MAIN SETTLEMENTS Usually Resident Population The majority of the usually resident population of the Coromandel Peninsula The largest settlements in the Thames-Coromandel District are Cooks Beach, lives in one of the main settlements of the District. In 2006, this figure was Coromandel, Matarangi, Pauanui, Tairua, Thames, Whangamata and almost 74% – which is similar to previous census years. Whitianga. Each of the main settlements has different population and growth characteristics. It is important to take these characteristics into account when Between the 1996 and 2006 census nights, the overall usually resident planning and delivering Council services and facilities – both now and in the population of the District increased, despite the fact that there was a decrease future. in the usually resident population of some of the main settlements. The graph below illustrates the changes in the usually resident populations of the main In order to protect the privacy of census participants, Statistics New Zealand settlements over the past ten years. The population figure shown on the does not release data when the size of the subject population for a particular graph is from the 2006 Census. category is too small. Hence, data is unavailable in some categories for the smaller settlements in the District (Cooks Beach, Matarangi, Pauanui and Tairua). Usually Resident Population of the Main Settlements 7,542 8,000 1996 This section of the document compares and contrasts the characteristics of 2001 2006 the main settlements in the Thames-Coromandel District. Information on each 6,000 individual main settlement can be found in Appendix C. Usually 3,567 3,768 Re s ide nt 4,000 Population 1,617 2,000 1,296 723 318 249 0 h ui ta ndel an a eac u ames a Tairua h ianga B atarangi P T ks M Whit Coroma Coo Whangam In 2006 Thames had a usually resident population of 7,542 people followed by Whitianga with 3,768 people and Whangamata with 3,567 people. The usually resident population of Coromandel township was 1,617 people with 12 1,296 living in Tairua, 723 people in Pauanui, 318 people in Cooks Beach and Looking forward 249 living in Matarangi.7 Population projections developed based on current trends indicate that, with In terms of population growth, in the ten years from 1996 to 2006 Whitianga, the exception of Tairua and Whangamata, the usually resident population of Cooks Beach, Pauanui and Thames experienced growth in the size of the each of the main settlements is likely to continue increasing to the year 2041.8 usually resident population, whereas Coromandel, Matarangi, Tairua and However, the usually resident population of some settlements is projected to Whangamata all experienced a decrease in the usually resident population. grow at a faster rate than others. In the 35 year period from 2006 to 2041 the The percentage change in the usually resident population for this ten year usually resident population of Matarangi is projected to grow by 152% to period, for New Zealand, the District, and each of the main settlements, is reach 627 people. Whitianga and Thames are also projected to experience illustrated on the graph below. fairly high increases in the usually resident population (53% and 34% respectively). As can be seen from the following graph, the majority of this Percentage Change in the Usually Resident Population growth occurs in the first 20 years of the projection period. 1996-2006 NZ On the other hand, the usually resident populations of Tairua and TC District Cooks Beach Whangamata are projected to decrease over the next 35 years – Tairua by Coromandel 5% to 1,277 people and Whangamata by 12% to 3,123 people. Matarangi Pauanui Tairua Thames Whangamata Whitianga -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 % Change It must be noted that although Matarangi decreased in population by a large percentage, it was from a small base population. 8 A ‘medium’ rate of population growth has been used to project future populations for each of the 7 Appendix A contains a table of population figures from 1996 to 2006. main settlements except Whitianga, where a ‘high’ rate of population growth is expected. 13 Projected Population of the Main Settlements Age 2006-2041 12,000 10,135 In 2006 the median age (half of the population is younger than this and half is 10,000 Coromandel Matarangi older) of the usual residents in each of the larger main settlements was 8,000 Pauanui Tairua considerably higher than for New Zealand. This reflects the general trend of Us ually Thames Resident 6,000 5,773 Population Whangamata the District of having an older population and is shown on the graph below. Whitianga 4,000 3,123 1,916 2,000 1,227 Median Age of the Usually Resident Population 2006 871 627 0 60 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 (actual) 51 Census Year 46 45 44 46 50 36 40 These projected percentage increases or decreases in the usually resident Age 30 population can be compared to the overall District projection of an increase of 20 19% and a national projection of an increase of 21% by the year 2041. 