary changed the location of conflicts. Terrorism may be con- Engler, Robert. 1961. The Politics of Oil: A Study of Private sidered a form of guerrilla warfare, in contrast to a set- Power and Democratic Directions. New York: Macmillan. piece war. In response to this shift in theaters and tactics, Library of Congress Business References Service. 2005–2006. Western governments alleged that certain Arab Muslim History of the Oil and Gas Industry. Business and Economics states were “sponsors” of these acts of terror or gave safe Research Advisor (BERA) 5/6. http://www.loc.gov/rr/business/BERA/issue5/history.html. haven to terrorists. Western states directed military and economic sanctions against these states, which included Mir-Babayev, Mir Yusif. Azerbaijan’s Oil History: A Chronology Leading Up to the Soviet Era. 2002. Azerbaijan International Iran, Libya, Sudan, Somalia, Afghanistan, and Iraq. It is 10 (2). not without significance that all these states either have Razavi, Hossein, and Fereidun Fesharaki. 1991. Fundamentals of petroleum reserves or stand athwart transportation routes Petroleum Trading. New York: Praeger. to world petroleum markets. Somalia, for example, con- Sampson, Anthony. 1975. The Seven Sisters: The Great Oil trols the approach to the Red Sea and the Suez Canal. Companies and the World They Shaped. New York: Viking. Since 1980 five major wars have been fought in the Snow, Keith Harman. 2007. The New Old “Humanitarian” region: the Soviet-Afghanistan War (1979–1989), the Warfare in Africa, Part II. Somali Times, February 7. Iraq-Iran War (1980–1988), the Persian Gulf War U.S. -
The Macroeconomist As Scientist and Engineer
The Macroeconomist as Scientist and Engineer N. Gregory Mankiw Harvard University May 2006 N. Gregory Mankiw is the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA. I am grateful to Steven Braun, James Hines, Donald Marron, David Romer, Andrei Shleifer, Timothy Taylor, Michael Waldman, and Noam Yuchtman for helpful comments. Economists like to strike the pose of a scientist. I know, because I often do it myself. When I teach undergraduates, I very consciously describe the field of economics as a science, so no student would start the course thinking he was embarking on some squishy academic endeavor. Our colleagues in the physics department across campus may find it amusing that we view them as close cousins, but we are quick to remind anyone who will listen that economists formulate theories with mathematical precision, collect huge data sets on individual and aggregate behavior, and exploit the most sophisticated statistical techniques to reach empirical judgments that are free of bias and ideology (or so we like to think). Having recently spent two years in Washington as an economic adviser at a time when the U.S. economy was struggling to pull out of a recession, I am reminded that the subfield of macroeconomics was born not as a science but more as a type of engineering. God put macroeconomists on earth not to propose and test elegant theories but to solve practical problems. The problems He gave us, moreover, were not modest in dimension. The problem that gave birth to our field—the Great Depression of the 1930s— was an economic downturn of unprecedented scale, including incomes so depressed and unemployment so widespread that it is no exaggeration to say that the viability of the capitalist system was called in question. -
Interview with Laurence H. Meyer Former Member, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Federal Reserve Board Oral History Project Interview with Laurence H. Meyer Former Member, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Date: October 6, 2010; October 18, 2010; and November 18, 2010 Location: Washington, D.C. Interviewers: Winthrop P. Hambley and David H. Small Federal Reserve Board Oral History Project In connection with the centennial anniversary of the Federal Reserve in 2013, the Board undertook an oral history project to collect personal recollections of a range of former Governors and senior staff members, including their background and education before working at the Board; important economic, monetary policy, and regulatory developments during their careers; and impressions of the institution’s culture. Following the interview, each participant was given the opportunity to edit and revise the transcript. In some cases, the Board staff also removed confidential FOMC and Board material in accordance with records retention and disposition schedules covering FOMC and Board records that were approved by the National Archives and Records Administration. Note that the views of the participants and interviewers are their own and are not in any way approved or endorsed by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Because the conversations are based on personal recollections, they may include misstatements and errors. ii Contents October 6, 2010 (First Day of Interview) .................................................................................... 1 Educational and Professional Background .................................................................................... -
Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA) and the Latin American Meeting of the Econometric Society (LAMES)
2017, 9 - 11 November Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA) and the Latin American Meeting of the Econometric Society (LAMES) Wednesday, November 8th 6:45 - 8:15 p.m. Welcome Cocktail This event is sponsored by Banco Ciudad Venue Banco Ciudad, Sarmiento 611, 6th floor, CABA Thursday, November 9th 07:30 - 09:00 Registrations 09:00 - 09:30 Opening Ceremony Venue Montserrat Thursday November 9th, 9:45 - 11:15 a.m. Invited Sessions 1 IS1-02 Quinquela Bridging Academic Research and Policy Making: Insights from Argentina and Brazil Sebastian Galiani, Ministerio de Economía y Hacienda, Argentina João Manoel Pinho de Mello, Ministério da Fazenda, Brazil Chair: Pablo Sanguinetti (CAF – Development Bank of Latin America) IS1-03 Mozart Urban Economics The Joy of Flying: Efficient Airport PPP contracts » Eduardo Engel (Universidad de Chile), Ronald Fischer (Universidad de Chile) and Alexander Galetovic (Universidad de los Andes) Urban Form and Driving: Evidence from US cities » Matthew Turner (Brown University) and Gilles Duranton (University of Pennsylvania) Chair: Gustavo Canavire Bacarreza (Universidad EAFIT) 1 IS1-04 Chopin Education This session is sponsored by Fundación Bunge & Born School Value Added and External Validity » Miguel Urquiola (Columbia University) Does Vietnam's Apparent Success in Student Performance Have Policy Implications for Other Developing Countries? A Comparative Analysis of Vietnam and Developing Countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America » Paul Glewwe (University of Minnesota)