“American Typewriter” Font Cuz that’s ironic :-) Emerging Platforms & Disruptive Innovations

Brian Barthelt SVP, Director, Leo Burnett Interactive April 2015

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!Thank you to U of I college of advertising for asking me back, it’s my honor to be here today. ! Segments:

Segment 0: Housekeeping & Introductions Segment 1: Intro to Emerging Platforms Segment 2: Disruptive Innovations Segment 3: Strategies for Innovation Segment 4: Inspiration

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!Our presentation will be divided into four segments! Segment 0: Housekeeping & Introductions

(Fears, Promises, Confessions & Disclaimers)

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!First…Housekeeping and introductions! Brian Barthelt

! SVP, Director of Acquisition and Engagement

! I work for

INTERACTIVE

This is what I do for my day-job. I’m an agency guy. I help lead Leo Burnett’s stable of “Supergeeks”

INTERACTIVE

My day job is to help lead Leo Burnett Interactive. We have about 100 technologists of various flavors who conceive and create digital media. Leo Burnett is one of the oldest agencies in the business. All thoughts, theories, statements, opinions, claims, etc. etc. etc. are solely the author’s, and do not reflect the feelings of:

My company is not responsible for anything I say. Hopefully I don’t get in trouble for anything I say. Next: Confessions

Now i want to make a few confessions… Confession:

! This presentation has 287 slides…

(So try to keep your eyes up here: they’re gonna go by real real fast)

(33.03 seconds per slide average)

I always try to warn people in advance about this presentation STYLE…its fast. Lots of slides. We have 180 minutes, minus 2 for an exercise, minus 10 for a break, and 10 for questions…leaves us with 158 minutes together. This may seem overwhelming, but they’re going to go by really really fast. Confession: I tend to procrastinate when creating presentations.

Analysis of Brian’s Progress on Keynote Presentation

(Don’t you judge me. You all do the same with your homework.)

I’m really really tired. I worked on this very late. My day job made it harder to work on this than I wanted. ! Confession:

! I didn’t major in marketing or advertising or communications.

! I am a technologist. A geek. Confession:

! At times I obsess a little too much about technology.

I’m sorry if I sound like that professor that’s WAY more enthusiastic about his class than any of the students are. I know what you’re thinking. Would would a tech geek work at an Advertising Agency? ?

(I’m well aware that it is highly unlikely that you were thinking this) Confession: I never targeted advertising.

I just woke up one day and found myself in it.

I worked in the petrochemical / manufacturing industry for 4 years. Then joined “Giant Step”: a digital solutions company. Leo Burnett owned 51% of them. Through mergers/acquisitions over the years, I found myself at Leo Burnett. Agencies usually have

Creatives Account Managers

Planners

Producers

Perhaps this is what you’ll be someday Geeks look like this, right? Historically, geeks have not been cool. They wear dockers and stained polo shirts.

I should have photoshopped some stains into these images.

They ! They havehave bad hairgreasy hair.

Trivia: that’s “Waldo” from the “Hot for Teacher” video.

And! They have bad Questionablehair Hygiene. Not anymore. It’s now cool to be a geek.

That geek stereotype is dead. Agencies are hiring geeks in droves:

! A signal of the emergence of “MarTech”

That geek stereotype is dead. Enough confessions On to the fears

I have a few fears regarding this course Fear:

! You might be tuning me out.

! Because you’re here for one thing…

I sometimes worry the students might not be all that into this. Maybe you just want the certificate…

…and you don’t wanna hear me blah blah blah blah because you’re here for a piece of paper. I hope that’s not the case, but you never know. Fear:

! I’m supposed to keep you engaged for

! THREE HOURS

…and that’s a really really really long time. I dreaded my 3 hour classes in college. I’m going to TRY very hard to keep you engaged the entire time. Promises

BUT: I’m going to make you some promises, and hopefully those keep you engaged. Everything in this discussion is

! FOR YOU.

I promise you altruism. I tried to give you things you can use. To diferentiate yourselves, and bring more value to your employers. While I joked about doing this last minute, that might have been bending the truth a little. I put a great deal of efort into trying to give you something valuable. Promise:

! I’m going to show work to help make my points. Some of the work I demo is crafted by Leo Burnett. Some was not.

! I promise that I chose work based on RELEVANCE TO YOU: Not based on bragging about the awesome shit we get to do.

I’m not here to self promote, and despite the INTENSE pride I feel working for Leo Burnett, I’m not here to promote my agency. Some of you will be interviewing for your first “real job” in this industry.

You don’t want to look like every other candidate.

I’m hoping to give you information that can, if used correctly, help you diferentiate yourself from other job candidates. Promise:

! I’m here to help you.

! That means afterwards as well.

! Twitter: @brianbarthelt

! Email: [email protected]

My commitment to do this speech includes a commitment to be available to you. To coach and advise you if you need it or want it. Promise:

You picked one hell of a profession

Advertising is an AWESOME field. I’ve been outside of ADVERTISING. I like it better here. So many job options for college grads look like this.

A sea of cubicles. Death by Cubicle. My first job looked a lot like this. Agencies are different.

! Advertising culture is addictive.

! You won’t want to work back in “the real world.”

Agency culture is addictive. Collaborative. Less rigid. Make no mistake though, we work VERY hard and long hours are common. But we’re passionate about what we do. But we play just as hard. And we play. And we play. The field of advertising is changing dramatically.

! Advertising is currently undergoing countless

! Disruptive Innovations.

You are ENTERING advertising at a fascinating time. Everything is changing. RIGHT NOW. I know what you’re thinking. “Didn’t I see Disruptive Innovation in the subtitle of this course?” ? Yes!

