XXIVth CONFERENCE OF THE DANUBIAN COUNTRIES ON THE HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES OF WATER MANAGEMENT BLED, SLOVENIA 2 – 4 JUNE 2008 CONFERENCE ABSTRACTS Editors: Mitja Brilly and Mojca Šraj Ljubljana, 2008 XXIVth CONFERENCE OF THE DANUBIAN COUNTRIES ON THE HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES OF WATER MANAGEMENT 2–4 June 2008 Bled, Slovenia Organised by: Slovenian National Committee for the IHP UNESCO under the auspices of the President of the Republic of Slovenia, Dr. Danilo Türk. Jointly with: Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia International Hydrological Programme of UNESCO International Association of Hydrological Sciences World Meteorological Organisation Editors: Mitja Brilly Mojca Šraj Editorial board: H. P. Nachtnebel – Universität für Bodenkultur Wien, Austria H. Weber – Bavarian Water Management Administration, Germany H. Moser – Federal Institute of Hydrology, Germany M. Domokos – VITUKI, Hungary O. Bonacci – University of Split, Croatia J. Szolgay – Faculty of Civil Engineering, Bratislava, Slovak Republic E. Soukalová – Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Czech Republic M. Brilly – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia M. Šraj – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia Technical preparation: Mojca Vilfan and Maja Koprivšek – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia Published by: Slovenian National Committee for the IHP UNESCO Print: Marginalija d.o.o., Šempeter, Slovenia Number of copies: 300 CIP - Kataložni zapis o publikaciji Narodna in univerzitetna knjižnica, Ljubljana 556(4)(063) CONFERENCE of the Danubian Countries on the Hydrological Forecasting and Hydrological Bases of Water Management (24 ; 2008 ; Bled) Conference abstracts / XXIVth Conference of the Danubian Countries on the Hydrological Forecasting and Hydrological Bases of Water Management, Bled, Slovenia, 2-4 June 2008 ; editors Mitja Brilly and Mojca Šraj. - Ljubljana : Slovenian National Committee for the IHP Unesco, 2008 ISBN 978-961-91090-3-8 1. Brilly, Mitja 239059456 XXIVth CONFERENCE OF THE DANUBIAN COUNTRIES ON THE HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES OF WATER MANAGEMENT 2–4 June 2008 Bled, Slovenia INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE P. Hubert – Centre d`Informatique Géologique, France H. P. Nachtnebel – Universität für Bodenkultur Wien, Austria H. Weber – Bavarian Water Management Administration, Germany H. Moser – Federal Institute of Hydrology, Germany M. Domokos – VITUKI, Hungary P. Stanciu † – National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Romania O. Bonacci – University of Split, Croatia S. Prohaska – Institute Jaroslav Černi, Belgrade, Serbia J. Szolgay – Faculty of Civil Engineering, Bratislava, Slovak Republic K. Tzankov – Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Sofia, Bulgaria E. Soukalová – Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Czech Republic B. Matičič – National Committee on Irrigation and Drainage, Slovenia M. Mikoš – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia J. Rakovec – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia M. Brilly – University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia M. Veselič – ARAO, Slovenia INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZING COMMITTEE S. Demuth – Section on Hydrological Processes and Climate, IHP UNESCO P. Pypaert – UNESCO-BRESCE A. C. Tyagi – Hydrology and Water Resources Department, WMO M. Bricelj – Ministry of the Environment and Spatial Planning, Slovenia G. Hrastelj – Ministry of Higher Education, Science and Technology, Slovenia, UNESCO Commission S. Žlebir – Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia L. Globevnik – Institute for Waters of the Republic of Slovenia LOCAL ORGANIZING COMMITTEE M. Kobold – Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia S. Koren – Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia M. Žagar – Environmental Agency of the Republic of Slovenia M. Šraj – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia M. Vilfan – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia A. Horvat – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia S. Petan – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia S. Rusjan – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia A. Vidmar – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia A. Kryžanowski – University of Ljubljana, Slovenia J. Kogovšek – Karst Research Institute SRC SASA XXIVth CONFERENCE OF THE DANUBIAN COUNTRIES ON THE HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING AND HYDROLOGICAL BASES OF WATER MANAGEMENT 2–4 June 2008 Bled, Slovenia CONFERENCE TOPICS 1. Hydrological forecasting • Real-time informational forecasting systems • Models for rainfall-runoff processes • Other hydrological forecast models 2. Hydro-meteorological extremes, floods and droughts • Meteorological data and hydrological modeling • Long-term statistical methods • Examples of extreme flood and drought events 3. Global climate change and hydrological processes • Climate change impact