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Upper Lea Valley Transport Study.Pdf 5.2.5 Bus ...................................................................................................... 29 CONTENTS 5.2.6 Freight ................................................................................................. 29 Executive Summary ........................................................................................ 9 5.2.7 National Rail ....................................................................................... 30 1 Introduction ......................................................................................... 11 5.2.8 Overground ......................................................................................... 31 1.1 Purpose of the document.................................................................... 11 5.2.9 Underground ....................................................................................... 31 1.2 Report Structure ................................................................................. 12 5.2.10 Public Transport Accessibility Levels .................................................. 32 2 Context for the transport study ........................................................... 13 6 Understanding future growth in the Upper Lee Valley ........................ 33 2.1 Vision and Objectives for the Upper Lee Valley Opportunity Area ...... 13 6.1 Population and Employment in the Upper Lee Valley ......................... 33 2.2 Policy context ..................................................................................... 13 6.2 Additional trips, mode share and OD patterns .................................... 37 2.3 Objectives of the Strategic Transport Study ....................................... 14 6.3 Conclusions ........................................................................................ 39 3 Strategic Transport Study Methodology Outline ................................ 16 7 Understanding the effect of future growth on the public transport system ................................................................................................. 40 3.1 High Level assessment ...................................................................... 16 7.1 Introduction ......................................................................................... 40 3.2 Modelling Approach ............................................................................ 16 7.2 Overview of model runs ...................................................................... 40 4 Models used, base year validation and enhancements ..................... 19 7.3 Results by sub-mode .......................................................................... 40 4.1 London Transportation Studies (LTS) ................................................. 19 7.3.1 London Underground .......................................................................... 40 4.2 Railplan............................................................................................... 20 7.3.2 National Rail ....................................................................................... 41 4.2.1 Network Checks ................................................................................. 20 7.3.3 Bus ...................................................................................................... 46 4.2.2 Assignment Validation ........................................................................ 21 7.4 Conclusions ........................................................................................ 50 4.2.3 London Underground .......................................................................... 21 8 Understanding the effect of future growth on the highway network .... 51 4.2.4 National Rail ....................................................................................... 22 8.1 Introduction ......................................................................................... 51 4.2.5 London Overground ............................................................................ 22 8.2 Borough wide travel statistics ............................................................. 52 4.2.6 Bus ..................................................................................................... 22 8.2.1 2008 – 2021 ........................................................................................ 52 4.2.7 Overall Assessment ............................................................................ 23 8.2.2 2008 – 2031 ........................................................................................ 53 4.3 NoLHAM ............................................................................................. 23 8.3 Flow and delay differences ................................................................. 54 5 Understanding the current situation ................................................... 26 8.3.1 2008 – 2021 ........................................................................................ 54 5.1 Geography .......................................................................................... 26 8.3.2 2008 – 2031 ........................................................................................ 57 5.2 Main connectivity and transport challenges ........................................ 26 8.4 Junction performance ......................................................................... 60 5.2.1 Overview ............................................................................................. 26 8.5 Conclusions ........................................................................................ 65 5.2.2 Cycling ................................................................................................ 27 9 Transport Interventions ....................................................................... 66 5.2.3 Walking ............................................................................................... 28 9.1 Overview ............................................................................................. 66 5.2.4 Highway .............................................................................................. 28 9.2 Public Transport networks .................................................................. 66 2 9.2.1 National Rail services on the West Anglia Mainline ............................ 66 11.4 Conclusions ........................................................................................ 93 9.2.2 Victoria Line frequency improvements ................................................ 66 12 Further tasks ....................................................................................... 94 9.2.3 Bus enhancements ............................................................................. 67 12.1 Introduction ......................................................................................... 94 9.3 Highway networks .............................................................................. 67 12.2 Potential impact of bus priority measures on the highway network ..... 94 9.4 Soft measures .................................................................................... 68 12.2.1 Background Bus Information ............................................................... 94 10 Understanding the impact of transport interventions on the future 12.2.2 Identification of main delay-points for buses ....................................... 94 year public transport system .............................................................. 71 12.2.3 Impacts of signal timing revisions at the twenty key junctions ............ 98 10.1 Introduction ......................................................................................... 71 12.2.4 Summary and conclusions .................................................................. 98 10.2 2021 ULV2 (Growth and additional PT and other mode shift 12.3 Potential impact of the implementation of Crossrail 2 on Victoria Line interventions) ...................................................................................... 71 crowding ............................................................................................. 99 10.2.1 London Underground .......................................................................... 71 12.4 Localised impact of the developments on the immediate highway 10.2.2 National Rail ....................................................................................... 72 and public transport network ............................................................. 100 10.2.3 Bus ..................................................................................................... 74 12.4.1 Ponders End ..................................................................................... 102 10.3 2031 ULV2 (Growth and additional PT and other mode shift 12.4.2 Upper Edmonton East ....................................................................... 102 interventions) ...................................................................................... 76 12.4.3 Highams Hill ...................................................................................... 102 10.3.1 London Underground .......................................................................... 76 12.4.4 Tottenham Hale East ........................................................................ 102 10.3.2 National Rail ....................................................................................... 76 12.5 Impact of a larger mode shift towards walking and cycling on the 10.3.3 Bus ....................................................................................................
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