You DID see Disruptive Innovation in the subtitle of this course! (and we’ll talk a lot more about that later) Quick Tip: Watch for the pencil.

I tried to signal things you might want to write down with this pencil image. Chapter 1:

Intro to Emerging Platforms

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!We’re going to start with a quick discussion to “Emerging Platforms”! To recognize an emerging platform we must first understand traditional platforms Let’s Start With an Exercise List out all of the marketing platforms you can think of. You have two minutes.

! Go. Let’s see what you came up with.

Review…classify as emerging or not emerging. Television Out-Of-Home Print Radio Brand-Web-Site Social-Brand-Pages Cinema Web-Banner

Above the Line

In advertising, you may here the phases “above the line and below the line” Above the line: “mass”… Below the Line

Hyper-Targeted Direct-Mail Social Ads

Loyalty (CRM) Targeted-iMedia Retail-Interactive Email Wearable iBeacon/BLE Driveable

Below the line: 1 to 1. Targeted. What makes a platform “Emerging?” Platform Adoption by Marketers

More Brands

Laggards

Emerging

Late Majority

Early Majority Brands Leveraging a Platform Brands Leveraging Early Adopters

Less Innovators Brands

When Tech 2/3 years Is New Time Later

Pay close attention to the X and Y axis and their meaning. “Emerging” lives where i placed the circle. Does a platform have to be technologically advanced to be considered emerging?

NO We’ll discuss two examples

Technology Based Not Technology Based

One tech-based and one non-tech based iBeacon

! and “Bluetooth Low-Energy” (BLE)

This is a particularly game-changing innovation. Mobile range detection options

Cell Tower Range: 20 - 30 miles

Wifi Range: ~100 meters per repeater

Bluetooth Range: <200 meters

Bluetooth LE Range: ~30 meters

NFC Range: <0.2 meters

Several technologies exist that detect location and distance. Bluetooth LE (iBeacon) has an optimal range for many retail/shopper experiences. iBeacon with Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE)

iBeacon has 3 distinct ranges: Immediate, Near and Far. Your branded app can look for them, and trigger EVENTS as consumers enter any range. You could put an LG branded app on every LG phone, then put beacons in retail locations that trigger notifications, content, anything you build into your app. You’d know where they are and what they are doing, and deliver the most relevant messages and features. iBeacon In Retail Implications of iBeacon/BLE

A brand can target a known consumer on their phone in retail, while they shop,

! with custom offers, custom content, valuable information, etc.

! (As long as that consumer has the branded app on their phone. ) Now the non-tech example… Unabashed Shameless Product Placement

Product placement is Old news: but UNABASHED placement like this is entirely new. Perhaps it is SO shameless that it WOULD have ofended the intelligence of viewers…but it’s not unlike a movie that’s so bad it’s actually good… EVERY judge always has a Starbucks OR Coca-Cola Beverage ON DISPLAY

We don’t even know if that’s really Starbucks cofee in the cup. Carson Daly discusses contestants while driving an orange Kia Soul

We all know Carson Daly does not drive a kia Soul. The point: expect MORE of this. So unabashed that it was made into a college drinking game… Some other emerging platforms… Pre-Roll

They know a lot about you and can TARGET efectively. They know what you like. They know what you searched for. They can also HOLD YOUR CONTENT HOSTAGE until you watch the ad!!!!!! Retail Interactive

Samsung CenterStage: People hate being pressured…let them play with something high-tech. Brands participating in Blippar can show Augmented Reality content when the phone camera is pointed the product package. Daily Local Deals

This one is self explanatory Wearable Tech

Smart watches, fitness trackers, direct project glasses, gesture control wristbands, “find my stuf” tags (tile). Expect exciting new products (and channels) in this space Drivable Tech

You’ll soon be able to market to consumers through their vehicle interfaces Why does a platform emerge? An analogy: Little Kid Soccer

These are marketers

This is consumer’s attention

The awesome thing about little kid soccer: the ball is like a magnet. The ball moves: the swarm of little kids gravitate to it. No matter where it goes. The ball is consumer attention: it moves. It moved from TVs to computers to Tablets to Phones, and it’ll continue to move: to wearable/drivable/flyable and on and on. Marketers will chase that attention to INTERCEPT it with their message. Segment 2:

Disruptive Innovations

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!We could go on and on…but it’s time to move on to the topic of Disruptive Innovations! Segment 2: Disruptive Innovations

Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh

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…which has a subtitle: “Motley Crue, Moore’s Law and Meh”: Note that alliteration makes for a catchy title. ! ! ! We’ll analyze the technology behind hair metal We’ll analyze the technology behind hair metal We’ll analyze the technology behind super bands We’ll analyze the technology behind the demise of super bands We’ll analyze the technology behind the demise of super bands We’ll analyze the disruptive innovations behind the demise of super bands I know what you’re thinking.

“What exactly is a disruptive innovation?” ? Disruptive Innovation: noun An innovation that helps create a new market, and eventually disrupts an existing market, displacing that existing market or technology. The theory of Black Swans:

It is a black swan. “This is how it works. Swans are white. Until one day....they aren’t. Everything we thought we knew about swans is no longer true. Everything from that day forward is diferent. Black Swan Theory

A metaphor to describe an event that:

! Comes as a surprise Has a major effect Is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.

Black swans as described by Taleb Black Swan Theory

Interpreted:

! The current so-called experts and market leaders do not see it coming. It defies the current “conventional wisdom” It later becomes the NEW conventional wisdom.

Read this book. Seriously.