on the hydrological cycle • Hydrological balance model • Ecological aspects of hydrological changes • Adaptation strategies in water management 4. Water management • Consequences of the EU Water Framework Directive and the EU flood directive • Water framework directive and integrated water quality processes • Exchange of hydrological products, methods and models • Legal and administrative challenges for integrated water management 5. Floods, morphological processes, erosion, sediment transport and sedimentation • Monitoring of watershed and river bed/reservoir erosion and sedimentation • Models of erosion and sediment transport • Flood directive and integrated flood management 6. Developments in hydrology • Prediction in ungauged basins PUB • Lessons learned from experimental river basins • Examples from FRIEND, HELP, European Research Basins (ERB) XXIVth CONFERENCE OF THE DANUBIAN COUNTRIES 2-4 June 2008, Bled, Slovenia TABLE OF CONTENTS i XXIVth CONFERENCE OF THE DANUBIAN COUNTRIES 2-4 June 2008, Bled, Slovenia FOREWORD Mitja Brilly ............................................................................................................................................XVII TOPIC 1: HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING 1 IMPLEMENTATION OF THE DISTRIBUTED RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL TOPKAPI-UCEWP INTO REAL-TIME FLOOD FORECASTING SYSTEM IN UKRAINIAN PART OF TISZA RIVER BASIN Boyko O., Boyko V., Zheleznyak M. ............................................................................................ 3 OPERATIVE HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTS FOR MAINTENANCE OF SUSTAINABLE FUNCTIONING OF CASCADES RESERVOIRS ON THE RIVERS OF UKRAINE Boyko Victoriya ............................................................................................................................. 4 INPUT PREPARATION FOR DISTRIBUTIVE HYDROLOGICAL MODEL DATABASE APPLICATION SOMDATA Lucie Březková, Martin Jonov, Dušan Žídek, Eva Soukalová, Jiří Horák..................................... 5 UPGRADING OF EXCHANGE AND PRESENTATION OF HYDROLOGICAL DATA AND INFORMATION ON SAVA RIVER BASIN Samir Ćatović Sasa Ćurčić ........................................................................................................... 6 MODELS OF RAPID RUNOFF GENERATION IN MOUNTAINOUS CATCHMENTS T. Fürst, M. Bíl, A.Vondrka, M. Šír, M. Tesař................................................................................ 7 ESTIMATION SNOW RESERVES IN THE UKRAINIAN CARPATHIANS Gryshchenko V., Aksyuk O., Shcherbak A., Tavrov Y.................................................................. 8 OPERATIONAL FLOOD FORECAST IN BAVARIA Christine Hangen-Brodersen, Alfons Vogelbacher, Franz-Klemens Holle ................................... 9 OPERATIONAL EVENT BASED FLOOD FORECASTING WITH EMPHASIZE ON THE ESTIMATION OF THE INITIAL STATE CONDITIONS Hubert Holzmann, Thilo Lehmann .............................................................................................. 10 ON THE REGIME OF EVAPORATION FOR THE BULGARIAN PART OF DANUBE RIVER Julia Ivancheva, Anna Tzenkova, Plamen Videnov.................................................................... 11 ONLINE UPDATING PROCEDURES FOR A REAL-TIME HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING SYSTEM Bianca Kahl, Hans-Peter Nachtnebel ......................................................................................... 12 USING NEURAL NETWORK MODELS TO FORECAST THE INFLOW OF DOROUDZAN DAM – IRAN Pouyan Keshtkaran, Ali Torabi Haghighi .................................................................................... 13 CALIBRATION TECHNIQUES USED FOR HBV HYDROLOGICAL MODEL IN SAVINJA CATCHMENT Mira Kobold, Kay Sušelj, Janez Polajnar, Nejc Pogačnik........................................................... 14 THE ASSESSMENT OF EVAPOTRANSPIRATION AND SOIL WATER CONTENT IN THE KYSUCA RIVER BASIN (SLOVAKIA) USING RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL Romana Košková, Soňa Němečková, Zuzana Sitková .............................................................. 15 DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY OF HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTS IN THE BAVARIAN DANUBE CATCHMENT Stefan Laurent, Uwe Ehret, Inke Meyer, Katja Moritz, Alfons Vogelbacher ............................... 16 iii XXIVth CONFERENCE OF THE DANUBIAN COUNTRIES 2-4 June 2008, Bled, Slovenia LOCAL WARNING SYSTEMS IN SLOVAKIA Danica Lešková, Daniela Kyselová, Peter Rončák, Michaela Hollá ........................................... 17 FORECASTING ANALYSIS OF RUNOFF FOR RESERVOIR REGULATION OF DAMS AND WEIRS IN TERMS OF HYDRO POWER PLANT OPERATION Mariana Maradjieva..................................................................................................................... 18 SNOW COVER MAPPING USING MODIS IMAGES AND ITS POTENTIAL IN HYDROLOGICAL MODELING Juraj Parajka, Günther Blöschl.................................................................................................... 19 THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE HBV MODEL ON THE SAVA