North America Online: Access, Demographics & Usage February 2002
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Table of Contents 3 Methodology 7
The eMarketer Difference 8
The Benefits of eMarketer’s Aggregation Approach 9
“Benchmarking” and Future-Based Projections 9 I Introduction 11
A. Key Findings - Then and Now 13 II Internet Users 17
A. Worldwide Internet Users 20
B. Internet Users in the US 22
C. Who is Not Online and Why? 28 III Internet Households 35
A. Comparative Estimates: Online Households in the US 38
B. Households Online by Technology 40
Broadband Users 55
Satellite 60
Fixed Wireless 61 IV Internet Access Devices: PC, TV and Mobile Devices 63
A. PCs 66
B. TV 71
C. Mobile Phones & PDAs 73 V Online Demographics 77
A. Gender 82
B. Age 90
C. Income 96
D. Education 104
E. Race & Ethnic Origin 109
F.Region 117 VI Usage 119
A. Time Online 120
B. Location – Work, Home & School 127
C. Activities 136
eMarketer Master Grid for Consumer Online Buying 148
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VII Special Trends 149
A. Kids, Teens & College Students 150
B. Seniors Online 156
C. Black Americans 158
D. Hispanics 161
E. Broadband Users 164
F.Mobile Internet Users 168 VIII Canada Online 173
A. Internet Users 174
B. Internet Households 180
C. Households Online, by Technology 183
Cable 188
DSL 189
Fixed Wireless 190
Satellite 190
D. PC Penetration 192
E. Online Demographics 194
Kids & Teens Online 206
Seniors online 209
F.Usage 216
G. Mobile Internet Users and Usage 232
H. Summary of Findings 236 Index of Charts 237
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February 2002
Welcome to eMarketer
Dear Reader:
Ben Macklin Senior Analyst, eMarketer TM [email protected] The February 2002 North America Online Report is a comprehensive analysis of internet users in the United States and Canada. The report provides answers to four critical questions: eMarketer, inc. 821 Broadway How many North Americans are online now, and how many will be online in the future? New York, NY 10003 T: 212.677.6300 What devices and technologies are being used by internet users to get online? F: 212.777.1172 What are the demographic characteristics of those online? What are the most popular online activities of North American internet users?
eMarketer has drawn on the latest research from dozens of leading research firms, including Forrester Research, Jupiter Media Metrix, Nielsen//NetRatings, Ipsos Reid, International Data Corporation, Statistics Canada as well as The US Department of Commerce’s recently released report: A Nation Online: How Americans are Expanding Their Use of the Internet, February 2002. Combined with eMarketer’s latest projections and analysis, this report will provide readers with the necessary information to make informed decisions about the online population in North America. As a valuable accompaniment to this report, eMarketer also has available the The eGlobal ReportTM, January, 2002, which examines the demographic and usage patterns of internet users from a global perspective; The Europe Online ReportTM, November 2001, which examines the European internet sector; eCommerce B2C & Demographics ReportTM, September 2001 which provides a detailed analysis of the business-to-consumer eCommerce sector in the US and; Marketing Online To Kids & TeensTM May 2001, which provides a detailed analysis of kids and teens online in the US. The eMarketer eStat Database also contains thousands of additional statistics on virtually every aspect of the internet and e-business. If you have any questions or comments concerning eMarketer or any of the material in this report, please call, fax or send an e-mail.
Ben Macklin Senior Analyst
Written by Ben Macklin
Also contributing to this report: Reuse of information in this document, without prior authorization, Steven Butler, analyst is prohibited. If you would like to license this report for your Nevin Cohen, analyst organization, please contact David Iankelevich at Noah Elkin, analyst [email protected], or 212.763.6037. Yael Marmon, researcher Andrew Raff, researcher Tracy Tang, researcher Allison Smith, senior editor Dana Hill, production artist James Ku, data entry & production assistance
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North America Online
Methodology 7 The eMarketer Difference 8 The Benefits of eMarketer’s Aggregation Approach 9 “Benchmarking” and Future-Based Projections 9
I Introduction
II Internet Users
III Internet Households
IV Internet Access Devices: PC, TV and Mobile Devices
V Online Demographics
VI Usage119
VII Special Trends
VIII Canada Online
Index of Charts
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Methodology eMarketer’s approach to market research is founded on a philosophy of Introduction aggregating data from as many different sources as possible. Why? Because Internet Users there is no such thing as a perfect research study and no single research Internet Households
Internet Access Devices: source can have all the answers. Moreover, a careful evaluation and PC, TV and Mobile Devices weighting of multiple sources will inevitably yield a more accurate picture Online Demographics
Usage than any single source could possibly provide.