Black swans in my own words. How many of you actually know what this is? VCR. Video Casette Recorder. An example of a technology killed through disruptive innovation. Then Laser Disc. HUGE discs. Almost nobody had these other than hardcore videophiles. The promise: better quality cinema at home. But they could not record. Then came this. Better picture. Digital Picture. Smaller disk. But you couldn’t record on them cost efectively. Well, not really. These guys stuck around for a while so that you could still record your shows. The Tivo was the very first digital video recorder. Now OF COURSE every single cable and satellite provider has their own, and this is already a commodity. But for a TIME: TIVO was a black swan. A revolution. Overnight, VHS and VCRs were rendered useless. I know what you’re thinking.

“What does this have to do with Mötley Crüe?” ?

(I still don’t really know what you’re thinking) Ah yes. Motley Crue. I worried I screwed up...

When i first wrote this PART of the speech it was for undergrad…and I forgot to consider something: the age of my audience. How many of you are familiar with Mötley Crüe?

Raise your hands (no lying).

Be honest. I won’t judge you. Much. I was harshly reminded while first creating this section that I’m not as young as I think... Or maybe I just forgot how much younger the typical student is (relatively speaking)... The revealing conversation:

Olivia (not old): My mom said you were doing a speech?

This was a conversation with a teenager that made me realize that maybe my whole topic/title were flawed. The revealing conversation:

Olivia (not old): My mom said you were doing a speech? Brian (old): Yeah, tomorrow.

This was a conversation with a teenager that made me realize that maybe my whole topic/title were flawed. The revealing conversation:

Olivia (not old): My mom said you were doing a speech? Brian (old): Yeah, tomorrow. Olivia: On what?

This was a conversation with a teenager that made me realize that maybe my whole topic/title were flawed. The revealing conversation:

Olivia (not old): My mom said you were doing a speech? Brian (old): Yeah, tomorrow. Olivia: On what? Brian: It’s about innovation. It’s called “Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh”.

This was a conversation with a teenager that made me realize that maybe my whole topic/title were flawed. The revealing conversation:

Olivia (not old): My mom said you were doing a speech? Brian (old): Yeah, tomorrow. Olivia: On what? Brian: It’s about innovation. It’s called “Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh”. Olivia: Huh!?!?!? Who’s Molly Crews?

This was a conversation with a teenager that made me realize that maybe my whole topic/title were flawed. The revealing conversation:

Olivia (not old): My mom said you were doing a speech? Brian (old): Yeah, tomorrow. Olivia: On what? Brian: It’s about innovation. It’s called “Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh”. Olivia: Huh!?!?!? Who’s Molly Crews? Brian: You’re kidding, right?

This was a conversation with a teenager that made me realize that maybe my whole topic/title were flawed. The revealing conversation:

Olivia (not old): My mom said you were doing a speech? Brian (old): Yeah, tomorrow. Olivia: On what? Brian: It’s about innovation. It’s called “Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh”. Olivia: Huh!?!?!? Who’s Molly Crews? Brian: You’re kidding, right? Olivia: No, seriously. Who’s Molly Crews? An Actress?

This was a conversation with a teenager that made me realize that maybe my whole topic/title were flawed. The revealing conversation:

Olivia (not old): My mom said you were doing a speech? Brian (old): Yeah, tomorrow. Olivia: On what? Brian: It’s about innovation. It’s called “Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh”. Olivia: Huh!?!?!? Who’s Molly Crews? Brian: You’re kidding, right? Olivia: No, seriously. Who’s Molly Crews? An Actress? Brian:

This was a conversation with a teenager that made me realize that maybe my whole topic/title were flawed. Who is

!

!

! ?

So just in case…let’s talk about Motley Crue for a moment Motley Crue is a hair metal band. This strange species existed from roughly the mid 80’s, and ruled the music scene until the early 90’s. Hair Metal Band: noun A group of 4 to 5 substance-addicted low-to-moderately talented hard rock musicians who wear the same clothes, makeup and hairstyles as the trashy girls that worship their 4-chord cliché music.

(My original definition. Apologies to those still in hair metal bands) What makes

!

!

! Special? They arguably marked the end of an era. This marked the pinnacle of the arena-filling super band era: #1 on the MTV top 10 video count down for months. (MTV used to actually play music videos). Footage of Motley

Crue filling stadius in this “Home Sweet Home” video made EVERYONE want to be in a super band. Mötley Crüe was also a “Super Band” Super Band: noun A musical act with mass popularity, giving them arena-filling draw that spans multiple decades and multiple generations of fans.

(I made this up) Other Super Band Examples

All of these bands filled arenas for decades and multiple generations of fans love them. One of the Final Super Bands of the “Super Band” era...But why?

If you dream of being in a super band...it will be tougher. MC was one of the last. Not THE last, but one of them. Most ARENA filling concerts today are acts that are short lived...OR...super bands from the super-band era. The culprit:

! Moore’s Law Gordon E. Moore: cofounder of Intel. Will be true until about 2020. EXPONENTIAL growth in technology. Look at the Y axis: EXPONENTIAL. Technological capability DOUBLES every 2 years. I know what you’re thinking.

“That’s fascinating!!! But what does Moore’s Law have to do with the demise of Hair Metal bands?” ?

(…still don’t really know what you’re thinking) (For Starters) UHF: Music Video Programming

24 Hr. Music Video Channel The worldwide web / high bandwidth Shareable digitized music Peer to Peer Sharing Tools New radio distribution options

Cheap hi-fidelity recording

A series of technological advancements that combined to entirely disrupt the music market. It’s time for another crabby old man moment Back when I was a kid, we didn’t HAVE all these crazy bands. We had WRCK, 96.3, “The Rock”, and we liked it! Advances in Music Distribution Technology saturated the market.

