101 OPEN ROBOTICS M. Ryan Calo* Robotics Is Poised to Be the Next
Calo FinalBookProofIII 4/6/11 12:03 PM OPEN ROBOTICS M. Ryan Calo* I. INTRODUCTION Robotics is poised to be the next transformative technology. Robots are widely used in manufacturing, warfare, and disaster response,1 and the market for personal robotics is exploding.2 Worldwide sales of home robots—such as iRobot’s popular robotic vacuum cleaner3—are in the millions.4 In fact, Honda has predicted that by the year 2020, it will sell as many robots as it does cars.5 Microsoft founder Bill Gates believes that the robotics industry is in the same place today as the personal computer (“PC”) business was in the 1970s,6 a belief that is significant given that there are now well over one billion PCs—just three decades after their introduction into the market.7 Personal robots under development are sophisticated and versatile. The Japanese company Kawada Industries recently released the HRP4, an all-purpose humanoid robot that is, according to one reporter, “quite Copyright © 2011 by M. Ryan Calo. * Director, Consumer Privacy Project, Center for Internet and Society, Stanford Law School. Co-Chair, Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Committee, American Bar Association. I would like to thank Daniel Siciliano, Mary-Anne Williams, Stephen Wu, Richard Craswell, Noriko Kageki, and Leila Takayama for helping me think through these ideas. Thanks also to the librarians at Stanford Law School for their research guidance. 1. E.g., P.W. SINGER, WIRED FOR WAR: THE ROBOTICS REVOLUTION AND CONFLICT IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY 7–8 (2009) (noting that robots are being used in the contexts of manufacturing and warfare).
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