Quantifier Elimination for Deduction in Econometrics
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES QUANTIFIER ELIMINATION FOR DEDUCTION IN ECONOMETRICS Casey B. Mulligan Working Paper 24601 http://www.nber.org/papers/w24601 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 May 2018 This work has benefitted from discussions with Clark Barrett, Nikolaj Bjorner, Russell Bradford, James Davenport, Matthew England, Lars Hansen, Leo de Moura, Zak Tonks, Alex Torgovitsky, comments from minicourse participants at Chicago, LSE, Tel-Aviv University, and Stanford, and the research assistance of Chanwool Kim. The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2018 by Casey B. Mulligan. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Quantifier Elimination for Deduction in Econometrics Casey B. Mulligan NBER Working Paper No. 24601 May 2018 JEL No. C01,C63,C65 ABSTRACT When combined with the logical notion of partially interpreted functions, many nonparametric results in econometrics and statistics can be understood as statements about semi-algebraic sets. Tarski’s quantifier elimination (QE) theorem therefore guarantees that a universal algorithm exists for deducing such results from their assumptions. This paper presents the general framework and then applies QE algorithms to Jensen’s inequality, omitted variable bias, partial identification of the classical measurement error model, point identification in discrete choice models, and comparative statics in the nonparametric Roy model.
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