! Suddenly there’s 10x, 100x, 1000x, 10,000x as many bands on your radar. Your attention span is now diluted across all those bands. ...and 100 new bands pop up every 12.4 seconds.

(I might have made up that statistic) I know what you’re thinking.

“What does that mean for recording companies?” ? Before: Bands needed to be bankrolled

There was a barrier to entry. You needed to get signed by 1 of a few record companies. After: Record companies are irrelevant. X

There was a barrier to entry. You needed to get signed by 1 of a few record companies. Disintermediation: noun Reduction in the use of intermediaries between producers and consumers.

! For example: Bands (producers) selling music directly to their audience (consumers) online instead of through an intermediary (record company)

(I did NOT make this up) Brian’s Theory of Inevitable IrrelevanceTM “Each specific technology follows a similar lifecycle toward irrelevance. It is disruptive innovations move the tech through this lifecycle.” Brian Barthelt, just now.

Innovation Competitive Advantage

Disruptive Innovation Commoditization

Disruptive Innovation Irrelevance

TM..you owe me a nickel every time you say it, use it, reference it, etc. Brian’s Theory of Inevitable IrrelevanceTM As applied to Record Companies

Innovation Competitive Advantage

Disruptive Innovation Commoditization

Disruptive Innovation Irrelevance

The theorem applied to the recording industry. Brian’s Theory of Inevitable IrrelevanceTM As applied to Record Companies

“We can capture music on a record!!”

Innovation Competitive Advantage

Disruptive Innovation Commoditization

Disruptive Innovation Irrelevance

The theorem applied to the recording industry. Brian’s Theory of Inevitable IrrelevanceTM As applied to Record Companies

“There’s only a few record companies. We’re making SO. MUCH. MONEY!!” Innovation Competitive Advantage

Disruptive Innovation Commoditization

Disruptive Innovation Irrelevance

The theorem applied to the recording industry. Brian’s Theory of Inevitable IrrelevanceTM As applied to Record Companies

“Uh oh. Lots of companies can record music and distribute it. We’re making SO. MUCH. LESS. MONEY. ” Innovation Competitive Advantage

Disruptive Innovation Commoditization

Disruptive Innovation Irrelevance

The theorem applied to the recording industry. Brian’s Theory of Inevitable IrrelevanceTM As applied to Record Companies

“Every !@#% with a computer is in a band. They’re recording, and distributing their own music. Innovation Why are we still here?” Competitive Advantage

Disruptive Innovation Commoditization

Disruptive Innovation Irrelevance

The theorem applied to the recording industry. Moore’s Law ensures that disruptive innovations will appear faster. and faster. and faster. I know what you’re thinking.

“You’ve covered Mötley Crüe and Moore’s Law, but what about Meh, Brian?” ? meh: interjection A snarky utterance used to express that one is unimpressed, disinterested, bored, or, like, whatever man. We are utterly inundated with: information, media & technology

It’s not just MUSIC that’s afected by this. Sensory overload makes us...

! Easily Distracted Brian’s Squirrel Distractibility TheoremTM Brian’s Squirrel Distractibility TheoremTM

Less Technology Advancement More Tech Over Time Tech Brian’s Squirrel Distractibility TheoremTM

More Squirrels Squirrels Distracting Us Squirrels

Less Squirrels

Less Technology Advancement More Tech Over Time Tech Brian’s Squirrel Distractibility TheoremTM

More Squirrels Squirrels Distracting Us Squirrels

Less Squirrels

Less Technology Advancement More Tech Over Time Tech Brian’s Squirrel Distractibility TheoremTM

More Squirrels

As technology continually advances according to Moore’s Law, the number of squirrels distracting us approaches

Squirrels Distracting Us Squirrels

Less Squirrels

Less Technology Advancement More Tech Over Time Tech Sensory overload makes us...

! Harder to Impress.

! Moore’s Law continually reshapes our social experience & our attitudes. Read this book. Seriously.

If you want to explore the social implications of this more, take a look at Doug Rushkof’s “PresentShock”. He goes into fascinating depth on this topic. “Information consumes the attention of its recipients. Hence, a wealth of information creates of poverty of attention.” Herbert Simon, 1978

HE SAID THIS IN 1978. I was 5 years old. Less than 1% of the people in this room were alive. Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh

So we’ve covered Mötley Crüe

! ! Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh

We’ve covered Moore’s Law

! ! Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh

…and we’ve covered “Meh”

! ! Why should you care? This effects you as a marketing professional Some marketing roles will be eliminated entirely by disruptive innovations . Thinking of becoming a media buyer?

That’s a bad bet.

! It will be almost entirely programmatic within a few years.

Some jobs will be eliminated entirely. The way robots replaced the assembly line worker. If your clients are still paying millions for a 30 second TV spot?

!

! They should stop doing that. Content production costs are plummeting.

! Your clients will demand more content for less $$$$

Things that used to be expensive become cheap. The “YouTube” Effect:

! Consumers sometimes find lower production values more believable.

In many cases, low-cost production can yield superior results. The notion of “Always On” Marketing is now possible.

Is your marketing being crafted and placed in real-time, as events occur in popular culture? I will now demonstrate a concept we designed recently: an “always on creative laboratory”. We can now leverage the Cloud & “Big Data” to Hyper-Target current and potential consumers?

Are you leveraging big data (or partners with Big Data capability) to create implicit profiles of your current and potential consumers? Are you using this to trafc the right ads to the right people at the right times in the right places? You should be. Disruptive Innovations:

!

!

! Cloud servers and Big-Data Technology

Two GREAT example of disruptive innovations. These afect EVERY industry INCLUDING marketing. Cheap Processing Disruptive Power Innovations:

!