10 0 el s NZ e ga TCD and am ian m it o Th h or angamata W C h W 14 Housing Between the 1996 and 2006 census periods, the number of dwellings in each of the main settlements increased. In 2006, there were 4,182 dwellings in Whangamata followed by Thames with 3,423 dwellings and Whitianga, with 2,811 dwellings. There were 2,175 dwellings in Pauanui, 1,473 in Tairua and 972 dwellings in Coromandel township. 4500 Change in Number of Dwellings in the Main Settlements Num be r of 4000 Dwellings 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 1996-2006 0 879 Cooks Beach 972 Housing Occupancy Coromandel 915 2,175 As mentioned earlier, on the night of 3,423 Matarangi the Coromandel Peninsula were occupied or lived in permanently. However, 1,473 4,182 in Thames, 93% of dwellings were occupied by the usual residents. This was Pauanui comparable to 90% of dwellings occupied in New Zealand as a whole and reflects the fact that Thames has a hi Tairua 2,811 the rest of the Thames-Coromandel Di Thames dwellings was far below the national level. 1996 Whangamata 2001 The occupancy rates of Coromandel (74%) and Whitianga (60%) reflected the 2006 more permanent status the 2006 Census, only 51% of houses on Whitianga settlements in the District. Cooks Beach, Matarangi, Pauanui, Tairua and Whangamata had a greater percentage of dwellings unoccupied than occupied on census night, reflecting their status as popular holiday destinations containing a large proportion of holiday homes and ‘baches’. gh permanent resident population. In of these settlements comparedstrict tothe other percent main 100 90 80 Dwellings% of Occupancy Status of Dwellings by Percentage 70 age of occupied 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2006 NZ TC District Cooks Beach Coromandel Matarangi Occupied Unoccupied Pauanui Tairua Thames Whangamata Whitianga 15 Looking forward Employment and Labour Force Dwelling projections presenting one possible scenario for housing In 2006, the main settlements had lower proportions of the usually resident development over the next 35 years have been produced, based on current population aged 15 years and over in the labour force when compared to New development trends. These trends suggest that the settlements likely to Zealand as a whole. However, the unemployment rate in each of the main experience the greatest percentage increase in dwelling numbers are settlements and the District was lower than for New Zealand. Matarangi (124%), Pauanui (115%) and Whitianga (87%). In terms of new dwelling numbers this equates to around 1,100 for Matarangi and around Employment Status for the Labour Force 2006 2,500 each for Pauanui and Whitianga over the next 35 years. The number of 100 dwellings in Tairua is projected to increase by 70% while Coromandel, Thames and Whangamata may all experience an increase in dwelling 80 numbers of around 50%. 60 % of Unemployed Labour Employed part time For ce 40 Dwelling Projections for the Main Settlements Employed full time 2006 - 2041 20 7,000 6,135 6,000 0 s a 5,259 strict ng aland i a 5,000 5,102 e D hame iti Coromandel C T h Z T angamata W 4,674 ew Coromandel h Matarangi N W Pauanui 4,000 Number of Tairua Dwellings Thames 3,000 Whangamata 2,507 Whitianga 2,000 2,052 1,483 1,000 0 2006 (actual) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 Census Year 16 CONCLUSION Managing change and development has been identified as a key issue for the future planning of the Thames-Coromandel District. As part of addressing this, the Thames-Coromandel District Council needs to refer to demographic information, particularly population and dwelling statistics. Projections out to 2041 have been produced for the Council which give one possible scenario for growth over the next 35 years. Current demographic information and population and dwelling projections will be used to help plan for infrastructure and community facility needs in the District. 17 APPENDICES Appendix A: Usually Resident Population Figures Appendix B: Housing Figures % Change % Change 1996 2001 2006 1996 2001 2006 1996-2006 1996-2006 NZ 3,618,303 3,737,277 4,027,947 11% NZ 1,407,828 1,524,663 1,651,542 17% TCD 24,822 25,176 25,941 5% TCD 18,060 20,040 22,704 26% Cooks Beach 258 327 318 23% Cooks Beach 672 741 879 31% Coromandel 1,662 1,608 1,782 7% Coromandel 804 885 972 21% Matarangi 408 396 249 -39% Matarangi 405 381 915 126% Pauanui 627 678 723 15% Pauanui 1,458 1,962 2,175 49% Tairua 1,470 1,515 1,296 -12% Tairua 1,203 1,371 1,473 22% Thames 7,341 7,269 7,542 3% Thames 3,111 3,192 3,423 10% Whangamata 3,708 3,855 3,567 -4% Whangamata 3,531 3,939 4,182 18% Whitianga 2,994 3,078 3,768 26% Whitianga 2,037 2,259 2,811 38% Usually Resident Population Figures for Main Settlements 1996-2006 Housing Figures for Main Settlements 1996-2006 18 Appendix C: Main Settlement Information Change in the Usually Resident Population of Cooks Beach 1991-2006 400 327 Cooks Beach 318 300 240 258 In 1769, Captain James Cook arrived at what is now known as Cooks Beach Usually and declared New Zealand for King George III.