Special Targets
Canada Online Index of Charts The eMarketer Difference eMarketer does not conduct primary research. Neither a research firm nor a consultancy, eMarketer has no testing technique to defend, no research bias and no client contracts to protect. eMarketer prepares each market report using a four-step process of aggregating, filtering, organizing and analyzing data from leading research sources worldwide.
Aggregate
Analyze Filter
Organize
©2001 eMarketer, Inc. www.eMarketer.com
Using the internet and accessing a library of electronically-filed research reports and studies, the eMarketer research team first aggregates publicly available e-business data from hundreds of global research and consultancy firms. This comparative source information is then filtered and organized into tables, charts and graphs. Finally, eMarketer analysts provide concise and insightful analysis of the facts and figures along with their own estimates and projections. As a result, each set of findings reflects the collected wisdom of numerous research firms and industry analysts.
“I think eMarketer reports are extremely useful and set the highest standards for high quality, objective compilation of often wildly disparate sources of data. I rely on eMarketer’s research reports as a solid and trusted source.” — Professor Donna L. Hoffman, Co-Director, eLab, Vanderbilt University
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Methodology The Benefits of eMarketer’s Aggregation Introduction
Internet Users Approach Internet Households Objective: information is more objective than that provided by any single Internet Access Devices: PC, TV and Mobile Devices research source Online Demographics Comprehensive: gathered from the world’s leading research firms, Usage consultancies and news organizations Special Targets Authoritative: quoted in leading news publications, academic studies and Canada Online
Index of Charts government reports All in one place: easy to locate, evaluate and compare Readily accessible: so you can make quick, better-informed business decisions Above the hype: accurate projections that business people can use with confidence Time saving: there’s no faster way to find internet and e-business stats, online or off Money saving: more information, for less, than any other source in the world
“Benchmarking” and Future-Based Projections Until recently, anyone trying to determine which researcher was most accurate in predicting the future of any particular aspect of the internet did not have a definitive source with which to do this. For instance, over 10 firms predicted e-commerce revenues for the fourth quarter 1998 online holiday shopping season, and yet no single source could be identified after the fact as having the “correct” number. In the Spring of 1999, however, the US Commerce Department finally began measuring e-commerce B2C activity so business people and others could have a benchmark with which they could compare and evaluate projections. eMarketer has adapted its methodology to recognize that certain government and other respected, impartial sources are beginning to provide reliable numbers that can be consistently tracked over time. Most of these established sources, however, only measure past results; typically, they do not make future-based predictions.
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Methodology Today, eMarketer formulates its Essential E-Business Numbers by first Introduction identifying the most established, reputable source for a given sector being Internet Users measured and then adopting that organization’s figures as benchmarks for Internet Households
Internet Access Devices: the historical/current period. For instance, eMarketer’s US internet user PC, TV and Mobile Devices figures will be based on a combination of the most recent data from the US Online Demographics
Usage Census Bureau (August, 2000 survey) and the International
Special Targets Telecommunication Union (ITU). Using this data as the benchmark for Canada Online 2000, eMarketer will make projections for subsequent years based on the Index of Charts following factors: a comparative analysis of user growth rates compiled from other research firms additional benchmark data from internet rating firms, e.g., Nielsen//NetRatings and Jupiter Media Metrix, which use panels to measure internet user activity on a weekly and monthly basis an analysis of broader economic, cultural and technological trends in the US Similarly, US e-commerce revenues are being “benchmarked” using historical data from the US Department of Commerce, and broadband household and penetration rate forecasts are being built off baseline data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Through this benchmarking process, eMarketer will be holding itself – and our projections – accountable.