!

! Massive amounts of Cloud servers and Rapidly Searchable Big-Data Technology Data

Cloud servers give you cheap processing power, for massive calculations, algorithms, etc. Big Data Technology gives you MASSIVE amounts of rapidly searchable data. The Old Days

“MY servers”

In the old days: each customer had it’s own servers. Only their data was on it. It only processed their needs. The issue?

! Unused Capacity.

“MY servers”

Sometimes the servers were busy. Most of the time they weren’t. That’s some very expensive hardware that is often largely IDLE. The privately owned nature of servers made them EXPENSIVE. A room full of UNUSED capacity

Now consider that in an entire data center, there may be hundreds or even thousands of un-used servers. This meant that AT TIMES: most of a data-center was RUNNING but UNUSED. Cloud servers solve this.

Cloud servers are the answer. Are you leveraging the Cloud & “Big Data” to Hyper-Target current and potential consumers? AreAre youyou leveragingleveraging thethe CloudCloud && ““BigBig DataData”” Whattoto is Hyper-TargetHyper-Target a cloud server? currentcurrent andand potentialpotential consumers?consumers? AreAre youyou leveragingleveraging thethe CloudCloud && ““BigBig DataData”” Whattoto is Hyper-TargetHyper-Target a cloud server? currentcurrent andand potentialpotential consumers?consumers?

It isn’t really a server at all. It’s a part of a server PRETENDING to be a WHOLE server. AreAre youyou leveragingleveraging thethe CloudCloud && ““BigBig DataData”” Whattoto Hyper-Target Hyper-Targetis “The Cloud”? currentcurrent andand potentialpotential consumers?consumers? Virtual Servers

Cloud Software Real Servers Cloud Software makes a collection of BIG servers look like MANY MANY LITTLE servers:

These little “virtual” servers can be sold very cheaply. AreAre youyou leveragingleveraging thethe CloudCloud && ““BigBig DataData”” Whattoto Hyper-Target Hyper-Targetis “The Cloud”? currentcurrent andand potentialpotential consumers?consumers? Virtual Servers

Cloud Software Real Server Since these servers aren’t real: they can be added and removed INSTANTLY.

Business is slow? Remove some and pay less. Getting busy? Add more and pay a little more. AreAre youyou leveragingleveraging thethe CloudCloud && ““BigBig DataData”” Whattoto Hyper-Target Hyper-Targetis “The Cloud”? currentcurrent andand potentialpotential consumers?consumers? Virtual Servers

Cloud Software Real Server Instead of paying for a huge expensive server: $ You only pay for what you $ use. AreAre youyou leveragingleveraging thethe CloudCloud && ““BigBig DataData”” Whattoto Hyper-Target Hyper-Targetis “The Cloud”? currentcurrent andand potentialpotential consumers?consumers? Virtual Servers

Cloud Software Real Server

Distributed Computing Technologies allow us to “chain” $ hundreds of virtual servers $ together as one “brain”. AreAre youyou leveragingleveraging thethe CloudCloud && ““BigBig DataData”” Whattoto Hyper-Target Hyper-Targetis “The Cloud”? currentcurrent andand potentialpotential consumers?consumers? Virtual Servers

Cloud Software Real Server

The cost of computing has $ PLUMMETED to a small $ fraction of prior prices!

What does this mean? We can now instantlhy CALCULATE things that were previously IMPOSSIBLE Disruptive Innovations:

!

!

! Cloud servers and Big-Data Technology

We also mentioned “Big Data” technologies. AreAre youyou leveragingleveragingWhat isthethe Big CloudCloud Data & & ““BigBig DataData”” totoTechnology? Hyper-TargetHyper-Target currentcurrent andand potentialpotential consumers?consumers? This is

! Dr. E.F. Codd.

!

! He invented “Relational Database” Technology. You don’t need to know what “Relational Database Technology” is...

! His invention was “the way” to handle data from 1970 until just recently.

! (That’s amazing)

Not many technologies last 40+ years. BUT: his technology had limitations in the AMOUNT of data that could be Catalogued and Searched.

The limitations of relational database technology became apparent as data sets became larger. Until...Google came along. invented an Algorithm for Data Storage and Search called “MapReduce”. “MapReduce” Is very hard to understand.

You don’t need to understand MapReduce to understand it’s implications. “MapReduce”is a data-search algorithm that allows huge networks of servers to work together as ONE GIANT DATABASE

Not just one giant database, but a RAPIDLY SEARCHABLE database that is almost INFINITELY SCALABLE With MapReduce, we can STORE & SEARCH MASSIVE VOLUMES of DATA with INSTANT RESULTS $ And the COST of storing and searching MASSIVE volumes of data has PLUMMETED. $ We can track and analyze

! EVERYTHING

! about our consumers!!!!! We can target them in real-time.

! We can learn from data. Remember this from earlier?

! Imagine what’s possible with all that data and processing power…

This is a particularly game-changing innovation. Advancing Technology & Disruptive Innovations have side-effects for marketers…

It’s not just MUSIC that’s afected by this. Consumers expect the future to happen NOW.

! That future is changing how we market. Your consumers will be 1. more distracted 2. more suspicious 3. harder to impress.

I actually drew that picture. Clearly I’m not in the creative department. Brands and their agencies need to be better, more innovative marketers than ever before. The Leo Burnett Humankind Scale

The Goal

The bar is already set high. Look at 8, 9, 10. Every creative team strives for an 8+. The “Global Product Committee” (GPC) meets regularly to review ALL work. This incentive structure ensures every Leo Burnett creative team is trying to AT LEAST “change the way people think and feel”. Segment 3:

Strategies for Innovation

INTERACTIVE

It’s time for our 3rd chapter! Intermission: 10 minutes

INTERACTIVE

!But let’s take a break first: 10 minutes for water, bio needs, decompression, complaining about how bad this session is, etc.! Segment 3:

Strategies for Innovation

INTERACTIVE

!Let’s resume…! I know what you’re thinking.

“How can I use all of this amazing information to my advantage?” ?

We’ve covered a lot so far…the question is…how can you USE it? Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh

I’ll try to answer that using these same three things.

! ! Stop believing you will be in a X super band.

We’ve established that there will be very few Super Bands again. Ever. The odds are against you. Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh

Now that we’ve gotten that out of the way

! ! Don’t fear Moore’s Law. Capitalize on it.

! It creates opportunities. You just have to recognize them.

Every disruptive innovation has both victims and benefactors. You want to be the latter. Innovation can be codified to a degree. And I’ve done that for you.

A formula for achieving innovation in teams… Brian’s 6-Ingredient Casserole for Almost-Guaranteed InnovationTM

A stale market The Situation

! A Small/Entrepreneurial Mindset The Attitude

! Passionate high-energy visionaries ! The People High functioning makers/inventors

! Take time to tinker ! The Behaviors Operate with stealth A Stale Market

The entire music market structure was stale.

In our example: Both for the BANDS and for the RECORD COMPANIES. The technology was old, long since commoditized. Markets like this are highly vulnerable. Look for “That’s the way it’s always been done”. Find these, and the next disruptive innovation isn’t far away. Oligopolies & Market Barriers

Oligopolies: usually dominated by a few market players. Why? There are barriers to entry in those markets. But BARRIERS TO ENTRY are usually EXACTLY what are DESTROYED by DISRUPTIVE INNOVATIONS. So who is vulnerable now? How about the automobile industry?

What about these guys? Disruptive innovation? The automobile market is an oligopoly. Dominated by a few players. Barriers to entry. Here comes a new guy, doing it COMPLETELY DIFFERENTLY, and turning heads. Time will tell. What about the Prius? Disruptive innovation? COOL PRIUS!!! (said “nobody”): so not really. An innovation, but not really very disruptive. The tesla model S: 683hp 0-100 in 3.2 Amazing video Brian’s 6-Ingredient Casserole for Almost-Guaranteed InnovationTM

A stale market

! A Small/Entrepreneurial Mindset

! Passionate high-energy visionaries

! High functioning makers/inventors

! Take time to tinker

! Operate with stealth

We’ve now covered the stale market. On to the “Small Entrepreneurial Mindset” A Small Entrepreneurial Mindset

Source: Maddie Hamill, Venadar “Client Disruptions & Agency Implications”

Entrepreneurial thinking...small company thinking. That’s where innovation lives. A Small Entrepreneurial Mindset Work in Small Teams

Big teams sufocate ideas. Hired by a big company?

You might get your first job at a huge company. Pretend you’re the black ops division.

You have more control to define ANY job in your career than you realize. Think like the black ops division and you will be just that. A Small Entrepreneurial Mindset

Read this book. Seriously.

So many innovations from the same department of Lockheed Martin: the U2 spy plane, the SR-71 blackbird, the stealth bomber/fighter. A wonderful engaging book that is not only entertaining, but demonstrates how an innovative team was structured. A Small Entrepreneurial Mindset Big Company: Entrepreneur: Traditional Decision Pattern Lean Feedback Loop

Observe Idea Idea Analyze & Present Leap of Faith Assumption Decision Design Prototype/Experiment Build

Launch & Market Involve Users & Learn Involve Users & Learn

We’re going to compare “big company” to “entrepreneur”. The big company way has more steps, slower steps. The entrepreneurial way: “Fail fast and fail often, adjust and try again” Brian’s 6-Ingredient Casserole for Almost-Guaranteed InnovationTM

A stale market

! A Small/Entrepreneurial Mindset

!

Passionate high-energy visionaries These two go ! together like peas High functioning makers/inventors and carrots.

! Take time to tinker

! Operate with stealth

On to the people: Passionate high energy visionaries, and high functioning makers/inventors. Passionate High-Energy Visionaries

People who can connect the dots

People who see a technology and CONNECT that technology with it’s BUSINESS or CONSUMER implications. Passionate High-Energy Visionaries

"The quickest path to innovation lies in making ‘novel’ connections.” Steven Berline Johnson Where Good Ideas Come From

Read this book. Seriously. High Functioning Makers/Inventors It is easier than ever to “make” things.

Arduino, Rasberri pi, cheap components (that is a servo motor on the right btw). Inventors can make things fast and cheap. A video of our interns creating an interactive touch screen from a pane of glass, some cheap infrared lasers, a web cam, a projector, and a computer. Another video: This same team turned the 15th floor lobby (a floor to ceiling glass wall) into an interactive experience. Navigating years and years of broadcast work, client by client. A video of the same technology recreated for Intel for the ISMC trade show. Example of connection: Qualcomm releases marker based detection API. A technologist notices. Makes the connection that detecting actual packaging IN STORE would be superior to, say, a QR code. Inventors are more valuable then ever in the world of media creation. ^ experience! Agencies are hiring geeks in droves. If you’re not a geek, you might want to become one.

! Becoming a geek is easier than ever.

I mentioned there’d be more on this later. If you’re interested in going the “geek” route, here’s some advice. Maybe learn a Programming Language. Or Several.