“When I need the latest trends and stats on e-business, I turn to eMarketer. eMarketer cuts through the hype and turns an overabundance of data into concise information that is sound and dependable.” — Mark Selleck, Business Unit Executive, DISU e-business Solutions, IBM
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Methodology I Introduction 11 A. Key Findings - Then and Now 13
II Internet Users
III Internet Households I IV Internet Access Devices: PC, TV and Mobile Devices V Online Demographics
VI Usage
VII Special Trends
VIII Canada Online
Index of Charts
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Methodology The US online population continues to grow and transform. With over 100 Introduction million people regularly online, the US market is by the far the largest Internet Users single internet market in the world. With such widespread adoption, the ‘e’ Internet Households
Internet Access Devices: in e-business is now less relevant than it was in the past, and the former PC, TV and Mobile Devices niche audience of those online is now an audience that largely mirrors the Online Demographics
Usage wider population.
Special Targets A thorough understanding of the demographic and usage characteristics Canada Online of one’s customers can help marketers, retailers and business decision- Index of Charts makers better target their resources, while at the same time extracting greater revenues from existing customers. This report will provide business decision-makers with the knowledge to make informed decisions about the online population. Specifically this report will outline: Who is online now in North America and how will the mix of users shift in the future? Who is not online and why? What is the demographic profile of the North American internet user? How many individuals and households are online now and in the future? What are the important trends to look out for? Where are they accessing the internet from? Why are they accessing the internet? What devices are being used to access the internet? Who and how many are broadband internet users? What are the most popular activities conducted by internet users? What segments of the online population are growing strongly?
For related analysis and statistics, readers are advised of three other eMarketer reports: eGlobal Report, Jan, 2002; eCommerce B2C, September, 2001; and Marketing and Selling Online to Teens & Kids, May 2001.
eMarketer’s last North America Online report (formerly called eDemographics and Usage Patterns) highlighted the growing ubiquity of internet access across all segments of the North American population. The report indicated that with widespread adoption of the internet, demographic factors such as age, sex, income, education and ethnicity were beginning to become less significant in indicating who was online or not. This was in stark contrast to previous years when demographic characteristics were heavily skewed towards white, upper-income males with a penchant for technology.
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Methodology To quote the author of the 2000 report: Introduction
Internet Users “The internet, formerly the playground of techies Internet Households
Internet Access Devices: and the wealthy, is slowly becoming reflective of PC, TV and Mobile Devices the multi-cultural tapestry of America.” Online Demographics
Usage –eDemographics Report, eMarketer, September 2000
Special Targets Canada Online The trends highlighted in the 2000 report have progressed further. With Index of Charts over 50% of North American households online at the end of 2001, the characteristics of the online population mirror very closely the wider population as a whole. But before exploring this further, it is worthwhile re-visiting some of the key findings of the 2000 report in order to set a benchmark for this current analysis. This will enable us to identify, more clearly, changes in the make-up of the current online population and the trends that are now emerging. A. Key Findings - Then and Now
Key Findings: North American Online Demographics, September 2000 & January 2002 Then (September 2000) Now (January, 2002) US dominance declines US dominance continues to In 1999 the US was home to 45% decline of the world's internet users. At eMarketer estimates, that at the end the end of 2000, the US share will of 2001 North American internet shrink to 38%. users made up only 30% of the world's internet users, compared to Europe's 31%, Asia-Pacific's 33% and Latin America's 5%. Women are close to parity Women surpass the number of with men online men online Most research firms in 2000 Most research firms at the end of estimated that it would be at 2001 indicate that women have least one year before there was actually surpassed the number of parity between men and women men online in the US, reflecting the online in the US. make-up of the general population. Teens online create Teens and Kids are two of the opportunities and challenges fastest growing online segments Teens have the highest penetration They continue to pose challenges rate of any age group, but there for marketers and retailers trying to are challenges for marketers and reach them, but it is increasingly retailers trying to reach them. worth it. Teens and Kids are showing an increasing ability and willingness to spend online. Seniors flock online Seniors continue to flock online Although Seniors have been the in numbers outpacing any other age most reluctant group to enter the group, but they are still one of the world wide web, they have the least represented online. Those that highest projected growth rate do go online, however, are voracious among all age groups. users.