Maybe learn a programming language or two. Learning a programming language is easier than ever. The free online tutorials are outstanding. Languages are getting simpler. If you’re brain is wired for it, this can be a VERY fulfilling life. Learn Animation & Motion Design

Animation tools are maturing faster than ever. And Motion is becoming increasingly important in our world as DIGITAL Boards replace static boards. Learn 3D Art & Animation

This space is exploding: it still requires tremendous skill and a gifted eye, but a lot of the tedium is disappearing as the tools RAPIDLY mature. Learn to build things.

Building things is easier than it has ever been. And it will continue to get easier. Subscribe to “Make” Magazine

Great magazine for tinkerers and inventors. Chaotic Moon Board of Awesomeness

Video: the “Board of Awesomeness” by Chaotic Moon Labs. Assembly-ready tech turned into something delightful and profound: a gesture controlled motorized skateboard. What was next? Make it MIND controlled.

Then came the board of imagination. Mind-controlled version of the Board of Awesomeness. Also done by Chaotic Moon Labs. Video: Chaotic Moon Labs again with “CUPID” (Chaotic Unmanned Personal Intercept Drone). A taser drone built with consumer grade tech. Brian’s 6-Ingredient Casserole for Almost-Guaranteed InnovationTM

A stale market

! A Small/Entrepreneurial Mindset

! Passionate high-energy visionaries

! High functioning makers/inventors

! Take time to tinker

! Operate with stealth

On to the behaviors: Time to tinker and operating with stealth. “Contrary to social-science wisdom, almost no discovery, no technologies of note, came from design and planning—they were just Black Swans. The strategy for discovers and entrepreneurs is to rely less on top-down planning and focus on maximum tinkering and recognizing opportunities when they present themselves. The reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or “incentives” for skill. The strategy is, then, to tinker as much as possible and try to collect as many Black Swan opportunities as you can.”

! -Nassim Taleb, “The Black Swan”

Long quote: but worth reading. Innovation REQUIRES tinkering according to Taleb. 20% Rule

Google used to require 1 day a week to be spent on “passion projects”. Yielded THESE innovations and many others. Brian’s 6-Ingredient Casserole for Almost-Guaranteed InnovationTM

A stale market

! A Small/Entrepreneurial Mindset

! Passionate high-energy visionaries

! High functioning makers/inventors

! Take time to tinker

! Operate with stealth

Operating with stealth: Operate with Stealth

Your idea should be pretty baked: either partially or completely built BEFORE You ask permission. Theres’ no shortage of these guys.

Beware the “hall monitors” in your company. They are incapable of seeing your vision until it materializes. Hide from them if necessary and innovate in spite of them. Operate with Stealth

“Look what I did!”

! is SO MUCH MORE EFFECTIVE than:

! “Can I try this?” There’s no shortage of these guys.

Get your ideas baked, proven out...proof-of-concepts and prototypes at a minimum before involving anyone with a “hall monitor” mentality. Operate with Stealth

“It’s better to beg forgiveness than ask permission”

Theres’ no shortage of these guys. Operate with Stealth

If you’re supposed to be doing something else 9am -5pm?

! Then innovate on your own time. If you’re passionate about it, you’re doing what you Theres’ no shortage enjoy anyway. of these guys.

Innovate on your own time if you have to. The most accomplished people in ANY craft put time in because they’re passionate, not because they’re punching a clock. Brian’s 6-Ingredient Casserole for Almost-Guaranteed InnovationTM

A stale market

! A Small/Entrepreneurial Mindset

! Passionate high-energy visionaries

! High functioning makers/inventors

! Take time to tinker

! Operate with stealth

And that covers the casserole ingredients. Mötley Crüe, Moore’s Law, and Meh

Two down, one to go

! Meh doesn’t have to win.

You can beat Meh. There’s a formula for that too. Segment 4:

Inspiration

INTERACTIVE

!And since we don’t want Meh to win…we’re going to end with some inspiration of some amazing things that are happening right now, or very soon.! Think...

! What “things” do you never want to have to live without?

It can be anything. A technology. A cell phone. A single parent might say Peapod grocery delivery. Why don’t you want to ever live without it

! ????

!

What do these things have in common? Delight

Because they better the human experience! They give you DELIGHT. My List

All of the things on this screen give me delight. I feel my VERY EXISTENCE is better because of them and I don’t want to go back to my life before these things. Let’s deep dive on just one.

This one is worth deep diving on. I don’t wanna live in a world without the battery powered Dyson Animal. Because of “MILLER”. My children’s angora bunny. He is the nicest, but also the furriest & messiest bunny on the planet. Video of Tesco’s subway shopping solution in Korea. This solution delivers on the mantra “design for delight”. Tesco is a grocery company. Korea is the 2nd hardest working country (in hours). Tesco let them grocery shop during their commute, while waiting for the subway train. All the “meh” in the world does not entirely rob us of three things... Capitalize on these.

Inventing something that betters the human experience is hard. There are other ways to combat meh as well. Three things to capitalize on... Our Humanity

Our desire for wonder and beauty

Our dreams and desires

1. AS humans we have EMOTIONS. Except the sociopaths. 2. We WANT to be dazzled. We long for it, even it it’s getting harder to do so. 3. We ALL have dreams and desires: and this is VERY VERY powerful. Two Examples From a Traditional Medium

High tech solutions can conquer “meh”…but so can traditional channels! My hobby: analyze the most popular super-bowl commercials. Dissect what made them efective. This was the most popular superbowl commercial in 2012 (video). I know what you’re wondering.

“Why is that commercial so effective?” ? Our Humanity

He’s cute. We feel EMPATHY for him. We want him to succeed. Notice he is not wearing dark gloves like the real darth vader. This is deliberate. The visibility of his CHILD hands remind us that this is a little kid. Who, besides sociopaths, isn’t moved by the dreams of little kids? Our desire for wonder and beauty

We KEEP HOPING IT WORKS!!!! We WANT him to be able do this...if for no other reason than that would be .... AMAZING!!!!! Our dreams & desires

Last but not least: our dreams and desires. We all secretly wish we were jedi. One with the FORCE. LIGHT SABERS!!!!! Now let’s look at another example that uses these three things, AND highlights the subtleties involved in achieving brilliant execution. The Budweiser “Puppy Love” commercial was the most popular of all those shown at the 2014 Super Bowl, and it’s sequel in 2015. (Video). I know what you’re wondering.

“Why is THIS commercial so effective?” ? Because they created the perfect fantasy: A pretty single woman who raises the cutest puppies ever.

A handsome cowboy RIGHT NEXT DOOR. ...who has his own ranch: where he breeds beautiful horses.

Oh, did I mention their puppies and horses talk to each other and play together?

...and they are both single and lonely.

And fate keeps bringing them together And they are totally into each other.

Again: it painted something that many viewers dreamed of. Men dreamed of being the cowboy. Women dreamed of being that damsel. Of finding a love in concert with this magical horse/puppy moment. And they consummate their newfound love with a... Understanding the Brilliance Warrants a Play-By-Play

:01

One of our main characters. In ONE SECOND, she is instantly likable. Pretty, while looking REAL. Not overly made up. Just right. Understanding the Brilliance Warrants a Play-By-Play

:02

The CUTEST. PUPPIES. EVER. Most of the audience is already going “awwwwwwww”. Understanding the Brilliance Warrants a Play-By-Play

:13

The majestic Clydesdale and the adorable puppy: they are FRIENDS. They LOVE each other. The magic of two beautiful animals from disparate species COMMUNICATING: the same fantasy brought to life in so many animated Disney movies. Understanding the Brilliance Warrants a Play-By-Play

:17

Introduction of our hero. The handsome cowboy in the Budweiser hat. Understanding the Brilliance Warrants a Play-By-Play

:22

Our hero and heroin brought together. At this point it MIGHT be fate. This will later be confirmed. Understanding the Brilliance Warrants a Play-By-Play

:25

Our quintessential cowboy moment: he’s alone in his barn on a rainy night, gettin’ shit done. He’s living his dream. At this point: MEN fantasize about BEING this noble hardworking cowboy. Understanding the Brilliance Warrants a Play-By-Play

:29

The puppy brought them together again, so now we KNOW it’s fate. The fantasy is almost fully formed. Understanding the Brilliance Warrants a Play-By-Play

:49

The most unrealistic, yet triumphant shot of the entire commercial...the adorable puppy, tiny, juxtaposed against the majesty of a team of Clydesdales. Understanding the Brilliance Warrants a Play-By-Play

:56

And finally: two dear friends reunited at last. Two lonely souls brought together at last. (Budweisers in hand). Inspiring Innovations & Predictions

We’ll wrap up with some inspiring innovations. “Printing” Human Organs, by Organovo

Oganovo and other companies will conquer the 3D printing of working human organs within the next 15 or so years. Dean Kamen: Deka Prosthetics

DEKA/Dean Kamen and his prosthetics that work like real limbs, controlled by your nervous system. Technological Singularity: noun

! The theoretical emergence of superintelligence through technological means. Since the capabilities of such intelligence would be difficult for an unaided human mind to comprehend, the technological singularity is seen as an occurrence beyond which events cannot be predicted.

! (Which means your kids will be way smarter than you while being simultaneously unable to function WITHOUT technology) “This computer (cell phone) is thousands of times more powerful than the computer I used as a student, and it's 100,000 times smaller. In 25 years, it will be a billion times more powerful in price performance, a billion times more powerful per dollar, and 100,000 times smaller. It will be the size of a blood cell. They'll be going through our body and keeping us healthy from the inside.”

Ray Kurzweil Futurist, inventor, technologist

Arguably the greatest prognosticator among the camp of what we call “Futurists” Kurzweil’s Next Predictions by late 2010s…Glasses will beam images directly to our retina by the 2020s…Nanobots will eliminate most diseases by the 2020s…Self driving cars commonplace by the 2020s…People not allowed to drive on highways by the 2030s…Virtual Reality will feel 100% real by late 2030s…We will be able to upload our entire consciousness by the 2040s…A.I. one billion times more capable than human minds by the 2040s…Nanotech Foglets able to make food out of thin air by 2045…We’ll be able to multiply our intelligence a billion fold by wirelessly linking our neocortex to a synthetic neocortex in the cloud

Kurzweil’s predictions Glucose Monitoring Contact Lens

No more pricking the finger to take blood sugar readings… I know what you’re wondering.

“But what if I’m not a geek/inventor/maker?” ?

…you actually might be thinking this. That’s OK: But understand the technology landscape:

!

! That’s OK: But understand the technology landscape:

! Not this: “how does it work?”

! That’s OK: But understand the technology landscape:

! Not this: “how does it work?”

! But this: “How does it affect the human experience?” Creativity has the power to transform human behavior.

!

!

Our motto...think about it. You can TRANSFORM HUMAN BEHAVIOR with your creativity! Emerging Platforms & Disruptive Innovations Q&A Brian Barthelt SVP, Director, Leo Burnett Interactive October 2014

INTERACTIVE

Questions?! ! ! Appendix

Brian Barthelt Email: [email protected] INTERACTIVE Twitter: @brianbarthelt

! During questions, I’ll leave this appendix up with the RECOMMENDED READING that flew by in this presentation. Also my !Email & Twitter handle. Don’t hesitate to reach out to me with questions or for career advice. !