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Methodology
Introduction Income gap closes The income gap continues to As PC costs and internet access close Internet Users fees become less prohibitive; more Lower PC prices and an increasing Internet Households lower and middle-income availability of alternative internet Internet Access Devices: households are joining the net. access devices and technologies are PC, TV and Mobile Devices providing wider sections of the Online Demographics population with the means to get Usage online. Lower income groups are
Special Targets purchasing PCs at a faster rate than any other socio-economic group. Canada Online
Index of Charts Income, not race, creates digital A combination of factors explains divide the digital divide It is becoming clear that income, The reasons for the continuing not race, is carving the chasm existence of the digital divide are far between those online and those more complex than income alone. not online. The fact that Black and Hispanic households in the highest income brackets have a significantly lower internet penetration than Whites or Asian households in the same income bracket means that other factors are at play as well. The line between work and The line between work, home home is blurring and 'on-the-road' is becoming "Work" and "home" usage can be blurred defined by two different measure- The emergence of wireless devices, ments: the location of net access such as pocket PCs and web and the purpose of net usage. enabled cell phones, means that Because people work at home, and users are able to conduct many of play and shop at work, the distinc- their work and personal internet tion between work and home usage activities wherever and whenever is increasingly difficult to measure. they wish. High-speed access lures users High-speed users spend almost to stay online longer twice as long online and download a great deal more rich media Moreover, this is a rapidly growing online segment. E-Mail is still the killer app E-mail continues to be the killer app Despite high-speed internet becoming more widespread, e-mail and general web browsing continue to be the most popular internet activities. Internet users consume less Internet users continue to traditional media consume less traditional media but are often consuming more than one medium at a time. Source: eMarketer, 2002 035935 ©2002 eMarketer, Inc. www.eMarketer.com
The Department of Commerce, in February 2002, released a comprehensive report on the internet use of Americans. A Nation Online: How Americans Are Expanding Their Use of the Internet, September 2001 clearly illustrates the widespread adoption of the internet across all sections of the population.
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Methodology The following chart shows the significant increase in internet use, across all Introduction demographic segments, between August 2000 and September 2001. Internet Users Internet Households Internet Penetration in the US within Demographic Internet Access Devices: PC, TV and Mobile Devices Segment, August 2000 & September 2001 Online Demographics August 2000 September 2001 Usage Gender Special Targets
Canada Online Male 44.6% 53.9% Index of Charts Female 44.2% 53.8% Race/origin
White 50.3% 59.9% Black 29.3% 39.8% Asian American and Pacific Islander 49.4% 60.4% Hispanic 23.7% 31.6% Employment status Employed (2) 56.6% 65.4% Not employed (2) 28.9% 36.9% Family income
<$15,000 18.9% 25.0% $15,000-$24,999 25.5% 33.4% $25,000-$34,999 35.7% 44.1% $35,000-$49,000 46.5% 57.1% $50,000-$74,999 57.7% 67.3% $75,000 and above 70.1% 78.9% Educational attainment < High school (1) 8.8% 12.8% High school diploma/GED (1) 30.6% 39.8% Some college (1) 54.2% 62.4% Bachelors degree (1) 72.5% 80.8% Beyond Bachelors degree (1) 78.5% 83.7% Age group
Age 3-8 15.3% 27.9% Age 9-17 53.4% 68.6% Age 18-24 56.8% 65.0% Age 25-29 55.4% 63.9% Male 54.1% 61.8% Female 56.5% 66.0% Age 50+ 29.6% 37.1% Male 32.7% 39.9% Female 26.9% 34.6%
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Methodology Geographic location Introduction
Internet Users Rural 42.5% 52.9% Internet Households Urban 45.0% 54.2% Internet Access Devices: PC, TV and Mobile Devices Urban not central city 47.9% 57.4% Online Demographics Urban central city 40.6% 49.1% Usage Household type Special Targets
Canada Online Married Children w/children under 18 years 50.6% 62.0% Index of Charts Male householder w/children under 18 years 34.5% 45.8%
Female householder w/children under 18 32.9% 45.3%
Family Household without children under 18 41.4% 50.5%
Non-family household 42.7% 47.6% Note: (1) Age 25 and older; (2) Age 16 and Older Source: US Department of Commerce, February 2002 036350 ©2002 eMarketer, Inc. www.eMarketer.com
Additional Findings of the 2002 Report: